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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - 2018 Off-Season

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14 minutes ago, four-leaf said:

I'm heartbroken, I wont be able to bet with Pinnacle anymore starting in 2019 because of new swedish bettinglaws that Pinnacle is not able to agree with or something so they make swedish customers not able to use their site. I have abandoned bet365 and I will stick to Unibet in 2019 or my own swedish local bookie Svenska spel or 888sport or Paddypower. I don't think I will stick to any more bookies than that.

Pinnacle had good odds so it's sad to see them close their site for swedish customers.

Oh, that doesn't sound good. Maybe you can use sportmarket, that should be possible I think.

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2 hours ago, eros said:

Oh, that doesn't sound good. Maybe you can use sportmarket, that should be possible I think.

Maybe, never heard of it but I've checked it out now. Could open a new account there in 2019 and verify my account before I make any deposits.

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There are a lot of tactics to bet on banned betting sites like agents and so on. I think you can still bet there in the future, no worries about that. You have a few weeks to change some things and make new accounts and that stuff so you should be well prepared for the new season. @four-leaf

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11 hours ago, opole said:

There are a lot of tactics to bet on banned betting sites like agents and so on. I think you can still bet there in the future, no worries about that. You have a few weeks to change some things and make new accounts and that stuff so you should be well prepared for the new season. @four-leaf

Unibet is also affected by that new swedish bettinglaw and they have demanded verification of identity also and I'm waiting for them to verify my account there and I have money there and I've been waiting for 4 weeks. They have to verify every customer and since they had not done that before they have a lot of work to do now so that's why I have to wait for so long and I hope it's done in january at least because I don't think it will happen in December.

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In Germany tons of bookmakers are not available anymore for "normal" use. Pinnacle for example is banned for two or three years now and Unibet also. Bovada for example too. This is disgusting but of course the government is always trying to find a way to harm people who are trying to improve their own life with earning money and being more independent.

You can buy alcohol and cigarettes at any store out there but because of "gambling responsibility"they only give license to few bookmakers. Haha. FU. I can't stand those hypocrites.

 

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Top Ranked Australian ATP Singles Player on 31/12/2019

Nick Kyrgios at 1.57, Alex de Minaur at 3.50, John Millman at 13.00, Bernard Tomic at 15.00, Thanasi Kokkinakis at 34.00, Matthew Ebden at 34.00, Jordan Thompson at 34.00, Jason Kubler at 51.00, Alex Bolt at 67.00, Marc Polmans at 101.00, Alexei Popyrin at 101.00, James Duckworth at 101.00, Maverick Banes at 201.00, John-Patrick Smith at 201.00, Max Purcell at 201.00.

Pick: Alex de Minaur at 3.50 with Paddypower

Alex should be top 20 at the end of the season at the very least. He is making big strides forward and is not very injury prone and the biggest competition for this bet Nick Kyrgios didn't have the best season in 2018 and I don't know what's happened with him but I don't think he will improve vastly in 2019 but that I have high expectations on Alex to do.

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29 minutes ago, four-leaf said:

@opole are you going to place any season bets?

Maybe if Pinnacle will offer some but it must be insane amount of value as i do not like it to place a bet for 12 months and can't do anything if something happens like an injury or something. As i doubt there is some insane value to find there i won't do.

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Germany to win Hopman cup at 3.25 with Pinnacle

I wont be betting on this myself with Pinnacle since I will get blocked from the site from January 1 2019 but it sure looks like Germany will win it this time. Angie Kerber and Sascha Zverev has the tools to make it happen. Sascha can beat everyone in the field and so can Angie.

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6 hours ago, four-leaf said:

Germany to win Hopman cup at 3.25 with Pinnacle

I wont be betting on this myself with Pinnacle since I will get blocked from the site from January 1 2019 but it sure looks like Germany will win it this time. Angie Kerber and Sascha Zverev has the tools to make it happen. Sascha can beat everyone in the field and so can Angie.

Don't worry with Pinnacle. You may always find a brokerage that will open accounts for you and you don't need to worry. I am using Asiaconnect and I am very happy with them (Also they are working with Matchbook, SBObet and some other Asian bookies). As mentioned above you may try Sportmarket or Samvo, depends on your preferences. Those country restrictions are hitting many more around the world, because the states want peace of cake for them and are trying to put some taxes on betting. So, don;t worry about Pinnacle. Sometimes with the Brokerage you may get faster translations and in argument about some line, you could have a slight advantage, because the Brokerage will connect with the bookmaker and they have hundrends if not thousends of accounts with them and if you are just a direct client to the bookie, you are all alone by yourself.

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Qatar F6 qualif

Sidane Pontjodikromo vs. Antatoliy Petrenko @ 4.22 Sbobet 1/10

I think closer matchup than books suggesting. Petrenko hang with some good players in closer sets. Pontjodikromo nothing special at all, more the type of a claycourt player and this is on hardcourt. Let's see...can see some close sets.

Edited by opole

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Pakistan F3

Aqeel Khan @ 4.5 5dimes 4/10

Khan isn't feeling that comfortable on clay i think but he looked pretty decent in the first round and the courts are faster than i thought so it might fancy him a bit. Noguchi is nothing spectacular tbh, i think he is solid but lacking a real weapon in his game. If Khan has the stamina and feeling well it should be much closer.

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2 hours ago, opole said:

Pakistan F3

Aqeel Khan @ 4.5 5dimes 4/10

Khan isn't feeling that comfortable on clay i think but he looked pretty decent in the first round and the courts are faster than i thought so it might fancy him a bit. Noguchi is nothing spectacular tbh, i think he is solid but lacking a real weapon in his game. If Khan has the stamina and feeling well it should be much closer.

I make this about 50/50, and agree Khan at that price is a good bet

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Alright, eight season-long bets for me.

Singles ranking as of 25 November 2019 - Yoshihito Nishioka – Under 85.5 at 1.88 with Unibet

Singles ranking as of 25 November 2019 – Dominic Thiem – Under 8.5 at 1.77 with Unibet

Singles ranking as of 25 November 2019 – Cameron Norrie – Under 90.5 at 1.82 with Unibet

2019 ATP End of Season Ranking H2H - Diego Schwartzman to beat Marco Cecchinato at 1.72 with Coral

Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Katie Boulter – Under 110.5 at 1.88 with Unibet

Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Anett Kontaveit – Under 22.5 at 1.88 with Unibet

Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Dalila Jakupovic – Under 100.5 at 1.88 with Unibet

Best Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Marketa Vondrousova to beat Viktoria Kuzmova at 1.86 with Unibet

All these bets are based on what I saw from the players in the previous season, there aren't any special details to be added to any of them honestly. The bets that I like the most are those on Nishioka, Schwartzman, and Vondrousova, but those feelings are so marginal that I'm keeping the stakes level. No big odds this time around, just couldn't find anything I'd like on that front.

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13 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Alright, eight season-long bets for me.

Singles ranking as of 25 November 2019 - Yoshihito Nishioka – Under 85.5 at 1.88 with Unibet

Singles ranking as of 25 November 2019 – Dominic Thiem – Under 8.5 at 1.77 with Unibet

Singles ranking as of 25 November 2019 – Cameron Norrie – Under 90.5 at 1.82 with Unibet

2019 ATP End of Season Ranking H2H - Diego Schwartzman to beat Marco Cecchinato at 1.72 with Coral

Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Katie Boulter – Under 110.5 at 1.88 with Unibet

Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Anett Kontaveit – Under 22.5 at 1.88 with Unibet

Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Dalila Jakupovic – Under 100.5 at 1.88 with Unibet

Best Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Marketa Vondrousova to beat Viktoria Kuzmova at 1.86 with Unibet

All these bets are based on what I saw from the players in the previous season, there aren't any special details to be added to any of them honestly. The bets that I like the most are those on Nishioka, Schwartzman, and Vondrousova, but those feelings are so marginal that I'm keeping the stakes level. No big odds this time around, just couldn't find anything I'd like on that front.

I don't like the odds on any of these bets. I prefer Tsitsipas as year end top 10 player and Alex de Minaur as highest ranked Aussie.

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One more season-long bet for me...

Best singles ranking as of November 4 2019

Donna Vekic at 3.85

Shuai Zhang at 3.50

Aliaksandra Sasnovich at 3.30

Maria Sakkari at 4.33

The pick: Donna Vekic at 3.85 with Unibet

She looked good at the end of 2018 season and I expect her to continue her rise up the rankings as she is steadily improving more than the other players of this bet.

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One last season-long bet for me

Best Singles Ranking as of November 4 2019

Dayana Yastremska 3.50

Marketa Vondrousova 3.75

Amanda Anisimova 4.33

Catherine Bellis 6.50

Marta Kostyuk 6.50

The pick: Marketa Vondrousova at 3.75 with Unibet Redbet 888sport

I think Marketa should do a better season than the last one where she wasn't firing at all but she improved later in the season starting at US open when she beat Kiki Bertens. If she can show her talent again this season she should have a pretty good chance of making the top 40 at least come November.

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On 12/5/2018 at 10:55 PM, four-leaf said:

Ok @CzechPunter @money44 @opole @yogg @liquidglass it's time for some season bets. Unibet and 888sport have officially launched their season bets for 2019. And btw 888sport and Unibet are pretty mutch the same except that 888sport doesn't have livestreaming. They have the exact same bets and odds as Unibet on their season bets on WTA and ATP and my Paddypower tennis season thoughts I have already posted last week. No bets placed yet but I have started looking for something good.

Czech what do you think of Amanda Anisimova to be the highest ranked player compared to Dayana Yastremska, Marketa Vondrousova, CiCi Bellis and Marta Kostyuk? Amanda Anisimova 4.40 to be the highest ranked.

I prefer the big hitting aggressive Dayana Yastremska who won the WTA Hong Kong and clocked up 17 wins on hard plus 17 on clay.

I think she'll have a great season :ok

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  • Punters Lounge Forum Tips

    • Monaco GP So Hamilton pulls a rabbit out of the hat and grabs pole for yet another Mercedes front row lockout. Lewis is an unbackable 1/3 shot to lead all of the way and this 78 lap traffic jam. I feel for Bottas as he was going quickest for most of the session and now finds himself stuck behind the best driver at Monaco in the race. He's a 4/1 shot to get past Hamilton so basically your betting 4/1 for Hamilton to retire?? Max Verstappen is now a 6/1 shot but is as short as 4/11 to finish on the podium so maybe the value has swung towards Vettel in this market who is a tempting 6/5 shot. H surely cant have another bad day like today, can he?? I'm struggling to see how Pierre Gasly is 4/7 to finish in the top 6 when Riccardo is 11/8, Gasly has a 3 place grid penalty to starts 8th while the Aussie starts 6th?? Leclerc who starts 16th is 13/8, that will be worth seeing if he finishes 6th!!! Lance Stroll struggles here and his car is pretty slow so backing him at 2/1 not to finish is worth a small bet to keep me interested in what could be a dull race. Bets Verstappen 7/2 Under 15.5 5/6 Vettel Top 3 6/5 Ricciardo Top 6 11/8 Stroll DNF 2/1  
    • Well done Steve, your first win in the Cup since May 2017 Unlucky Ken mate.      
    • Albert Ramos to beat Laslo Djere at 2.15 with betsson It's all about probability in this one and I rate the probability of this happening higher than the current odds of 2.15. Albert has been in the quarterfinal of Roland Garros before and knows how to play in grand slam events while Laslo is 1-6 in GS maindraw matches. I expect Laslo to run into some major difficulties against Albert. They met once before and Albert won 2-1 back in 2017 in Marrakech. Peter Gojowczyk to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at 4.50 with Unibet Peter has beaten J-W before and most importantly on indoor hard and even in a 5 set Davis cup thriller by 8-6 in the decider. I think Peter could have enough to win this again even though his form isn't the best but neither is J-Ws form and I think clay suits Peter a little bit better and he's got the matchup advantage and knows how to find break opportunities in the J-W serve. Better chances of an upset than the odds suggest at least. Sveta Kuznetsova to beat (-1.5 sets) Kristina Kucova at 2.04 with Unibet Sveta could not have asked for a more favorable first round opponent. Kristina hates clay and she's never won a set in Roland Garros maindraw and her last two visits have been first round straight sets losses to Shuai Zhang 6-0 7-5 and Sam Stosur 7-5 6-0. She's done well to reach the maindraw from qualification but her opponents weren't really hard at all but she still had problems in last match against Katie Swan but won in a decider. Sveta should have many opportunities to break and could win in straight sets. Kateryna Kozlova to beat Bernarda Pera at 2.35 with Unibet Kateryna most famously knocked out reigning champion Jelena Ostapenko in straight sets last season in Roland Garros first round and later lost in second round. Bernarda Pera also won her first round match in Roland Garros last season and she beat Elena Vesnina but I don't rate that performance at all and she later also lost in second round. Anyway I don't see what makes Kateryna the underdog in this one. Kateryna has a higher ranking now (66), close to her career high 62 and I rate beating Jelena Ostapenko in straight sets higher than Bernarda beating a Elena Vesnina with retirement in her sights. Should be more  even odds here I think.  Roger Federer to beat (-6.5) Lorenzo Sonego at 1.97 with betsson I think I have to rate Rogers chances pretty high here. I don't think Lorenzo will get many looks into Rogers serve but Roger should find ways to find breakpoint opportunities on the Lorenzo serve. It might take some time but once Roger gets a break it could be a rout. This could even be covered in 4 sets.
    • I agree about Millman. He must have a chance to at least take a set as Sascha is all over the place right now. He's just won Geneva but it was such a struggle - apart from his first round every match was three sets and he only got the better of Jarry in a final set tie-break which it looked as though he did his best to throw away after building a big lead. It would be so ironic if this is to be the tournament where Sascha makes his grand slam breakthrough when his form is just not there after the last few years where he's been playing well but couldn't translate that into deep runs in the slams. I certainly wont be backing him and it'd be a brave person that did based on his season so far.
    • 2.10 Font - Demon Fou - win at 7/4 bog bet365
    • Few personal opinions apart from the picks above. I agree Millman is capable of an upset of Zverev.I'll be taking a side one on this one. I was looking forward to take on Cameron Norrie before Kyrgios pulled out.No one believes he's really ill n he hates clay season with a passion. Weren't he to take on a serious player in the 2nd round I'd have considered him to go on a bit further. Mikael Ymer will be decent n I expect him to win his first match art RG.I'd stay away from Jarry Vs DelPo.Most unpredicted 1st round match. Kohlschreiber is a formidable opponent especially this year but I think there's value in taking R Haase against him based on motivation.Also Lloyd Harris prefers hard courts to clay I don't see why he's the favourite to beat Rosol who despite being poor in form on a good day is decent on Clay.Thoughts @South_African_Punter
    • 3.15 fontwell risk and roll my win bet @ 1.73                  6.00 curragh hazraw my win bet @ 2.50                  4.25 curragh iridessa @12/1 my e/w bet                   5.00 curragh trading point @12/1 my e/w bet
    • Valentino Dancer 2.00 Kelso 15/8 - William Hill
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