Jump to content
** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **
** Cheltenham Tipster Competition Result : 1st Old codger, 2nd sirspread, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert **

Basketball - 5.50m


Recommended Posts

That's a good way ...... I usually wait till the 6 minute mark of each quarter then add 29 to the total score to get what the total may be at the end of that quarter.

Works well if the Bookies Quarter Lines are less than yours   

Washington v Chicago - 2Q - 6m - 051 - add 29 = 80 - End of 2nd Quarter the score was 82

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 29/12/2018 at 2:12 AM, McNamara Band said:

China - CBA - 30 December

4 Games tonight -

Bayi v Shandong
Fujian v Jiangsu Dragons
Guangzhou v Qingdao
Nanjing v Zhejiang

Our paper trail is - 11 Games - 06 Wins - 05 Losses

 

 

Won - 3q - 1.50m - Bayi v Shandong - 200.5 - Final Score - 206 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Fujian v  Jiangsu - 201.5 - Final Score - 198 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Guangzhou v Qingdao - 215.5 - Final Score - 213 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Nanjing v Zhejiang - 193.5 - Final Score - 200 

Honestly thought we had the Fujian game but they fell short

Link to comment
Share on other sites

China - CBA - 31 December

Won - 3q - 1.50m - Xinjiang - 211.5 - Final Score - 216 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Tiajin - 194.5 - Final Score - 193 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Liaoning - 233.5 - Final Score - 246 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Sichuan - 220.5 - Final Score - 209 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Beikong - 191.5 - Final Score - 188 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Shanxi - 225.5 - Final Score - 233 

Our paper trail is - 21 Games - 11 Wins - 10 Losses

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 28/12/2018 at 1:37 PM, eddiey said:

Thanks for updating this. I've been playing around with jumping in on basketball games with 3.10 left in the 4th quarter. been figuring out the points per minute scored and then multiplying it out to see what the predicted total score would be. Not bad so far. 

I having been watching and I think the number you will be looking for is 17, seems to work for the other quarters as well

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thanks McNamara. I think the number varies depending on the skill of the league. I have been adding a few more points when watching the NBA and I'll try 17 for college basketball and international games. I also thought about adding a few points if the difference is scores is 6 points or less thinking there would be a few more stoppages due to fouls and the extra incentive to win. What do you think?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 31/12/2018 at 11:48 AM, eddiey said:

Thanks McNamara. I think the number varies depending on the skill of the league. I have been adding a few more points when watching the NBA and I'll try 17 for college basketball and international games. I also thought about adding a few points if the difference is scores is 6 points or less thinking there would be a few more stoppages due to fouls and the extra incentive to win. What do you think?

The think adding a few more points in a close game may not work if the team leading starts to let the clock run down before even taking a shot and if the other team allows them to that then it won't be good for the result  you want ..... but that's just me 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

China - CBA - 01 January 2019

7 games tonight and I thought I would put up the starting totals and where the game needs to be at with 1m.50 left in the third quarter to stay on track with the starting total, .

185.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 131 - Beijing Duck v Liaoning 
217.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 153 - Fujian v Nanjiang 
202.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 143 - Jiangsu v Zhejiang 
215.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 152 - Shanxi v Tiajin 
222.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 157 - Shenzhen v Qingdao 
215.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 152 - Sichuan v Guangzhou 
219.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 155 - Xinjiang v Guangdong 

Our paper trail so far is - 21 Games - 11 Wins - 10 Losses

 
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Still working on the right numbers for the various leagues. My thinking is to wait until the 3.0 minute mark of any basketball game and take the under but that has been inconsistent. More winners than losers but not sufficient enough margin for steady profits. I'm using the formula I stated previously but it seems every game keeps coming under and I might as well not try to figure out the score and just take the under but as I said that doesn't produce enough winners for my taste I'll use your suggested 17 points at the 3.0 mark for the NBA but do you have an idea what number to use for college basketball or European leagues?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Haven;t found anything for the College Basketball. at the moment.

European games - 2m.30 - diff should be 10 - take Overs and if it jumps up to a higher total while the clock is ticking down then take Unders as well, you could win both. .....they will be nail biting though

I'm going to try this one for all the NBA quarters today - 5m.13 mark - diff should be 27 - taking Overs on the quarter lines.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

China CBA - 02 January 2019

Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Beijing Duck v Liaoning -  179.5 - Final Score - 175 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Fujian v Nanjiang - 208.5 - Final Score - 216 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Jiangsu v Zhejiang - 211.5 - Final Score - 211 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Shanxi v Tiajin - 216.5 - Final Score - 210 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Shenzhen v Qingdao - 220.5 - Final Score - 226 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Sichuan v Guangzhou - 210.5 - Final Score - 212 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Xinjiang v Guangdong - 252.5 - Final Score - 256 

03 January 2019

Loss - 194.5 - 3q - 1.50m - Bayi -  185.5 - Final Score - 178 
Loss - 220.5 - 3q - 1.50m - Jilin - 232.5 - Final Score - 231 
Loss - 199.5 - 3q - 1.50m - Shandong - 165.5 - Final Score - 155 

Our paper trail is - 31 Games - 15 Wins - 16 Losses

Doesn't seem to be working so this paper trail will end with a fail.

 
Link to comment
Share on other sites

NBA - 4 Jan 2019 - Results

San Antonio v Toronto

3rd quarter line Over 50.5 @$1.83 - Final - 53 - Win

Game Total - Over 226.5 @$1.83 - Final - 232 - Win

Sacramento v Denver

1st quarter line Over 55.5 @$1.83 - Final - 60 - Win

1st half - Over 117.5 @$1.83 - Final - 119 - Win

3rd quarter line Over 55.5 @$1.83 - Final - 49 - Loss

G.S v Houston

1st quarter line - Over 56.5 @$1.80 - Final - 56 - Loss

1st half - Over 115.5 @$1.83 - Final - 123 - Win   

I had an o.k day

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NBA - 5 Jan 2019

So I am going to try another paper trail with Quarter lines, I will start tomorrow but I will try it out on the last two games today, L.A Lakers v NY Knicks and Portland v Oklahoma City, it will be In Play Betting so will post around the 8 min mark of each quarter-

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...