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CzechPunter

Australian Open 2019

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I've got three bets for the next stage.

Nishikori (+2.5 sets) vs Nole at 2.11 Pinnacle

Djokovic didn't look so well against very tired Medvedev. He has problems chasing some balls, which is extremely rare to see. Kei is a real fighter. I was surprised how well he was feeling after 5 hours war against Careno-Busta. Few years ago he stunned Nole at US Open.

 

Nishikori vs Nole at 8.27 Pinnacle

A long shot, but Djokovic didn't look so dominant as he was in the second part of season 2018. He is a big tournaments player, but matches like the one with Medvedev, or the lost final from RBA in Doha are posing some questions.

 

Nadal to win the AO at 2.40-2.50 various bookies (Will Hill at 2.50)

Rafa looks so dominant here. His serve is great and he went way more easier to the semifinal than Nole. Tsitsipas's hype is going to an end. Not sure how he will do with Rafa's top spin and way better receiving game of the Spanish dude compared to Federer. RBA was exhausted after so many 5-setters. Rafa beat twice Tsitsipas in two sets last year. The other big favorite - Novak Djokovic will have to face tricky Nishikory and service machine Raonic, a match that could be 4 or 5 setter. I expect if Nole and Rafa reach the Nadal probably will be a light favorite, because of his way to the final. Also Rafa's serve looked improved as they worked with Carlos Moya on that.

 

 

 

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Yep, im agree with have you said about Djokovic. He had some strange “disconnections” in his matches against Shapovalov and Medvedev. Nishikori is a warrior but looks like his game doesn’t work against Djokovic. The h2h is so dominant (15-2) and the last time he won against Nole was in 2014. I can’t put my confidence on him considering how he suffered against Majchrzak and PBC (who was in a very bad shape before coming here). I have seen some disconnections from Nole against Shapovalov and Medvedev but I also have seen some brilliant moments from him. About Nishikori I haven’t seen any brilliant moment from him so I can’t find any rational reason to think that he can hurt Djokovic. Anyway, maybe you’re right and Kei find some form in his match against Nole but I haven’t seen any sign to think that, let’s see.

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Petra Kvitova (-4.5) to beat Danielle Collins at 1.80 with Pinnacle

Skipping the Tsitsipas bet, I wanted to get evens for him to win a set. I am, however, going to back Kvitova to build on her run and beat Collins in a better fashion that she did in Brisbane. She's certainly improved since then and, most importantly, she's already been to Grand Slam SFs, which tend to come with a lot of pressure that isn't easy to deal with. If Collins drops her serve early on, this could be over very quickly.

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56 minutes ago, eros said:

Pouille for sure will be a hard nut to crack, his serving is excellent and he looks quite confident to me, so I expect him at least 1 set to take.

Lucas Pouille (+2.5 Sets) @ 1.793 Pinnacle

3/10

 

His serving may be excellent but he's coming up against one of the best servers of this tournament whom he's 0-3 lifetime against and never has taken a set from. I don't know where that set is supposed to be taken away from Milos so I'm in very big doubt about your bet.

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Serena injured her ankle when leading with 5:1 and having a MB. After the match she said that it wasn't the injury that helped Pliskova, but the great play of the Czech player. But I think that injury and the tough match against Halep affected her. Osaka seems a valid small favorite here, but it can be pretty close.

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I saw the Pliskova-Serena match and like @ogii55 said Serena had an injury in her ankle when she was leading the 3rd set 5-1. Pliskova started the match incredibly well, she was superb with her serve and had the opportunity to win that match in straight sets when she broke Serena in the 2nd. Surprisingly, Pliskova suffered a counter-break in the next game and that gave wings to Serena (first time in the entire match that she broke Karo). Serena won the 2nd set and Pliskova was out of the match for the 3rd set till the injury. I don't know what said Serena after the match but obviously her mobility was not the same after that.

Good result for me because i have Kvitova to win AO at 4.50 and now is paid at 2.20

Edited by darko08

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The interesting thing about Serena's injury was that she was able to battle pretty decently when Pliskova was serving - she got a couple of break points (match points). Great serve returns, powerful shots. But Serena just could not serve - making a double fault in every game and she won only one or two points out of 13 or 14.

Pliskova did step her game up though, so she deserved to win. Serena's injury unlocked a door for Karolina and she pushed through that door with all the power and skills she had. For neutral tennis fans it was great to watch.

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13 minutes ago, cluelessG said:

The interesting thing about Serena's injury was that she was able to battle pretty decently when Pliskova was serving - she got a couple of break points (match points). Great serve returns, powerful shots. But Serena just could not serve - making a double fault in every game and she won only one or two points out of 13 or 14.

Pliskova did step her game up though, so she deserved to win. Serena's injury unlocked a door for Karolina and she pushed through that door with all the power and skills she had. For neutral tennis fans it was great to watch.

100% agree and Karo saved the match points cleaning the lines of the court, that was impressive.

Edited by darko08

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Novak Djokovic (-7.5 Games) to beat Lucas Pouille at 1.72 with bet365

Probably my last bet for this tournament. It’s unbelievable to see Pouille in the semifinal. He was in a very bad shape before coming here but he was absolutely lucky with the draw he had. My thoughts were that he would lose easily against Raonic but the Canadian showed us his worst version (that was unexpected considering that he easily won against tougher opponents than Lucas: Wawrinka, Zverev, Herbert,… and the fact that he never dropped a set in any of the 3 matches played against him). Anyway, this fairytale has come to an end because Lucas has to face Djokovic. I’m expecting from Djokovic to end this match by the fast way to get time to rest for the final against Rafa (I guess).

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8 minutes ago, darko08 said:

Novak Djokovic (-7.5 Games) to beat Lucas Pouille at 1.72 with bet365

Probably my last bet for this tournament. It’s unbelievable to see Pouille in the semifinal. He was in a very bad shape before coming here but he was absolutely lucky with the draw he had. My thoughts were that he would lose easily against Raonic but the Canadian showed us his worst version (that was unexpected considering that he easily won against tougher opponents than Lucas: Wawrinka, Zverev, Herbert,… and the fact that he never dropped a set in any of the 3 matches played against him). Anyway, this fairytale has come to an end because Lucas has to face Djokovic. I’m expecting from Djokovic to end this match by the fast way to get time to rest for the final against Rafa (I guess).

Now you're assuming Lucas is bad and that's the biggest mistake you can do in betting, assuming the other team or player is to bad to make an effort. So I have to place a warning on this handicap line and defenitely the higher one on Unibet at 8.5. I don't say Lucas can cover 7.5 or 8.5 but he's in the semi and he's got there by playing good tennis while the other players he met played bad. Nole will defenitely go out and do his best here but Lucas has been pretty good so I'm not sure if there's something that really says he will get ran over by Nole.

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