The Laying 0-0 Experiment - (21 bets +47%)

[smartbetting9999]

Hi all, 

I've just started a small scale experiment on the fairly well know "laying 0-0" betting strategy and thought I'd update this post as my progress continues.

My goal is to start with £10 and get as much % return as possible. I've done a fair amount of analysis on the premier league along with a few others and will be focusing on games that offer between 8.5% to 12% return per game.  This is typically games with lay odds of around 11.0.

My Rules

 - Only bet on games that fall within my 0-0 lay range of 8.0 to 15.0.

 - Risk a maximum of 50% of my liability on any single game.

 - When simultaneous games are being played, I will split my liability across all games (max of 7), up to a max of 100% liability.

I'm initially aiming to complete 30 cycles of correct bets. A cycle would count as my entire balance wagered with a gain of 10% (average) per cycle. (see pic 1 as an example of what this looks like). This would give me a 1490% return from my initial £10, taking it up to £159.

I'm currently on cycle 4, having made 7 successful bets so far. (see pic 2)

Summary Below; (as of 21/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £13.31
• Current % Profit     33%

One more game tonight, then I'll look at the next set of games to select. 

Todays Games;

• Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WON (Score of 0-2)
• Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - 20:00 tonight

With my view of getting 10% profit (cumulative) on each cycle, here's some additional milestones that I'd love to hit!! (this does assume I don't hit a 0-0)Would love to hear of anyone else that tried this strategy and if they had any success. 

• 50 Cycles = £1,067
• 75 Cycles = £11,563
• 100 Cycles = £125,278
• 130 Cycles = £2,186,031

Obviously, beyond a certain level, I'm not going to be able to lay enough on any exchange but just shows the impact of compound interest!!

I'll try and update regularly if anyone is interested in seeing how I get on.

Edited January 29, 2019 by alabomb
updated yield in title

[Sir Puntalot]

 to PL @alabomb   

Good luck.  

[smartbetting9999]

Thanks! I'm not planning my retirement on this strategy but do find it really interesting. 

For comparison, if you'd used this strategy for all Premiership games this season, you would have been +386%

Below is starting with £1,000, ending up at £4,861

[Sir Puntalot]

Definitely interesting @alabomb - have you tried it in Bundesliga, Serie A and La Liga too?  

[smartbetting9999]

I have run the same model for Bundesliga, same rules as above. Covering every league game and assuming I was able to get 10% return - this is the sketchy part as it's unlikely I could get 10% on every game. That said, with some analytics, I'd have avoidd at least 3 of the 0-0 scores so it's swings and roundabouts.

There have only been 9 nil-nil games this season and of these 9, 4 were on a day that only one game was played so I would have lost a full 50% of liability. The the other games I would only have lost 20% to 25% (4 or 5 games in that session).

The overall result from 100% on this league with these rules would have been a net return of +436%. Below is based on a starting balance of £1k.

[smartbetting9999]

Had you been able to avoid just 3 of the 0-0 games by using analytics then the result is significantly improved. Below, I have excluded 3 x 0-0 games (all of which were a single game day and hence 50% liability saved)

 

[smartbetting9999]

Another strategy would be betting only on days that have multiple games, hence reducing your chances of taking a large loss. Excluding all games that were the only game on that day. This would be the return on £1K on Bundesliga since start of the season. 

Much smoother curve as you're only taking 20% - 25% loss maximum per 0-0 loss

[smartbetting9999]

The same multi-game per day approach wouldn't have worked for the Premiership games.  It seems that if a game is going to be 0-0 in Germany then it's when there's a single game on. In the UK, most nil-nils are on multi game days. At least so far.

[smartbetting9999]

GOAL West Brom! Todays games are both winners for a return of 9.8%. On to the next. Am I okay to edit the original post to update the progress?

[keef75]

Hi, this looks really interesting. Can i ask where you get your historical data from? Have you been recording just since the new seasons started? I have a load of historical stuff, not sure if correct score is on there without digging it all out but I know I have it in the data I've been collecting since Aug 18. I've been updating my own website since then with data going back a few years. We've found some interesting data sets. I'll be following your journey here with interest.

[smartbetting9999]

Just from flash scores. One season at a time is pretty easy then drop it into a spreadsheet. 

Whats your website? I may be able to take data from there more easily and go back over the past few years. 

Thanks

[liero1]

All I can contribute is a warning lol 

You surely looked at the 0-0 probabilities and odds you need, right?

I just had a quick scan over my database, here are the 0-0 score probabilities and aligned odds for some major leagues and from the last 5 years - 

If you stick to your 8.0 you are likely to succeed if you get matched but anything above those average odds you are in danger zone mate:

League	Games	Prob.	Odds
B1	1320	6.89%	14.51
2013	168	5.36%	18.67
2014	239	7.11%	14.06
2015	241	6.64%	15.06
2016	239	6.69%	14.94
2017	240	7.92%	12.63
2018	193	7.25%	13.79
D1	1629	6.88%	14.54
2013	152	3.29%	30.40
2014	307	7.17%	13.95
2015	306	8.50%	11.77
2016	297	7.41%	13.50
2017	315	5.71%	17.50
2018	252	7.54%	13.26
D2	1647	8.44%	11.85
2013	171	10.53%	9.50
2014	306	9.80%	10.20
2015	306	9.48%	10.55
2016	288	7.64%	13.09
2017	315	4.76%	21.00
2018	261	9.58%	10.44
E1	2964	8.13%	12.30
2013	275	8.36%	11.96
2014	565	7.79%	12.84
2015	551	9.07%	11.02
2016	551	8.17%	12.24
2017	566	7.42%	13.48
2018	456	8.11%	12.32
E2	2962	7.66%	13.05
2013	276	4.35%	23.00
2014	548	8.94%	11.18
2015	560	5.54%	18.06
2016	559	8.59%	11.65
2017	561	8.56%	11.69
2018	458	8.52%	11.74
E3	2963	7.96%	12.56
2013	275	8.36%	11.96
2014	553	9.40%	10.63
2015	556	7.73%	12.93
2016	547	7.13%	14.03
2017	575	7.48%	13.37
2018	457	7.88%	12.69
F1	2030	7.93%	12.61
2013	189	8.47%	11.81
2014	380	7.63%	13.10
2015	381	9.97%	10.03
2016	378	8.73%	11.45
2017	382	5.76%	17.36
2018	320	7.19%	13.91
F2	2040	10.10%	9.90
2013	180	9.44%	10.59
2014	380	8.42%	11.88
2015	390	12.31%	8.13
2016	380	13.95%	7.17
2017	379	8.18%	12.23
2018	331	7.55%	13.24
G1	1412	10.27%	9.74
2013	153	7.84%	12.75
2014	288	9.38%	10.67
2015	291	9.97%	10.03
2016	216	14.35%	6.97
2017	264	9.85%	10.15
2018	200	10.00%	10.00
I1	2020	6.78%	14.74
2013	170	5.88%	17.00
2014	370	7.57%	13.21
2015	389	5.91%	16.91
2016	389	9.00%	11.11
2017	390	5.64%	17.73
2018	312	6.09%	16.42
I2	2416	10.51%	9.51
2013	229	9.17%	10.90
2014	464	9.27%	10.79
2015	461	12.36%	8.09
2016	463	11.02%	9.08
2017	462	11.26%	8.88
2018	337	8.90%	11.23
N1	1637	4.09%	24.43
2013	162	4.94%	20.25
2014	297	3.37%	29.70
2015	306	5.23%	19.13
2016	306	5.56%	18.00
2017	313	2.24%	44.71
2018	253	3.56%	28.11
P1	1554	7.92%	12.63
2013	112	8.04%	12.44
2014	254	8.66%	11.55
2015	306	8.50%	11.77
2016	315	6.35%	15.75
2017	307	9.45%	10.59
2018	260	6.54%	15.29
SC0	1140	6.05%	16.52
2013	111	8.11%	12.33
2014	225	3.56%	28.13
2015	240	4.58%	21.82
2016	232	8.19%	12.21
2017	234	5.98%	16.71
2018	98	8.16%	12.25
SC1	900	6.67%	15.00
2013	89	7.87%	12.71
2014	181	4.97%	20.11
2015	181	3.87%	25.86
2016	182	8.79%	11.38
2017	176	7.39%	13.54
2018	91	8.79%	11.38
SP1	2000	7.55%	13.25
2013	170	6.47%	15.45
2014	369	10.03%	9.97
2015	390	7.44%	13.45
2016	370	6.49%	15.42
2017	390	6.92%	14.44
2018	311	7.40%	13.52
SP2	2431	10.57%	9.46
2013	209	10.05%	9.95
2014	451	12.20%	8.20
2015	462	11.26%	8.88
2016	472	9.53%	10.49
2017	473	10.78%	9.27
2018	364	9.07%	11.03
T1	1332	8.18%	12.22
2013	152	10.53%	9.50
2014	154	12.99%	7.70
2015	153	6.54%	15.30
2016	297	9.09%	11.00
2017	315	5.71%	17.50
2018	261	6.90%	14.50

[smartbetting9999]

Thanks liero1, some interesting data there. How have you calculated the odds column, I'm a little unclear. 

I think the key will be being selective with the lays, I would agree that laying every game blindly is high risk but I'm hoping to reduce this risk by taking in to account a range of statistics and team knowledge / performance. 

Unfortunately, there are very few games that offer lay odds of 8.0 on a 0-0 score, most likely around 10-12 from what I've seen. 

[liero1]

1 minute ago, alabomb said:

Thanks liero1, some interesting data there. How have you calculated the odds column, I'm a little unclear. 

I think the key will be being selective with the lays, I would agree that laying every game blindly is high risk but I'm hoping to reduce this risk by taking in to account a range of statistics and team knowledge / performance. 

Unfortunately, there are very few games that offer lay odds of 8.0 on a 0-0 score, most likely around 10-12 from what I've seen. 

No problem.

If you have the probability for 0-0, say 10%, the odds are just 1 / probability, so its 1/ 0.1 = 10. Now, if you lay you need odds below 10, if you back you want odds above 10 to make this work for that probability.

[smartbetting9999]

Thanks, I'm with you now. I guess that shows the overall probability of all teams getting 0-0. 

The data I've been working with takes into account the teams current league position, goals for and against, previous games (against all teams) and previous matchups between the teams. I am also trying to incorporate any related news such as major players out of team, lack of manger / coach etc.

Not a perfect science but hopefully I can improve enough to make the odds work and avoid the major losses!

[liero1]

2 minutes ago, alabomb said:

Thanks, I'm with you now. I guess that shows the overall probability of all teams getting 0-0. 

The data I've been working with takes into account the teams current league position, goals for and against, previous games (against all teams) and previous matchups between the teams. I am also trying to incorporate any related news such as major players out of team, lack of manger / coach etc.

Not a perfect science but hopefully I can improve enough to make the odds work and avoid the major losses!

yea certainly! All the best hope this works out and if it does you share your wisdom how to get involved haha

And yes, my data was pure averages for the full year and the full league.. Just an indicator

[smartbetting9999]

Summary Update Below; (as of 22/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £13.88
• Current % Profit     39%

Latest Games;

• Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WON (Score of 0-2)
• Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WON (Score of 0-2)

Next Games;

TBC

[smartbetting9999]

**TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 22/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £13.88
• Current % Profit     39%

Latest Games;

• Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WON (Score of 0-2)
• Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WON (Score of 0-2)

Next Games;

• Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2 for a liability of £6.91 - 22/01 @ 20:00

I would say this is a higher risk match but the stats suggest that this will be a game with over 2.5 goals so I'm running with it for a 13.9% return on half my liability.

[smartbetting9999]

**YESTERDAYS RESULTS ADDED**

Was a much closer game last night that I had thought but 1 goal from Getafe is enough to secure a win for the good guys!

Summary Update Below; (as of 23/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £14.84
• Current % Profit     48%

Previous Games;

• 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
• 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
• 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
• 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4 for a liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
• 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2 for a liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)

Next Games;

• TBC

Edited January 23, 2019 by alabomb

[smartbetting9999]

**TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 24/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £14.84
• Current % Profit     48%

Previous Games;

• 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
• 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
• 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0 for a liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
• 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4 for a liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
• 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8 for a liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5 for a liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0 for a liability of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2 for a liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)

Next Games;

• 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - 24/01 @ 18:30

The lay odds are a little higher than I would like, offering an 8.3% return on half my liability but I think that this is still a good bet based on the stats of both teams. I cannot see another game for today that fits the criteria so this is the only bet for today. Lots of Premiership games coming up so will aim to get on 3/4 games per day over the next few days.

[smartbetting9999]

Espanyol with a goal in the 27th Min, nice early win. WIll update tomorrow with new bets.

[smartbetting9999]

**TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 25/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £15.46
• Current % Profit     55%

Previous Games;

• 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
• 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
• 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
• 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
• 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability  of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
• 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)

Next Games;

• 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - 25/01 @ 19:30
• 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - 25/01 @ 19:45

[smartbetting9999]

**RESULTS & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 26/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £16.87
• Current % Profit     69%

Previous Games;

• 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
• 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
• 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
• 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
• 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability  of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
• 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
• 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
• 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)

Next Games;

• 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - 26/01 @ 15:00
• 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - 26/01 @ 15:00
• 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - 26/01 : 15:00

A win on all 3 would result in a net profit of 9%, a little below my target of 10% but close enough given the lineups.

[smartbetting9999]

**RESULTS & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 2/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £12.28
• Current % Profit     23%

Previous Games;

• 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
• 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
• 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
• 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
• 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability  of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
• 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
• 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
• 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64)
• 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score
• 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN

Next Games;

• 27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10
• 27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07
• 27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14

The first loss yesterday in the Brighton game, let's see how this goes today.

[smartbetting9999]

**YESTERDAYS RESULTS ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 28/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £13.42
• Current % Profit     +34%

Previous Games;

• 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
• 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
• 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
• 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
• 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability  of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
• 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
• 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
• 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64)
• 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2)
• 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1)
• 27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0)
• 27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3)

Next Games;

• TBC

[smartbetting9999]

**TODAY SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 29/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £13.42
• Current % Profit     +34%

Previous Games;

• 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
• 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
• 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
• 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
• 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability  of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
• 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
• 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
• 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64)
• 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2)
• 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1)
• 27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0)
• 27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3)

Next Games;

• 29/01 - Huddersfield v Everton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - 29/01 @ 20:00
• 29/01 - Fulham v Brighton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - 29/01 @ 20:00
• 29/01 - Wolves v West Ham - £0.36 laid at 13.5, liability of £4.50 - 29/01 @ 20:00

[smartbetting9999]

**TODAYS RESULTS ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 29/01/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £14.72
• Current % Profit     +47%

---------------------------

• 29/01 - Huddersfield v Everton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - WIN
• 29/01 - Fulham v Brighton - £0.47 laid at 10.5, liability of £4.47 - WIN
• 29/01 - Wolves v West Ham - £0.36 laid at 13.5, liability of £4.50 - WIN

A comfortable win on all 3 games tonight for a 9.7% return. Heading back up, after the loss a few days ago.

 

Edited January 29, 2019 by alabomb
added graph

[Maxvroy]

Being going through..but I still don't get how u pick your selections..

pls can u explain more so that I can follow 

 

[smartbetting9999]

**TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 02/02/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £14.72
• Current % Profit     +47%

---------------------------

• 02/02 - Everton v Wolves - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - 02/02 @ 15:00
• 02/02 - Brighton v Wolves - £0.37 laid at 11, liability of £3.70 - 02/02 @ 15:00
• 02/02 - Burnley v Southampton - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - 02/02 @ 15:00
• 02/02 - Palace v Fulham - £0.31 laid at 13, liability of £3.72 - 02/02 @ 15:00

Liability is spread across 4 games today, a clean sweep would be a 9.1% return.

[smartbetting9999]

**RESULT & TODAYS SELECTION ADDED**

Summary Update Below; (as of 03/02/2019)

• Start Balance        £10
• Current Balance    £11.99
• Current % Profit     +20%

---------------------------

Previous Games;

• 15/01 - Blackburn v Newcastle - £0.35 laid at 10.5, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-4)
• 15/01 - Luton v Sheff Wed - £0.30 laid at 12, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 0-1)
• 15/01 - Stoke v Shrewsbury - £0.25 laid at 14.0, liability of £3.33 - WIN (Score 2-3)
• 19/01 - Wolves v Leicester - £0.65 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.45 - WIN (Score 4-3)
• 20/01 - Fulham v Tottenham - £0.43 laid at 14.5, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 20/01 - Schalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg - £0.66 laid at 9.8, liability of £5.78 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 21/01 - Genoa v Milan - £0.67 laid at 10.5, liability of £6.32 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 21/01 - Bolton v West Brom - £0.57 laid at 12.0,liability  of £6.27 - WIN (Score of 0-2)
• 22/01 - Getafe v Valencia - £0.96 laid at 8.2, liability of £6.91 - WIN (Score of 1-0)
• 24/01 - Espanyol vs. Real Betis - £0.62 laid at 13.0, liability of £7.44 - WIN (Score of 1-1)
• 25/01 - Hertha BSC vs. Schalke 04 - £0.74 laid at 11.5, liability of £7.77 - WIN - (Score 2-2)
• 25/01 - Bristol City vs. Bolton Wanderers - £0.67 laid at 12.5, liability of £7.71 - WIN (Score 2-1)
• 26/01 - Brighton v West Brom - £0.47 laid at 13.0, liability of £5.64 - LOSE (-£5.64)
• 26/01 - Newcastle v Watford - £0.49 laid at 12.5, liablity of £5.64 - WIN (Score 0-2)
• 26/01 - Portsmouth v QPR - £0.56 laid at 11.0, liability of £5.60 - WIN (Score 1-1)
• 27/01 - Palace v Spurs - £0.41 laid @ 11.0, liability of £4.10 - WIN (Score 2-0)
• 27/01 - Lazio vs. Juventus £0.37 laid @ 12, liability of £4.07 - WIN (Score 1-2)
• 27/01 - St. Mirren vs. Hibernian - £0.36 laid at 12.5, liability of £4.14 - WIN (Score 1-3)
• 02/02 - Everton v Wolves - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - WIN (Score 1-3)
• 02/02 - Brighton v Wolves - £0.37 laid at 11, liability of £3.70 - LOSE (-£3.70)
• 02/02 - Burnley v Southampton - £0.33 laid at 12, liability of £3.63 - WIN (Score 1-1)
• 02/02 - Palace v Fulham - £0.31 laid at 13, liability of £3.72 - WIN (Score 2-0)

Very unlucky yesterday, Brighton yet again causing me to take a hit. I'm not sure what the odds of them getting 2 x 0-0 games in a row are but what can you do. Still in profit and need a good run now. 

Next Games;

• 03/02 - Real Betis v Athletico Madrid - £0.71 laid at 9.4, liability of £5.96 - 03/02 @ 15:15

Just one game today so half of the liability is on the line. This game shouldn't be a 0-0, not with these teams!

 

Edited February 3, 2019 by alabomb
date corrected