Announcements
*** New Last Man Standing Competition - Win up to £1500 Annually - See Competitions Forum ***
CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - December 29 - January 6

Recommended Posts

7 minutes ago, four-leaf said:

This one I belive a lot in. I've seen Guido lose matches like this before.

Price is already way down on Paddy Power since 20 mins ago when I put on €25! Must be a lot of people reading these tips!!

Edited by Stevecw

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hello everyone and thank you for what all of you are doing here.

As some of you I also take the Berdych outright Win in ATP Doha as @opole suggested. 

So in the light of the semifinal events my question is should I cash out for a crazy profit or should I wait this bet. Do you think Berdych will beat Agut? Sure he is favourite but is it worth the risk?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 30.12.2018 at 5:17 PM, opole said:

Tomas Berdych to win ATP Doha @ 66.16 Pinnacle 1/10

First thing is Berdych avoiding Djokovic till the possible final.

His half is not that hard imo.

Thiem, Goffin, Cecchinato, Verdasco are beatable opponents.

Odds are looking reat. As i wrote he has a good history there.

So...we got it. 

Berdych reached the final. Djokovic hasn't.

Berdych will play Bautista tomorrow in the final and i think it's pretty much an 50/50 match, maybe slight advatange for the Spaniard but RBA had a very tough match today and we'll see how much he has left. Berdych looked great throughout the tournament so far.

I will hedge my Berdych outright logically. 

Roberto Bautista Agut @ 1.78 Betclic 10/10

IMPORTANT: This is no value at all and i do not think it's a good bet at those odds but i will try to catch my Berdych to win Doha bet with this so do not bet on it if you haven't bet on Berdych to win Doha.

Edited by opole

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, EvgeniM said:

Hello everyone and thank you for what all of you are doing here.

As some of you I also take the Berdych outright Win in ATP Doha as @opole suggested. 

So in the light of the semifinal events my question is should I cash out for a crazy profit or should I wait this bet. Do you think Berdych will beat Agut? Sure he is favourite but is it worth the risk?

Cash out is a complete cash out i suggest so you are probably out of the bet?

I wouldn't do that but i would hedge my Berdych outright with a bet on Bautista. Odds are good enough. I probably would cash out if odds on RBA would be ~1.3-1.4 but 1.75 is good enough to place a bet so you have a guaranteed win.

Good luck anyway to everyone who followed.

Edited by opole

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ATP Sydney qualification

Jason Kubler @ 3.31 Pinnacle 2/10

Starting odds were a bit low to take as Kubler had some issues with his knee recently, he pulled out of his home tournament in Brisbane this week and i don't know if he is ready to go full here BUT if he is this is unreal value. Kubler is such a talented guy, i think if he would have a better body without those injuries he would be Top 50 easily. Nishioka looked decent vs. Dimitrov but still is a bit weaponless, if Kubler is ready and healthy this is nearly 50/50, maybe even Kubler is the fav. Market' reaction is logical after he pulled out so i do not overrate it. Small stake though.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ATP Pune

Ivo Karlovic @ 4 5dimes 4/10

WTF?! Dr. Ivo with his monster serve is a 4.0 underdog vs. another big serving guy who has a weak return? I can't believe it. Anderson isn't returning well this week and he isn't a big returner anyway and Dr. Ivo is serving unreal this week, he is looking better than ever and very sharp. Can see two or even three tiebreaks, this is nearly a coin toss. Karlovic is a bad matchup for Anderson.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I had Ivo to win yesterday and ended up watching the game. Honestly his game is becoming worse and worse. Yes he’s still an ace machine and he did manage to break and had a few break points throughout the match but can’t compare Anderson and Darcis games at the moment. Ivo was doing so many unforced errors and sent many weaks ball in the game ...

anderson did beat isner recently

I can see why ivo is such an underdog !

Edited by aussietennisexpert

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, aussietennisexpert said:

I had Ivo to win yesterday and ended up watching the game. Honestly his game is becoming worse and worse. Yes he’s still an ace machine and he did manage to break and had a few break points throughout the match but can’t compare Anderson and Darcis games at the moment. Ivo was doing so many unforced errors and sent many weaks ball in the game ...

anderson did beat isner recently

I can see why ivo is such an underdog !

This is Ivos game for almost two decades...he never had any kind of ground game or something. You can always see if Ivo is in good shape if he is moving well and he was. Ivo is always a tough matchup and Darcis is a better returner than Anderson, for sure. Andersons backhand return is one of the worst i have ever seen for a Top 20 player. I think Anderson will also have some problems with Ivos slice as the courts in Pune are low bouncing...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Late night bet from NZ :::

Auckland qualification

Ajeet Rai @ 5.82 Pinnacle 7/10

Rai is a very good prospect, one of the best prospects in NZ and i rate him highly. His opponent is a late replacement for Norrie. Marcora looked horrible in Noumea earlier this week. I can smell a nice surprise...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 hours ago, opole said:

ATP Pune

Ivo Karlovic @ 4 5dimes 4/10

WTF?! Dr. Ivo with his monster serve is a 4.0 underdog vs. another big serving guy who has a weak return? I can't believe it. Anderson isn't returning well this week and he isn't a big returner anyway and Dr. Ivo is serving unreal this week, he is looking better than ever and very sharp. Can see two or even three tiebreaks, this is nearly a coin toss. Karlovic is a bad matchup for Anderson.

What worries me about Kevin is that he lost one of the two fully contested matches between them 2013 in the Bogota semis in a decider. If he could lose that match in a equally important match like this Pune final then I see him able to lose this one to. He lost last years Pune final to Gilles Simon and he was as big fav as now to win then also. So this should be a good bet. Worth a try at least.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga/Daniil Medvedev over 12.5 games first set at 2.95 with Unibet

I'll have a go on this again. J-W has the serve to make it happen and Daniil served very well in the quarter. Really looks like it could be a tie-break in first set again for Daniil and now the odds are better than last time. Worth a try at least.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Jenson Brooksby to beat Brandon Holt at 2.10 with bet365

@opole what do you think of Jenson Brooksbys chances tonight? He's up against Brandon Holt. He seems really promising this tournament, he's been great so far. After he nicely beat Brandon Nakashima in second round he followed it up by beating Dmitry Popko 6-3 6-0. Looks like Jenson could turn into something really good this season if he continues this way.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 12/31/2018 at 6:12 AM, yogg said:

happy new year all :ok

ATP Brisbane Outright Winner: Alex De Minaur and Daniil Medvedev

I haven't seen any odds yet but I'll be backing these two e.w. (half the odds to reach the final).

Both have made stunning progress in the rankings and I don't think they've finished yet.

I actually saw Alex at the Surbiton Challenger back in June where he lost to Jeremy Chardy in the final but I never thought he'd end the season at number 31.

What I did notice about him was his incredible speed around the court which has to be seen to be believed.

As for the big Russian, Daniil, he's already won three hard court titles and can beat anyone on this surface imo.

Here's hoping to bank some early profits, good luck all :ok

===================================================

Update: Alex De Minaur @17.00 and Daniil Medvedev @15.00

both with Bet365.

:ok

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Destanee Aiava to beat Yulia Putintseva at 2.20 with Bwin

Destanee must be worth a try again. i hope she's making some progress this aussie and I belive in her to at least make the second round in Sydney qualies. Yulia does her best on clay acctually, most of her ranking points comes from that Roland Garros quarterfinal except that final in Guangzhou on hard last season where she beat a couple of players of lower ranking to reach the final which she lost heavily to an inform Qiang Wang. Yulias record in Sydney is not that good either having played there three times and gone out in second round of qualies 2 times and once in second round of main draw without having to qualify and she only reached the second round that time because Belinda Bencic retired after first set. This is a match Yulia should win but I don't feel it's like a guarantee and Destanee is not a big underdog for a reason. I'll try a small stake on Destanee here but I think she should lose since her ranking is 247 and Yulia stands at no.44 and Yulia usually wins her matches on hardcourt against players of lower rankings.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, eros said:

Shit, it would have been too good to be true. No 14k. Roberto I hate you. :@ wtf

When it's 66 on a player to win a tournament you should probably bet e.w. so you get profit if he loses the final. You shouldn't be mad for this longshot not coming in.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A very UNLUCKY night guys.

Ajeet Rai lost after being a set and a break up and even mini breaks up in the tiebreaker. Unreal.

Karlovic loses two tiebreaks and a tight three setter at high odds.

Berdych also losing a three setter....

Andujar losing the third set tiebreak......

and finally Kubler lost another tight three setter.

Can't believe it. But it has to continue. Let's see....a couple of matches were not played due to rain in Sydney last night. Maybe we'll get the luck back this night with O'Connell and Bolt.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, opole said:

A very UNLUCKY night guys.

Ajeet Rai lost after being a set and a break up and even mini breaks up in the tiebreaker. Unreal.

Karlovic loses two tiebreaks and a tight three setter at high odds.

Berdych also losing a three setter....

Andujar losing the third set tiebreak......

and finally Kubler lost another tight three setter.

Can't believe it. But it has to continue. Let's see....a couple of matches were not played due to rain in Sydney last night. Maybe we'll get the luck back this night with O'Connell and Bolt.

Just a small correction: Andujar lost 6--1, 7-5. There was neither a TB nor a third set.

Edited by South_African_Punter

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.