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Australian Open 2019


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Hello everybody. I like to read here, but post relatively rarely, as my English is very bad. tomorrow I would like to put a higher sum on Fabbiano. The tip is more directed against Opelka. I think the type is extremely limited. his serve is hard to read. but everything else cruel. see the game rather 50:50. what do you all mean?

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1 hour ago, xxx1984xxx said:

Hello everybody. I like to read here, but post relatively rarely, as my English is very bad. tomorrow I would like to put a higher sum on Fabbiano. The tip is more directed against Opelka. I think the type is extremely limited. his serve is hard to read. but everything else cruel. see the game rather 50:50. what do you all mean?

Personally i think Opelka is the right favorite here. This guy will not concede BP if he serves in the same way he's doing, he's a monster server. Let's see what the others think but personally i see Opelka winning this.

Edited by darko08
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Kiki Bertens + Schwartzman + Basilashvili at 2.06 with 888

I see Kiki better now. Pavy has played 3 matches in 2019 and she has lost against Vera Lapko and Kudermetova. Kiki won against Pera and Putintseva in straight sets and lost against Barty in a 3 set match in Sydney. Pavy serve is one of her biggest weakness so I expect a lot of BP for Kiki (Kiki is serving so well). Both players won their first rounds in straight sets but Kiki had to face a player in a good form (Riske) while Pavy faced a player in a bad shape (Monica Puig).

Schwartzman and Basilashvili are better than their oponents.

Yoshihito Nishioka (+2.5 Sets) against Kharen Khachanov at 1.67 with 888

Nishioka is playing well. She won against Kubler, Christian Garín, Ryan Harrison and Rublev in Sidney and he finally lost against Schwartzman in a 3 set match. He had a tough opponent in the first round, Tennys Sandgren. Sandgren was playing so well (won all his matches in Auckland in straight sets: Marterer, Cecchinato, Mayer, Kohls and Norrie) but Nishioka beat him in 4 sets. Khachanov had an easier match (Gojowczyk) but lost the first set and looks like he’s not in his best physically.

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Hi @apeman666, if my current info is correct (and I haven't checked in quite some time, since I'm using the same bookies over and over again), Pinnacle pay out after set one, Marathon do the same, Bwin were paying after one ball some time ago.

@xxx1984xxx I can see Fabbiano getting something, but I'm not backing him myself. Opelka's win over Isner is a bit too flattering though, Fabbiano should be tougher to crack imo.

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Pablo Cuevas to beat (+6.5) Grigor Dimitrov at 2.06 with Unibet

Pablo is fully capable of keeping this match even. 6.5 is a line to high for Grigor to cover and not to mutch for Pablo to cover. Considering their past meeting where Grigor beat Pablo on outdoor hardcourt in Sydney which ended 7-6 6-4 to Grigor I think 6.5 can be covered by Pablo.

Edited by four-leaf
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As I did not like anything pre live today I will leave to watch the games and try to take advantage of some opportunity, but for tomorrow I already have something on my mind and wanted to know your opinion.

Krajinovic + Carreno Busta + Raonic + Fognini.

Yes, I know you may be feeling me crazy about that bet. But I think it has a lot of value involved here.


Krajinovic must beat Donskoy in straight sets, Carreno Busta will have a battle against Ivashka but I do not see him losing a five-set match for Ivashka, about Fognini picks up a tough opponent but I think the Italian is ambitious to go far in that Grand Slam and there is no way to go against Raonic after the match against Kyrgios .. Please tell me, do I have any chance of being right or am I going crazy for good? Hahaha

 

Odds are like @5

 

 

 

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14 minutes ago, kingstarbr said:

As I did not like anything pre live today I will leave to watch the games and try to take advantage of some opportunity, but for tomorrow I already have something on my mind and wanted to know your opinion.

Krajinovic + Carreno Busta + Raonic + Fognini.

Yes, I know you may be feeling me crazy about that bet. But I think it has a lot of value involved here.


Krajinovic must beat Donskoy in straight sets, Carreno Busta will have a battle against Ivashka but I do not see him losing a five-set match for Ivashka, about Fognini picks up a tough opponent but I think the Italian is ambitious to go far in that Grand Slam and there is no way to go against Raonic after the match against Kyrgios .. Please tell me, do I have any chance of being right or am I going crazy for good? Hahaha

 

Odds are like @5

 

 

 

Try picking some games handicap to raise the odds instead of picking multiple matchwinners so your risk of losing decreases. For example I would pick the Milos Raonic game handicap -2.5 at around 1.80 after seeing how he cruised in first round only losing 11 points on his serve and Nick only won 2 points on Milos serve twice in the match. 

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Watched Fogini vs Munar as I had Fogini to win.

He did not impress me at all even though he won in straight sets + retirement.

Too many laps of concentration. Against better players it wont just cost going to a tie break but actual sets.

H2H vs Mayer is close so while Fogini should win it might not be worth it especially in a multi.

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Pierre-Hughes Herbert +1.5 set to beat Hyeon Chung at 1.70 with beteasy

PHH played well vs Querrey in the previous round and since the beginning of the season in general.

Very good double player but could also be worth more than his current 55 rank in singles

Chung is struggling to play his tennis from last year (early loss against Statham etc and 5 sets to beat Klahn)

PHH won their only encounter (Wimbledon in 5 sets)

I see this as a close match and good chance to go 5 sets or a win for the Frenchman.

Edited by aussietennisexpert
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7 minutes ago, eros said:

Tennis - ATP Australian Open - R2 VZ - 1X2 Alexei Popyrin -vs- Dominic Thiem

Popyrin @ 6.690 Pinnacle

2/10

Thiem with a bad game yesterday, but he was mentally stronger then Paire. I really think the younster is able to surprise here. Will add more infos later, if I have time. 

Popyrin looked good yesterday but Zverev seemed really weak. Surely Thiem can play a little bit better. will be an interesting match.

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35-68 +18.02 units (Bolt is my top rated bet.. All 1 unit)

Sportsbooks: William Hill, 5dimes

Alex Bolt to beat Simon @ 6.0 

Laura Siegemund to beat Hsieh @ 2.9

Olaru/Voskoboeva to beat Babos/Mladenovic @ 4.4

Peterson/Pera to beat Hsieh/Spears @ 7.0

Olaru has won first round each of the last 3 years. Babos team form looks very questionable. I've seen some results from Siegemund recently, and I'm impressed with how she's playing.. Hsieh can be tired from tournament in Auckland.

I'll try new emoticon for luck. :$

 

 

 

Edited by money44
correct win - loss ratio
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15 hours ago, xxx1984xxx said:

Hello everybody. I like to read here, but post relatively rarely, as my English is very bad. tomorrow I would like to put a higher sum on Fabbiano. The tip is more directed against Opelka. I think the type is extremely limited. his serve is hard to read. but everything else cruel. see the game rather 50:50. what do you all mean?

50:50:):ok

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12 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:

Milos Raonic to beat Stan Wawrinka at 1.53 with William Hill

Raonic has been right on the mark since the start of the season, while Wawrinka is still visibly struggling. I also don't trust Stan to last five sets if it comes to that.

Good luck with your bet.. I think its going to be an epic match to watch.  Raonic has beaten Stan the last three times they played.. Both players look to be playing pretty well, and especially Raonic. I agree that it looks like Stan is struggling.. I just don't know how much, or if that will improve match by match.

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10 hours ago, four-leaf said:

Try picking some games handicap to raise the odds instead of picking multiple matchwinners so your risk of losing decreases. For example I would pick the Milos Raonic game handicap -2.5 at around 1.80 after seeing how he cruised in first round only losing 11 points on his serve and Nick only won 2 points on Milos serve twice in the match. 

I think handicap is excellent, but for a combo I'd rather go on the moneyline ..

 

9 hours ago, four-leaf said:

@kingstarbr I would remove Fabio Fognini, he's not reliable many times.

This game will be very disputed, but I believe that Fognini has come to this season to get bigger results, it is more than the time and he has tennis for that .. so I think he will give his maximum against Mayer.

3 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

@kingstarbr I'd pick those as singles if I were you, that's always safer.

 

  I agree with you but these odds for simple I can not bet, it seems very low .. I think I'll end up putting a stake in this combo to stay with the clean conscience.

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