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2019 Betfair Hurdle / Grand National Trial - Tips & Trends

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3.35 Newbury

2m½f (2m69y) Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2019-02-05 at 22.23.55.png

Trends

10/10 Aged 5 or 6
8/10 Rated 134 or higher
19/20 ran within 90 days
14/20 ran within 60 days
17/20 placed last time (8 won)
17/20 Had ran at least twice this season.
16/20 Carried 11st 3lbs or less
12.20 Had won at this trip (2m) previously

 

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About time had a big win .....gotta be due surely so let's have a blast .....strange race actually and I thought it would be super close but .....

Zanza    302 

Magic dancer   300 

These 2 have come out quite a bit clear of rest ......dont know what to make of that as they are currently 16 and 33 ......but hey big win has to be due soon so roll the dice....I'll wait for final decs with all this flu around but 2 10pt ew once confirmed  

 

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Haydock Grand National Trial

3:35

 GRAND NATIONAL TRIAL HANDICAP CHASE (GRADE 3) (Class 1) (5yo+) 
Winner £56,950 29 runners 3m4f97y
 
Previous Winners
Screen Shot 2019-02-14 at 08.48.44.png
 
Trends
9/10 Ran within 80 days
8/10 Aged 8-10
8/10 Rated 138+
16/21 Placed last time (10 won)
13/21 Ran at least 3 times this season
16/21 Never won at 3m4f or further

 

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Grand national trial ....  interesting race ...I've rated the race and came out ......

The two amigos   313

Ramses de teille  312 

Vieux lion rouge  309

Ron's dream   308 

No prices currently so just thoughts for now ...I welcome anyone's opinions .....personally I think two amigos last run looked classy and still looks ahead of the hccapper ...has to be high on shortlist ...ramses ran a cracker in coral and that's classy but mark of 149 ....I dunno ...does that seem a little too high now forxwin purposes ??....vieux lion rouge a very classy horse and well treated currently undoubtedly but i think 3m1f is his dist ...extended trip form 9th and pu seems to back that up so I'll omit him .....Ron's dream was a long way behind ramses (15 lengths) but was first real try at extended so learnt a lot and can do better now ......shortlist of 3 so far 

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7 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:

Grand national trial ....  interesting race ...I've rated the race and came out ......

The two amigos   313

Ramses de teille  312 

Vieux lion rouge  309

Ron's dream   308 

No prices currently so just thoughts for now ...I welcome anyone's opinions .....personally I think two amigos last run looked classy and still looks ahead of the hccapper ...has to be high on shortlist ...ramses ran a cracker in coral and that's classy but mark of 149 ....I dunno ...does that seem a little too high now forxwin purposes ??....vieux lion rouge a very classy horse and well treated currently undoubtedly but i think 3m1f is his dist ...extended trip form 9th and pu seems to back that up so I'll omit him .....Ron's dream was a long way behind ramses (15 lengths) but was first real try at extended so learnt a lot and can do better now ......shortlist of 3 so far 

As we speak decs just changed to 16 so Ron's dream out .....easy 2 choices now then ramses and two amigos ...I'll back tomorrow at best odds 

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Grand National Trial

Screen Shot 2019-02-14 at 13.14.26.png

 

Trends
9/10 Ran within 80 days
We lose Pobbles Bay

8/10 Aged 8-10
We lose Ramses De Teilee, The Two Amigos, Caroles Destrier, Bishops Road

8/10 Rated 138+
We lose Ah Littleluck, Chef D'Oeuvre

16/21 Placed last time (10 won)
We lose Ballyoptic, Vieux Lion Rouge, Red Infantry, Ballyarthur

13/21 Ran at least 3 times this season
We lose Yala Enki, Robinsfirth, Impulsive Star

16/21 Never won at 3m4f or further
We lose Royal Vacation
 
Selection: 
1pt Win Wakanda 9/1 Coral

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Betfair Hurdle

Screen Shot 2019-02-14 at 13.18.24.png

 

10/10 Aged 5 or 6
We lose Jolys Cracked It, Ballyandy, William H Bonney, Magic Dancer, Blu Cavalier


8/10 Rated 134 or higher
We lose Nordic Combined, Ar Mest, Nelsons Touch


17/20 placed last time (8 won)
We lose Mont Des Avaloirs, Didtheyleaveuoutto, Equus Amedeus, Distingo, 


16/20 Carried 11st 3lbs or less
We lose Lisp, Grand Sancy, Getaway Trump, Al Dancer


Selections
1pt EW Zanza 16/1 Hills
1pt EW Anemoi NR

 

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NATIONAL TRIAL

AH LITTLE LUCK Irish runner in good form will be fit ready to i got 20/1 last night e/w 1/5 5 place wish is a very decent price in my eyes,

VIEUX  LION ROUGE last win was in this a couple of years ago off same mark  the pipe horse can be a little hot n cold hoping for a bold show here after poor run lto im on 12/1 e/w 1/4 4 place tight enough price but i feel another win from this horse is near.

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3.20 - Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y

16/16 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight   (1,2,3,4)
15/16 – Aged 7 or younger   (5,10)
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out   (6,7,8,14)
14/16 – Rated 130 or higher   (12,13)

Zanza 2 Pts EW @ 16\1 (bog) Ladbrokes

Nordic Combined 2 Pts EW @ 25\1 (bog) Paddy Power 1/5 1-5

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3.35 – William Hill Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f

16/16 – UK-based trained winners   
16/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before   (4,7,11,12,14)
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before   (5,15)
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out   (2,8,10,13)
13/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before   (1,3)
13/16 – Aged 10 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger   (6)

The Two Amigos 2 Pts EW @ 14\1 Paddy Power 1/5 1-5

Chef D'oeuvre 2 Pts EW @ 20\1 Ladbrokes 1/4 1-4

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On 14/02/2019 at 11:16 AM, richard-westwood said:

Grand national trial ....  interesting race ...I've rated the race and came out ......

The two amigos   313

Ramses de teille  312 

Vieux lion rouge  309

Ron's dream   308 

No prices currently so just thoughts for now ...I welcome anyone's opinions .....personally I think two amigos last run looked classy and still looks ahead of the hccapper ...has to be high on shortlist ...ramses ran a cracker in coral and that's classy but mark of 149 ....I dunno ...does that seem a little too high now forxwin purposes ??....vieux lion rouge a very classy horse and well treated currently undoubtedly but i think 3m1f is his dist ...extended trip form 9th and pu seems to back that up so I'll omit him .....Ron's dream was a long way behind ramses (15 lengths) but was first real try at extended so learnt a lot and can do better now ......shortlist of 3 so far 

 

On 13/02/2019 at 7:16 PM, richard-westwood said:

About time had a big win .....gotta be due surely so let's have a blast .....strange race actually and I thought it would be super close but .....

Zanza    302 

Magic dancer   300 

These 2 have come out quite a bit clear of rest ......dont know what to make of that as they are currently 16 and 33 ......but hey big win has to be due soon so roll the dice....I'll wait for final decs with all this flu around but 2 10pt ew once confirmed  

 

Ew money on ramses 8/1 2nd  and magic dancer 2nd 20/1(60pts returned ) .....unlucky ...close 

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