Jump to content
** Poker League Results : July: 1st McG, 2nd Rhino_Power, 3rd Elliott Sutcliffe; August: 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd Rivrd **
** August Naps Competition Result: 1st LEE-GRAYS, 2nd Gary66, 3rd LeMale, 4th RUG. KO Cup Winner DONNYFLYER. Most Winners TVY: **

Recommended Posts

Does anyone have the slightest idea what mathematical concept is behind odds in in-play basketball?

I mean is there a distribution or something to use, as someone could use poisson in football (with time, decaying goal expectancies over time etc)?


Even though basketball seams to follow a normal distribution, I don't know what to do with negative values (points cannot be negative).

if I model point differences (hence allow negative values) I cannot model the total points rather than the margin of victories, handicaps only...


any idea?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Create New...