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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - March 25 - March 31

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12 hours ago, aussietennisexpert said:

Pliskova to beat vondrousova at 1.72 bet365

i know pliskova is sort of struggling and vondrousova is having the season of her life but I have watched 2 of her matches (Mertens and strycova) and she just seems a level below pliskova, especially her serve can be very weak..

 

anyone else think at this price it’s a gift ?

Agree on Pliskova but she can be a mental disaster if something doesn't go as she pictured in her game plan. It's risky I think but worth a try anyway... I took her too.

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Felix Auger-Aliassime to beat Borna Coric at 2.20 with bet365

Considering the recent form of both players Felix should be the favorite player here. He's playing better than Coric. Felix has win in straight sets in his last 2 matches against Hurkacz (who was playing very well) and the always dangerous Basilashvili. Coric has been very lucky with his opponents. He has played against 2 players in a bad shape (Chardy & Carballes) and a clown (Kyrgios) but all these players have take a set from him.

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1 hour ago, darko08 said:

Felix Auger-Aliassime to beat Borna Coric at 2.20 with bet365

Considering the recent form of both players Felix should be the favorite player here. He's playing better than Coric. Felix has win in straight sets in his last 2 matches against Hurkacz (who was playing very well) and the always dangerous Basilashvili. Coric has been very lucky with his opponents. He has played against 2 players in a bad shape (Chardy & Carballes) and a clown (Kyrgios) but all these players have take a set from him.

Clown yeah..i was looking a word that tells him.Good shot. I am also on Felix side.He is playing smooth and brave.Hope he gonna win.

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5 hours ago, eros said:

Ok, Bautista-Agut beat Djoker, but with all respect his serves are not that good and especially John should take advantage of that. Isner is on fire, he looks that confident and dominant to me and didn't even lose a set that tournament. Also I expect Bautista to be tired and with great support by the crowd I expect Isner to win.

John Isner @ 1.917  Pinnacle with 6/10 

Big John is serving like out of this world in Miami.. Totally incredible serving and we've seen that from him before and when he's in that sort of serving form it's virtually impossible to break him. Nobody creates breakpoints on the Isner serve right now and he can go on like that all day long. I don't know if Roger or Kevin Anderson can stop big John in Miami this season. Maybe Felix AA or his compatriot can? Who's gonna stop the servebot?

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Rus, Arantxa  beat Kan, Victoria 

Arantxa is no1 seed here.She is level higher from Kan.Easy match for her.

Dart, Harriet beat  Paar, Laura-Ioana 

Harriet had a tough match yesterday but she got it 7-0 on tiebreak final set.She looks in form.

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2 hours ago, eros said:

Value on Tiafoe imo, taking Shapovalov at these odds makes no sense to me, but it's going to be a tough match for sure.  Shapovalov had his knee taped during warm up and playing at home should give Tiafoe an extra boost. Don't follow this bet if you don't have balls and enough money, because that bet could go the other direction too.

Francis Tiafoe @ 2.660 Pinnacle

3/10

 

 I take no bets on this one instead... Feels mutch better.

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Flat Stakes - Profit with 1/2 wins... I feel there is a decent enough chance to try it.. I could not find alot else.. Isner to win but I have not seen his matches. 

Book: Pinnacle 

Ivahknenko 3.33

Stefanini 3.14 

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Maxime Janvier to beat Nicolas Mahut at 2.38 with Unibet

I get the feeling that Maxime isn't done in St. Brieuc because I don't think Nico will play well enough to beat this 22 year old compatriot. He's done well to beat Mirza Basic and Stefano Travaglia but that's where it might end for him. Maxime has been cruising this week with 3 wins in straight sets and Nico should not have an easy match here.

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Félix pooping his pants in the crutial moments of the match. He was serving for the win in the 2 sets. I took Felix to win with a games handicap of +2.5. Hopefully for me it was decided in 2 TB but im still sweating.. I did not post that bet because i was not sure about if it was a good one (and it wasn't despite the bet is won...). Im thinking on take Shapo to win (maybe with some kind of handicap). I think that if he plays without getting nervous the match will be more equal than the odds suggest. Anyone got some opinions of this match??¿

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4 hours ago, eros said:

Ouch, two times big shit. Time to stop.

I wouldn't get too down about it @eros Two losers, much like two winners, doesn't really mean anything. If you enjoy looking at tennis matches and trying to work out what will happen then carry on with it and see whether you've made or lost money after a few hundred bets. That will give you an idea about whether you're better at judging outcomes than the market and if it turns out you aren't but you've only lost a little but you still enjoy it then carry on anyway. It's not always about making money, if you get enjoyment out of it then it's no different than paying for a gym membership for example - you pay for your membership and you get health benefits out of it. If betting on tennis costs you money then you're 'paying' for it, but if you enjoy it and if the losses are acceptable for you then it doesn't matter :ok

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4 hours ago, eros said:

Thank you for your support my friends, two losses are no problem for me, the tournament was great with full profit anyway. It's not about me, I just don't want other people to lose money.

I guess we all feel like that when we put a bet up - that someone will follow it and it might lose them money. Don't forget though that people have a choice whether to follow or not. Anytime I put something up it's always in good faith and that's the most important thing because bets will lose sometimes. You can only hope that if someone is following that they're using sensible stakes and that they know ups and downs will happen and that long-term profit is the aim.

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@CzechPunter I am thinking about betting on Shilin Xu the former junior world no.1. She will play Kristie Ahn later in Monterrey. Things haven't been working so well for either player in this matchup but Shilin is the underdog at 2.70 so what do you think? Is it worth a bet on Shilin to win at 2.70?

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11 hours ago, four-leaf said:

@CzechPunter I am thinking about betting on Shilin Xu the former junior world no.1. She will play Kristie Ahn later in Monterrey. Things haven't been working so well for either player in this matchup but Shilin is the underdog at 2.70 so what do you think? Is it worth a bet on Shilin to win at 2.70?

Amazing call

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