Moop Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 On 12/22/2018 at 1:52 PM, Sir Puntalot said: @Moop Both Ayr and Wolves were abandoned due to the weather, so it became a single. Thanks Sir Puntalot. Appreciate you taking the time to answer my newbie questions. Cheers and Merry Christmas Sir Sir Puntalot 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lemon Silk Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 Just to go back to what Systemight posted a few weeks ago, the LLR (longest losing run) is important, mainly to determine stake size, depending on how risk averse you are. For me, the drawdown combined with average winning odds gives an even clearer answer to the size of stake question. Taking the PL strike rate to be 27-28% we can expect a losing run of 30-31 in the worst case scenario. Say we then set our stakes at 2.5% or £25 with a £1,000 bank. Looks good with a 10 bet buffer to boot. Let's say we go on an expected 14 run losing streak and then hit a winner, losing streak over! But what if the winner's only 3/1 ? Sure, you make +3pts profit but you're still down 11 points. Let's say the next day you have another stinker of a day, losing 10 more points. Suddenly the longest losing run staking plan looks extremely shaky. That's without the worst case scenario. Not suggesting anyone here would be foolish enough to use this staking plan and I think Robinmgb is right only using £30 stakes with an £8,000 bank. Sometimes though, it's better to look like a fool than to say nothing Systemight 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
big punt Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 robinmgb, are you leaving out each selection under the 4/1 price range ??? i would be interested in how this goes for you, me personally i'd paper trade keep records before diving into this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
big punt Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 also does anyone keep records of the NAP selections from here ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 55 minutes ago, big punt said: also does anyone keep records of the NAP selections from here ?? If you download the results from the Tips page you can view the Naps on a separate tab within the sheet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
big punt Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 how is this going just out of interest? if anyone is still following them/backing them it would be good to hear from you a month on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Nothing great but we did get the Treble up today Sir Puntalot 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
big punt Posted June 22, 2019 Share Posted June 22, 2019 anyone still having a go at these ???????? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larkin22 Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 I don't play them all and don't play everyday but I've tracked every time I do use a tip from the list and i'm up since March by a modest amount. Not sure if thats helpful or not, my stakes vary depending on how well i've been doing recently but I think you'll be hard pressed to find a better set of tips each day. Very thankful to @BillyHills and @Sir Puntalot Sir Puntalot and BillyHills 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Quote Terrific card at Chelmsford on Wed night. 710: Indeed 5/1 WON 740: Tropics 5/1 WON 810: Billesdon Brook 5/1 WON 840: Bayshore Freeway 9/2 WON EW Lucky 15 We keep tipping away, we did have a winning Lucky 15 the other day in the daily thread! All top rated Tips. Horse feed paid for another month Xtc12 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted July 6, 2019 Share Posted July 6, 2019 I do use them when I go to the races and they helped me to make a profit at Stratford last Tuesday and Doncaster on Friday so thanks to BH. Overall they are on a bit of a losing run at the moment with losses for each of the last 6 months, albeit the ROI is only -3% for the period so still pretty good tipping. Also last July to September was very profitable so hopefully the losses may be recovered over the next few months. BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted July 7, 2019 Share Posted July 7, 2019 Horrendous day on Saturday but bounced back with a 20/1 winner today!! The life of a tipster eh!! 17 hours ago, MCLARKE said: I do use them when I go to the races and they helped me to make a profit at Stratford last Tuesday and Doncaster on Friday so thanks to BH. Overall they are on a bit of a losing run at the moment with losses for each of the last 6 months, albeit the ROI is only -3% for the period so still pretty good tipping. Also last July to September was very profitable so hopefully the losses may be recovered over the next few months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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