paparainbow Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Does anyone have the slightest idea what mathematical concept is behind odds in in-play basketball? I mean is there a distribution or something to use, as someone could use poisson in football (with time, decaying goal expectancies over time etc)? Even though basketball seams to follow a normal distribution, I don't know what to do with negative values (points cannot be negative). if I model point differences (hence allow negative values) I cannot model the total points rather than the margin of victories, handicaps only... any idea? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.