i1_principe Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Peter Gojowczyk (+3.5 games) to beat Andreas Seppi at 1.83 with Bet365 Both players met last month in Rotterdam and there Seppi won a difficult 3-set victory with 2 games margin. None of them is in good shape right now and i don't see the Seppi as big favourite here. I expect close match and the german will cover this line. Jaume Munar to beat Alexei Popyrin at 2 with Bet365 OK, Munar just coming from the clay courts in South America and he hasn't success on hardcourts, but on AO he played close match against Fognini, so he can be a dangerous playes on his day. Popyrin's win are against players outside from top 100 and for me he is not favourite here. He lost against Schnur and Garcia-Lopez in New York and against D.King in Delray Beach. Munar are better player from these i can win this game. Tennys Sandgren to beat Adrian Mannarino at 2.20 with Bet365 Mannarino is far away from his best last months and i cannot trust him to win against nobody. Sandgren also is not in good shape, after he won the tittle in Auckland he has only defeats. Tennys lost in 1st round in every tournament he played after that, but on home soil and against this opponent he definitely can return on winning way. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted March 8, 2019 Author Share Posted March 8, 2019 Hi and welcome to PL @i1_principe! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobix Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Sorry folks, I don't really have the time now to add much reasoning to my picks Looks like they are already plenty of surprising results in Indian Wells and I can smell a fishy day today as well. Maybe nothing indicates the below upsets, and I might lose easily all of them, but who expected Humbert to lose 2-0 against Marterer, etc... I will give them a try Back Donald Young (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Hubert Hurkacz at 1.79 with MarathonBet Back Steve Johnson to beat Taylor Fritz at evens with Expekt Back Bernarda Pera (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Qiang Wang at 2.04 with Pinnacle Back Stefanie Voegele (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Sloane Stephens at 2.31 with SBOBET Back Ysaline Bonaventure (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Donna Vekic at 1.99 with Marathonbet CzechPunter and hristofor 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Good luck on those Bobix, my favorite play on your card is pera. I’ve taken her to win outright she looks fit bobix 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Yo anyone else going to take Tung-Lin Wu again ? I don't trust Monteiro at these odds .. seems like a value bet on a guy who just keeps winning eros and four-leaf 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 (edited) Well I guess nobody else likes Wu here.. I'm passing on the bet for now because i think its a trap also. 10 units Evgeny Karlovskiy to beat Ze Zhang @ 2.31 with Pinnacle (probably the line will change soon. I predict Karlovskiy will close at 1.73). Evgeny is a very talented and powerful player. I have seen the third set in his last match.. Moriya not playing exceptional but he is doing well from the baseline as usual.. Karlovskiy has a very good slice backhand, ground game, and serve.. I believe he will champion the tournament very soon.. thanks Edited March 8, 2019 by money44 book change eros 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Roger Federer to win Indian Wells @ 6.5 with Bet365 - 10 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Ryan Harrison (-1.5 Sets) to beat Roberto Carballes at 1.85 with 888 Roberto comes here after playing 4 clay tournaments in South America. He’s a pure claycourter with no more than 50 matches played in this surface in his career. Harrison has a win/loss record of 202-151 and the crowd will be with him. Andreas Seppi (-2.0 Games) to beat Peter Gojowczyk at 1.71 with Marathonbet Gojo had physical problems in his last match against Millman (6-0, 6-2) and that was just 1 week ago so I expect that he won’t be at his best here. Seppi won against Gojo recently in Rotterdam like 3 weeks ago. Radu Albot (-2.5 Games) to beat Marius Copil at 1.72 with Marathonbet Albot is in the best moment of his career (he’s in a 7 winning streak and won in Delray Beach beating Karlovic, Kyrgios, Johnson, Mckenzie and Evans). He is totally adapted to the court (he has win against Lacko and Krueger in straight sets). CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrO Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Why is Elise Mertens underdog against Anisimova? It realy make no sense to me.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Marketa Vondrousova to beat Daria Kasatkina at 1,73 with William Hill 2 players in opposite shape. Vondrousova did Final in Budapest recently and has already win 1 match here against Siegemund in straight sets. I watched that match and I liked what I saw form her. She held long rallies and played aggressive in the right moments, her serve worked well and she did some good drop shots (can be a good gun against Daria). Kasatkina recent results are absolutely horrible (obviously she will start winning matches again, but I expect that this won’t occur in this match, especially after firing her coach). Daria did Final the last year here but doesn’t matter so much when you’re without confidence. Bianca Andreescu to beat Dominika Cibulkova at 1.55 with Marathonbet Nothing much to say here. Cibulkova has win only one match this year (against Lara Arruabarrena in a 3 set match) in front of the Andreescu win/loss record of 23-3. bobix 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_African_Punter Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Jaume Munar to beat Alexei Popyrin at 1.85 with SportingBet So growing up in Spain, Munar probably has a preference for the "dirty stuff" (clay) over hard courts and grass. However, having read multiple tournament previews of Indian Wells, the surface, although hard, seems to be on the slower side, benefiting Munar. Also from watching yesterday, the wind seems to be causing some problems for some of the players. I feel that Popyrin, with his serve, has a strong preference for faster courts, and thus it won't be such an advantage in today's match. Grass Cash, Hermes and CzechPunter 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Sorry for overbetting but this will be the last one for sure (I expect to win 4 or 5 at least). Thomas Berdych (-1.5 Sets) to beat Feliciano Lopez at 1.65 with 888 Im a little bit surprised for how they pay the 2-0 in this one. Feli is almost retired, Berdych should win this comfortably. Personally, I will pay this at 1.45-1.50 so I think that at 1.65 has value. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 (edited) @South_African_Punter Munar pick looks gold. Agree with the analysis also parlay Venus williams/Bonaventure 12.49 Pinnacle -6 units Venus is more rested than Petra and she knows how to expose her backhand nothing much to be said about Bonaventure who has been producing results owns a 1-0 head to head. Donna does not have great results at this tournament in the past Edited March 8, 2019 by money44 Odds correction CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, DrO said: Why is Elise Mertens underdog against Anisimova? It realy make no sense to me.. You are probably correct Mertens should not be the underdog in this match but I still think Amanda is going to win who the heck knows Edited March 8, 2019 by money44 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 (edited) Leonardo Mayer to beat Gael Monfils @ 4.39 with pinnacle 10 units SimilarSimilar analysis to the match that South African described except I much prefer the odds on this one and the fresher legs with Leonardo book it for 10 units. Edited March 8, 2019 by money44 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 1 hour ago, money44 said: @South_African_Punter Munar pick looks gold. Agree with the analysis also parlay Venus williams/Bonaventure 12.49 Pinnacle -6 units Venus is more rested than Petra and she knows how to expose her backhand nothing much to be said about Bonaventure who has been producing results owns a 1-0 head to head. Donna does not have great results at this tournament in the past Would you mind explaining to me what you are confused about? I am thinking you will believe Petra runs all over Venus Williams. Very possible but we will see it’s a combination bet because I believe if Petra loses Bonaventure’s chances are very good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted March 8, 2019 Author Share Posted March 8, 2019 I'm confused by you saying that Venus is more rested than Petra. Venus needed medical attention yesterday and was moving like a snail, certainly didn't look fine and rested to me. I think that Venus wins this only if Kvitova wants some time off and just throws the match away, but the tournament is so big that this doesn't look likely to me. That said, good luck. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted March 8, 2019 Author Share Posted March 8, 2019 Bonaventure could be worth a shout though, will decide tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 20 minutes ago, CzechPunter said: I'm confused by you saying that Venus is more rested than Petra. Venus needed medical attention yesterday and was moving like a snail, certainly didn't look fine and rested to me. I think that Venus wins this only if Kvitova wants some time off and just throws the match away, but the tournament is so big that this doesn't look likely to me. That said, good luck. You are probably correct then I did not watch Venus’s match Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted March 8, 2019 Author Share Posted March 8, 2019 Still, there are no guarantees in tennis, so Venus wins 6-4 6-3 after a miraculous recovery I reckon . Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 9 hours ago, money44 said: Yo anyone else going to take Tung-Lin Wu again ? I don't trust Monteiro at these odds .. seems like a value bet on a guy who just keeps winning I took Tung-Lin again.. Sorry for not posting it. Haven't been at the computer to mutch today. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 @money44 don't worry more bets with high odds coming in always comes around. Tung-Lin might reach the final as well as he's playing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Does anyone have any idea why Mikhail Kukushkin has gone up to 2.38 or higher? I'm thinking he's injured and will retire. The guy is rather prone to retire in matches and injuries he often has but if everything is alright he'll beat Filip in two. Mikhail Kukushkin to beat (-1.5 sets) Filip Krajinovic at 4.10 with Unibet Strange odds movement but the odds are higher than before now so if Mikhail isn't injured and can play at 100% he'll win this in two. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 What a bad bet, laughing at myself right now, Mikhail to win in straight sets so awful betting. I really hope nobody followed this. Even the odds movement was saying Filip would win. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 @four-leaf @darko08 I know that I don't have the best results on here, but I been betting on tennis a long time.. In my opinion those 2-0 set bets that you guys like to do on the favorite to win the match is way too risky in most cases.. You're playing into the linemakers hands by taking all that juice, and then on top of that predicting an exact score.. Its easy to be wrong on these set betting scores.. I'd suggest looking for something with bigger odds and no exact set scores. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 7 minutes ago, money44 said: @four-leaf @darko08 I know that I don't have the best results on here, but I been betting on tennis a long time.. In my opinion those 2-0 set bets that you guys like to do on the favorite to win the match is way too risky in most cases.. You're playing into the linemakers hands by taking all that juice, and then on top of that predicting an exact score.. Its easy to be wrong on these set betting scores.. I'd suggest looking for something with bigger odds and no exact set scores. What are you talking about, you've got great results here. I completely agree, correct scores are not the best way of making money but sometimes it looks so obvious that it will happen that I can't get the bet out of my head but many times I think it's just wishful thinking like Bjorn Fratangelo to beat Elias Ymer in straight sets but Alexei Popyrin was great again. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 I've seen that Czech Punter has a niche for the 2-0 set betting .. He does conservative style bets like this all the time .. I seen you four-leaf and Darko go for more underdogs .. I can't win betting on those sets .. I've tried it .. very difficult stuff Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 7 out of 10 matches ends in straight sets in every tournaments early rounds so if you want to bet on correct score 2-0 is the call either on the underdog or the favourite. Later on in tournaments you may have some luck picking a straight sets score also. Like in the final of Auckland when I picked Tennys Sandgren to beat Cam Norrie in straight sets at 3.40 and he did it easily and that time it was obvious Tennys would win in straight sets since he was on a such type of streak that tournament. So you got to be smart however you're betting. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 I will say Darko does those 2-0 set bettings alot also .. But for you four-leaf... I know that you probably don't want to hear this .. but I would never do those again if you are serious about making money.. you can win doing other styles of bets .. Everyone has their different betting abilities .. I can't win on those either , but hey I could be wrong... just giving my two cents .. or you can just bet on Tung-Lin Wu everytime and win money that way Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 @four-leaf I know that you are going to win 2-0 sometimes .. its bound to happen .. but you have to be on nostradomous level to get those right consistently.. yeah we have some good bettors in this forum who might be able to turn a profit doing that.. maybe you are one of those people also .. i'm just saying its difficult Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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