CzechPunter Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 18, 2018 Share Posted November 18, 2018 looking at the Humbert matchup in Italy. Any thoughts ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Last pick of the month at the very minimum for me win or Lose without exception I'll record the final pick when I come back next month or year. GL guys. 28-38 +36.37 units Goncalo Oliveira to beat Ugo Humbert @ 3.6 with Heritage four-leaf, CzechPunter, hristofor and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 19, 2018 Author Share Posted November 19, 2018 Cem Ilkel to beat Jay Clarke at 1.80 with SBOBet Clarke's current form is so awful that he might actually just want to quit the season, seven straight losses with no won sets. Ilkel, on the other hand, was very respectable last week. four-leaf and Grass Cash 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Roy Smith to beat Julian Ocleppo at 2.51 with Pinnacle Other than homeadvantage and Roy having a week in Houston and a flight in his legs I don't see what makes the italian the favourite in this one. The match will likely be played on Wednesday. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 11 hours ago, money44 said: looking at the Humbert matchup in Italy. Any thoughts ? My thought is that Ugo is really unmotivated after missing out on next gen finals and he's guarranteed to start next season as 115 ranked according to atpworldtour.com Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uriel18 Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Liam Caruana vs Alexander Erler in Andria ATP Challenger Cariana is a decent indoor player while Erler plays better in clay courts. For their records and last performances, i'll go with Caruana @ 1.61 with Pinnacle. thinkpink63, CzechPunter and Grass Cash 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 Challenger Pune Brayden Schnur vs. Arjun Kadhe Kadhe is playing his home tournament here as he is from Pune, he played superb in the first round vs. Ramanathan where he was +5 underdog. Kadhe is a talented guy, was a very good junior then switched to College and went to Oklahoma State where he finished is senior year in 2017. I like his game style, he is playing aggressive and has a huge serve, he can serve some bombs, he was very patient too in the first round, made less errors and was outplaying his opponent from the first point. Schnur is also talented but he isn't the type of a player who dominates, a lot of close sets recently, expect some more today. Arjun Kadhe @ 3.8 5dimes 4/10 Grass Cash, thinkpink63 and four-leaf 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 21, 2018 Share Posted November 21, 2018 USA F33 doubles Ghilea/Khaledan vs. Trotter/Kobelt Trotter and Kobelt are playing together at college for Ohio, having a solid 4-1 record this season and having a big win in the first round vs. second seeded Fruttero/schneider. They were playing really good and today i think they have a solid chance to win another match as Ghiela and Khaledan are both out of singles competition and i think both are not that motivated here as Khaledan is playing qualification in Waco (Texas) at the weekend. Trotter/Kobelt @ 5 Betfair 4/10 Stevecw, CzechPunter, thinkpink63 and 1 other 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 12 hours ago, opole said: USA F33 doubles Ghilea/Khaledan vs. Trotter/Kobelt Trotter and Kobelt are playing together at college for Ohio, having a solid 4-1 record this season and having a big win in the first round vs. second seeded Fruttero/schneider. They were playing really good and today i think they have a solid chance to win another match as Ghiela and Khaledan are both out of singles competition and i think both are not that motivated here as Khaledan is playing qualification in Waco (Texas) at the weekend. Trotter/Kobelt @ 5 Betfair 4/10 You really hit the spot again @opole. Good one! Big thanks for this. My account needed it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 (edited) A double from Pune from me... Elias Ymer to beat (-3.5) Sebastian Fanselow at 2.00 Prajnesh Gunneswaran/Alexander Nedovyesov over 22.5 at 2.00 Elias is in a really good run of form and this tournament should be all about Prajnesh and Elias so I think Elias can have a good enough read on the germans serve to break him twice at least. Prajnesh have lost to Alexander before in 2016 on indoor hard in Kazakstan challenger quarterfinal. This is a rematch on hard in a quarter and I think the kazakh might create some problems for the indian here again but Prajnesh is in good form and likely not all too tired after winning in Bengaluru so he should exact some revenge at home. Total odds: 4.00 with Paddypower Edited November 22, 2018 by four-leaf CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thinkpink63 Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 17 hours ago, opole said: USA F33 doubles Ghilea/Khaledan vs. Trotter/Kobelt Trotter and Kobelt are playing together at college for Ohio, having a solid 4-1 record this season and having a big win in the first round vs. second seeded Fruttero/schneider. They were playing really good and today i think they have a solid chance to win another match as Ghiela and Khaledan are both out of singles competition and i think both are not that motivated here as Khaledan is playing qualification in Waco (Texas) at the weekend. Trotter/Kobelt @ 5 Betfair 4/10 Great pick mate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 22, 2018 Author Share Posted November 22, 2018 Yep, a good hit! I'm just waiting for the Davis Cup to place one bet in order to make the year's total to 390 . Gabosbet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Ok, Elias Ymer could not win by 4 games after a blown 5-2 lead in third set. He won third by 6-4 but that was not enough. Anyway now I think Prajnesh Gunneswaran will win in straight sets versus Alexander Nedovyesov so... Prajnesh Gunneswaran to beat (-1.5 sets) Alexander Nedovyesov at 2.38 with Unibet Prajnesh has played well lately and could be going for his second challenger title in a row. If Elias can't win by 4 games but the match finishes in 3 sets I think Prajnesh will have it easier than Elias. Just a probability bet. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gabosbet Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Kevin Krawietz vs Federico Gaio (Andria Challenger) I'll go with Gaio in this game cause he played good on the previuous rounds, last one he won in straight sets. His opponent is weaker so he can reach semifinal. he also has a good serve. I think he can win this one. Gaio to win @ 1.925 pinnacle four-leaf and CzechPunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 (edited) sb. here has the same feeling as i that Jo Willy Tsonga will put up a good fight vs Cilic tomorrow? Tsonga looked absolutely fine at the end of the season after being out for almost seven months. Now he had further time to prepare for that event and the surface and the conditions, i think he will be in good shape. Cilic on the other side was looking poor at the end of the season. Losses to Jarry, Copil, Struff and the famous loss to Querrey in Davis Cup vs. Croatia on clay(!!) .... + he had to play the Finals last week losing all three matches there, he is probably exhausted and hasn't a lot in his pocket. Especially playing Best of Five sets.... I don'T know but my feeling is telling me to put some money on JWT here. H2H super close. Edited November 22, 2018 by opole CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga @ 4.45 Pinnacle 1/10 See posting above. I have some faith in Tsonga here. four-leaf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted November 23, 2018 Share Posted November 23, 2018 Prajnesh Gunneswaran to beat Radu Albot at 2.20 with Paddypower I'm going for Prajnesh again here. He's in form, at home and didn't drop serve at all yesterday and looked absolutely fine when he beat the kazakh. His win percentage on first serve was 81% and he was on about 50% on won second serves and that ok and could easily be enough to beat Radu. Radu had some difficulties overcoming Sasi Kumar Mukund and it doesn't get any easier here. opole 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted November 23, 2018 Share Posted November 23, 2018 (edited) Brayden Schnur to beat Elias Ymer at 2.63 with Paddypower This is gonna be a really tight match between two players that should be even on this surface. Brayden is a hardcourt player of medium quality ranked right now at 189. Elias ranked 132 – at best on clay but can handle hardcourt on a decent level. Elias would have been ranked 170 if he had not saved matchpoint versus Gleb Sakharov in Mouilleron Le Captif two weeks ago but he maintained his ranking with the second hardcourt challenger title of his career. Two things I've noticed about Elias this week: 1. He takes more chances on his serves than usual and it's like he's using this tournament to train and develop his serve. He's hitting far more double faults than usual and also more aces. 2. He is looking worried, you can see he doesn't really have the confidence to serve out a match or hold serve when it really matters. It wasn't far away from him dropping a doublebreak in the decider in the quarterfinal and he should have been broken in second set on one deciding occasion if not Seb Fanselow had decided to try a brutally bad dropshot from a position where he probably doesn't miss more often than 1 out of 10 times. The point here is that I think Elias is running on fumes in this tournament, he's had a bit to many problems for my liking to justify his favourite status in this match and it's also 1-0 head to head to Brayden as he won their only meeting in straight sets on indoor hard in California 2017. Edited November 23, 2018 by four-leaf CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 23, 2018 Author Share Posted November 23, 2018 J.-W.Tsonga/M.Cilic - Over 3.5 sets at 1.76 with Unibet I agree with @opole to a large degree, but I'm not so sure about Tsonga winning outright, so I'm going to go with something a bit safer, saying that there are going to be at least four sets in this one. Cilic is having some mental issues with finishing sets off right now and Tsonga will have a full arena behind him, so a 3-0 result just doesn't seem to be on the cards to me. opole 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted November 23, 2018 Share Posted November 23, 2018 12 hours ago, opole said: sb. here has the same feeling as i that Jo Willy Tsonga will put up a good fight vs Cilic tomorrow? Tsonga looked absolutely fine at the end of the season after being out for almost seven months. Now he had further time to prepare for that event and the surface and the conditions, i think he will be in good shape. Cilic on the other side was looking poor at the end of the season. Losses to Jarry, Copil, Struff and the famous loss to Querrey in Davis Cup vs. Croatia on clay(!!) .... + he had to play the Finals last week losing all three matches there, he is probably exhausted and hasn't a lot in his pocket. Especially playing Best of Five sets.... I don'T know but my feeling is telling me to put some money on JWT here. H2H super close. He didn't lose all three matches in London, he defeated Big John but was unable to finish second after Nole but you're right he was looking poor at the end of the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 23, 2018 Share Posted November 23, 2018 1 minute ago, four-leaf said: He didn't lose all three matches in London, he defeated Big John but was unable to finish second after Nole but you're right he was looking poor at the end of the season. yeah you are right here, was mixing things up with isner who lost all three matches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 23, 2018 Share Posted November 23, 2018 Challenger Pune doubles R. Ramanathan/V. S. Prashanth @ 3.25 Betfair 2/10 They'll start soon, no big reason, Ramanthan and Prashanth with two clean wins here so far, good doubles action. Odds are a way too high, max. ~2.5 Stevecw, four-leaf, South_African_Punter and 4 others 3 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted November 23, 2018 Share Posted November 23, 2018 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga/Marin Cilic over 38.5 games at 2.00 with Paddypower Going for a bet on the overs here. I acctually think over 3.5 set will come in and over 38.5 games and Jo-Willy wins will happen. But I'm too covard to pick Jo-Willy and I like the chances on over 38.5 games. Will likely be at least one tie-break in this match and maybe even two and there can also be at least one set with 12 games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 23, 2018 Author Share Posted November 23, 2018 Regardless of what happens today, I almost certainly won't be betting anymore in this season, with my traditional yearly summary coming on Monday/Tuesday. ElPrincipito007 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 (edited) I will maybe put some money on ITF bets in the next few weeks but nothing special i think. Only if there is something really interesting. So after the Tsonga loss i put my stats on since October Total bets: 39 Won: 20 Void: 0 Lost: 19 Staked: 118 Units Back: 239.64 Units Balance: +121.64 Units Yield: 103% So let's stay focused for the off season and let's prepare well for the 2019 season. bookmakers won't sleep. we have to beat them to earn our money. it will be another tough year and season for everyone. but i am pretty sure it will be another good year. Edited November 24, 2018 by opole CzechPunter, cluelessG, eros and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Prajnesh Gunneswaran to beat (-1.5 sets) Elias Ymer at 3.40 with Unibet Elias beat Prajnesh in Roland Garros in straight sets pretty comfortable but this is gonna be another story. Prajnesh is solid in his serving unlike Elias who doesn't get any rythm in his game at all and that is a bit because of the surface but also because he doesn't seem to be overconfident in his game. I think Prajnesh will control this match well enough to win in straight sets. Prajnesh has been very solid so far and is capable of holding serve through out a set so if he gets a break it's bad for Elias. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 Mahut/Herbert (-1.5 sets) to beat Dodig/Pavic at 1.91 with Unibet Ah, what the hell. I reckon that it isn't a given that this match is actually going to happen, as the Croats can make a last-minute change, but, if it takes place, the home team should finally get on the board. It was a disaster for them yesterday, but this is a match in which they have a clear edge. Some might say that Mahut and Herbert can crack under pressure, but it's hard for me to believe that they're going to feel a lot of pressure given that the entire tie is virtually lost. four-leaf and Grass Cash 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 @eros Non-constructive criticisms are allowed only to members that have contributed something . Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 @eros Yes, obviously. Please try to be serious from now on at the very least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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