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2019 Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle / Classic Chase - Tips & Trends


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2.40 Kempton:
2m5f 
(Winter) Unibet Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2019-01-08 at 10.39.22.png

Trends

10/10 Ran with 2 mionths
9/10 Aged 6 or more
7/10 Carried at least 10st 10lbs
6/10 Rated 137 or higher
11/21 Placed last time out (8 won)
14/21 First 3 in betting
18/21 ran 3 times or less that season
13/21 Had not won at this trip previously.

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Not gonna bet yet til final decs but rated as follows :

Admiral barratry   303 

Kloud gate     300

Cotswold way 295 

Loads of value in top rated ew at 14/1 currently ...kloud gate is a potential big improver....9/2 minimum is probably minimum price for value ..cotswold way is a dark horse won past 3 but faced nowhere near this calibre to date and might struggle 7/1 no value ...will have to see what's on offer Friday...

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3.00 Warwick : Classic Chase

3m5f (3m5f54y) McCoy Contractors Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) 

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2019-01-09 at 22.26.53.png

Trends

10/10 Ran within 42 days
9/10 IRE or FR Bred
9/10 Aged 8 or above
8/10 Rated 140 or less
7/10 carried less than 11st 7lbs
14/16 ran 3 times or less this season
9/16 won over 3m2f or further

 

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  • BillyHills changed the title to 2019 Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle / Classic Chase - Tips & Trends

240 Kempton - Lanzarote Hurdle

10/10 Ran with 2 months
We lose Thetarebar


9/10 Aged 6 or more
We lose Erick Le Rouge, Star Of Lanka


11/21 Placed last time out (8 won)
We lose Doux Pretender, Solomon Grey, Lord Napier


18/21 ran 3 times or less that season
We lose Darling Malthaix, Canyon City, Sleep Easy, Mellow Ben, Big Time Dancer, Millrow


13/21 Had not won at this trip previously.
We lose Cotswold Way, Kloud Gate

Selection
1pt EW And The New :  20/1 Paddy Power

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300 Warwick : Classic Chase 

10/10 Ran within 42 days
We lose Un Temps Pour Tout, Sizing Cadelco, Step Back


9/10 IRE or FR Bred
We lose Chase The Spud, Cogry, Caroles Destrier, Crosspark


9/10 Aged 8 or above
We lose Callet Mad


8/10 Rated 140 or less
We lose Ultragold, Ibis Du Rheu

9/16 won over 3m2f or further
We lose Duel At Dawn

Selections
1pt Impulsive Star 10/1 Coral
1pt Milansbar 8/1 Betfred

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On 08/01/2019 at 7:06 PM, richard-westwood said:

Not gonna bet yet til final decs but rated as follows :

Admiral barratry   303 

Kloud gate     300

Cotswold way 295 

Loads of value in top rated ew at 14/1 currently ...kloud gate is a potential big improver....9/2 minimum is probably minimum price for value ..cotswold way is a dark horse won past 3 but faced nowhere near this calibre to date and might struggle 7/1 no value ...will have to see what's on offer Friday...

Well good job I'm waiting now ....5pt wins kloud gate 4/1 b365 and cotswold way 5pts 10/1 corals 

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Classic Chase

Looking at the winners recently they seem to be getting older on average !

So I'm going with a couple of the 10 and over brigade to see off the younger upstarts. I guess it is a bit of a law of nature amongst horses (and humans) that as you get older Speed decreases and Stamina increases ………. on the average. Of course there'll always be exceptions. Sprinters on the Flat seem to go the other way

Anyway, enough rambling ……..

Carole's Destrier 12/1

Un Temps Pour Tout 16/1

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2.40 Kempton:
2m5f 
(Winter) Unibet Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

DOUX PRETENDER @ 8/1 Unibet

3.00 Warwick : Classic Chase

3m5f (3m5f54y) McCoy Contractors Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) 

11 hours ago, Valiant Thor said:

Saturdays selection

3.00 Warwick COGRY 1pt ew @ 7/1 1/5 odds 4 places Coral :hope

 

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LANZAROTE

Win bet on Doux Prentender 7/1  strong yard will love the good ground ulike a lot of thes trip too far lto looks to have a very big chance in this. Cotswold Way 14/1 5 places 1/5 odds  another horse that has ground to suit  and has been in great form this looks a lot harder race now but i feel  this horse will be up to the challenge. RFC on both

CLASSIC CHASE

2 outsiders  e/w 1/5 1-4 for me last years winner Millansbar  18/1 not ideal ground  but was a very easy winner of this last year worth a risk at the massive price. Sizing  Codelco 20/1 clever trainer that i like a lot the good ground suits this horse and hopefully will get the trip on it  is high in the weights but again worth a risk at the price. RFC on both

Edited by Tedthewolf
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2.40 – Unibet Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f 
17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before   (7)
15/17 – Aged 7 or younger   (5)
15/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks   
13/17 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before   (2,4,9,11,15)
12/17 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before   (3,6,12)
11/17 – Irish (6) or French (5) bred
10/17 – Carried 10-11 or less
10/17 – Aged 6 years-old   (8)

NR 1

Mellow Ben 2 Pts EW @ 16\1 Bet365

Big Time Dancer 2 Pts EW @ 22\1 Bet365

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3.00 – McCoy Constructors Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m5f 
13/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks   (1,2,3)
12/13 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m   (4,6,13)
12/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
9/13 – Officially rated between 129-140   (5,8)
9/13 – Aged between 7-9 years-old   (9,10)

NR 7

Duel at Dawn 2 Pts Win @ 11\2 

Crosspark 1 Pt EW @ 14\1 

 

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