Premier League Predictions > Dec 29th & 30th

[Mindfulness]

[Mindfulness]

Manchester Utd V AFC Bournemouth

Both teams to score @ 1.83 Betfair (Exchange)

I managed to get on this @ 1.90 with Bet365 earlier today, price has come in a bit but still worth taking in my view. We know Bouremouth have a dangerous attack which works best against cavalier opponents.

Man Utd have been reinvigorated under Solskjaer but I am still skeptical about their defence. They will probably beat Bournemouth due to overwhelming firepower advantage but Eddie Howe's team have a good chance of getting on the scoresheet here.

Odds for BTTS should be around 1.67 in my view so 1.80 and above appears to hold some added value.

[StevieDay1983]

Thanks for posting these up last night, @Mindfulness! I'm back from my Christmas break now. Here are the weekend's Premier League fixtures with their odds and ratings. I hope you all had a lovely Christmas break. It's fast and furious action now so take a look at the stats above then share your tips with us. I'll get previews up as normal today!

@Mindfulness, @Pep004, @MaliMisko12, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @godofhorses, @Tiffy, @waynecoyne, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @Duke_Tm, @dogmeister, @Arkadi Manucharov, @derbent, @fat, @allyhibs, @6avin24, @discipline, @the bastardian, @Bronxie, @Bett, @KikoCy, @teddybear3011, @markus808, @allthethings, @Kenton Schweppes, @vasilli07, @Dylan Lynch, @neilovan, @JKos, @zemo91, @kulikTS, @mrclubbie, @Judeksi, @Henind666, @Teodore, @kilkenny1, @newjack, @PokerWolf1, @Dave1X2, @real55555, @jazzman02, @Ameer13, @Gedkip, @mcsilks, @MangoTheThird, @Roy The Boy, @DonPaulo, @Duckets, @yossa6133, @sjuesju, @dylanphan, @thfc, @Dboston, @Dr. Florida192, @money44, @1moregoal, @ggm31v, @EuroDream, and @AndreBR, what are you all looking to bet on this weekend?

[StevieDay1983]

Leicester vs Cardiff

Well, it's been great to revel in Cardiff getting an away point in the Premier League. It doesn't happen much so please bear with me! My first preview from this weekend's top flight matches is our game away to Leicester in a 3pm kick-off at the King Power Stadium this Saturday. Bring it on!

Leicester come into this game as heavy favourites after moving to 7th in the table thanks to back-to-back victories against Chelsea and Manchester City. Those victories ended a run of three league games without a win and will give Claude Puel the chance to add some punching power to his January transfer negotiations. 

Cardiff are defying expectations by being placed outside the relegation zone at the midway point of the season. Neil Warnock's side still can't get that win away from home but is this the chance to do it? The point away to Crystal Palace was crucial and ensures they are 3 points clear of the bottom three heading into this game.

The last time these two sides met was under eerie circumstances just days after the tragic death of Vichai Srivaddhanaprabha. The Foxes came away with all three points that day but the Bluebirds were left ruing a momentary lapse of concentration and missed chances at the other end of the pitch.

Statistics are not Cardiff's friend coming into this one. The Bluebirds haven't scored more than a single goal in any of the past 12 meetings with Leicester. Having scored just 5 goals in 9 away matches this season it seems hard to imagine that changing this weekend.

Leicester boast a prolific record against newly promoted sides. The Foxes have won 7 of their last 10 meetings with newly promoted teams in the Premier League. This season they have already beaten Cardiff and Wolves plus drawn against Fulham.

It's a tall order for Cardiff but we're getting players back fit and I think Warnock has shown a willingness to mix things up away from home. The 5-3-2 is something I've pushed for since the opening weeks of the season and finally Warnock has shifted to that approach. Yes, we could have lost by 2 or 3 to Palace but we could also have won the game. That's the risky approach we'll have to adopt away from home. I wouldn't be surprised to see us a nick a point here as well.

Cardiff Double Chance @ 2.70 with MarathonBet

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.90 with Betfair

[Gedkip]

Brighton - Everton
Everton(2.18) 1-2 FT

Fulham - Huddersfield Town
Fulham(2.05) 2-1 FT

Leicester City - Cardiff City
Cardiff City(6.30) 1-2 FT

Tottenham - Wolves
Tottenham(1.34) 1-0 FT

Watford - Newcastle Utd
Draw(3.75) 2-2 FT

Liverpool - Arsenal
Draw(4.80) 2-2 FT

Crystal Palace - Chelsea
Chelsea(1.72) 0-1 FT

Burnley - West Ham
West Ham(2.25) 0-1 FT

Southampton - Manchester City
Draw(5.60) 1-1 FT

Manchester Utd - Bournemouth
Manchester Utd(1.32) 2-0 FT

Edited December 29, 2018 by Gedkip

[Magic0024]

Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

43% of Liverpool's conceded goals occurred after the 75th minute in Premier League.
Arsenal have scored in each of their last 18 matches in Premier League.
Brighton & Hove conceded at least 1 goal in each of their last 9 matches in Premier League.
Fulham have failed to win in their last 6 matches in Premier League.
Cardiff City have scored 39% of their goals after the 75th minute in Premier League.
Tottenham have won their last 5 matches in Premier League.
74% of Wolverhampton's matches had under 2.5 goals in Premier League.
Brighton & Hove conceded at least 1 goal in 78% of their home matches in Premier League.
Huddersfield have scored 33% of their goals in the first 15 minutes in Premier League.

You can find interesting 159 Football Betting Streaks for 29.12.2018 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-29-12-2018-12829

[Tiffy]

Brighton V Everton

Brighron haven't won in 4 games, so based on the law of averages, we are due a win soon! We were unlucky not to get all 3 points apparently against Arsenal, and  we could have snatched a draw against Chelsea. We have only lost at home to them and Spurs, and I don't rate Everton as good as either of them.

Everton were very lucky last season to snatch a late draw with a penalty.

Brighton DC@ 1.61 (SX)

[EuroDream]

Hello everyone! I will play this 3 games as a parlay...

Brighton - Everton BTTS @1.8 7/10

At first I had a feeling I should take Brighton DNB but Everton super performance in last round got me off of it so I decided to take the safer option. Brighton scores in almost all home games and after Everton scoring 5 goals in last round at least one goal from them should be expected to make this bet go through. Everton had two 2:2 results against weaker opponents previously this season on the road.

Watford - Newcastle HOME WIN @1.8 6/10

I am backing Watford all the way since their Man City game, at Everton I had them DNB, then two Wins and against Chelsea since I expected Chelsea is however a bit stronger opponent I placed BTTS(and I said Chelsea will need at least 2 goals to win). All in all Watford plays just fine in last rounds while Newcastle is in average shape imo and although it seems less likely to happen I expect again the same result we have seen in previous 2 seasons...2:1. In the first game between them it was 1:0 but Watford was somewhat more dominant so Newcastle win was non deserving, it should have been at least a draw. They both had a draw at Everton but Watford was slightly closer to grab a win there. I don't expect a blowout of Newcastle but usual and most often result in football...a win by one goal of home team. Watford also has much better goal difference and is better placed on the standings. They have also both played against West Ham recently with opposite performance - in favor of Watford again.

Liverpool - Arsenal HOME WIN @1.5 8/10

Liverpool is going for the title and they play well and go into that direction, they need to collect as much points as they can before the Champions league campaign starts again. I rate Arsenal and Man Utd somewhat similar and therefore I expect similar result like Liverpool had against Man Utd. I heard someone saying that Arsenal on the road under Emery is playing better than under Wenger but to me it seems all the same, they had pretty weak opponents so far and they lost to Southampton recently who wanted a win under new manager. Liverpool however doesn't have a new manager but they also want a win for the title.

From other games I wanted to take Fulham to win, they still didn't win under new manager but I just don't trust them. They had a lead against Wolves 15' before the end and at the end they almost lost the game...and Huddersfield managed to score in last two games.

And something tells me not to touch the Tottenham game, yep they play nicely in last rounds but Wolves are counter team and could make a surprise. At those odds it is not worth it and taking Tottenham again on handicap seems unlikely to happen even by statistics.

As for Leicester game I have no opinion since Cardiff is a mystery to me

GL y'all!!!

[malabgd]

Watford FC v Newcastle Utd

Watford FC: Will Hughes (15/1 m), Sebastian Prodl (1/0 d)(both doubtful), Christian Kabasele (14/0 d), Andre Gray (15/3 f), Adalberto Penaranda (0/0 f), Daryl Janmaat (6/0 d)

Newcastle Utd: Ciaran Clark (10/2 d), Karl Darlow (0/0 g), Florian Lejeune (0/0 d), Ki Sung-Yeung (11/0 m, national selection)

 

Liverpool FC v Arsenal

Liverpool FC: Alberto Moreno (2/0 d, doubtful), Dominic Solanke (0/0 f), James Milner (16/3 m), Joel Matip (8/1 d), Joe Gomez (13/0 d), Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain (0/0 m)

Arsenal: Shkodran Mustafi (16/2 d), Nacho Monreal (10/1 d)(both doubtful), Henrikh Mkhitaryan (14/4 m), Hector Bellerin (17/0 d), Konstantinos Mavropanos (0/0 d), Rob Holding (10/0 d), Emile Smith Rowe (0/0 m), Danny Welbeck (8/1 f)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

[betcatalog]

It has become clear that Liverpool will claim the title by the end and this year seems capable of succeeding, at the moment it is the first favorite. Arsenal is losing away from home, but it is not a negligible team, if it is not careful the home team will have a problem. I expect an open and beautiful game with goals on either side, they can score both and confirm that both teams score
LIVERPOOL FC vs ARSENAL FC @@ Both team to score, odds 1.65

[Neubs]

For me today:

In Brighton - Everton Game i feel i could be end in Away Win. Everton after heavy defeat against Spurs, with some great reaction and made a big defeat for Burnley. Now they have the Momentum on his side i think. Brighton hard to beat at home, but for me this Season Everton doing really well against Teams from 2nd Half of the Table.

For me i´ve made here two Bets - with Everton Win and the Both2Score - Yes

 

Other Game for me is Fulham - Huddersfield

Big Battle today and for me Fulham have more quality here. Playing at Home and for me yes the Fulham defensive is weak - but in my eyes the Huddersfield Offensive are not so good, to make enough Pressure to score more then Fulham and make a Win.

 

[newjack]

Interestingly enough public seems to favor the under in eve match, odds went from 1.9 to 2.2 on the over. Am i missing something? I want to slam over harder now.

[allthethings]

Watford should win...they lose to top sides, win against bottom sides...and Newcastle have gotten results mainly against bottom sides. However, Newcastle are a different side since they beat Watford the first time to begin their current run of form...three points in their first 10, 14 points since then in nine matches. If a shock win is going to happen this week by a big away dog, it'll be this one. Newcastle for me at 5.36

[cummins91]

I cannot for the life of me understand how these elo ratings work when i see spurs last 2 matches scoring 11 goals have somehow dropped down from its last 4 games and Leicesters dropping off despite beating Man City and Chelsea in there last 2 games

[Magic0024]

Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

Crystal Palace have scored 35% of their goals after the 75th minute in Premier League.
Chelsea have scored 35% of their goals after the 75th minute in Premier League.
Burnley conceded at least 1 goal in 78% of their home matches in Premier League.
68% of Manchester City's matches had over 2.5 goals scored in Premier League.
Bournemouth have conceded 2 goals or more in each of their last 4 away matches in Premier League.
Manchester Utd have scored in 100% of their away matches in Premier League.

You can find interesting 46 Football Betting Streaks for 30.12.2018 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-30-12-2018-12832

[StevieDay1983]

Burnley vs West Ham

Half of the weekend's Premier League fixtures are done and dusted. As a Cardiff fan, I'm bloody delighted with that result. I felt both ourselves and Leicester rode our luck but we deserved the three points overall. Next up, I'm reviewing the Burnley versus West Ham game taking place on Sunday afternoon at Turf Moor in a 2:15pm kick-off.

Burnley are having a torrid season with Sean Dyche's men now sitting second from bottom in the league table. It's a heavy drop from last season's European qualification but is this simply the Clarets meeting their level of ability? It's three defeats in a row in the league now and just 1 win in their last 12 league matches.

West Ham can consider their season a complete contrast. Manuel Pellegrini is guiding the Hammers to a potential battle for Europe this season. The club is in 11th place and now has 5 wins from its last 6 league matches. Their last defeat on the road coming back on 5th October against Brighton.

This is a fixture that generates goals. Both teams have scored in the last four league meetings in the top flight at Turf Moor. Neither side has the most secure defence this season so you wouldn't bet against it happening again. Particularly given how Burnley have only failed to score once in their last five league games and West Ham have only fired blank on one occasion in their last six league games.

If you're looking for an anytime scorer bet then you might want to back Chris Wood. The New Zealander has scored 33% of his league goals in the top flight against West Ham. That's four league goals and an assist, I should add. Could well be worth backing him here. As for me, I'm backing an away win.

West Ham to Win @ 2.15 with Betfair

BTTS @ 1.77 with RedZone

[StevieDay1983]

Manchester United vs Bournemouth

The continued resurgence from Manchester United is the focus of my attention in the final Premier League preview this weekend when they welcome Bournemouth to Old Trafford in interim manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's third league game in charge of this club for this 4:30pm kick-off tomorrow afternoon.

Manchester United have shown a renewed attacking style under Solskjaer early management that has seen them score 8 and concede 2 goals against Cardiff away and Huddersfield at home. Some would argue that it's not been the biggest test thus far but there are no easy games at this level any more. The Red Devils are still in 6th place but win here and after results today the gap on the top four will close to potentially just 5 points.

Bournemouth are very hit and miss this season but it's looking like another solid season from Eddie Howe's men so far. The Cherries are sat in 12th place with 26 points from their 19 league games so far. The law of averages suggests that just 5 wins from their remaining 19 league matches will be enough to see them safe so the attention really should be on looking above themselves.

United dominate the head-to-head meetings between these two sides with 5 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 loss in their 7 league meetings so far. Even worse for Bournemouth is the fact that they've never beaten United at Old Trafford in all competitions with 1 draw and 6 defeats.

Form is an issue for Bournemouth right now. The club has lost 7 of its last 9 Premier League matches having conceded an unsettling 21 goals during those games. The Cherries are undoubtedly suffering with the injuries to Simon Francis, Lewis Cook, Adam Smith, and Dan Gosling weakening their defensive structure.

I can see United's new fluent attacking play being too much for the visitors here. I can see a 3-1 or even 4-1 win for Solskjaer's side here as they look to turn the screw on a Bournemouth side that need to battle through this bad run of results before the unthinkable happens.

Manchester United -1 @ 2.00 with SpreadEx

Manchester United HT/FT @ 2.10 with RedZone

[betcatalog]

The home team is released and on a racing rally, it can be easily enforced by Bournemouth, the two teams score high and therefore can score many goals
MANCHESTER UNITED vs AFC BOURNEMOUTH @@ +2.50 Over, odd 1.50

There is a difference in quality between the two opponents, it is time for the City to return to the win with many goals
SOUTHAMPTON FC vs MANCHESTER CITY @@ +2.50 Over, odds 1.50

[newjack]

Got 2 bets for today:

Palace - Chelsea

Man U - Bourne

both bts&o2,5 (how original i know).

Reasons for it is Chelsea conceded 4/5 matches vs palace and each time it resulted in hitting over. I know previous matches were under Conte's but current slump chelsea are in can't be overlooked. CP also managed to find some kind of form lately picking up a win vs City and Leicester while drawing vs cardiff. They clearly can cause problems, i'm not looking for an upset in this one but do feel like CP can score.

Man u game is pretty self explenatory. Under SOL manu look really good, creating spaces and chances, nice attacking footie like ManU should be. On that note they still very much have same defensive issues only this time they're more out there since they tend to press up higher and play more of an attacking footie. Man U conceded both times under new manager and I believe it's gonna take some work on the defensive end. These 2 met good month ago where it resulted in 1:2 for man U however i feel cherries should've won after that 1st half they've had. Again, i'm not seeing an upset in the match but i strongly feel Bourne will score. They were humiliated vs Spurs and they need to produce something here.

BOL