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2018/19 Top 10 Tracks - Jumps Thread


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As with the Flat we are going to track the progress of the PL Tips on the top 10 Jump tracks.

This will also include the best 3 AW tracks as we are in the new AW season.

All prices are with bet365 or Paddy Power this time just avoid any confusion. £10 win or £5 EW singles.

The tracks will be monitored every couple of months to see if any are performing better than the ones we are using.

We will kick off with the following tracks:

Catterick
Ascot
Kempton
Wincanton
Wolverhampton
Chelmsford City
Carlisle
Musselburgh
Taunton
Kelso

Calendar
November

1st Wolves
2nd Kempton
3rd Ascot
4th Carlisle
5th Kempton
6th Kempton, Wolves
7th Musselburgh
8th Chelmsford
10th Chelmsford, Kelso, Wincanton
12th Carlisle, Kempton
13th Chelmsford
14th Kempton
15th Chelmsford, Taunton
16th Wolves
17th Wolves
19th Kempton
21st Kempton
22nd Wincanton, Wolves
23rd Ascot, Catterick, Kempton
24th Ascot, Wolves
26th Musselburgh, Kempton
28th Wolves
29th Chelmsford, Taunton
 

 

 

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Results 3rd 10/1 EW, Won 10/11 Stakes: 70pts Returns: 36.59pts Loss of 150.76pts Poor end to the year but we are in profit overall I suppose. New thread starts on Jan 1st with

Results - 2 winners & 5 2nds!!!! Won 6/1, Won 9/1 Stakes: 80pts Returns: 170pts Totals: + 90pts  

Thread going forward 2019 The main reason this thread started was to try and narrow down the vast amount of selections that the PL Tips publish every day. I started the tip back in August 2016 an

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Day 1

5:10 Wolverhampton Little Miss Kodi 3.00
5:45 Wolverhampton Cockney Boy EW 11.00
6:15 Wolverhampton Arrowzone 4.00
6:45 Wolverhampton War Eagle 7.00
7:15 Wolverhampton Angel Alexander 2.20
7:45 Wolverhampton Captain Lars 6.00
8:15 Wolverhampton Spiritual Man 8.00
8:45 Wolverhampton Monumental Man 7.00
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Will be very interested in following this thread as i have long believed that some tracks are much more reliable regarding form than others (and have profited from that theory).

Slightly surprised that the Racecourse i am a member of (Uttoxeter) is not on your list,but that apart, i could not argue with any of your choices.

I wish you well in your quest Billy...:)

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12 hours ago, Systemight said:

Will be very interested in following this thread as i have long believed that some tracks are much more reliable regarding form than others (and have profited from that theory).

Slightly surprised that the Racecourse i am a member of (Uttoxeter) is not on your list,but that apart, i could not argue with any of your choices.

I wish you well in your quest Billy...:)

Hi mate, thanks.

The courses are chosen from the figures over the last 2 years, they do change throughout the season as did the flat courses, which seemed to work.

Just for interest Uttoxeter is in fact showing a loss of over £200 on my ratings to £20 stakes (Aug 2016/Aug 2018)

:ok

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13 hours ago, Systemight said:

Will be very interested in following this thread as i have long believed that some tracks are much more reliable regarding form than others (and have profited from that theory).

Slightly surprised that the Racecourse i am a member of (Uttoxeter) is not on your list,but that apart, i could not argue with any of your choices.

I wish you well in your quest Billy...:)

There are infinite possibilities as to how one might choose to rate horses. That Uttoxeter is not on Billy's Top Ten atm has no bearing on the quality of track, races or members. IMHO the situation is very simple, for the last two years Billy's approach to ratings is running at a very small loss there. Joe Blow on the other hand has been running hot there for the last two years, his approach is just a different one and has yielded more winners. Things change and roles may be reversed over the next two years. Hence Uttoxeter could return to the Top Ten List. A dynamic approach to betting should yield more profit over time than a dogmatic approach. Once you stop reevaluating your particular position with historic data and replace with a belief you could lose any Edge you created. At the same time if your approach to ratings has intuition at it's foundation or core, then a belief is totally valid.:cigar

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4.30 Kempton Barrsbrook EW 9.00
5.00 Kempton Jahbath 2.00
5.30 Kempton Nivaldo (IRE) 3.25
6.00 Kempton Symphony (IRE) EW 13.00
6.30 Kempton Angel Islington (IRE) EW 12.00
7.00 Kempton Kamra (USA) 5.50
7.30 Kempton Galileos Spear (FR) 8.00
8.00 Kempton Take Two EW 9.00
       
12.05 Wolverhampton Leodis Dream (IRE) 2.10
12.35 Wolverhampton Second Collection 6.50
1.10 Wolverhampton Fortinbrass (IRE) 5.50
1.45 Wolverhampton Lord Murphy (IRE) 4.00
2.15 Wolverhampton Captain Lars (SAF) 4.00
2.50 Wolverhampton Arrowzone 4.50
3.25 Wolverhampton This Girl 2.75
3.55 Wolverhampton Celtic Artisan (IRE) EW 15.00
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12.45 Musselburgh Urban Kode (IRE) 13/2
1.15 Musselburgh Glenpark (FR) 5/1
1.50 Musselburgh Normal Norman 5/2
2.25 Musselburgh David John 5/1
3.00 Musselburgh Morning With Ivan EW 10/1
3.30 Musselburgh Lord Fendale (IRE) 2/1
       
5.20 Chelmsford City Saikung (IRE) 11/4
5.50 Chelmsford City Jack Nevison 3/1
6.20 Chelmsford City Coachella (IRE) 7/2
6.50 Chelmsford City Teenage Gal (IRE) EW 9/1
7.20 Chelmsford City Carvelas (IRE) 7/2
7.50 Chelmsford City Footsteps Forever (IRE) 5/1
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Update later, just need to put this up

5.15 Chelmsford City Dubai Sunset (IRE) 7/2
5.45 Chelmsford City Antonia Clara 7/1
6.15 Chelmsford City Themaxwecan (IRE) 7/4
6.45 Chelmsford City Mushtaq (IRE) EW 8/1
7.15 Chelmsford City Areen Heart (FR) 3/1
7.45 Chelmsford City Breathtaking Look 6/4
8.15 Chelmsford City Princess Keira (IRE) 9/4
8.45 Chelmsford City Kraka (IRE) 6/1
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Big day ahead:hope

4.30 Chelmsford City Swiss Chime EW 20/1
5.00 Chelmsford City True Belief (IRE) 8/15
5.30 Chelmsford City Massam 6/4
6.00 Chelmsford City Elegiac 11/2
6.30 Chelmsford City Monumental Man 4/1
7.00 Chelmsford City Young John (IRE) 4/7
7.30 Chelmsford City Squire 5/1
       
11.50 Kelso Aye Aye Charlie 1/5
12.15 Kelso Cool Mix 10/11
12.45 Kelso Jack Devine (IRE) 4/1
1.20 Kelso Fixed Rate 3/1
1.55 Kelso Chain Of Beacons 4/1
2.30 Kelso Court Dreaming (IRE) 5/1
3.05 Kelso Troubled Soul (IRE) 5/2
3.40 Kelso Glorious Lady (IRE) 6/4
       
12.40 Wincanton Grand Sancy 4/9
1.15 Wincanton Capeland (FR) 5/2
1.50 Wincanton Litterale Ci (FR) 4/1
2.25 Wincanton Bags Groove (IRE) 6/4
3.00 Wincanton We Have A Dream (FR) 11/4
3.35 Wincanton Ramses De Teillee (FR)EW 12/1
4.10 Wincanton Flic Ou Voyou 5/2
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Time Track Top Rated Horse Odds
12.55 Carlisle Clondaw Anchor (IRE) 1.50
1.30 Carlisle Euxton Lane 2.88
2.05 Carlisle Baby Ticker EW 13.00
2.35 Carlisle Highway One O One EW 10.00
3.10 Carlisle Instant Replay (IRE) 7.00
3.40 Carlisle Mr Scrumpy 3.00
       
12.45 Kempton Epatante 2.00
1.15 Kempton Minella For Me (IRE) EW 9.50
1.50 Kempton Before Midnight 1.91
2.25 Kempton Reigning Supreme (IRE) 2.20
2.55 Kempton Haul Away (IRE) 6.50
3.30 Kempton Midnight Target 4.00
4.00 Kempton Tidal Watch (IRE) 4.00
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Time Track Top Rated Horse  
4.15 Chelmsford City Fares Kodiac (IRE) 3.50
4.45 Chelmsford City Mujassam 3.00
5.15 Chelmsford City Firmament 3.50
5.45 Chelmsford City Flying Tiger (IRE) 4.33
6.15 Chelmsford City Mainsail Atlantic (USA) 4.00
6.45 Chelmsford City Clearance 2.87
7.15 Chelmsford City Ladweb 5.00
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Extra fixture at Kempton added

Time Track Top Rated Horse  
5.15 Chelmsford City California Love 1.91
5.45 Chelmsford City Jewel of The Sea EW 11.00
6.15 Chelmsford City Lily Ash (IRE) EW 9.00
6.45 Chelmsford City Clara Peeters 8.00
7.15 Chelmsford City Craving (IRE) EW 9.00
7.45 Chelmsford City Young John (IRE) 3.75
8.15 Chelmsford City River Cafe (IRE) EW 13.00
8.45 Chelmsford City Sussex Girl EW 10.00
       
4.30 Kempton Rambaldi (IRE) 7.00
5.00 Kempton Fearlessly (IRE) 2.10
5.30 Kempton Special Mission 6.50
6.00 Kempton Cry Wolf EW 9.00
6.30 Kempton Cool Echo EW 26.00
7.00 Kempton Runaiocht (IRE) EW 13.00
7.30 Kempton Deeds Not Words (IRE) 3.50
8.00 Kempton Shyarch 3.25
       
1.00 Taunton Neetside (IRE) 7.00
1.30 Taunton Beau Du Brizais (FR) 3.50
2.05 Taunton Southfield Torr 2.88
2.35 Taunton Misty Bloom (IRE) 1.33
3.10 Taunton Magical Thomas 2.87
3.40 Taunton Full (FR) 2.38
4.10 Taunton Southfield Stone 2.38
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