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Serie A & B Predictions > Dec 7th - 10th

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The next round of Serie A games are coming up this weekend and it's a first ever double batch this week with Serie B now being covered as well. Take a look at the odds and ratings for both. Hopefully, this breathes a bit of new life into this section that can often be a tricky one for punters. :ok

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Lazio V Sampdoria

Sampdoria +1.5 AH @ 1.714 Matchbook

Lazio are in a slightly awkward moment having not won any of their last 4 games (all competitions). The Biancocelesti are creating lots of chances but failing to convert.

Sampdoria were also on a poor run of form until recently, they have managed to win their last 2 games (all competitions) which should boost their confidence heading into this match.

Key goal metrics only favour Lazio slightly here, the main concern is that ELO ratings give the home side nearly a two goal advantage over their opponents. Despite this, we must bear in mind that Sampdoria have a noticeably superior chance conversion rate over Lazio which explains the vast disparity between goal metrics and ELO ratings for this match.

Technobabble aside, I do feel Sampdoria are a team which can make life difficult for Lazio here. The pressure should be on the home side and it's a big ask for them to clear a -1.5 handicap given the circumstances.

Sampdoria +1.5 AH @ 1.7 or bigger is worth a punt in my view.

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Serie A

Juventus have won their last 5 matches in Serie A.
Inter Milan have scored 37% of their goals after the 75th minute in Serie A.
Juventus have been undefeated in their last 14 matches in Serie A.
83% of Inter Milan's conceded goals occured in the second half in Serie A.
Juventus have scored in 100% of their home matches in Serie A.

You can find interesting 79 Football Betting Streaks for 07.12.2018 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-07-12-2018-12547

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JUVENTUS TURIN vs INTER MILANO @@ Both team to score, odds 1.90 
Italy's only right is not Juventus, as long as it looks like the league's score. Still a loss in the first 14 games (13-1-0) and as logical it easily leads the scoring race. The icing on the "old lady" cake will be in the derby victory today against Inter, which will confirm her sovereignty at least. The two teams have excellent offensive lines and both teams can score

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Serie A

Napoli have been undefeated in their last 7 matches in Serie A.
Lazio conceded at least 1 goal in 71% of their home matches in Serie A.
Sampdoria have scored in 71% of their away matches in Serie A.
31% of Frosinone's conceded goals occurred after the 75th minute in Serie A.
71% of Cagliari's matches had under 2.5 goals in Serie A.
AS Roma have scored in 71% of their away matches in Serie A.

You can find interesting 175 Football Betting Streaks for 08.12.2018 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-08-12-2018-12566

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Apologies but I'm running a bit behind in the European leagues this weekend. I'll get a preview for one of the Sunday matches in Serie A up tomorrow. For the time being, do you guys have any more bets planned for these listed games?

@Pep004, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @the bastardian, @chris666, @thegeneral55, @Mindfulness, @stephen m, @teddybear3011, @jazzman02, @Bayern, @Xcout, @Valkovets, @MangoTheThird, @DonPaulo, @Franger83, @fhuefdsa, @dinero, @laprikon, @cluelessG, @Skenderbeg, @Gabosbet, @thinkpink63, and @scommetix.

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Cagliari v Roma

Roma won't care about the midweek CL round since everything is already decided there.

Some important absentees on both sides:

Cagliari miss Barella and Castro, both important blows.

Roma miss Dzeko, De Rossi, El Shaarawy, Coric and Pellegrini. So the attacking duo will be Kluivert and Schick.

Cagliari are still unbeaten at home so far, with 2 wins and 4 draws, while Roma have won just 2 travels out of 7, and are winless on the road in last 3.

However I see the Giallorossi favorites here. They have won 6 of last 7 H2H and 2 of last 3 played in Cagliari.

Roma to win @ 1.90 with Bet365

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Serie A

Torino have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches in Serie A.
32% of Sassuolo's conceded goals occurred in the first 15 minutes in Serie A.
Fiorentina have failed to win in their last 7 matches in Serie A.
Parma have scored 73% of their goals in the first half in Serie A.
Chievo have failed to win in their last 14 matches in Serie A.
AC Milan conceded at least 1 goal in each of their last 7 home matches in Serie A.

You can find interesting 106 Football Betting Streaks for 09.12.2018 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-09-12-2018-12568

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Udinese vs Atalanta

The advantage of doing a delayed preview on Italian football is that most of the games take place on a Sunday anyway so we are spoilt for choice. I've decided to have a bit of a social experiment with it this weekend. Long-term readers will know what a pain in the rear Atalanta have been for us so I'm choosing their 2pm kick-off tomorrow with Udinese at the Dacia Arena for this preview.

Udinese are in 16th place and the first half of the season struggles saw the club sack former head coach Julio Velazquez and replace him with former Bari and Crotone gaffer Davide Nicola. Results have improved since the new man came in with the club winning 1-0 against Roma and then holding Sassuolo (another pain in our rear!) to a 0-0 draw. Defensive stability is forming the foundation of Nicola's new regime.

Atalanta are in 11th place but suffering from a couple of poor results. Gian Piero Gasperini had seen his team win four league games in a row as October turned into November. However, back-to-back defeats to Empoli and Napoli have stalled their progress and kept them in the lower half of the table.

The Little Zebras have only lost 1 of their last 9 Serie A matches against Atalanta. To add even more concern to the away side's hopes in this game, Udinese are unbeaten in their last 7 competitive games against Atalanta. The form book doesn't make for pleasant reading for Atalanta.

I'm going to show some faith in the home side. They appear rejuvenated under the new head coach. Atalanta remain guilty of inconsistency that has plagued their league performances for seasons now. Until that changes, I'm going to be reluctant to back them. I wonder if they'll finally do us a favour and roll over here? Let's hope so! Udinese to pick up something here. Not sure if that'll be a win or draw!

Udinese Double Chance @ 2.04 with Bet365

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.89 with MarathonBet

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Serie B

Brescia have conceded 2 goals or more in each of their last 4 away matches in Serie B.
Salernitana have won their last 4 home matches in Serie B.
Brescia have scored in each of their last 13 matches in Serie B.

You can find interesting 57 Football Betting Streaks for 10.12.2018 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-10-12-2018-12571

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  • Punters Lounge Forum Tips

    • Navan 13:00 - Plinth 16/1 EW Betfair
    • Sunday 16/12/2018 NO SELECTIONS
    • Southwell, 12:10, Midnight Bliss, 13/8 PP
    • Joaquim Silva TKO round 3.. pretty exciting fight at the end with alot of heavy shots landed.. Silva had attempted submissions after flurries at the end of round 1 and 2, and then gordon gassed out in the third round after his knee was damaged from a sub attempt in round 2. Silva landed massive body shots during round 3, and then eventually used gordon's head as a punching bag until it was bobbling on a stick..  Gordon won Round 1, and atleast half of round 2 i'd say.. there was successful takedowns from both fighters.. I was impressed with Silva's power, and ability to absorb shots.
    • Carlisle 13.55  REVERANT CUST  6/1 Bet365
    • 12.40 Southwell  CASH TO ASH 1pt win 4/1 PaddyPower BOG
    • 13.00 Navan - Dinaria Des Obeaux - 1 Pt Win @ 7\1 Paddy Power
    • Xpo Universal 12.50 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog) Took an eternity to get off the mark but has since added 2 further wins over hurdles already this month, Thriving and is well weighted if matching that level back over fences.  Allee Bleue 14.35 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog) Sixth of 9 in handicap chase at Kempton (24f, soft, 11/4). Off 9 months. First run for yard after leaving Philip Hobbs. Expected to be bang there. 
    • Envoi Allen 15.10 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 4\9 (bog) Point winner who won 14-runner bumper at Fairyhouse (16f, good, 4/9) on NH debut 14 days ago, staying on strongly. Will take the beating. 
    • Rangers vs Hamilton I'm going to leave the Hibernian game chat to the man that knows best and focus my attention on the Rangers versus Hamilton match that is kicking off at 3pm at Ibrox on Sunday afternoon. Can Steve Gerrard's men get over their Europa League disappointment with a win against an out of form Hamilton? Rangers are going through a bit of a sticky patch at the moment. The 1-0 loss away to Rapid Vienna in midweek was the third game in all competitions without a win. This was after a 1-1 draw away to Dundee and a 1-0 defeat at home to Aberdeen. The Gers desperately need a win here. It's possible they could move to the top of the table with a win if other results go their way. Hamilton are having a season forget so far. Martin Canning's side are 10th in the table and just 4 points above the relegation play-off spot. It's just 4 wins from their 17 league games so far and survival is already the primary objective. It's 5 defeats in their last 7 league games now and 6 losses in their last 8 away league games. I'm backing a Rangers win. I think they're still a far better side than Hamilton and I think Gerrard will have his men pumped up for this after the midweek gut-wrenching exit from Europe. Hamilton have shown they can still spring the odd surprise but I'm not sure they'll do it here. Draw (Rangers -2) @ 4.00 with Betway Rangers HT/FT @ 1.67 with Betfair
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