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Tennis Tips - February 18 - February 24


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34 minutes ago, KennyDelight said:

I didn't bet on this one but was watching the match and what you said about Kyrgios being an asshole came true. Kyrgios was again acting a fool in the final set. Not sure if truly injured but his last set was typical Kyrgios and even managed to dance to the music on a changeover

His matches are really blacklisted for me no matter where he plays

Why are his matches blacklisted or what do you mean with blacklisted? You mean you will not bet on a match where he is involved? In this case you could have made some money on his antics.

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Back Zhe Li (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Dudi Sela at 1.86 with MarathonBet

The jew is the bookies favorite and that should be all right. This is his second week in Bangkok, where he played and lost a final 4 days ago against Laaksonen. In this tournament, he went through the first two rounds relatively easy, hence all looking good so far. However, I smell a possible upset here, because his upcoming opponent is also showing good form and often it is not that easy to know what to expect from a match on challenger level. Li might produce a surprise and I like the odds on the Chinese to take at least a set.

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2 hours ago, four-leaf said:

Pauline Parmentier to beat Ekaterina Alexandrova at 3.30 with Unibet

Upsets are bound to happen in Budapest and it's just a question of which match will be an upset and I pick this one because Pauline is as experienced as you can get. She can probably win important rallies in this match because she knows how to deal with being the underdog as she often is just that but I think she deserves more credit for playing the way she plays. She can be very difficult to deal with.

 

I was also looking at this matchup and I like your pick. Since the odds are so high, I am happy to take my usual set handicap, trying to remain on the "safe" :lol side.

Back Pauline Parmentier (+1.5 set handicap) to beat Ekaterina Alexandrova at 1.91 with BoyleSports

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Back Felix Auger Aliassime to beat Jaume Munar at 2.40 with Expekt

As expected the clay court specialist Spanish guy moved to South America after the AO, rather than "wasting" his time on indoor tournaments. His results were quite good by reaching the quarter-final both in Cordoba and Buenos Aires. During this period he played 5 three-setters, so I would expect him to show signs of tiredness once again in the QF. Moreover, in the form of Auger Aliassime, he will face a difficult opponent. After easily eliminating Fognini in the first round, the young Canadian prodigy took revenge on Garin yesterday, who defeated him in Buenos Aires a week ago. Albeit losing to Munar twice last season (both time on clay), I really fancy his chances in this matchup and I consider the odds favorable as well.

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Andrey Rublev to win ATP Marseille at 7.00 with Unibet

I like how Andrey has been playing this week and he's already won his first title on clay two seasons ago and now he's experienced enough to make to the final of Marseille. There's just a problem along the way. He will have to beat Mikhail Kukushkin whom he's never beaten without a retirement from Mikhail. Mikhail has beaten Andrey on indoor hardcourts three times already so there's this pretty huge risk that Mikhail will beat Andrey in the quarter.

Mikhail Kukushkin to beat Andrey Rublev at 2.04 with Unibet

So if Andrey doesn't win the tournament it's because he got beaten by Mikhail in the quarter.

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Stefanos Tsitsipas to beat (-4.5) Sergiy Stakhovsky at 2.04 with Unibet

Should be an easy win for Stefanos. Sergiy has been riding his luck to get to the quarterfinal and it's where it ends most likely with a loss by more than five games margin. Something like 6-2 6-4. What I seek here is the doublebreak by Stefanos and that is very possible that he can achieve, he's after all ranked 12 and Sergiy 100+ nowadays and it was a long long time ago since Sergiy even won a challenger title.

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@wisebettor Hi and welcome to PL!

Irina Begu to beat Marketa Vondrousova at 2.38 with Pinnacle

Vondrousova looked pretty tired at the end of the match yesterday and she hasn't had a lot of match practice lately, so I wouldn't be surprised to see the fatigue catching up with her today. Begu is a quality opponent anyway, she's not likely to just roll over and not pose any resistance.

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Belinda Bencic (+1.5 Sets) to beat Petra Kvitova at 1.81 with Marathonbet

Kvitova has lost a set here against Siniakova, Brady and Hsieh (only against Kuzmova won in straight sets). Bencic has win here against Sabalenka, Halep and Svitolina so I think that she will have some chances against Petra. I have watched her against Halep and Svitolina and she's playing very solid and looks like the pressure is not affecting her.

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Anastasia Potapova to beat Marketa Vondrousova at 2.48 with Unibet

Finally I think there's time for an upset in Budapest and it could be Anastasia who wins this match. Some upset should come in Budapest so why not this one? And I think the final could be an all russian affair between Anastasia Potapova and Ekaterina Alexandrova.

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Anastasia Potapova to beat (-1.5 sets) Marketa Vondrousova 4.40 with Unibet

Got to try this one since both the final in Dubai went to three sets and the first semifinal in Budapest is now into a deciding set. Can't see this match lasting for more than two sets and Marketa has had her physical problems this week so I think there's some chance Marketa won't cope with this match. You got to be 100% to be able to compete and I predict Marketa isn't healthy enough for this so I'll take my chances with the russian in two.

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Alison Van Uytvanck to beat Marketa Vondrousova at 2.50 with bet365

Both players have hard indoor courts as their best surface (Vondrousova has a 41-5 record and Alison has a 112-43) but I will take here the more experienced player who is also the better priced player (I expected this but not at this level). To be honest, I expected Alexandrova to reach the Final but Alison has win against her with an incredible comeback included (she was losing the 3rd set 5-2). I think that Alison has played against tougher opponents (Zvonareva, Swiatek, Kozlova and Alexandrova, especially the last one). The only player that has faced Vondrousova with a good record on this kind of surface was Blinkova and she put her in real troubles (Irina Begu is a good player but her best surface is clay, by far). I expect a close match and let’s see if Alison can win the title again (she won it the last year).

Edited by darko08
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48-100 +75.5 units(Daniel Evans bet pending)

10 unit bet

Laslo Djere to beat Felix Auger-Alliasime @ odds 2.27 with Pinnacle

Odds belief is reversed for this match.. I have seen third set of the Cuevas semi-final. Cuevas is not impressive at all, and making many unusual errors. His shots are not penetrating. Errors coming off the forehand, and one hand backhand exposed as a vulnerability. His movement did not look good also in my opinion. This will be a huge step in class to face Laslo Djere. This man has played spectacular tennis from what I have seen, and is tracking down many balls. He is redirecting them with large amounts of spin. Auger Alliasime will have trouble handling some of these shots, and Djere will be able to find Auger's backhand similar to how he dismantled Thiem earlier in the tournament. Young star is playing at a higher level than Dominic in the first round. But, Djere's level has been steadily rising each match as he progresses. As I mentioned these odds should probably be reversed considering the form Djere has been in during this tournament. The experience on clay is a big factor. 

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