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2018 November Handicap, Doncaster - Tips & Trends


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Final big handicap of the turf season at Doncaster on Saturday

3:15 Doncaster
Betfred November Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m4f

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2018-11-05 at 12.30.27.png

Trends

10/10 Drawn 9 or over
9/10 Ran within 60 days
8/10 5yo or younger
8/10 Carried less than 9st2lbs
8/10 Rated in the 90's

15/21 First 4 last time (8 won)
19/21 Ran at least 4 times
*11/21 Were winning over this trip for the first time.

 


 

 

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Some good prices on offer 

Mynlord and master  288

Erik the red     286 

Everything for you 282

Everything for you is an improving type but harshly treated and step up not guaranteed to suit.......top 2 should be suited by step up and recently.suggests van get competitive in this at 12 and 16 look Fab value 

My Lord and  master 10pts ew 12/1 b365

Erik the red 10pts ew 16/1 willh

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Trends Selection

10/10 Drawn 9 or over
We lose To Be Wild, Hochfield, Grey Britain, My Lord And Master, Now Children,
Lorelina, Not So Sleepy, Seafarer

9/10 Ran within 60 days
We lose Royal Line, Reshoun, Birds Of Prey

8/10 5yo or younger
We lose What About Carlo, Restorer, Fun Mac, Erik The Red, Eddystone Rock

8/10 Carried less than 9st2lbs
We lose Temple Church

15/21 First 4 last time (8 won)
We lose Stargazer, Aasheq

4 left Wolf Country, Buzz, Everything For You, Baydar

*11/21 Were winning over this trip for the first time.

Selections

1pt Everything For You 14/1 bet365
1pt Baydar 16/1 bet365

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335 Wincanton:

Badger Ales Trophy Trends

16/21 First 4 last time (10 won)
18/21 Aged between 6-9
17/21 carried 11st 4 or less
16/21 First 5 in market
17/21 Rated lower than 141
18/21 Only ran twice at most this season
21/21 Had run over 3m or more previously

 

 

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Final Decs Badger Ales Chase

Screen Shot 2018-11-09 at 10.56.28.png

 

16/21 First 4 last time (10 won)
We lose Bestwork


18/21 Aged between 6-9
We lose Kings Lad


17/21 carried 11st 4 or less
We lose Present Man, Ramses De Teillee, El Bandit, Allelu Alleluia, BigbadJohn, Forever Field


18/21 Only ran twice at most this season
We lose Belmount, Sumkindofking, Aunty Ann, On Demand, Fingerontheswitch, Sam Red


Selections
1pt EW Dancing Shadow 25/1 bet365
1pt EW Captain Bucks 11/1 bet365

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November Handicap

Imo not as hard as it looks!!!

I think EDDYSTONE ROCK is an e/w cert!!! im on 14/1 6 places 1/5 odds ill be very dissappointed if im not collecting summit back here. This 6yo was 3rd in this last year and did not get the best of runs  has not been near that form since but i think has been trained with this in mind and has a massive 9lb less to carry with a bit of luck in running i firmly think this is the horse they all have to beat had a  big bet on this horse the only other one that i like is last years winning connection run RESTORER  in good form only up a lb for recent win looks overpriced at 25/1 so is an e/w play for me  6 places 1/5.

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3.35 - Badger Ales Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y

15/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger   (4)
13/15 – Won at least two chase races previously   (3,7,13,14)
13/15 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously   (2,5,10,12)
12/15 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before   (8)
12/15 –  Raced at the course previously (5 won over fences)   (16)
12/15 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old   
12/15  – Placed in the top four in their last race
10/15 – Raced already that season   (1,9)
9/15 – Irish-bred horse
8/15 – Raced at either Sandown (2), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out   (15)

Bigbadjohn 2 Pts EW @ 10\1 Bet365

Aunty Ann 2 Pts EW @ 16\1 Bet365

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3.15 - Marathonbet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f

12/15 – Had raced at least 5 times that season   (1,2,3,8,12,16,20,23)
12/15 – Won between 2 and 4 races before   (10,13,15,22)
12/15 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher   (4,5,14)
11/15 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)   (6,9,11)
10/15 – Had won over 1m4f before   (17,19,21)

Restorer 2 Pts EW @ 33\1 Betfair

Reshoun 2 Pts EW @ 12\1 Bet365

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