DrO Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Rafa looks very powerfull,but i still have a feeling that he wasn`t tested yet adequately. Sure,he serves like he did in USO 2010 but he didn`t face any player with good return shot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_African_Punter Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, DrO said: Rafa looks very powerfull,but i still have a feeling that he wasn`t tested yet adequately. Sure,he serves like he did in USO 2010 but he didn`t face any player with good return shot. True, however, unlike Djokovic, he has not lost a set. He inexplicably lost a set to Shapovalov and was in command of the 2nd set against Medvedev but then lost it in a TB. Djokovic's serve looks quite vulnerable to be quite frank, something that I'm sure Nadal has noticed. Nadal is playing on another level... Edited January 24, 2019 by South_African_Punter DrO, aussietennisexpert and four-leaf 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 Rafael Nadal to win Australian Open 2019 at 1.80 with Bet365 If a miracle happens and Pouille wins tomorrow, this is going to be a massive value, but the real reason for me going for Nadal now instead of tomorrow is that I don't think that the odds are all that likely to increase. Djokovic would need to play really well for that to happen and I'm not convinced that he will, as he's had plenty of strange blips in this tournament already. I was looking forward to Tsitsipas getting something today, but Nadal was just spectacularly good and I think that he's the best player of the remaining trio at this moment in time. four-leaf, Grass Cash, South_African_Punter and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Simeon Borisof Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Any thoughts on Osaka vs Kvitova on Saturday? Kvitova looks like Nadal- flawless so far and yet to drop a set. Osaka on the other hsnd wont't crush mentaly for sure, thats a given so is there going to be a surprise or Petra will just pass through her opponent? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 I'd like Osaka to win, but I think the odds are about right. Hopefully the roof won't be closed, that would help Kvitova big time. Simeon Borisof 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LuckyLoser Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 On 1/23/2019 at 12:26 PM, ogii55 said: Serena injured her ankle when leading with 5:1 and having a MB. After the match she said that it wasn't the injury that helped Pliskova, but the great play of the Czech player. But I think that injury and the tough match against Halep affected her. Osaka seems a valid small favorite here, but it can be pretty close. It wasn't injury imho. On the first match point she served an ace but foot fault was called and that played to her mentally. Sure on the next point she slipped a bit and wanted to play more safely but really after the foot fault I think there were no first serves in and she felt shaky except on the game where she had two MP's on Pliskova serve where Czech player pulled them off in style and aggression. After that Serena just gave up. When she walked of the court she was stunned as didn't understand what was going on there. And we can remember events in US Open 2009 where she threatened lineswoman to shove ball down her throat. These kind of memories might upset and mess with your head. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Novak Djokovic/Lucas Pouille over 10.5 games first set at 4.10 with Unibet Chances are that Novak will have to work hard for a break at the beginning and I can see the first set end in over 10 games. I think there value in this bet but this is a big risk I've taken but I think it's a bigger chance of over 10 games than the odds suggest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 (edited) On 23/1/2019 at 3:10 PM, darko08 said: Novak Djokovic (-7.5 Games) to beat Lucas Pouille at 1.72 with bet365 Probably my last bet for this tournament. It’s unbelievable to see Pouille in the semifinal. He was in a very bad shape before coming here but he was absolutely lucky with the draw he had. My thoughts were that he would lose easily against Raonic but the Canadian showed us his worst version (that was unexpected considering that he easily won against tougher opponents than Lucas: Wawrinka, Zverev, Herbert,… and the fact that he never dropped a set in any of the 3 matches played against him). Anyway, this fairytale has come to an end because Lucas has to face Djokovic. I’m expecting from Djokovic to end this match by the fast way to get time to rest for the final against Rafa (I guess). Looks like the line i chose was a little bit short.. I have Kvitova to win AO at 4.50 since a few days ago so im done for this AO Edited January 25, 2019 by darko08 CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 (edited) 16 hours ago, CzechPunter said: Rafael Nadal to win Australian Open 2019 at 1.80 with Bet365 If a miracle happens and Pouille wins tomorrow, this is going to be a massive value, but the real reason for me going for Nadal now instead of tomorrow is that I don't think that the odds are all that likely to increase. Djokovic would need to play really well for that to happen and I'm not convinced that he will, as he's had plenty of strange blips in this tournament already. I was looking forward to Tsitsipas getting something today, but Nadal was just spectacularly good and I think that he's the best player of the remaining trio at this moment in time. You can get odds around 2.15 for Nadal now. I can't see any value in 1.80 for Nadal. Even 2.15 is questionable but obviously at those odds right now if you want to take a bet, then take Nadal at 2.15. You might get better odds after the first service game Djokovic brings home. No reason to take a pre game bet here. 50/50 matchup, close odds, no value at all. Leaning torwards Nadal as he LOOKED BETTER although both did well throughout the tournament but it was only a LOOK. This is a complete different matchup. Edited January 25, 2019 by opole DrO and CzechPunter 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teodore Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Guys, in my local 2.07 on Nadal. Value ???? Maybe some games over??? I dont think on 3 sets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Yeah, the odds for Nadal went up as a result of Djokovic crushing Pouille, but I don't believe that the reaction is adequate. I don't fancy Nadal as much as I was fancying him yesterday (when the bet was posted) anymore, but I still have him as a marginal favourite. If you're betting now, I'd still have a lean on Nadal at everything above evens. No bet on Osaka/Kvitova, so I'll be waiting only for Nadal and hope that he brings the bet in. opole and Teodore 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 There is no much sense in trying to predict the winner considering the previous matches these 2 players had in this tournament because they are 2, 3 or 4 steps above that any other player (the semifinals has showed us the huge different between Nadal and Djokovic and the other players). Djokovic is not the favourite now for destroying Pouille today and Nadal was not the favourite yesterday for destroying Tsitsipas and for the 2 sets that Djokovic has lost against Daniil and Shapo. This is a 50-50 match to me so No Bet here and I will just enjoy the match. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElPrincipito007 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 If you say 50-50, the value is with Nadal now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owenclass Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 On 24/01/2019 at 7:32 PM, CzechPunter said: I'd like Osaka to win, but I think the odds are about right. Hopefully the roof won't be closed, that would help Kvitova big time. Hi Czech. Do you think the Womens final will go to three sets. Also how much of a factor is the closing of the roof if it ever happens as would it favour Kvitova. And does Osaka also like playing when the roof is closed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 @owenclass Predicting the number of sets in such a match is pure guesswork mate. A closed roof would certainly benefit Kvitova more than Osaka, but it's hard to believe that it could be the decisive factor and that it could even come into play given that it's a night match. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Weather reports suggests it's unlikely the roof will come into play as it wont get hot enough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darko08 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 9 hours ago, ElPrincipito007 said: If you say 50-50, the value is with Nadal now. Well maybe is a 55-45 for Djokovic considering that he leads the h2h, has 6 titles here and the fact that Nole had tougher opponents than Rafa ElPrincipito007 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robinnho Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Women's Final between 2 hard hitters. Enough has been said about the 2 finalists and the condition - roof open or close.... temperature will not be too hot and unbearable esp. for Kv. I think maturity and big-stage experience has a slight edge here and odds at Pinnacle is good. Kvitova to win the AO WTA title @1.88. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Striker Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/14/2019 at 7:05 AM, Striker said: Quite like Naomi Osaka outright in the Womens Did not get the credit she deserved for winning the last Grand Slam Each Way @ 14-1 Bet 365 Beautiful,,,,but a roller coaster of emotions! Torque and ElPrincipito007 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delfino Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 I see Nadal as the winner of all four grand slams in this year. Alien tennis indeed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 2 hours ago, delfino said: I see Nadal as the winner of all four grand slams in this year. Alien tennis indeed Can't see him winning Wimbledon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 36 minutes ago, opole said: Can't see him winning Wimbledon. Agreed. He'll likely win the French Open and it's so hard to do the French Open and Wimbledon double. He's done it before obviously, but he was younger then and his body was in better shape. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delfino Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Obviously Nadal must win tomorrow before winning wimbledon! Providing that he will win tomorrow, then French Open is not that high target for him! Now, going to grass slam in London, the question is who can challenge him apart from Djokovic? No one else in my humble opinion. Federer proved to be a veteran than a real player. He truly frustrated me and all of his fans with his poor attitude he showed against Tsitsipas. I See great opportunity for Nadal to make it 4/4 grand slams! Lets see however what will happen tomorrow in the final! I wish Djokovic not to ruin my estimation! THanks to all of you dear members! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 36 minutes ago, delfino said: Obviously Nadal must win tomorrow before winning wimbledon! Providing that he will win tomorrow, then French Open is not that high target for him! Now, going to grass slam in London, the question is who can challenge him apart from Djokovic? No one else in my humble opinion. Federer proved to be a veteran than a real player. He truly frustrated me and all of his fans with his poor attitude he showed against Tsitsipas. I See great opportunity for Nadal to make it 4/4 grand slams! Lets see however what will happen tomorrow in the final! I wish Djokovic not to ruin my estimation! THanks to all of you dear members! I agree with your premise as Federer and certainly Murray are in decline but as for who can beat him at Wimbledon the answer is anyone who can serve and volley. As has been proven in the past, that doesn't even have to be one of the top players. darko08 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 39 minutes ago, delfino said: Obviously Nadal must win tomorrow before winning wimbledon! Providing that he will win tomorrow, then French Open is not that high target for him! Now, going to grass slam in London, the question is who can challenge him apart from Djokovic? No one else in my humble opinion. Federer proved to be a veteran than a real player. He truly frustrated me and all of his fans with his poor attitude he showed against Tsitsipas. I See great opportunity for Nadal to make it 4/4 grand slams! Lets see however what will happen tomorrow in the final! I wish Djokovic not to ruin my estimation! THanks to all of you dear members! I disagree the French Open isn't a high priority for Nadal. I'm certain it is. He'll always want to win it for as long as he plays. Also Federer's attitude shouldn't have been a surprise if you saw him play at the US Open. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 I think that he meant that winning French Open wouldn't be too hard for Nadal. Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, CzechPunter said: I think that he meant that winning French Open wouldn't be too hard for Nadal. Now that you mention it I can see that might have been the meaning, and like you say it probably was. I stand corrected Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 2 hours ago, eros said: Wow, djoker in beast mode, not a single chance for nadal so far. Yeah Nadal never had a chance. If you believe in numbers, Djokovic was playing like this in 2011 and 2015. What's next in that sequence Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 . Not a great end, but it was a nicely profitable event otherwise. vikki37 and Teodore 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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