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CzechPunter

Tennis - March 11 - March 17

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55-131 +131.55 units

5dimes

Parlay: Ashleigh Barty/Hubert Hurkacz +3 games @ 4.5 odds  - 2 units

I was against Nishikori in Dubai.. I think Hurkacz is still serving well, and should be able to hold his own. Barty is also doing well, and Svitolina has some tape on her leg, and maybe a bit tired .. so its a risky bet.. but in combination with the odds... I think its a decent price. 

 

 

Edited by money44

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2 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

When youngsters like Andreescu hit a patch of form, they're usually really hard to stop and they usually give up only once they run out of mental stamina, which Andreescu seems to have plenty of. Wang is going to beat her if she doesn't show up, but I don't fancy her chances if she does. If I had to choose who to bet on, I'd probably say Wang at the odds, but, if there's value, it's probably only very slight.

I also have doubts about how good is Wang against players with a strong shot (as Andreescu is). I just remember a past year game of Wang against Yastremska and the chinese just could not do much against those strong shots.

Edited by vvararu

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Today was the most profitable tennis betting day of the year for underdogs.. It was a ghost town in here for the forum which is unusual.. 

I almost posted about 5 plays including Hurkacz, Shapovalov, Kohl outright to win, and wawrinka i guess... so maybe only 4 , but the vondrousova line looked fishy, and I also believed Krajinovic had a chance.. it was a really crazy day of betting.. 

just placed a live bet on Barthel, and she is probably going to win also... This is the type of craziness that I thrive in but unfortunately ... I decided to remain silent today when I would have massive profit with the proper aggression... @CzechPunter @darko08 @South_African_Punter @four-leaf @ogii55 remember this day next year, because there will be many underdogs again .. its a good day to bet ... second week of indian wells. 

I won't name the entire forum right now , but there is alot of new people here doing a good job... just dropped a few. ok guys - :cheers

Edited by money44

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Muguruza - Andreescu

My call for today is Muguruza to win @ ~1.7 (unibet).

Spaniard looks to be on fire now. First of all, she finally succeeded to beat, 5-6 games ago, her frightening opponent with big serve - Yastremska (a type of player with powerful shot but not very good on long rallies). Yesterday she won over Bertens (a type of player with not very powerful shot but very good on rallies). I think her morale is up and healthy and she can fight any type of player right now.

A very important thing is that Muguruza is a very good returner. That should work great against Andreescu's mediocre serves.

If Muguruza does not have a new morale breakdown for some reason, I think she can easily dispatch the Canadian.

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1 minute ago, vvararu said:

@CzechPunter @darko08 @four-leaf @money44 and others. What are your thoughts guys on Muguruza - Andreescu? I’d like to load on Mugu but I need other opinions as well. Don’t wanna be emotional trying to play against Andreescu, who made me lose many times or pro Muguruza, who also made me lose many times :)

 

Don't be so sure Muguruza will win. Until I see some great form from Garbine I'm not gonna be throwing loads of cash on her.

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1 minute ago, four-leaf said:

 

Don't be so sure Muguruza will win. Until I see some great form from Garbine I'm not gonna be throwing loads of cash on her.

I agree with you. I still see big quality gap between them. However, after so many disappointments I wanted to see other opinions.

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5 minutes ago, four-leaf said:

 

Don't be so sure Muguruza will win. Until I see some great form from Garbine I'm not gonna be throwing loads of cash on her.

By the way, I’m still waiting a top player to beat Andreescu like a child. :) Probably that’s my personal revenge. Maybe Muguruza will do the job. Let’s see.

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Belinda Bencic to beat Karolina Pliskova at 1.91 with Unibet

This match is completely even according to bookies but I don't agree about that. Belinda is in some good form right now and should be regarded as heavier favourite here. We've seen enough of Belinda to throw loads of cash on her and I will do just that.

Gael Monfils to beat Philipp Kohlschreiber at 1.42 with Unibet

Gael is 13-2 in this matchup and the only places where Philipp has beaten Gael is in Germany and last time I checked Indian Wells is not in Germany. Philipp is on fire right now but so is Gael after winning Rotterdam and reaching the Dubai semi. Pretty good tennis from Gael nowadays and whatever he does now it works for him so I think we'll see Gael coming through this.

Jan-Lennard Struff to beat Milos Raonic at 3.00 with Unibet

J-LS came over a huge mental barrier last match and beat his compatriot Sascha Zverev in straight sets. Will we then see a letdown for J-LS becacuse of that in his next match? No I don't think so! They met in Dubai not too long ago this season and J-LS won in three sets then. Milos wasn't impressive in his last match versus Marcos Giron and if he'll deliver the same stuff again he'll be in danger to lose this.

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39 minutes ago, vvararu said:

@CzechPunter @darko08 @four-leaf @money44 and others. What are your thoughts guys on Muguruza - Andreescu? I’d like to load on Mugu but I need other opinions as well. Don’t wanna be emotional trying to play against Andreescu, who made me lose many times or pro Muguruza, who also made me lose many times :)

I really don't have opinion on it.. I took Bertens to beat Garbine last time... I also had Andreescu to win.. The only advice i can say .. You can't really bet against Muguruza right now because she is very motivated at the moment, and the conditions at Indian Wells suit her nicely.. She can even win the tournament but I don't trust her. She let me down too many times.  I don't care much for her playing style, and I think she needs better coaching because its clear how much talent she had for a long time. 

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@four-leaf interesting you are on Bencic. I am curious if she's going to win Indian Wells also.. right now her form is impeccable it would seem.. I wonder if her fitness will slip, but she has the best baseline game of all the remaining players I feel.  The problem I see is that Pliskova is one of the other top contenders in the field in her next match.. 

I see the title contenders as Bencic, Pliskova, Kerber, and Muguruza.

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Why are so many people here on Struff? He's not a player to trust. Often he lost a match, after big wins. The match against Berankis was ok but not special and zverev had a cold so he wasnt at 100%. Struff lost in Rotterdam quali against a guy named Ryan Nijboer, actually 507 ranked. and that was only three weeks ago...

 Raonic has a pretty good record at IW and reached final once and semifinal twice. Yeah, it was close against Giron but the season tof the american ill now is remarkable and he is in good shape. 

Edited by Lorenzi Musetti

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53 minutes ago, Lorenzi Musetti said:

Why are so many people here on Struff? He's not a player to trust. Often he lost a match, after big wins. The match against Berankis was ok but not special and zverev had a cold so he wasnt at 100%. Struff lost in Rotterdam quali against a guy named Ryan Nijboer, actually 507 ranked. and that was only three weeks ago...

 Raonic has a pretty good record at IW and reached final once and semifinal twice. Yeah, it was close against Giron but the season tof the american ill now is remarkable and he is in good shape. 

Yeah well that is a risk I've taken. Milos could easily beat J-LS if he has a good day but that Milos from AO could turn up and be unimpressive.

Edit: And not many people here are on J-LS, it's only me what I can see...

Edited by four-leaf

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Vondrousova to beat Svitolina @ 2.52 with Pinnacle - 10 units

I will grade some of the other results when the tournament is finished. We can see that Marketa is playing out of her mind in a couple of matches.. Svitolina has played well and tough competition, but she is very worn down.. This is the time where Marketa stops Svitolina right in her tracks, and advances to the semi-finals. I have serious concerns about Svitolina's fitness the past couple matches. 

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1 minute ago, darko08 said:

@vvararu i did bet Andreescu to beat Wang and Kiki to beat Muguruza. Muguruza finally won against Kiki. I don't know what to expect now in this match between Mugu and Andreescu:\

Me neither, however, I’ve bet on Muguruza hoping that her class and experience will prevail over Andreescu’s power. Not sure why odds on Mugu have increased. Will see in a hour :)

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26 minutes ago, vvararu said:

Game start looks like a new fuckup :(

Muguruza is just useless. Sorry for doing so much noise around this game.

Bet of the day. :drums:loon

Edited by eros

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8 hours ago, South_African_Punter said:

Just put a small amount on Hurcakz at beginning of TB @2.50 or so. He's playing really well. I'm impressed with the young lad.

Placed mine after Shapovalov won the 2nd set and got a decent return.

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Osaka, Kvitova, Sabalenka, Halep, Svitolina...I think today Mrs. Bencic will eat the next Top10 player this year. She is on fire and if she's is not overplayed or tired she will win against Pliskova, who dropped a set against Doi and Kontaveit. The Czech played a pretty good season and got good record in IW as well.

Raonic will destroy Kecmanovic today and the other two matches pretty 50/50.

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      New players only. Deposit min £10 to get 200% bingo bonus plus 200% games bonus (total max bonus £100) + 15 Free Spins [FS]. One 1st Deposit Bonus available per player. FS available for 7 days , FS wins granted in games bonus after all FS are used and capped at £4. Bonus wins are capped at £100, exc. jp win. To withdraw winnings related to bingo bonus, wager 2 times the deposit + bonus funds. To withdraw games bonus and related winnings, wager 50 times the amount of the bonus; wagering requirements vary by game. Deposits can be withdrawn at any time. Withdrawal restrictions and Further T&Cs apply.
    Poker 1
    • £20 No Deposit Poker Bonus Play
      New players only • £20 free bonus: includes $1 immediate bonus & $31 in tournament tickets • Bonus will be granted gradually throughout 7 days after claiming • Each part of the bonus expires after 24 hrs • Immediate bonus may be withdrawn after a player has accumulated 2.5 bonus points for every $1 of the received bonus amount •This offer may not be combined with any other offer • Wagering requirements vary by game • Withdrawal restrictions & T&Cs apply
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