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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - December 29 - January 6

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There was nothing strange in this match:

Berdych T. vs Kohlschreber P.

(It was a 50-50 match-up)

Berdych, the younger player at the age of 33 obliged with a win... 6-4, 7-6(7-5)

Congrats to Berdych's takers :cheers

Edited by Robinnho

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Berdych looked really good for being out such a long time. He was a bit shaky in the first set but played very, very well in the second. He served well, needed some time to adapt to the match rythm but his effort in the second set was really good. Odds Movement was simply pathetic, nobody with a pulse would bet on Kohli at 1.6 odds or less, unreal drop i can't understand but we beat the market, that's what counts. For me it was a good start to the new season so far, i will post my stats at the end of every week so let's rock guys...i have no time right now to post long analysis as the new year is coming but i will give you my bets for this night/tomorrow:

Hopman Cup

Belinda Bencic @ 2.92 Pinnacle 3/10

 

ATP Brisbane doubles

J. Millman/J.-P. Smith @ 1.99 Sbobet 4/10

R. Lindstedt/M. Raonic @ 3.80 5dimes 3/10

 

Challenger Noumea

Andre Goransson @ 5.75 5dimes 1/10

 

Edited by opole

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11 minutes ago, Robinnho said:

There was nothing strange in this match:

Berdych T. vs Kohlschreber P.

(It was a 50-50 match-up)

Berdych, the younger player at the age of 33 obliged with a win... 6-4, 7-6(7-5)

Congrats to Berdych's takers :cheers

This drop definitely was unreal.

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I'm gonna put my money on Antoine Hoang to beat Jiri Vesely in Pune.  The Frenchmen came through 2 qualification matches and is in good competitive condition. I think he has the potential to be a Top-100 ATP player. Vesely, the higher rank player and slight favourite here must be at his top level, which I don't think so, to win this match-up.  Therefore Hoang can take advantage of the situation to open his account in the main draw of the ATP.

Happy New Year ALL:ok

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Great work as always @opole, let's hope that Bencic doesn't choke and Happy New Year once again to all!

Anett Kontaveit to beat Petra Kvitova at 2.29 with Pinnacle

I'm not entire excited to go against Kvitova, but I just have to, I don't understand her skinny version at all, it just doesn't seem like the best fitness basis for her particular style and the match against Collins showed that she still has some way to go. Kontaveit will be fresh after dispatching a tricky opponent in style in the first round and she just looked better physically to me, so I'd have her at evens at most. Kvitova is a big name and I'd love to see her win some Grand Slams again, but she doesn't deserve this sort of favoritism imo.

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First thing: Happy new year to the Tennis community in here. Great start of the season so far for us i think but let's keep the work up and continue like that.

Unlucky night / morning. Harrison losing a razor close match vs Kyrgios at massive odds, Bencic collapsing and blowing up a set lead and wasting a huge chance at 3-3 in the second set where she was 30-0 up at Williams serve. Futhermore the loss on Goransson was also a bit unlucky as he was playing very well in the first set and looked like a 1.5 favorite there but he couldn't hold up the pressure. But at least the two doubles bets won, of course with some luck as they went to the supertie and it's always like Russian roulette there. Murray by the way looked very solid. I am not quite convinced about him as i think Duckworth was playing not his best tennis and although i do rate him he was one of the softer opponents and Murray still wasn't looking sharp or something. But the odds on Medvedev not good enough to take in my opinion, backing him at 2.1 vs. Murray is a no way type. Maybe we'll get a better chance to go against Murray. 

Now there is one bet left with Arjun Kadhe in Pune and i am still very confident he beats Djere who is a solid claycourt player and of course can also play on hardcourt but lacking weapons and experience there while Kadhe played his complete college career on hardcourt and looks like one of the best prospects in India right now with a great serve and a stunning forehand. I followed him closely and i am still very confident. Maybe i will take some more of him inplay as the odds are stable so far (dropped about 0.2-0.3 ....)

Today i have another bet i really like:

Challenger Orlando

Ricardo Ojeda Lara @ 2.06 Pinnacle 3/10

I know Ojeda Lara had a bad second half in the 2018 season but obviously he was playing on a very decent level there and almost played challengers only, he lost to very good names there and i would not write him off because he has a bad streak on that level, this is a completly different matchup as Brouwer is almost a ITF only player has no experience on challenger level yet and he already is 22 years old. Brouwer is a lucky loser and Ojeda Lara in my opinion showed last year that he should be at a higher level than Brouwer. Still small stake as Brouwer already had a match this season in qualifying vs. decent opposition. But i favor Ojeda Lara here, odds should be at least reversed.

 

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14 minutes ago, Tobulas said:

Opole happy new year you are one of best.You deserve the best life has to offer.

He is the best. Thank you very much opole for sharing your knowledge. All the best in the new year.

Edited by eros

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No reason to thank me but nevertheless thanks for the nice words. A lot of people sharing their views & bets here (for years), they should receive the same amount of respect as i get and hopefully we can profit from each other and many other guys coming in and sharing their views, i think only together it's possible to beat the bookmakers longterm. It's a quite fun community here and no bad blood or something like in other communitys or even closed communitys. Good luck and the best to y'all.

btw: Goffin just is losing his first round match in Doha...i never expected that tbh...WOW

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ATP Brisbane doubles

R. Ram/J. Salisbury @ 1.92 Sbobet 3/10

Harrison is already out of the singles main draw as he lost a razor close match to Kyrgios last night. He'll lose tons of points as he reached the final in Brisbane last year and he will play qualifying in Auckland at the weekend so maybe he will go out here to travel to New Zealand comfortably. I know Brisbane - Auckland is a short flight about 3-4 hrs. but still tomorrow is Wednesday and he event will start on Saturday. Furthermore Dimitrov has to play a tough match before the doubles match vs. local hero Millman who looked very good in the first round and gave Dimitrov a hell of a match last year. Ram/Salisbury are both very good doubles player and looking solid enough to take it here but still there is a huge gap in class here so if Harrison/Dimitrov deciding to go full on their opponents it could be close but factors i mentioned above are giving me some kind of a good feeling to back the US-british pair.

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Because my personal herbert bet went well and saved my ass today I'll try the following bet:

Tennis - ATP Challenger Orlando - R2  VZ - 1X2  Alexander Sarkissian - vs - Johan Sebastien Tatlot

Tatlot @ 2.040 Pinnacle

6/10

 

Edited by eros

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4 minutes ago, South_African_Punter said:

I bet on Herbert at 1.95 in-play when he was a break up in the first. Unbelievable price given Thiem's recent form 

Great to hear and fully agree, got 4.3 live after some minutes.

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8 minutes ago, four-leaf said:

Seems like Thiem should be opposed in the coming weeks until the clay season in South America begins at least.

Exactly, Thiem one more time showed that he has passed his zenit and should focus on clay court.

Edited by eros

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Donna Vekic to beat Kiki Bertens at 2.26 with Pinnacle

Has anyone been thinking about Donna Vekic tomorrow? I think she beats Kiki. Only ranking makes Kiki the favourite here.

Ajla Tomljanovic to beat Johanna Konta at 3.03 with Pinnacle

Can anyone give me a reason why Johanna is the big fav here?

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1 hour ago, eros said:

Because my personal herbert bet went well and saved my ass today I'll try the following bet:

Tennis - ATP Challenger Orlando - R2  VZ - 1X2  Alexander Sarkissian - vs - Johan Sebastien Tatlot

Tatlot @ 2.040 Pinnacle

6/10

 

I don't see how you can bet on a guy that lost to Marko Djokovic last season?

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3 hours ago, eros said:

Because my personal herbert bet went well and saved my ass today I'll try the following bet:

Tennis - ATP Challenger Orlando - R2  VZ - 1X2  Alexander Sarkissian - vs - Johan Sebastien Tatlot

Tatlot @ 2.040 Pinnacle

6/10

 

I don't know what made you bet on the frenchman here but well done

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