Torque Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 17 hours ago, CzechPunter said: Johanna Konta to beat Varvara Flink at 1.37 with Paddy Power Not a fan of short odds, but this is an elite player against someone who's never been in the top 100, so I'll take what's on offer. I'm a fan of anything that has a higher chance of happening than the price suggests and this was clearly a generous price, both in terms of the steam to SP and also the respective performances of Konta and Flink. Nice one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Gael Monfils to win ATP Dubai @ 6.00 Betfair Exchange Borna Coric to win ATP Dubai @ 10.00 Betfred I'm going to stick my neck on the block and oppose Federer to take the title in Dubai by backing Monfils from the top half of the draw and Coric from the bottom half. I'm backing Monfils as he's in great form and really should make the last four at least as Berankis is beatable, and I'm backing Coric because he's beaten Federer before and so should be able to perform if he meets him in the last four. Crimson_Silhouette and four-leaf 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_African_Punter Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 hours ago, Torque said: Gael Monfils to win ATP Dubai @ 6.00 Betfair Exchange Borna Coric to win ATP Dubai @ 10.00 Betfred I'm going to stick my neck on the block and oppose Federer to take the title in Dubai by backing Monfils from the top half of the draw and Coric from the bottom half. I'm backing Monfils as he's in great form and really should make the last four at least as Berankis is beatable, and I'm backing Coric because he's beaten Federer before and so should be able to perform if he meets him in the last four. The "flying Georgian" might have something to say about that today... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 (edited) Sascha Zverev to beat (-1.5 sets) Alex de Minaur at 2.10 with Unibet I don't know myself if this really is a good bet but Alex looked bad in the first match and I think he would have lost to Feli Lopez and Sascha is a player he lost to 3 times last season, twice in straight sets and I think it could acctually happen again here. Edited February 28, 2019 by four-leaf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Caty Mcnally to beat Victoria Golubic at 2.03 with Unibet Go Caty! Go! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teodore Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, four-leaf said: Caty Mcnally to beat Victoria Golubic at 2.03 with Unibet Go Caty! Go! Serious? This is analys ? CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, Teodore said: Serious? This is analys ? She's young, she's talented, she's in form.. What more can you ask? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinningTipster Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 pick for ATP Dubai today TSITSIPAS-4 GAMES OVER HURKACZ @ 1.95 pinnacle Tsitsipas is in such a great form lately and just a few weeks ago he defeated Hurkacz indoors 6-4, 6-2 (plus Hurkacz is better on faster indoors than on a medium-pace hardcourts in Dubai). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crimson_Silhouette Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Fucsovics to win a set against Federer at 2.75 with Bet365. I don't want to go into detail about this bet because I have already explained how vulnerable Federer looks these days. He has lost his aura and everyone thinks that they have a shot at beating him. Fucsovic has a solid ground game and he will be ready to pounce if there is a dip in Federer's form. Hurkacz to win a set against Tsitsipas at 2.25 with Bet365. I have to admit that I am not entirely confident about this bet. Hurkacz didn't have an answer to Tsitsipas's game in Marseille last week. I watched Hurkacz beat Nishikori and it was more of Nishikori mugging it around than Hurkacz actually earning the win, but I hope this win has given the Pole, the confidence to play well in the upcoming rounds. Tsitsipas has looked alright so far, I can see a bit of fatigue creeping in and this should give Hurkacz an opening to win a set. Basilashvili to beat Coric at 2.10 with Bet365. I can see that the odds for Bash have come down now. Have been pretty impressed with Bash, he has played well after that horrific loss to Brands at Sofia. It is always a gamble with him because he is so aggressive and there's a chance that his game might unravel at the hands of Coric, who is a solid defender. But I am still going to back him considering the fact that Coric hasn't really been at his best in this tournament and the fast courts in Dubai should really suit Bash's game. bobix and CzechPunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 Let's just not post analysis like that too often @four-leaf . Every once in a while is fine I suppose, but it should not be a regular fixture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hermes Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Watch Tsitsipas blow past Hurkacz in 2 sets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hermes Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, Hermes said: Watch Tsitsipas blow past Hurkacz in 2 sets. Also expecting a vintage Federer perfomance today.The only match I'd bet is Coric but it's a toss up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 6 hours ago, South_African_Punter said: The "flying Georgian" might have something to say about that today... I agree. Basilashvili is dangerous. I'll be hoping he has one of his misfiring days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobix Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 5 hours ago, Crimson_Silhouette said: Hurkacz to win a set against Tsitsipas at 2.25 with Bet365. I have to admit that I am not entirely confident about this bet. Hurkacz didn't have an answer to Tsitsipas's game in Marseille last week. I watched Hurkacz beat Nishikori and it was more of Nishikori mugging it around than Hurkacz actually earning the win, but I hope this win has given the Pole, the confidence to play well in the upcoming rounds. Tsitsipas has looked alright so far, I can see a bit of fatigue creeping in and this should give Hurkacz an opening to win a set. Let me tell you... I was debating between the set and game handicap here and decided to take the +4 games on Hurkacz... I was more confident he'll be able to cover that instead of winning a set. It was a small staked fun bet, but still very annoying to lose it like this... anyway, congrats on your pick and winnings! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crimson_Silhouette Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 40 minutes ago, bobix said: Let me tell you... I was debating between the set and game handicap here and decided to take the +4 games on Hurkacz... I was more confident he'll be able to cover that instead of winning a set. It was a small staked fun bet, but still very annoying to lose it like this... anyway, congrats on your pick and winnings! Thank you! I was debating the same and decided to go with the set bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crimson_Silhouette Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Alison Riske to beat Jennifer Brady at 2.05 with Bet365. Having watched Riske beat Brady pretty comfortably when they met in Doha earlier this year, I have to take this bet up at the odds currently offered. Brady seems to be in good form, but I feel that Riske is just a better player overall and should win this match-up more often than not if she plays well. South_African_Punter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobix Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Today I went relatively big on Fucsovics to cover the game handicap, and tomorrow will more than probably do the same on Coric. He will be a much difficult opponent for Roger than Basilashvili would have been mainly because of his style of play. I would like to see the game handicap lines first, but the set handicap is also a very good option. I admit that Coric is not playing his very best tennis at the moment, and dropped a set during all his matches so far in Dubai, but I barely expect signs of fatigue on him (at least much less than on Roger). I don't really like how the GOAT moves around the court this week, and I agree with all of you who lay him during these days. They played three times last year, Coric won twice and lost one in the decisive set. Torque, Grass Cash, Crimson_Silhouette and 1 other 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ogii55 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Dorosina vs Rodionova 2.23 SBOBet ITF 25k Moscow Doroshina is the last year winner here. She won easy her two matches. Yesterday the Russian played two matches for a total time of 2 and a half hours. Rodionova also played two, both 3-setters for a total of 4 hours. Rodionova is fighting in every set here. CzechPunter, eros and bobix 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Borna Coric to beat Roger Federer @ 3.50 Boylesports Coric should have a chance in this one and having got the better of Federer twice already in his fledgling career, if he does get one he can take it - unlike Fucsovics who let Federer off the hook when blowing two set points that would have seen him take the first set against the Swiss and lay the foundation for a big win. You could argue that neither player has looked in the best of form at this tournament, but like so many things it depends on perspective. For me, the struggles that Coric has successfully come through to reach this round could be a good thing. As a younger player it's good to know that you can fight and scrap and win ugly, whereas for Federer I'd argue that he doesn't need or want to be pushed to the limit as often as he has in his previous matches here and there's not the same upside to winning tight matches for him as there is for Coric. I'm sure Federer realises that he hasn't played all that well so far which is probably his main focus, whilst Coric should take heart from finding a way to get across the line in his matches. I think the young Croat's perspective will be a lot more positive than Federer's will be, and that he can do what none of Kohlschreiber, Verdasco or Fucsovics managed and prevail against a Federer who has looked vulnerable all week. South_African_Punter, four-leaf, bobix and 2 others 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Huge stake on Borna for me today... Thanks for the post on Borna @Torque Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 I was waiting for the +4.5 line and it never came, so I'll be steering clear of Roger today. Coric might very well win, but I'd like to get at least 3.50 for the outright. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobix Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 32 minutes ago, CzechPunter said: I was waiting for the +4.5 line and it never came, so I'll be steering clear of Roger today. Coric might very well win, but I'd like to get at least 3.50 for the outright. ML odds opened at 4.10 on asian bookmakers, but since it dropped quickly there was no change to get nice game handicap lines later CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Borna Coric to beat Roger Federer at 3.00 with Unibet @Torque I'm totally with you on Borna today. I don't care that the odds have dropped. 3x is good enough because it's still an underestimation of Bornas chances which should be bigger than the odds suggests. Crimson_Silhouette 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crimson_Silhouette Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, four-leaf said: Borna Coric to beat Roger Federer at 3.00 with Unibet @Torque I'm totally with you on Borna today. I don't care that the odds have dropped. 3x is good enough because it's still an underestimation of Bornas chances which should be bigger than the odds suggests. Fucsovics played well yesterday and he was dominating Federer from the baseline, but failed the clutchness test. Borna will run Federer ragged. The only thing I am worried about is Borna's fatigue, but I would be pretty surprised if Borna doesn't win today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_African_Punter Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 (edited) Stefano Tsitipas to beat Gael Monfils at 2.05 with SportingBet Right, so both of these players had lapses of concentration yesterday when they both lost the 2nd set, although to be fair to Tsitipas, Hurkacz was playing at an amazingly high level yesterday. Tsitipas said in an interview yesterday (according to Flashscore): Quote The Greek youngster's struggles in closing out the match was understandable as he needed that win to make his top 10 debut next week. “I'm thinking about it almost every day. I want it badly. I want it to happen very much," said Stefanos Tsitsipas after the win. So I feel there is tons of motivation here. My only concern with this bet would be possible tiredness from his win last week, however, I feel his huge motivation to get into the final could negate that somewhat. Edited March 1, 2019 by South_African_Punter Grass Cash and CzechPunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tobulas Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 13 hours ago, ogii55 said: Dorosina vs Rodionova 2.23 SBOBet ITF 25k Moscow Doroshina is the last year winner here. She won easy her two matches. Yesterday the Russian played two matches for a total time of 2 and a half hours. Rodionova also played two, both 3-setters for a total of 4 hours. Rodionova is fighting in every set here. That match was something to watch lol 6:7 7:6 7:6 Win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crimson_Silhouette Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Gael Monfils to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at 1.80 with Bet365 I just don't see Monfils losing this week. He has been in terrific form, tracking down balls and making his opponents hit that extra ball. There is always a question mark with Monfils's temperament, but he has been amazingly mature this whole year. Tsitsipas has had a gruelling couple of weeks and I don't think he has enough in the tank to take out Monfils. Hermes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Easily the most nervewrecking tennis match I've ever watched in my life. Monfils played so much better than I thought he was going to, and Stefanos did also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Damn I think Roger is gonna beat Borna in straight sets easily.. The Roger of old comes back today and shows who is boss. But I've still staked high on Borna to beat Roger and can't cash it out for some reason on Unibet. Maybe can cash-out when the match has started. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Viktorija Golubic (-2.5 Games) to beat Sara Sorribes Tormo at 1.91 with William Hill Both players have clay as their best surface but Golubic has a win/loss record of 80-48 on hard outdoors in front of the 58-54 record of Sorribes. Just one month ago Golubic won against Sorribes in the 1st round of the Thailand Open (6-2, 6-4), played on hard outdoors. Hermes, bobix, four-leaf and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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