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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14

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10 hours ago, money44 said:

Grand Prix Hassan II

Jiri Vesely to beat Juan Ignacio Londero @ odds -117 with Pinnacle

I have seen some highlights from Jiri's last match in Morocco. Well, to be clear. He is serving the ball quite largely. His movement looks about usual. Could be better, but adequate. The net play and striking of the ball from the baseline appear to be in fine form. Jiri Vesley seems very motivated at this tournament right now, and has made the semi-finals twice here already.. I have him placed in the finals right now. 

I was thinking the same, Jiri seldom loses early in Marrakech. Now everything is new to JIL, he won an ATP tournament but he didn't preserve his game from Cordoba for other tournaments. He's like still on the same challenger level he had before he won Cordoba.

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Right, I was obviously deliberating between Lepchenko +4.5 games and +1.5 sets. Went for the latter, but only the former won, even though Lepchenko was *3-0 up in the second set:cry. Joining you guys with Vesely to beat Londero at 1.83 with Pinnacle, Vesely needs to break his bad streak somewhere and he still has some class.

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I cannot add anymore reactions today on punters lounge :) 

Was going to like your post Czech, and I am praying to the demon gods that Vesely throws the hammer down. 

Also, I can recommend never betting Lepchenko for anything other than a dinner date. j/k Go Vesely !!

Edited by money44

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ATP Marrakech.

Kohlschreiber P. - Andujar Alba P.

Kohlschreiber to win @1.76 (unibet)

The reasons of this choice are:

  • German is generally a better ranked and more versatile player
  • Spaniard played last week almost every day. I think that it might affect the quality of his game against a rested opponent.
  • I'm not sure about the info, but I've read somewhere that Andujar Alba will play qualifiers for the much more prestigious Monte Carlo ATP this weekend (Kohlschreiber being seeded). If that's true, the Spaniard might want to rest a little bit and not be very motivated for the game of today. On the other side, German will want to stay in the tournament in order to play some more games as preparation for the Monte Carlo. All this is just supposition but it might carry some sense.
  • Yes, Andujar Alba has a 11 games win run, but all of the opponents, except Paire (69) and Delbonis (74) were > 140 ranking. Kohlschreiber (41) will be a serious challenge if we judge purely by ranking.

Having the points above in mind, I believe that the German will increase the H2H from 2:1 to 3:1 today.

Edited by vvararu

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10 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Well, I'm not going to be too angry if you mention them in addition to a tennis pick or something, but don't let it become a regular thing. @Sir Puntalot might actually open some sort of a subforum if you'd like a special place for them.

@Metaphor I'm in agreement with @CzechPunter here. What you have to consider is visitors other than members who post, getting confused. I've honestly never seen a badminton tip ever on PL, but if you have some inside info on it becoming a global phenomenon, then we can open up a separate forum. ;) 

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(Badminton, Singapore Open)

Hans-Kristian Vittinghus to beat Kidambi Srikanth @3,40 with Unibet (4/10)

Lots of reasons I like to back Vittinghus here. First of all the guy is a warrior, one of most hard-working guys on the tour, so you never get it easy playing against him. Crowd also appreciate that kind of mentality, and he said himself after yesterdays match, beating world no. 11 Tsuneyama, that he got good support from the fans. Vittinghus is currently ranked 26 in the world but he is a former top 10 player. He had a rough year in 2018 but has bounced back with some impressive results this year, beating Lin Dan (Federer of badminton) in February for the first time in his career and also played two tight matches against current world champion and no 1 player Kento Momota.

Now Kidambi Srikanth is certainly a good player but this will be his 10th match in the last two weeks. Playing that many matches in a short period is just extremely physically demanding even for top athletes. The prize of winning what is likely be another physically exhausting match, will be world no 1 Momota in the next round, whom he has lost 8 times in a row. Kidambi also has Asian Championship to look forward in 1.5 weeks and right after that the Tokyo Olympics qualifying period will start. Players want to be healty and fresh for the upcoming tournaments because everyone wants to get to Tokyo. The points from Singapore Open will not count for Olympics, and this tournaments isn't as important and legendary as some others like All England Open anyway.

Vittinghus and Kidambi has faced each other five times in the past, the Indian leading 3-2. Last time they met was Denmark Open 2018 where Kidambi won 2-0 but that was during a very tough period for Vittinghus. There could be some extra motivation here to revenge that defeat on home soil.

Edited by Metaphor

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Czech - If Vesely does win for us hypothetically. 

Well, I am nearly sure of an additional result happening. This is the scenario

Jasmine Paolini stuns Arruabarrena in Bogota or Tipsarevic continues his comeback, and piles up another victory vs Norrie. 

I'm not going to mark these in bold or play them here, but if you could give opinions to which out of these two you prefer .. Because I will probably be firing important stakes on one of them, and I don't want to wait for in play in case there is retirement which I believe is unlikely anyways.. But I prefer to bet pre-match. Worked out well for me with Baghdatis losing a day or two ago. I had taken Lo at close to 10 odds about 24 hours pre-match, and the line drops all the way down to about 6 before it started. But at one point I think the odd is over 10 on Lo to win. 

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Vesely has taping around his left upper forearm area.. I think it will help him play better but concerning for this match, and the future with some tendinitis injuries in the elbow, and or wrist issues

Edited by money44

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just fyi note imo : Griekspoor is a live dog , and its something I might take in play or out of play (

Griekspoor actually has a surprisingly good record on clay, and has defeated Sousa the last match they played on clay as well coming from a set down. I've seen some recent stream live of Sousa, and he didn't look all that great to me for his form.. I seen him playing better a year or two ago. Regardless. I think this represents enormous value. 

match goes off the books in one hour. Its also worth noting that Griekspoor has just defeated Roca Batalla(who is a very good clay court player) I saw some of batalla's match a few days, and he was hitting some impressive forehands. In my opinion Batalla is in form currently, and Griekspoor may have an easier challenge today with Sousa(who does not have near the powerful shots of Griekspoor, and might find it tricky to control them back in to the court. 

Edited by money44

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34 minutes ago, money44 said:

Still off Griekspoor.. I was expecting Kohlschreiber to take the first set .. This has influenced my decision.. I might still check in play later .. match is now off the board 

Kohlschreiber's collapse in the TB was so pathetic. Bet on him as well so hopefully he pulls something out of the hat.

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    • There's quite a few games available to download to your phone at the moment. My current favourite is Photo Finish where you primarily play the role as jockey. It's similar to another game called Rival Stars which is named Phar Lap or something on the PS4. There's a more in-depth model called iHorse Racing which I haven't go into yet due to the fiddly interface. Virtual Horse Racing 3D is a game where you just place bets but I uninstalled mine due to it crashing regularly. If you fancy a flutter on the muts though there's one called Virtual 3D Dogs but I haven't played it yet so I can't comment. Video of Photo Finish   On a nostalgic note, does anyone remember a game called Racing Manager which was released on the ZX Spectrum back in 1983? My mate and I spent the whole school holidays playing this. Looks crap by todays standards but back then nobody knew any different.  
    • Yes she is but we'll see how it looks after Washington where she reached the final last season. But now she's looking better than Maria Sakkari and Marketa Vondrousova also made some progress after Roland Garros with that runner up spot and should be higher ranked than Amanda Anisimova and Dayana Yastremska at the end of this season. Amanda are currently ranked 9 places lower and have 846 points less. Could be an interesting race between Amanda and Marketa if Amanda does something big in the US tournaments. I doubt Dayana can challenge Marketa in the rankings this season.
    • Hamilton, 17:20, Neileta, 7/2 Betfred
    • NO TRIXIE SELECTIONS TODAY I am out all day tomorrow on domestic activities and just can’t make the time to sift through the Ascot entries tomorrow; good luck with anyone who can find the winner of the 27 runner event at 2.30. Final Song looks tempting being a CD winner on soft but I think that the race is not for the faint hearted.  Good luck to all members having a crack at racing tomorrow. TRIXIE RESULTS UPDATE One winner and a second on the smaller Trixie yesterday and only one winner in my main Trixie, therefore no winnings for me. I was very disappointed with the running of Mustashry.   I did back Our Jerry to win and recovered all but £2 on the day but this doesn’t count.  I didn’t risk a win bet on Addeyb and obviously wish I had. None of these counts in my figures; just reporting it in case someone is feeling sorry for me.   Original Bank £500 add £17.19 = £517.19 Balance C/Fwd. Equals 3.4 % ROI
    • Vekic making some progress for you there @four-leaf!
    • Andreas Seppi (+1.5 sets) to beat Matteo Berretini at 2.25 with Boylesports Going against Berretini again after seeing both him and Seppi in action. Seppi isn't getting any younger, but he's still very decent and I like his performances in Halle so far, he's yet to drop a set in three matches and that should be good for confidence. He also managed to beat the Italian in this tournament in 2018. The fact that Berretini is going to get a day off is somewhat problematic and it's why I'm going for the set handicap instead of the outright, but there should be some value in this one. (The other reason for me taking the set handicap instead of the outright is psychological, as I really want to get some of those Ws on the board and the handicap obviously has a better chance of coming in). Fun Fact: The somewhat legendary Ruben Ramirez-Hidalgo tried competitive tennis again this week, but I guess that there's no coming back for the 41-year old veteran given that he was crushed 6-3 6-1.
    • 230 As:    Kimari305 As:    Jalmoud340 As:    Crystal Ocean420 As:    Pretty Baby500 As:    Roc Angel                                                                                  535 As:    Temple Of Heaven
    • 230 As:  FINAL SONG305 As:  WESTERN AUSTRALIA340 As:  SEA OF CLASS420 As:  RAWDAA500 As:  RAISING SAND535 As:  TEMPLE OF HEAVEN
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