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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - January 7 - January 13

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While i'm still thinking about Olga's match i did find something interesting in Men Q

C. Ruud - H.Laaksonen under 22.5 games @1.95 (local)
I think that bookies have something wrong here. Laaksonen's game is more suitable for indoor conditions than outdoor hard courts. And h2h is also speaking in favour of this bet 'cause Ruud have beaten him twice in relatively easy fashion. The last match was just a week ago at Playford Challenger and Casper won 63 64. I don't see what could change for Henri in 7 days.

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14 minutes ago, DrO said:

While i'm still thinking about Olga's match i did find something interesting in Men Q

C. Ruud - H.Laaksonen under 22.5 games @1.95 (local)
I think that bookies have something wrong here. Laaksonen's game is more suitable for indoor conditions than outdoor hard courts. And h2h is also speaking in favour of this bet 'cause Ruud have beaten him twice in relatively easy fashion. The last match was just a week ago at Playford Challenger and Casper won 63 64. I don't see what could change for Henri in 7 days.

I've looked at Caspers match to and came to the same conclusion so I completely agree here!

Edit: But I can't find any odds for under 22.5 games, the closest I find is Pinnacle at under 21.0 at 1.91.

Edited by four-leaf

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10 minutes ago, four-leaf said:

I've looked at Caspers match to and came to the same conclusion so I completely agree here!

Edit: But I can't find any odds for under 22.5 games, the closest I find is Pinnacle at under 21.0 at 1.91.

Like i said - it's a local Serbian bookie called Mozzartbet :D

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Also..i'm thinking about one small parlay bet which would include Kamke vs.Bagnis. 
What do you think guys - is it Kamke worth a try at 1.30 against Bagnis who is clay court specialist,who didn't play any competetive match since last November and who lost last Year here in Melbourne against No.363 Piros Zsombor from Hungary?

 

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Olga Danilović and Iga Świątek know each other very well, first time they played match was when they were 12. Both are absolutely talented, it smells here like a close match- maybe 3 sets but I think Iga is much better on hard courts at the moment. In the mid-week she practiced with Wozniacki and Carolina said that she looked really good.

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13 minutes ago, PrivateTips said:

Olga Danilović and Iga Świątek know each other very well, first time they played match was when they were 12. Both are absolutely talented, it smells here like a close match- maybe 3 sets but I think Iga is much better on hard courts at the moment. In the mid-week she practiced with Wozniacki and Carolina said that she looked really good.

We haven't seen mutch of Iga on hardcourts yet but she's won at least two small junior tournaments on hardcourt including the one in Canada where she beat Olga because of her retirement.

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Da Nang Challenger

Ayeni- Boluda Purkiss bet: 1 @2,50 (Bet365)/ stake 8/10

I like these bet so much I've been following Alafia Ayeni for a while, he is definitely interesting player- he has great physical conditions (over 190cm high), looks like a younger brother of Gael Monfils. He used to be a solid junior (ranked 27th in 2017) and now is time to prove that he can be a solid professional aswell. He will play against a 25 years old Spanish player Carlos Boluda Purkiss, player ranked on 352 position, and the highest rank of him was 254 and probably it was his maximum. He plays mostly on ITF tournaments and is definitely only a clay-surface player. Generally he has record 96-52 on hard courts which is not bad but like I said- 95% of those results were against very weak players. That's no surprise- Boluda Purkiss is just 173 cm high and so thin so it is hard for him to hold serve. I believe Ayeni will serve well here and break opponent at least 3-4 times and it will  be a comfortable win.

 

 

 

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WTA Sydney 

Samantha Stosur to beat Timea Bacsinzski @ 2.37 with bet365

If anyone saw her upsetting cibulkova her serve was fantastic and she was able to play a few good return games. It will take something to break her. Definitely played way better than her current ranking.. Timea played well to upset Sevastova but I don’t see her repeat this performance.

Edited by aussietennisexpert

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Noah Rubin to beat Akira Santillan at 1.68 with Pinnacle

Rubin was quite convincing in his first tournament of the season, while Santillan lost against Safwat, a guy that I don't rate highly at all. On top of that, Rubin has many good memories of the AO and the surface was working well for him in the past, so I reckon that he should be winning this more often than not. Santillan dropped in 2018 imo, while Rubin bounced back - and that should show here.

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3 hours ago, aussietennisexpert said:

WTA Sydney 

Samantha Stosur to beat Timea Bacsinzski @ 2.37 with bet365

I hope u will win this .. I don't trust stosur anymore even if this could be a good matchup for her.. Not following current form , so could be a great bet. I just think Stosur is a terrible player now, she has burned me alot of times, but maybe she's doing well right now .. Just to update anyone interested.. I am taking a longer break than expected, and will return at some point but do not know when exactly.. I have some other things to take care of.. But enjoy the betting.. Looks like tons of fun ! :ok

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Hi guys, i think i will not bet anything till the AO. I was thinking to bet Alex De Minaur to won Sydney (that was paid at 7.5). He was born in Sydney and he did final the last year here, losing against Medvedev. The main favourite was Medvedev but i knew he wouldn't won because he did final in the previous tournament and considering he's actual form he knows that he can go deeper in the AO. Well, Medvedev has retired from Sydney for rest so im a little sad to no bet for De Minaur. I don't know how is paid that now but i don't care because probably there is no value considering that Medvedev is now out. Maybe i will be looking for some upset for these days (i think that we will have a lot of them considering that the AO will start in a few days).

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2 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Statham beating Chung in two sets after being 1-5 down in the first has to be the biggest upset of the year so far :lol.

Well the explanation to that is probably that Chung have never done well in Auckland the few times he's been there and JRS is a kiwi. To bad I didn't see it coming.

Edited by four-leaf

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1 hour ago, four-leaf said:

Well the explanation to that is probably that Chung have never done well in Auckland the few times he's been there and JRS is a kiwi. To bad I didn't see it coming.

To be honest i have started to think that Chung is overrated. The last time he won 3 or more consecutive matches was in the AO of 2018 when he did semifinal there, so in a few days he will defend a lot of points (the half of his points). I am almost sure that he will not go so far there considering how is playing... 

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ATP Auckland Marco Ceccinato to beat Tennys Sandgren @2.10 with Bet365

Marco is the number 3 seed here and is coming off a semi final run at Doha so seems to be flying under the radar.

Tennys is favourite tonight but plays his best tennis in the US, imo.

I also think it's worth a punt on Marco in the outright market @17.00 ew. (half the odds to reach the final) with Corals.

good luck all  :ok

Edited by yogg
I forgot to mention the bookies name.

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