MCLARKE Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 Thanks, also looks like horses wearing head gear for the 1st time should be avoided. I must admit I don't like a selection to be wearing head-gear. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 8 hours ago, MCLARKE said: Thanks, also looks like horses wearing head gear for the 1st time should be avoided. I must admit I don't like a selection to be wearing head-gear. Geneneralised stats are a waste of time , It depends whos putting the headgear on, Paul Nicholls is one to keep an eye on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 I would argue that they are not a complete waste of time. If the average POI is -23% then a return of -48% for horses wearing a hood 1st time is significant. I do agree though that you need to dig deeper to find an edge, there are no easy ways to make a profit in this game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 7, 2019 Author Share Posted May 7, 2019 Fanny Logan 14.25 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 6\1 WHill Clear of rest when second to Mehdaayih at Yarmouth last year, then completed a straightforward task in comfortable fashion at Wetherby on return. Remains capable of better and the trip should suit. Secret Thoughts 14.25 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 10\3 Ladbrokes Good-looking filly who won a maiden at Naas last season and returned with an encouraging fifth behind Lady Kaya in 1000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown. Not a guaranteed stayer upped markedly in trip. Gentile Bellini 15.35 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 9\1 Bet365 Cost a fortune as a yearling, not all that surprising given his outstanding pedigree, and first signs that he's getting his act together when off the mark at third attempt in maiden at Cork last time. Norway 15.35 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 10\3 Paddy Power Improved with each run last year, winning twice (including in listed company) before hitting the frame in a French Group 1. Very much the type to make a better 3-y-o, so should take the beating here. Sir dragonet 15.35 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 WHill Unfancied in the betting prior to an impressive winning debut in soft ground at Tipperary and notable that connections sent him straight here, so not dismissed for all lack of experience is an issue. Damon Runyon 16.05 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 6\1 Bet365 Well up to winning a race but another who has had plenty of chances and just second on his return at Lingfield over this trip having been gelded. Blinkers replace cheekpieces. Vulnerable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 8, 2019 Author Share Posted May 8, 2019 22 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Gentile Bellini 15.35 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 9\1 Bet365 Non Runner 22 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Sir dragonet 15.35 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 WHill 1st @ 8\1 - raced green in rear, smooth headway from over 2f out, shaken up to lead approaching final furlong, quickened clear, impressive Update Total Bets : 32 Wins : 3 Returns : 41 P/L : 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 8, 2019 Author Share Posted May 8, 2019 Mohawk 14.25 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 7\1 Bet365 Acquitted himself well in 7f Group races at the Curragh, and improved again when winning 7-runner Royal Lodge at Newmarket. Disappointing in the Dewhurst and up in trip for reappearance. Circus Maximus 14.25 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 5\6 Bet365 Fist foal of a smart mare and off the mark at the second attempt in maidens at Gowran in September. Better form when filling the frame in Group company and he sets the clear standard up in trip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 9, 2019 Author Share Posted May 9, 2019 23 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Circus Maximus 14.25 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 5\6 Bet365 1st @ 5\4 - tracked leader, niggled along from 5f out, pushed along to lead entering final 2f, kept up to work inside final furlong Update Total Bets : 34 Wins : 4 Returns : 43.25 P/L : 9.25 SR : 11.76% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 9, 2019 Author Share Posted May 9, 2019 Nette Rousse 18.20 Nottingham 1 Pt Win @ 50\1 Paddy Power €235,000 yearling, Mastercraftsman filly. Half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6f winner Ninas Terz and high-class 6f-1½m winner Pakistan Star. Dam winner up to 1¼m (2-y-o 7f winner). Respected. Victory Day 20.00 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 WHill Promising sort. 4/1, fourth of 15 in minor event at Redcar (7f) in November, having hopeless task from position. Has been gelded ahead of return, and remains with a good deal of potential. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 11, 2019 Author Share Posted May 11, 2019 On 5/9/2019 at 11:10 PM, Xtc12 said: Nette Rousse 18.20 Nottingham 1 Pt Win @ 50\1 Paddy Power 6th - slowly into stride, mid-division, headway on outside over 3f out, weakened over 1f out On 5/9/2019 at 11:10 PM, Xtc12 said: Victory Day 20.00 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 WHill 1st @ 5\2 - raced wide close up, headway over 1f out, led on bit entering final furlong, comfortable Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 11, 2019 Author Share Posted May 11, 2019 Sharja Silk 14.35 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 5\6 WHill Still a maiden following 9 attempts, but should put that right before long judged on solid reappearance second over 2m at Kempton where he finished clear of the rest. Cheekpieces applied. Jacob's Pillow 17.40 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 40\1 Bet365 Starting to look well handicapped but has yet to show much this year. Milton Road 20.45 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 6\1 Ladbrokes Sixteen runs since last win in 2017. 11/4, creditable second of 11 in handicap at Musselburgh (7.2f, good to firm) 9 days ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 13, 2019 Author Share Posted May 13, 2019 Geepower 13.50 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 33\1 Bet365 £20,000 Power colt. Closely related to 7f-1¼m winner Alshalaal and half-brother to 7f winner Illusive Force. 22/1, eighth of 10 in minor event at this C&D (good) on debut 8 days ago. Champagne Victory 14.20 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 33\1 Bet365 €7,000 yearling, Bungle Inthejungle filly. 16/1, last of 9 in minor event at this C&D (good) on debut 8 days ago. Hard to make a case for. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 14, 2019 Author Share Posted May 14, 2019 On 5/11/2019 at 9:31 AM, Xtc12 said: Sharja Silk 14.35 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 5\6 WHill 4th - tracked leader, driven over 4f out, ridden over 3f out, never able to get on terms, lost place inside final 2f, weakened final furlong On 5/11/2019 at 9:31 AM, Xtc12 said: Jacob's Pillow 17.40 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 40\1 Bet365 7th - prominent far side, ridden 2f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong, no chance with main group On 5/11/2019 at 9:31 AM, Xtc12 said: Milton Road 20.45 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 6\1 Ladbrokes 8th - close up, bumped over 1f out, faded inside final furlong 23 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Geepower 13.50 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 33\1 Bet365 4th - mid-division on outside, pushed along in 5th halfway, ridden over 1f out, kept on same pace final furlong 23 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Champagne Victory 14.20 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 33\1 Bet365 5th - led until inside final 2f, ridden over 1f out, no chance with winner, lost 2nd inside final furlong, weakened Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 14, 2019 Author Share Posted May 14, 2019 Mykindofsunshine 18.25 Bath 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 Bet365 Lightly-raced maiden. 7/1, very good third of 7 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) 22 days ago, running on. Has an appealing sprint pedigree and another who may have more to offer. Sacred Warner 20.25 Bath 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 Paddy Power Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable sixth of 12 in handicap (8/1) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 22 days ago, needing stiffer test. Cheekpieces on first time but looks in need of a stiffer test of stamina. Entitle 15.35 York 1 Pt Win @ 17\2 Paddy Power Very well-related filly who was off the mark at the second attempt at Lingfield through the winter, though she made quite hard work of it and the form doesn't look anything special. Sparkle Roll 15.35 York 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 WHill Really well-bred filly who was off the mark at the second attempt last year and took another step forward when readily landing a good novice at Sandown last month. Big player up in grade. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 15, 2019 Author Share Posted May 15, 2019 Mykindofsunshine 18.25 Bath 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 Bet365 - 5th Sacred Warner 20.25 Bath 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 Paddy Power - 10th Entitle 15.35 York 1 Pt Win @ 17\2 Paddy Power - 2nd Sparkle Roll 15.35 York 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 WHill - 7th Too Darn Hot 15.00 York 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 Paddy Power Maintained unbeaten record with a truly awesome performance in the Dewhurst at Newmarket on final 2-y-o start. Missed 2000 Guineas due to a setback but remains a colt of huge potential. Bred to stay. Turgenev 15.00 York 1 Pt Win @ 50\1 Bet365 Progressive dual winner last season who left reappearance well behind when third in listed event at Epsom but very much the yard's second string. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 16, 2019 Author Share Posted May 16, 2019 Too Darn Hot 15.00 York 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 Paddy Power - 2nd Turgenev 15.00 York 1 Pt Win @ 50\1 Bet365 - 5th Twist N Shake 14.25 York 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 Paddy Power Pushed a subsequent listed winner close on reappearance and had no difficulty going one better in 13-runner maiden at Nottingham (8.3f) last week. Smart prospect and one to keep onside. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 18, 2019 Author Share Posted May 18, 2019 Twist N Shake 14.25 York 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 Paddy Power - 2nd Gentle Look 20.35 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 WHill Belatedly delivered on early promise under a positive ride at Redcar recently and he's certainly bred to go on improving, so boasts solid claims with the further drop in trip unlikely to be an issue. Headman 15.00 Newbury 1 Pt Win @ 9\1 Ladbrokes Impressive Newcastle debut winner in November prior to chasing home a potentially useful type at Kempton. Pulled too hard on C&D reappearance (soft) and mark for this handicap bow looks tough. Royal Brave 15.55 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 16\1 Bet365 Below form eighth of 16 in handicap (10/1) at Musselburgh (5f, good) 28 days ago, not ideally placed. Not dismissed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 18, 2019 Author Share Posted May 18, 2019 Funny Man 17.30 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 Paddy Power Once-raced maiden. Twelfth of 16 in maiden (14/1) at Nottingham (8.3f, good to soft) on debut. Off 6 months. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. May well do better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 20, 2019 Author Share Posted May 20, 2019 Never posted here today, missed one winner (need to keep it in my results as a backtest) Rayong 14.10 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ SP 1st @ 7\2 - tracked leaders, ridden to challenge 1f out, led inside final furlong, kept on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 21, 2019 Author Share Posted May 21, 2019 Danny Ocean 14.00 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 bet365 £42,000 yearling, bred to be sharp and speedy, and has shaped well in 5f events at Leicester and Pontefract, caught wide last time. Could still have a bigger effort to come. Lord of the Lodge 14.00 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 Bet365 Foaled February 9. €4,200 foal, €35,000 yearling, Dandy Man colt. Dam unraced half-sister to smart winner up to 1½m Forbearing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 22, 2019 Author Share Posted May 22, 2019 On 5/21/2019 at 11:30 PM, Xtc12 said: Lord of the Lodge 14.00 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 Bet365 1st @ 8\1 - slightly hampered start, held up, headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, stayed on well Sangarius 20.10 Sandown 1 Pt Win @ 7\2 Paddy Power Looked destined for the top when winning a Newmarket maiden and a Doncaster listed race in early autumn. Seemed to find the Dewhurst all too much but retains plenty of potential. Tongue tie fitted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 23, 2019 Author Share Posted May 23, 2019 22 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Sangarius 20.10 Sandown 1 Pt Win @ 7\2 Paddy Power 3rd - tracked leaders and keen, 3rd and one pace final furlong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 23, 2019 Author Share Posted May 23, 2019 Byzantia 15.55 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 Bet365 Foaled January 10. Golden Horn filly. Half-sister to Ardiente (won well over 7f on debut at 2 yrs). Dam 2-y-o 5f winner who stayed 6f. Makes plenty of appeal on paper. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 23, 2019 Author Share Posted May 23, 2019 Update Total Bets : 55 Wins : 9 Returns : 76.75 P/L : 21.75 SR : 16.36% ROI : 39.54% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 25, 2019 Author Share Posted May 25, 2019 On 5/23/2019 at 11:18 PM, Xtc12 said: Byzantia 15.55 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 Bet365 5th - dwelt keen in touch, headway on inner to go close up halfway, pushed along over 1f out, kept on same pace Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 Miss Lucy 17.05 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 15\2 Ladbrokes Foaled May 11. €24,000 foal, 32,000 gns yearling, Kodiac filly. Closely related to very smart 9.5f-14.6f winner Arctic Cosmos and half-sister to several winners, including 7f winner Street Duel. Sparkle In His Eye 19.05 Sandown 1 Pt Win @ 10\3 WHill Well-related sort who made hard work of things but got the job done at Newcastle in January. Respectable third under a penalty at Windsor since and remains with potential now handicapping. Listen to the Wind 16.50 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 Coral Promising individual. Sixth of 9 in minor event at Haydock (8.2f, heavy, 13/8) 33 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Remains capable of better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted June 3, 2019 Author Share Posted June 3, 2019 Miss Lucy 17.05 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 15\2 Ladbrokes - 4th Sparkle In His Eye 19.05 Sandown 1 Pt Win @ 10\3 WHill - 4th Listen to the Wind 16.50 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 Coral - 1st @ 3\1 For today : Oso Rapido 14.15 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 4\1 Bet365 3/1, green when 7 lengths second of 9 on Ripon debut (6f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Open to improvement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted June 4, 2019 Author Share Posted June 4, 2019 23 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Oso Rapido 14.15 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 4\1 Bet365 3rd - chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and every chance when hung left under pressure inside final furlong, no extra in 3rd and eased towards finish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted June 8, 2019 Author Share Posted June 8, 2019 Yarrow Gate 14.00 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 9\1 Ladbrokes Twice-raced maiden. 3/1, second of 10 in maiden at Carlisle (5f, heavy) 9 days ago, running on. Open to progress. Another Boy 20.00 Chepstow 1 Pt Win @ 12\1 Paddy Power Course winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2017. 8/1, eleventh of 13 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 33 days ago. Clareyblue 15.20 Newmarket 1 Pt Win @ 9\1 Bet365 Foaled April 11. £46,000 yearling, Zebedee colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful winner up to 5.5f Elnadim Star and useful 6f winner Red Pike. One to note in the betting for clues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted June 10, 2019 Author Share Posted June 10, 2019 Yarrow Gate 14.00 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 9\1 Ladbrokes - 6th Another Boy 20.00 Chepstow 1 Pt Win @ 12\1 Paddy Power - 7th Clareyblue 15.20 Newmarket 1 Pt Win @ 9\1 Bet365 - 3rd Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted June 10, 2019 Author Share Posted June 10, 2019 Classy Moon 17.30 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 Bet365 Foaled March 21. £220,000 2-y-o, Malibu Moon colt. Brother to winner Hy Brasil and half-brother to winner Carolina South. Dam, 1m/8.5f winner. Interesting newcomer. Mischief Star 17.50 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 WHill £30,000 Due Diligence half-brother to useful winner up to 7f Waqaas and winner up to 6f Rockies Spirit. In good hands. Check betting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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