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Portugal - League Cup - 28.12.18


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Third round of group play. Group play sees a lot of draws by big dogs, and often shock wins by home dogs in the 6.00 to 8.00 range. If you have the stomach for it, Desportivo Aves home to Benfica would be a play, which on paper looks like suicide.

The strangest match is Setubal home to Braga. They drew in the Taca de Portugal on Dec 18, at Setubal...Braga won it in extra time. The lineup announced today by Setubal is 100 percent changed from that match. Braga has made three changes, including top scorer Sousa. It's all pretty crazy...there will be a lot of players making their debuts today, especially Setubal. In any case, if you believe in the system, the play is draw here, as it is with Tondela-Nacional, assuming the home side there stay below 2.00.

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