Announcements
*** New Last Man Standing Competition - Win up to £1500 Annually - See Competitions Forum ***
*** August Competition Winners: Well done to Bymatrix (NAPS), Daisychain (KO Cup), YSM (York Festival), Saddlesore (Doncaster Festival) & Like2Fish (Poker) ***
Sign in to follow this  
CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14

Recommended Posts

Right, I was obviously deliberating between Lepchenko +4.5 games and +1.5 sets. Went for the latter, but only the former won, even though Lepchenko was *3-0 up in the second set:cry. Joining you guys with Vesely to beat Londero at 1.83 with Pinnacle, Vesely needs to break his bad streak somewhere and he still has some class.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I cannot add anymore reactions today on punters lounge :) 

Was going to like your post Czech, and I am praying to the demon gods that Vesely throws the hammer down. 

Also, I can recommend never betting Lepchenko for anything other than a dinner date. j/k Go Vesely !!

Edited by money44

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ATP Marrakech.

Kohlschreiber P. - Andujar Alba P.

Kohlschreiber to win @1.76 (unibet)

The reasons of this choice are:

  • German is generally a better ranked and more versatile player
  • Spaniard played last week almost every day. I think that it might affect the quality of his game against a rested opponent.
  • I'm not sure about the info, but I've read somewhere that Andujar Alba will play qualifiers for the much more prestigious Monte Carlo ATP this weekend (Kohlschreiber being seeded). If that's true, the Spaniard might want to rest a little bit and not be very motivated for the game of today. On the other side, German will want to stay in the tournament in order to play some more games as preparation for the Monte Carlo. All this is just supposition but it might carry some sense.
  • Yes, Andujar Alba has a 11 games win run, but all of the opponents, except Paire (69) and Delbonis (74) were > 140 ranking. Kohlschreiber (41) will be a serious challenge if we judge purely by ranking.

Having the points above in mind, I believe that the German will increase the H2H from 2:1 to 3:1 today.

Edited by vvararu

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Well, I'm not going to be too angry if you mention them in addition to a tennis pick or something, but don't let it become a regular thing. @Sir Puntalot might actually open some sort of a subforum if you'd like a special place for them.

@Metaphor I'm in agreement with @CzechPunter here. What you have to consider is visitors other than members who post, getting confused. I've honestly never seen a badminton tip ever on PL, but if you have some inside info on it becoming a global phenomenon, then we can open up a separate forum. ;) 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

(Badminton, Singapore Open)

Hans-Kristian Vittinghus to beat Kidambi Srikanth @3,40 with Unibet (4/10)

Lots of reasons I like to back Vittinghus here. First of all the guy is a warrior, one of most hard-working guys on the tour, so you never get it easy playing against him. Crowd also appreciate that kind of mentality, and he said himself after yesterdays match, beating world no. 11 Tsuneyama, that he got good support from the fans. Vittinghus is currently ranked 26 in the world but he is a former top 10 player. He had a rough year in 2018 but has bounced back with some impressive results this year, beating Lin Dan (Federer of badminton) in February for the first time in his career and also played two tight matches against current world champion and no 1 player Kento Momota.

Now Kidambi Srikanth is certainly a good player but this will be his 10th match in the last two weeks. Playing that many matches in a short period is just extremely physically demanding even for top athletes. The prize of winning what is likely be another physically exhausting match, will be world no 1 Momota in the next round, whom he has lost 8 times in a row. Kidambi also has Asian Championship to look forward in 1.5 weeks and right after that the Tokyo Olympics qualifying period will start. Players want to be healty and fresh for the upcoming tournaments because everyone wants to get to Tokyo. The points from Singapore Open will not count for Olympics, and this tournaments isn't as important and legendary as some others like All England Open anyway.

Vittinghus and Kidambi has faced each other five times in the past, the Indian leading 3-2. Last time they met was Denmark Open 2018 where Kidambi won 2-0 but that was during a very tough period for Vittinghus. There could be some extra motivation here to revenge that defeat on home soil.

Edited by Metaphor

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Czech - If Vesely does win for us hypothetically. 

Well, I am nearly sure of an additional result happening. This is the scenario

Jasmine Paolini stuns Arruabarrena in Bogota or Tipsarevic continues his comeback, and piles up another victory vs Norrie. 

I'm not going to mark these in bold or play them here, but if you could give opinions to which out of these two you prefer .. Because I will probably be firing important stakes on one of them, and I don't want to wait for in play in case there is retirement which I believe is unlikely anyways.. But I prefer to bet pre-match. Worked out well for me with Baghdatis losing a day or two ago. I had taken Lo at close to 10 odds about 24 hours pre-match, and the line drops all the way down to about 6 before it started. But at one point I think the odd is over 10 on Lo to win. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Vesely has taping around his left upper forearm area.. I think it will help him play better but concerning for this match, and the future with some tendinitis injuries in the elbow, and or wrist issues

Edited by money44

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

just fyi note imo : Griekspoor is a live dog , and its something I might take in play or out of play (

Griekspoor actually has a surprisingly good record on clay, and has defeated Sousa the last match they played on clay as well coming from a set down. I've seen some recent stream live of Sousa, and he didn't look all that great to me for his form.. I seen him playing better a year or two ago. Regardless. I think this represents enormous value. 

match goes off the books in one hour. Its also worth noting that Griekspoor has just defeated Roca Batalla(who is a very good clay court player) I saw some of batalla's match a few days, and he was hitting some impressive forehands. In my opinion Batalla is in form currently, and Griekspoor may have an easier challenge today with Sousa(who does not have near the powerful shots of Griekspoor, and might find it tricky to control them back in to the court. 

Edited by money44

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
34 minutes ago, money44 said:

Still off Griekspoor.. I was expecting Kohlschreiber to take the first set .. This has influenced my decision.. I might still check in play later .. match is now off the board 

Kohlschreiber's collapse in the TB was so pathetic. Bet on him as well so hopefully he pulls something out of the hat.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Jiri Vesely to beat Pablo Andujar @ 2.44 with Pinnacle

Most of us talking here saw that Vesely match yesterday.. There isn't a whole lot to complain about.. I think his arm can hold up through the next match with the taping there.  Andujar is a great player I know on clay, and has won the title here three times.. The problem is that Vesely is a tricky player with drop shots, big serve, loopy forehand and a flat consistent backhand(for this tournament atleast)

Vesely holds a 2-0 h2h advantage.. Both players will be playing on their best surface. I think the key component here is that Andujar's legs are at about 85%. He's hitting the ball great, but its easy to look spectacular when players like Kohlschreiber dump you the match in hand. Phillip is just not a class player especially on clay. He's better suited to hard courts, and even then he loses easily alot of the time. I think Vesely will be able to crunch Andujar's serve, and he has to do it. The passive play vs Londero was plenty good enough to cruise, but he's playing down to his opponents level somewhat. Jiri likes it here, and I believe he wants the final. His serve is terribly difficult to break on this surface, and he was not broken in the last match vs Londero. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I like Skupski/Skupski @ 2.25 5dimes 6/10 in Houston later this evening.

Opponents are Chardy / Martin. Chardy lost in singles to Garin and he'll play in Monte Carlo next week. He's still focusing on singles and i can see him being happy losing today in doubles so he can be in MC on Saturday or Sunday. Big +++ here is that he's playing with his friend Martin. Those doubles combos always having some "unwritten rules" to follow if one player has to leave early for another tournament. Martin might get the full prize money without splitting it. 

Edited by opole

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this