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StevieDay1983

La Liga Predictions > Jan 26th - 28th

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After half of the season per round there are 4.15 home wins/3.2 draws/2.65 away wins. The last 2 seasons saw 4.72hw/2.26d/3.02aw; 4.76hw/2.34d/2.9aw. I assume there will be a reversion to the mean and more home wins in the second half of the season. 

One team that has underperformed at home is Real Sociedad with 2 home wins out of 9 games, leading to the appointment of Imanol Alguacil. The former coach of Real Sociedad B was also used as a temporary manager at the end of last season recording 100% win rate at home, including a 3:0 win vs Atletico Madrid. Those 4 home wins were all 1/1 Half Time/Full Time. If it was not for an own goal in the extra time of the first half in the recent 3:2 home win vs Espanyol, Alguacil's 5 home La Liga games in charge of Real Sociedad would have been 1/1 HT/FT. The team is yet to lose a game since his appointment this season, including a memorable 2:0 away win vs Real Madrid, a comeback from 2:0 down for an away draw vs Rayo Vallecano & 2 draws vs Real Betis that unfortunately led to the end of Sociedad's Copa Del Rey season.

Real Sociedad had 9 1/1 HT/FT home wins last season out of 10 home wins. Huesca have 5 away losses HT/FT this season (highest number in the league) and only 4 points from their away games, so they sit bottom of the table. In the last 3 seasons the team at the bottom of the table did not get more than 6 away points.

I am confident Real Sociedad will win at home vs Huesca and I am tempted for win 1/1 HT/FT.

What other home wins do you fancy this week?

Edited by vicsuna

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding La Liga

Atletico Madrid have been undefeated in their last 17 matches in La Liga.
50% of FC Sevilla's conceded goals occurred after the 75th minute in La Liga.
70% of Levante's matches had over 2.5 goals scored in La Liga.
Getafe have scored 32% of their goals after the 75th minute in La Liga.
70% of Leganes's matches had under 2.5 goals in La Liga.

You can find interesting 150 Football Betting Streaks for 26.01.2019 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-26-01-2019-13230

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Of the teams that essentially claim the championship at the Premier Division, the one that is currently playing is Atletico Madrid against Getafe. A quite high hurdle for Simeon's team, however, has the seriousness of winning its opponent
ATLETICO MADRID vs CF GETAFE @@ ATLETICO MADRID, odds 1.60
 

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Real Valladolid vs Celta Vigo

There is a huge battle at the wrong end of the table in La Liga this weekend when relegation rivals Real Valladolid and Celta Vigo face each other in an 11am kick-off on Sunday morning at the Jose Zorrilla. Neither side is in any decent form so a defeat to a positional rival could be a devastating blow to their survival hopes.

Real Valladolid are in 16th place just two places and 2 points above the relegation zone. It's now 5 league games without a win for Sergio Gonzalez's men. The club appears to exceed expectations on the road having picked up 5 points from their last 3 away league games. Their home form is the concern heading into this game. Pucelanos are now without a home win since 7th October, 2018.

Celta Vigo have been highly regarded as a team that flatter to deceive over recent seasons. This year it's all going horribly wrong. Celestes sacked manager Antonio Mohamed back on 12th November, 2018 with the club's league position looking a bit uncomfortable. Unfortunately, new appointment Miguel Cardoso has overseen just 2 wins in his 8 league games in charge. The club is now also on a losing run of 4 league matches with 10 goals conceded during that time. That form has left the club in 17th place just one place and 1 point above the bottom three.

The bad news for the away side here is that Iago Aspas is doubtful to play. Vigo are a completely different team without him and I can't see them picking up a win here if he doesn't start. It's a game neither side wants to lose but I'm not sure a draw would do either of them any good. This could be a high-scoring draw but if anyone is going to win it I'd rather back the home side than the away side.

Draw @ 3.25 with BetVictor

BTTS @ 2.00 with William Hill


@Pep004, @Magic0024, @betcatalog, @malabgd, @AndreBR, @Xcout, @four-leaf, @sajtion, @Arkadi Manucharov, @Jamesboaz, @RealUnited, @allyhibs, @jazzman02, @Mr.Paul, @notanotherdonkey, @Marek76, @freestylerx, @DonPaulo, @fhuefdsa, @laprikon, @Gabosbet, @Dr. Florida192, @thinkpink63, @MarioDunav, @EuroDream, @vicsuna, and @derbent, what bets are you guys lining up this week?

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding La Liga

Valladolid conceded at least 1 goal in each of their last 8 matches in La Liga.
Celta Vigo have lost their last 4 matches in La Liga.
31% of Villarreal's conceded goals occurred after the 75th minute in La Liga.
Real Sociedad have scored 28% of their goals in the first 15 minutes in La Liga.
Huesca conceded at least 1 goal in each of their last 20 matches in La Liga.

You can find interesting 121 Football Betting Streaks for 27.01.2019 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-27-01-2019-13232

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Espanyol vs Real Madrid 

Espanyol have lost 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches with the latest one (3:0) coming on Monday away vs Eibar. I watched that game and Espanyol were really poor at the back as their most regular centre back David Lopez is injured. What's more, the experienced back-up Naldo limped off that match and Oscar Duarte is also sidelined. Espanyol will have to play 21 year old Lluis Lopez from Espanyol 2 and the defender has a total of 180 minutes for the first team - all in the last week as he played vs Eibar and in the home draw vs Real Betis for Copa del Rey.

Toni Kroos should return for Real Madrid and the team has 7 wins in 10 La Liga matches with Solari as manager. Real Madrid has also won 9 out of the last 10 games vs Espanyol. Even though that single loss was last year away without Ronaldo, I just believe Real Madrid will outplay the inexperienced defence of Espanyol and win the game.

 

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding La Liga

67% of Rayo Vallecano's conceded goals were conceded at home in La Liga.
35% of Alaves's conceded goals occurred after the 75th minute in La Liga.
Rayo Vallecano have scored 79% of their goals at home in La Liga.
Alaves have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches in La Liga.

You can find interesting 49 Football Betting Streaks for 28.01.2019 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-28-01-2019-13244

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