Tennis Tips - April 15 - April 21

[four-leaf 1212]

36 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:

A pretty fair assessment. I'd disagree with him not being in the top 100 in a few months, I think that he's going to find a solid place in that range, but a lot depends on how much he does in the main clay tournaments.

Well I can remember his straight sets loss to Roberto CB in South America in second round of one of those tournaments and that came as no surprise because I don't think he has the level for a decent top 100 player. But I might be wrong, we'll see after July. Maybe he wins some 125 point clay challenger final like the one in Szczecin.

[aphro 37]

Medvedev and Pella won, value radar rules, looking further at Norrie!

[aussietennisexpert 47]

Challenger anning k majchrzak to beat R. RamanathaN  2-0  @1.57 bet365

[four-leaf 1212]

Didn't know Pablo Cuevas played in Tunis this week. He's started the season pretty well so might be worth to keep an eye out for him in Tunis. To late today sincec I just saw he's up 4-2 but I might back him if he beats Victor Troicki.

[aussietennisexpert 47]

Herbert to win a set vs Coric at 1.72 bet365 great price.

He can easily usually hold his serve Well and chances end of set / tie break

Coric dropped a set in both previous matches against similar quality players

Herbert coming out of 2 great wins in straights + public cheering

what do you guys think?

[CzechPunter 2375]

Well, Coric does have a better return than Verdasco and arguably even Nishikori right now, but Herbert has been playing well, so certainly has what it takes to win a set. Certainly wouldn't want to put you off, Coric isn't waterproof by any stretch of imagination.

[four-leaf 1212]

This is not my day, I'm wrong about everything and missing the bets I could have won. Fabio is beating Sascha with ease because Sascha is playing really crappy and Fabio is doing his best match of the season. I got fooled by that last result of Sascha when he beat Felix AA and the loopsided record. Not the first time I lose because of such a reason.

[four-leaf 1212]

I acctually lost a bet on Sascha not so long ago in the Acapulco final and didn't learn from that about how bad he is playing.

[CzechPunter 2375]

Alex Bolt to beat Goncalo Oliveira at 1.76 with Pinnacle

One more shot for me against Oliveira. Jung had enough chances and Bolt was able to beat the wind with his serve today, so he should be a slightly bigger fav imo. Not much more to say honestly, I just don't rate Oliveira at all despite his win against Jung,

[aussietennisexpert 47]

10 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Alex Bolt to beat Goncalo Oliveira at 1.76 with Pinnacle

One more shot for me against Oliveira. Jung had enough chances and Bolt was able to beat the wind with his serve today, so he should be a slightly bigger fav imo. Not much more to say honestly, I just don't rate Oliveira at all despite his win against Jung,

I don’t think bolt wants to win this match ..

[aphro 37]

G'day everybody! I see Lajovic D. - Sonego L. on my radar with value on Sonego.

How do you think, does he have real chances to win here ?

[South_African_Punter 158]

Lajovic v Sonego - Lajovic to win @ 1.67 with Sportingbet

Sonego has lost all the QFs he has played this year and this will be the first time he will be playing a quality opponent who isn't injured or in bad form this tournament. To beat Thiem on clay is a good achievement and I expect Lajovic to continue his run here.

[aussietennisexpert 47]

+ Goffin (although he still didn’t look at his best)

[CzechPunter 2375]

Yeah, that was strange, wasn't it. Frustrating as well. Something for the weekend though.

Japan to beat Netherlands at 1.66 with Bet365

Home advantage all the way for me the way I see it. The Dutch have a good doubles specialist in Schuurs and then three nervy singles players, while Japan have four players that can play both decent singles and doubles, with all of them typically doing well in home conditions. I wouldn't touch this without the home conditions in play, but they are typically a strong factor in the Fed Cup and Japan have the better team overall as well.

[MaliMisko12 46]

Guys what do you think about medvedov?I watched last match of Djokovic and he isnt so good at monaco,he was so bad against Philipe but Philip wasnt good character to turn around situation to his side 

[CzechPunter 2375]

The only thing that I'd consider there is backing Medvedev to win a set.

[aphro 37]

Fognini has value in his odds (2.34 at Pinnacle), so i suppose him to win!

[Torque 389]

3 hours ago, MaliMisko12 said:

Guys what do you think about medvedov?I watched last match of Djokovic and he isnt so good at monaco,he was so bad against Philipe but Philip wasnt good character to turn around situation to his side 

Djokovic really is a mess right now. He looked so good at the Australian Open but since then he's looked like he could lose to anyone even though he's the best player in the world by ranking. Definitely should be avoided or faded until some signs of improvement show themselves.

[four-leaf 1212]

Parlay at 3.71 with Unibet

Fabio Fognini to beat Borna Coric at 2.38

I really don't think Fabios run is over just yet. He's found some mental fortitude and if it sticks with him Borna could be in trouble. Fabio really wants to have a shot at Rafa if he beats Guido Pella who today is really pushing Rafa.

Marcos Giron to beat Sebastian Korda at 1.56

Marcos has proven this season time and time again how good he's become. He won his first challenger title, qualified for Acapulco, pushed Milos Raonic in Indian Wells. Enough for me to back him against the youngster Seb Korda who last match only beat Aleksandar Vukic to reach the quarter and that's not a hard opponent. Marcos has impressed in Sarasota. Last match he beat Henri Laaksonen and that's pretty good on challenger level on clay. It shows Marcos has what it takes to reach the semifinal.

[Torque 389]

Fognini wins from a set and a break down. Shows what he can do when he can be bothered. I'm sure I'm not the only one who finds it hard to respect him as a player when he tanks so often. Same for Kyrgios. Trying your best should be the absolute minimum - it's even written in the rules despite being very difficult to enforce. Always leaves a sour taste in my mouth when a player doesn't give it everything. If you aren't going to do that then why even step on court.

[Torque 389]

On the opposite side of that you've got to love Nadal. Double break down in the first set against Pella and as much as he could - and probably should - have lost that set there was never any question of him trying as hard as he could to get back into it. For that reason he's my favourite player by a mile. Supremely talented but also never gives up - that's a combination that makes success almost inevitable. Fognini and Kyrgios and some others could be said to be supremely talented, but that's where the compliments end which is why sustained success will likely elude them.

[four-leaf 1212]

Prajnesh Gunneswaran to beat Kamil Majchrzak at 2.15 with Unibet

I bet on Prajnesh here because he's the defending champion in Anning and guess who he beat to reach the titlematch last season? Kamil! And he beat Kamil in three sets after losing first set 6-0. And who is the highest ranked player right now? Prajnesh at 80 compared to Kamil at 130. Sure Kamil is in good form too and has defended his points from last season in Anning and he recently won a hardcourt challenger title in France. Prajnesh did well in Indian Wells where he reached third round but after last season I didn't expect him to continue playing so well but he's proven me completely wrong and even becoming a pretty good top 100 player.

All things considered I think Prajnesh could be worth backing here.

[aphro 37]

Hello, guys!

My value radar signalized that Lajovic Dusan today has significant chance against Medvedev Daniil.

How do you think?

[aussietennisexpert 47]

Should be an easy win for Medvedev...

 

[CzechPunter 2375]

Japan lead 2-0 after day one, should get the job done.