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Xtc12

Fancy Flat Flutters

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Classy Moon 17.30 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 Bet365   -   1st @ 9\4

Mischief Star 17.50 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 WHill   -   3rd

 

Swansdown  15.30 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 Bet365

Promising type. First run since leaving Luca Cumani when good fourth of 8 in handicap at Haydock (10.2f, good to firm, 4/6) 19 days ago, needing stiffer test. Still has more to offer.

 

 

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On 6/12/2019 at 12:08 AM, Xtc12 said:

Swansdown  15.30 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 Bet365

3rd -  in touch, headway 3f out, switched right over 2f out, effort over 1f out, ridden to lead briefly inside final furlong, ran on

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Lola Paige 14.45 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 11\2 Bet365

Foaled February 25. 220,000 gns yearling, Galileo filly. Dam, maiden (stayed 1m), half-sister to smart winner up to 11f Tha'ir. Interesting newcomer. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Lola Paige 14.45 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 11\2 Bet365

2nd -  tracked leaders, went 2nd over 5f out, led over 2f out, soon headed, no impression on winner final furlong, kept on

Dr Richard Kimble 15.15 Catterick 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 Paddy Power

Won 3 times last year. 16/1 and visored for 1st time, last of 8 in handicap at Ripon (12f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Doesn't look in love with the game at present. 

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On 6/16/2019 at 11:57 PM, Xtc12 said:

Dr Richard Kimble 15.15 Catterick 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 Paddy Power

4th - raced wide close up, ridden over 2f out, no impression from over 1f out

Imperial Glorianna 13.40 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 16\1 Bet365

Foaled April 6. Kingman filly. Closely related to 7f winner Ramesses and half-sister to useful 7f/1m winner Borodin. 

 

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Pink Sands 19.20 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 4\6 Bet365

Promising individual. 11/4, second of 12 in minor event at Windsor (5.1f, good to firm) on debut 30 days ago. Sets a fair standard and is open to progress, too. 

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On 6/18/2019 at 12:10 AM, Xtc12 said:

Imperial Glorianna 13.40 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 16\1 Bet365

4th -  held up in mid-division, headway near side of group 2f out, ran green and ran on inside final furlong, finished well, not reach leaders

15 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Pink Sands 19.20 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 4\6 Bet365

1st @ 4\6 - made all, pushed out, comfortable

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Al Aakif 14.10 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

13/8, looked good prospect when winning 8-runner maiden at Nottingham (5f, good) on debut 18 days ago, readily. Should go well under penalty. 

 

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Jamais Assez 14.35 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 Paddy Power

Foaled April 8. $125,000 foal, Invincible Spirit colt. Half-brother to smart winner up to 8.2f Alterite. Dam unraced. Interesting newcomer. 

Light and Dark 16.00 Newmarket 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 Bet365

Fairly useful form both starts to date but hasn't impressed with his finishing effort. Capable of better, if his problem can be sorted out. 

 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Jamais Assez 14.35 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 Paddy Power

5th - prominent, green, ridden over 2f out, weakened final furlong

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Light and Dark 16.00 Newmarket 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 Bet365

3rd - close up, ridden and headway over 1f out, soon every chance, one pace and lost 2nd towards finish

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Road Rage 14.00 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 28\1 Paddy Power

£55,000 yearling, Requinto colt. Dam unraced out of 2-y-o 7f winner Al Desima. Shaped as though needing the run on Thirsk debut in April and he should last longer this time (has been gelded). 

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On 6/25/2019 at 12:05 AM, Xtc12 said:

Road Rage 14.00 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 28\1 Paddy Power

5th - held up, ridden over 2f out, no impression, weakened over 1f out

Asmund 14.00 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 4\11 (bog)

Promising individual. 9/1, second of 8 in minor event at York (5f, good to soft) on debut 12 days ago, clear of rest. Sets a good standard. 

 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Asmund 14.00 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 4\11 (bog)

2nd - led early, remained prominent, led again over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, kept on under pressure

 

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Funny Man 15.05 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) Bet365

Lightly-raced maiden. Blinkered for first time, excellent second of 10 in handicap at Brighton (11.9f, good to firm, 8/1) 10 days ago, nearest finish. Shortlist material.

Destination 16.10 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog) Bet365

Wetherby novice winner on second start. Beaten at short odds at Kempton since but it was likely another good effort with the third having boosted the form since. Likely to go well. 

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12 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Schumli 14.40 Thirsk 1 pt win @ 66/1 (bog) WHill

6th - always behind

Encipher 15.00 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) WHill

425,000 gns Siyouni half-brother to useful 2-y-o 9.5f winner Ebony. Well-bred newcomer from top yard so merits respect, even more so if the betting speaks in his favour.

 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Encipher 15.00 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) WHill

2nd - held up in 5th, steady headway on outside 3f out, chased leaders over 2f out, pushed along and stayed on into 2nd final 100 yards

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Pearl Storm 18.40 Beverley 1 Pt WIn @ 150\1 (bog) Paddy power

Twice-raced maiden. 10/1, sixth of 9 in maiden at Carlisle (5f, soft) 24 days ago. Needs to take a significant step forward. 

Baadirr 14.30 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog) Paddy Power

All the better for a considerate ride on debut when finding only one too good in a 6.5f minor event at Newbury last month. Likely to improve again so demands consideration.

Jalaad 15.35 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) WHill

C&D maiden winner in April and second in Wolverhampton novice 13 days later. Bit disappointing when only fourth on Chelmsford handicap bow since (hung under pressure) but still early days. Hood added. 

 

 

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Rapid Russo   14.35 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 20\1 (bog) Paddy Power

Foaled January 28. Coach House colt. Dam unraced out of useful winner up to 7.3f (2-y-o 5f winner) Daunting Lady. 

Sombra De Mollys 14.35 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 25\1 (bog ) Paddy Power

Foaled April 12. Mayson filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 5f winner Pearl of Qatar. Dam winner up to 6f (2-y-o 5f winner). 

Al Muffrih 15.15 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 (bog) Bet365

Improved again when winning the Zetland Gold Cup handicap at Redcar (10f) in May, settling a bit better and battling well. Likely there is plenty more to come from him

Cristal Breeze 16.10 Sandown 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 (bog) Paddy Power

Confirmed the promise of his debut when landing 6-runner minor event at Redcar in May before following up at Wolverhampton. Disappointed on handicap debut here over 9f but he can bounce back.

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Rapid Russo   14.35 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 20\1 (bog) Paddy Power

4th - tracked leaders, driven and one pace when switched towards outside over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, never able to challenge

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Sombra De Mollys 14.35 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 25\1 (bog ) Paddy Power

5th - mid-division, outpaced 2f out, soon ridden, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, never threatened leaders

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Al Muffrih 15.15 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 (bog) Bet365

17th -  tracked leaders on outside, steadied 8f out, awkward and ran wide on bend over 4f out, soon not much room, well behind final 3f

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Cristal Breeze 16.10 Sandown 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 (bog) Paddy Power

3rd -  held up in 6th, headway on outside over 2f out, ridden and went 2nd inside final 2f until inside final furlong, kept on same pace, just held on for 3rd

 

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Light the Fuse 14.00 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 4\1 (bog) Ladbrokes

Foaled January 22. £42,000 yearling, Dandy Man colt. Half-brother to 2-y-o 7f winner Artytype and 2-y-o 5f winner Snuggy. Dam 5f-7f winner. 

Macho Time 14.00 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 (bog) Bet365

Foaled April 7. £80,000 yearling, Camacho colt. Half-brother to 6f winner Caius College Girl. Dam unraced half-sister to useful/ungenuine 5f/6f winner Long Awaited.

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21 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Light the Fuse 14.00 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 4\1 (bog) Ladbrokes

6th - outpaced in rear, some late headway, never really on terms

21 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Macho Time 14.00 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 (bog) Bet365

1st @ 5\1 - raced in centre of group, always prominent, challenged 2f out, led over 1f out, ran on well

 

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Ainsdale 14.00 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 (bog) Bet365

Foaled May 6. Mayson colt. Half-brother to 6f winner Cale Lane. Dam once-raced sister to very smart winner up to 7f Garswood. Interesting newcomer. 

 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Soloist 15.20 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ 7\2 Bet365

7th - raced wide close up, pushed along over 3f out, ridden 2f out, weakened final furlong

St Ives 14.10 Doncaster 1 Pt WIn @ 11\4 WHill

Twice-raced colt. Third of 13 in maiden (11/2) at York (6f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Sets the standard. 

Al Mureib 16.25 Doncaster 1 Pt WIn @ 7\2 WHill

Useful gelding. Good second of 10 in handicap at Goodwood (9f, good to firm, 4/1). Ground might have been too soft next time. 

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On 7/11/2019 at 12:30 AM, Xtc12 said:

St Ives 14.10 Doncaster 1 Pt WIn @ 11\4 WHill

1st @ 11\4 - mid-division, took keen hold, headway over 1f out, led inside final furlong, hard pressed, held on

On 7/11/2019 at 12:30 AM, Xtc12 said:

Al Mureib 16.25 Doncaster 1 Pt WIn @ 7\2 WHill

3rd - chased leaders, effort 2f out, ridden over 1f out, kept on but always being held by front pair inside final furlong

Just an update on: 

Total Bets    92
Wins     15
Returns     99.92
P/L     7.92
SR     16.30%
ROI     8.61%
 

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A week without a selection and then they come along together :

Bay Filly Rolla 18.25 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 28\1 WHill

Foaled February 9. Showcasing filly. Dam, 8.6f-1¼m winner, half-sister to smart/ungenuine 5f/6f winner Out After Dark. Betting should guide to expectations.

Sombra De Mollys 18.25 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 33\1 Bet365

Showed a bit when fifth of 10 in maiden over C&D (good to firm) on debut 16 days ago. Open to improvement. 

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On 7/22/2019 at 2:44 PM, Xtc12 said:

Bay Filly Rolla 18.25 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 28\1 WHill

8th - dwelt in rear, pushed along 3f out, never on terms

On 7/22/2019 at 2:44 PM, Xtc12 said:

Sombra De Mollys 18.25 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 33\1 Bet365

9th - raced wide in touch, ridden and weakened over 1f out

Uncertain Smile 14.00 Bath 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 Paddy Power

Thrice-raced maiden. Fifth of 6 in minor event (40/1) at Windsor (8.1f, good to firm) 24 days ago. May do better now handicapping back up in trip, but needs to. 

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