Tennis Tips - April 15 - April 21

[aphro 37]

G'day everybody! I see Lajovic D. - Sonego L. on my radar with value on Sonego.

How do you think, does he have real chances to win here ?

[South_African_Punter 199]

Lajovic v Sonego - Lajovic to win @ 1.67 with Sportingbet

Sonego has lost all the QFs he has played this year and this will be the first time he will be playing a quality opponent who isn't injured or in bad form this tournament. To beat Thiem on clay is a good achievement and I expect Lajovic to continue his run here.

[aussietennisexpert 52]

+ Goffin (although he still didn’t look at his best)

[CzechPunter 2646]

Yeah, that was strange, wasn't it. Frustrating as well. Something for the weekend though.

Japan to beat Netherlands at 1.66 with Bet365

Home advantage all the way for me the way I see it. The Dutch have a good doubles specialist in Schuurs and then three nervy singles players, while Japan have four players that can play both decent singles and doubles, with all of them typically doing well in home conditions. I wouldn't touch this without the home conditions in play, but they are typically a strong factor in the Fed Cup and Japan have the better team overall as well.

[MaliMisko12 48]

Guys what do you think about medvedov?I watched last match of Djokovic and he isnt so good at monaco,he was so bad against Philipe but Philip wasnt good character to turn around situation to his side 

[CzechPunter 2646]

The only thing that I'd consider there is backing Medvedev to win a set.

[aphro 37]

Fognini has value in his odds (2.34 at Pinnacle), so i suppose him to win!

[Torque 571]

3 hours ago, MaliMisko12 said:

Guys what do you think about medvedov?I watched last match of Djokovic and he isnt so good at monaco,he was so bad against Philipe but Philip wasnt good character to turn around situation to his side 

Djokovic really is a mess right now. He looked so good at the Australian Open but since then he's looked like he could lose to anyone even though he's the best player in the world by ranking. Definitely should be avoided or faded until some signs of improvement show themselves.

[four-leaf 1272]

Parlay at 3.71 with Unibet

Fabio Fognini to beat Borna Coric at 2.38

I really don't think Fabios run is over just yet. He's found some mental fortitude and if it sticks with him Borna could be in trouble. Fabio really wants to have a shot at Rafa if he beats Guido Pella who today is really pushing Rafa.

Marcos Giron to beat Sebastian Korda at 1.56

Marcos has proven this season time and time again how good he's become. He won his first challenger title, qualified for Acapulco, pushed Milos Raonic in Indian Wells. Enough for me to back him against the youngster Seb Korda who last match only beat Aleksandar Vukic to reach the quarter and that's not a hard opponent. Marcos has impressed in Sarasota. Last match he beat Henri Laaksonen and that's pretty good on challenger level on clay. It shows Marcos has what it takes to reach the semifinal.

[Torque 571]

Fognini wins from a set and a break down. Shows what he can do when he can be bothered. I'm sure I'm not the only one who finds it hard to respect him as a player when he tanks so often. Same for Kyrgios. Trying your best should be the absolute minimum - it's even written in the rules despite being very difficult to enforce. Always leaves a sour taste in my mouth when a player doesn't give it everything. If you aren't going to do that then why even step on court.

[Torque 571]

On the opposite side of that you've got to love Nadal. Double break down in the first set against Pella and as much as he could - and probably should - have lost that set there was never any question of him trying as hard as he could to get back into it. For that reason he's my favourite player by a mile. Supremely talented but also never gives up - that's a combination that makes success almost inevitable. Fognini and Kyrgios and some others could be said to be supremely talented, but that's where the compliments end which is why sustained success will likely elude them.

[four-leaf 1272]

Prajnesh Gunneswaran to beat Kamil Majchrzak at 2.15 with Unibet

I bet on Prajnesh here because he's the defending champion in Anning and guess who he beat to reach the titlematch last season? Kamil! And he beat Kamil in three sets after losing first set 6-0. And who is the highest ranked player right now? Prajnesh at 80 compared to Kamil at 130. Sure Kamil is in good form too and has defended his points from last season in Anning and he recently won a hardcourt challenger title in France. Prajnesh did well in Indian Wells where he reached third round but after last season I didn't expect him to continue playing so well but he's proven me completely wrong and even becoming a pretty good top 100 player.

All things considered I think Prajnesh could be worth backing here.

[aphro 37]

Hello, guys!

My value radar signalized that Lajovic Dusan today has significant chance against Medvedev Daniil.

How do you think?

[aussietennisexpert 52]

Should be an easy win for Medvedev...

 

[CzechPunter 2646]

Japan lead 2-0 after day one, should get the job done.

[johny88 4]

considering fognini +5,5 games since in his last match he could have given up but did not and came back to win so he has the motivation, anyone else consdering the same bet?

[CzechPunter 2646]

I'd be more inclined for the set handicap if anything, if only for the fact that you could easily get something like 4-6 6-1 6-1 with Nadal's determination and Fognini's approach.

[DrO 174]

Fabio is injured. Problem with his right arm.

[johny88 4]

thanks both of you

[four-leaf 1272]

Rafa seldom loses a set in MC so I don't think he's gonna lose a set today either even if he was close to it yesterday..

[aussietennisexpert 52]

If no upsets ...

do you guys think Medvedev can do something vs Nadal ?

 

all betting aside it should be an interesting match if he can keep his current levels 

[South_African_Punter 199]

Well that meltdown by  Medvedev wasn't in the script...

[darko08 565]

Alison Van Uytvanck to beat Carla Suárez Navarro at 1.80 with bet365

Fed Cup. The match is played in Belgium on hard indoor courts. Carla has a W/L record of 41-38 while Alison has a W/L record of 113-43 on this surface. Carla is not getting good results this year while Alison won a tournament recently played on hard indoor courts (Budapest).

[aphro 37]

47 minutes ago, South_African_Punter said:

Well that meltdown by  Medvedev wasn't in the script...

My value radar supposed it

[Torque 571]

51 minutes ago, South_African_Punter said:

Well that meltdown by  Medvedev wasn't in the script...

Contrast that to yesterday against Djokovic. Sometimes you have to wonder why we even attempt to make predictions 

[aussietennisexpert 52]

Crazy !

[Torque 571]

The madness continues. Fognini beats Nadal in straight sets. Wonder what the price was on that.

[South_African_Punter 199]

22 minutes ago, Torque said:

The madness continues. Fognini beats Nadal in straight sets. Wonder what the price was on that.

Indeed. I can only tell you he was at 7.50 in-play @ 4-4.

[four-leaf 1272]

2 hours ago, aphro said:

My value radar supposed it

Well if your value radar always suppose something then post a bet instead of asking what people think all the time because you seem to have some good bets to share.

[Torque 571]

Fognini was about 20 on the exchanges at 3-1 down in the first - didn't notice the set prices though