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StevieDay1983

EFL Cup Predictions > Jan 8th & 9th

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The EFL Cup Semi-Finals are coming up next week. It only seems like yesterday that we had the Quarter-Finals. It's the epic Tottenham versus Chelsea match-up and then the David versus Goliath encounter when Manchester City play Burton. It's the first legs of these ties so take a look at the odds and give us your thoughts. :ok

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Tottenham vs Chelsea

The EFL Cup Semi-Finals are here and we kick-off with a London derby between Tottenham and Chelsea at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium Wembley Stadium for this 8pm kick-off on Tuesday night. Which one of these two sides will take the advantage going into the second leg?

Tottenham are looking more and more like Premier League title contenders with every passing week but how much will they have to sacrifice to keep that going? The side Mauricio Pochettino put out for the 7-0 mauling of Tranmere Rovers on the weekend in the FA Cup was a mix of first team and fringe players. Will he do the same here? Personally, I think he wants to break that trophy duck by any means possible and he'll put all his big guns out for this one.

Chelsea are in need of a striker. Until that happens it looks like the issue of putting games to bed or even taking points from games will be an issue. The Blues struggled to see off Nottingham Forest with a 2-0 win on the weekend but they have dropped off the Premier League title pace after recent defeats to Tottenham, Wolves, and Leicester plus a 0-0 draw with relegation battlers Southampton since the end of November.

We could see some goals here despite the Chelsea striker issues. The midfield are dragging them through the short term problems. Maurizio Sarri's team have scored in 13 of their 14 away matches this season including the 3-1 defeat they suffered to Tottenham back on 24th November, 2018. To add to that, Tottenham have scored in all but one of their competitive home games this season but have only managed to keep clean sheets on four occasions.

Both sides are missing key players but the absentees are likely to hurt Chelsea more. Tottenham will likely be without Erik Lamela, Moussa Dembele, Jan Vertonghen, and Eric Dier. Chelsea will most probably be missing Olivier Giroud, Pedro, and Willian.

I'm going to have to back a Tottenham win at this price. Chelsea will put up a fight against anyone but I think Tottenham are the stronger side in better form right now. You'd have to fancy Harry Kane to score and I think a narrow 2-1 win could be the eventual outcome here.

Tottenham to Win @ 2.15 with BetVictor

BTTS @ 1.70 with Bet365

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Valencia continues to be fairly modest, and especially in the championship it is at risk of staying away from goals early. However, there is also a cup where it can save the year, as long as it goes ahead and reclaims the trophy. He is currently facing Sporting Gijon, and will be followed by the repeat. However, a psychological victory is needed, and if you do not win a second-class team today, then your morale will fall further. The double is worth the difference between the two teams

SPORTING GIJON vs CF VALENCIA @@ CF VALENCIA, odds 1.90

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@StevieDay1983 since your post spurs have been pushed out bigtime to around 2.5 now.  Has anyone seen anything team news wise to justify Spurs price moving out this far?

I have no idea why the price has moved so much as I haven't seen any negative team news from the club.  I'd expect a strong side from both teams as i'm sure Sarri would love to win a trophy in his first season.  I think i'm right in saying he has never won a trophy before, same as Poch so he must be motivated to go for it having got this far. 

I thought spurs were a good bet at 2.10, but at 2.55 (bet365) i'm definitely backing them strongly.  Chelsea were well beaten by spurs as recently as November, the 3-1 score flattered Chelsea.  I think spurs will go all out to try and build up a decent lead in the home tie before the return fixture in a few weeks.  Other than Hazard, most of Chelsea's attacking players are not in great form, and obviously spurs are scoring goals for fun at the moment, albeit against lesser opposition than Chelsea.  

Son to score at 3.3 anytime (unibet) also looks good.  He scored a wonder goal against Chelsea in November, and has been scoring goals almost every game since.  He has this game and then Man Utd at the weekend before he is off to the Asian games so i'm sure he will play in both games, and hopefully keep up his good scoring run after a slow start to the season.

 

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Has Son not left for the Asia Cup? I had heard a rumour that he was going? Or has he decided to stay? I've not heard any teams news. I'd be amazed if Spurs fielded a weakened side. It's a cup semi-final. You've got to go for it from here.

Edit: Just read that he's leaving after the Tottenham versus Manchester United game on 13th January.

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Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea

Last match between each other ended up with a 3-1 comfortable win for Tottenham. They are the favorite for many bookies. I think there will be goals from both sides, so a bet on the over 2.5 will also be good choice. This will be a very exciting match.

 

Tottenham win @ 2.5 with Pinnacle

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Manchester City vs Burton

The second of the first leg ties from the EFL Cup Semi-Finals is taking place tonight when Premier League title contenders Manchester City welcome League One side Burton to the Etihad Stadium for this 7:45pm kick-off. If you believe the pundits then this game is already a given!

Manchester City are the reigning Premier League and EFL Cup champions but Pep Guardiola's side have shown a few chinks in their armour over the past few weeks. The Citizens might be 2nd in the league table and have defeated league leaders Liverpool last week but they have lost 3 of their last 6 league matches.

The club has done what it's needed to do to get to this stage of the competition. Convincing wins with clean sheets against Oxford and Fulham were followed up by a 3-1 win on penalties after a 1-1 draw over 90 minutes against Leicester in the last round. This has been achieved with more or less a squad consisting of youth players and fringe players. I'd be surprised if Guardiola picked his strongest side here but that will still be a very decent starting 11.

Burton have defied the odds to reach this stage of the competition. Nigel Clough's side are treading water in League One with the team in 9th place but 10 points off the pace of the play-offs. It's not exactly a terrible situation for a club that enjoyed a rapid rise from non-league to the Championship over recent years.

In the EFL Cup, the Brewers have repeatedly beaten sides as the underdogs. Victories over Shrewsbury, Aston Villa, Burnley, Nottingham Forest, and Middlesbrough have seen them navigate their way to the last four. It just feels that over two legs this is an impossible mission.

I'm going to have to state the obvious here and back a convincing City win. If Burton were at home then I think they'd make things a little bit tricky for City but at the Etihad Stadium I can see the home side notching up a 3-0 victory to put one foot in the final. Not too much value here so might have to take a bit of a risk by backing a big score. Hopefully, Burton's resolve will keep the score lower than a disaster.

Burton +4 @ 1.95 with Ladbrokes

Anytime Scorer: Riyad Mahrez @ 2.18 with 888Sport

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