CzechPunter Posted November 6, 2018 Author Share Posted November 6, 2018 Well, from what I can gather, he won't even be in London. Khachanov is the first substitute, Coric the second one, neither has pulled out yet. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 as I've mentioned.. It is very likely that I will back all players to win the Tour Finals outside of Roger and Novak. Because i think the value has been inflated by the books favoring these guys Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 CP , Khachanov and Coric possible choice .. hard to say if Karen will be rested but courts of London will be similar to Paris, and he loves them.. As for Borna Coric... If his fitness is 100%.. I see him as very legitimate contender in the tournament if not one of the favorites to win. he should be able to track down alot of balls and open the court well with his backhand in London Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 I only saw Caruana once this year, vs. Johnson in Auckland at the beginning of the year and he looked really good and full of talent but his results recently were pretty weak. But Next Gen Finals are pretty pretty tight matches most of the time. Those sets are short. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 Challenger Bratislava Doubles N. Gombos/L. Klein vs. T. Brkic/A. Pavic => N. Gombos/L. Klein @ 2.78 Sbobet 3.5/10 I expect Brkic and Pavic to lose early here as Pavic will play in India next week i assume, probably has to play qualification at the weekend in Bangalore where he has to defend a quarterfinal. Stevecw, Grass Cash, CzechPunter and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 Ok time for me to stop punting today... nice to see you guys active in here.. and good pick on Halys in France @ CP And yes that doubles pick looks like candy, but I already am overinvested today.. so i can't partake in that one. see you guys tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 ATP Next Gen Finals Alex de Minaur vs. Liam Caruana => Liam Caruana @ 9 5dimes stake: 1/10 Another try, lower stake than Munar who did well vs Tsitsipas. Those matches at Next Gen finals are always tight and tough to predict as the formata is completly different to normal tennis: No ad scoring, time clock, sets to 4....and so on. I think it might favor the underdog here. Odds are dropped on de Minaur and i think he is the solid fav here but odds around ~ 9 here are way too high. Caruana is solid, i saw him vs Johnson in Auckland at the beginning of the season and he has some talent. Last years Wild Card Quinzi did very well at the tournament, losing five setters to Rublev and Chung and won a set vs Shapovalov too. Expect another solid performance by Caruana this year in all three matches. Maybe it's worth to try him at high odds like this. Grass Cash, CzechPunter and hristofor 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 I haven't been able to rest unfortunately.. Already have leveraged action on Caruana. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 Thailand F8 Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam vs. Igor Smilansky => Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam @ 4.22 Sbobet stake: 1/10 First time i saw Shanmugam play was at the beginning of the season in Chennai Challenger in February where he beat Ivan Nedelko after winning three matches in qualifying too. Shanmugam is a really aggressive player with huge serve and strong forehand, he has some kind of potential, of course he is more a ballbasher but he has some talent and i doubt his opponent Smilansky is out of reach here. Smilansky almost only plays Futures, he is solid but his level depends on his daily shape and i think he is beatable on a bad day. CzechPunter, Simeon Borisof, hristofor and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 7, 2018 Author Share Posted November 7, 2018 Another massive shout, congrats! opole 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 Challenger Knoxville Michael Redlicki vs. Marcelo Arevalo => Michael Redlicki @ 2.21 Pinnacle stake: 4/10 Well, i can't say i was impressed with Arevalo last week in Charlottesville. He lost 46 26 to Serdarusic and looked out of form, return was weak and his serve also wasn't working. Despite the fact Arevalo has the natural abilities to play solid on indoor courts as he is tall, has a good serve and net game and power in his groundstrokes he simply is not having any special results there in the past. His record is 5-12 overall and he is in his late 20s so i doubt it will be much better one day. His opponent should like the conditions, Michael Redlicki is a very good prospect who finished his collegiate career in 2017 at Arkansas. Redlicki is very tall, has a huge lefty serve and knows how dictate points. I doubt he is the underdog here considering his performances in the qualification tournament and Arevalo playing super weak last week. eros, hristofor and Stevecw 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 ATP Next Gen Finals Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Frances Tiafoe => Frances Tiafoe @ 2.89 Pinnacle stake: 2/10 As i said i think Tsitsipas is not at 100% here and he looked solid yesterday but Munar was making a lot of easy errors. I think Tiafoe is a harder matchup. Odds are looking juicy. hristofor 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 8, 2018 Share Posted November 8, 2018 Challenger Knoxville Michael Redlicki vs. Reilly Opelka => Michael Redlicki @ 4.08 Pinnacle stake: 2/10 Two big serving guys on a fast indoor court, do not expect a lot of breaks here to be honest, can see a tight match with some tiebreakers, Redlicki was very clutch yesterday, looked good vs. Arevalo. Opelka also was playing good. Could be a good match were some small things decide who wins. eros and hristofor 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlicanteDream Posted November 8, 2018 Share Posted November 8, 2018 Any comments on Minaur 3:1 Fritz prediction Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 8, 2018 Author Share Posted November 8, 2018 @AlicanteDream Looks like a completely random shot to me, but good luck! Personally, I'm just hoping Mikael Ymer can somehow beat Mmoh today and get a good run this week for the pre-season bet, otherwise I'm just looking forward to next week. Maybe tomorrow is going to throw up some nice markets, but today looks like meh to me. Redlicki could win in two TBs I reckon, but he was injured two days ago before looking healthy (at least according to the result) yesterday. Who knows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 8, 2018 Share Posted November 8, 2018 Event: ITF Women Shengzen Carol Zhao to beat Ivana Jorovic @ 3.97 with Pinnacle Danka Kovinic to beat Yafan Wang @ 3.08 with Pinnacle Valentini Grammatikopoulou to beat Saisai Zheng @ 3.57 with Pinnacle Carol Zhao is defending champion of this event, and she won her last two matches as underdog. I'm not a believer in Jorovic.. so considering this info.. of course there is pure value on Zhao. I've also seen her play, and she has some skills. Other two matches is also value.. Saisai Zheng was eliminated in QF of Shengzen tournament earlier this year. I fully expect at the very minimum one of these matches to win, and predict that atleast 2 matches win. I recommend large flat stakes across all three because if two win there is enormous profit, and if you 1 of these wins.. you are taking no loss, and on a pure freeroll. You can thank me later, I have 3 bets still pending, and all will be tallied in good time.. Cheers everyone hristofor and CzechPunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 (edited) 20-26 +23.39 units Jaume Munar to beat Alex De Minaur @ 5.5 with William Hill Munar looks motivated and ready. He also hold 2-0 h2h, both straight sets win. Edited November 9, 2018 by money44 units correction Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 (edited) I have some ideas for other matches, and maybe you guys can help me out.. alexandrova, arguello, and eubanks to win. i could use some help in france and slovakia atp also I'd also take bogdan over rodina.. i think her serve is much stronger, but i haven't seen her current form .. and i might substitute opelka instead of eubanks. Janvier should beat Vatutin Edited November 9, 2018 by money44 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 9, 2018 Author Share Posted November 9, 2018 Wouldn't trust Janvier one bit personally, that guy is too unstable in my eyes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 CP . i don't trust Vatutin serve indoors.. Paire not playing well. I'm pretty sure you are not betting on Vatutin, but do you prefer Opelka or Eubanks ? any opinion on the other matches i posted ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 9, 2018 Author Share Posted November 9, 2018 I'd prefer Eubanks. As a rule, I wouldn't back Opelka unless the odds are really tasty because of the same reasons that I wouldn't mind backing him as the underdog somewhere. His serve allows him to produce upsets here and there, but it's also a liability, as he has nothing else. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 I feel like I could say the same thing about Eubanks. And his serve. I’m not familiar with the player that Christopher Eubanks is playing but it seems like Opelka matches up good against Michael Mmoh At least based on their head to head matches Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 9, 2018 Author Share Posted November 9, 2018 I guess that you could say that, but Eubanks has at least some sort of a plan B imo. Karlovskiy can play well from time to time and he did play well yesterday, but Mmoh is definitely more solid in that regard. Just my two cents obviously, you should back both if you fancy both. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 (edited) Eubanks is maybe the slight favorite but overall the odds are not looking good enough to take imo. He beat Karlovskiy already but it was a close match and Karlovskiy retired and i expect another close one here today. Both are looked good so far, Eubanks was serving pretty well and nearly untouchable but i can see tiebreakers here so i guess the odds are solid, a true pick em match and i do not want to be involved pre game, maybe inplay you can get much better odds. Today / Tomorrow the odds for new Challenger qualifications will be released, i'll wait for them and do not touch any other bet. Edited November 9, 2018 by opole Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 @CzechPunter , I don't fancy both of them or either.. One of them I believe will win. I am just looking to build some action , and I need extra pieces Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 I've taken Opelka to increase my action today in case anyone is still deciding. It will be the final match on knoxville. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 9, 2018 Share Posted November 9, 2018 Challenger Kobe qualification Ivan Sabanov vs. Masayoshi Ono => Masayoshi Ono @ 4.20 10bet stake: 4/10 Looks like incredible value but let's see. Ono is solid enough to beat a doubles only player like Sabanov who is to be honest nothing special. Ono has a lot of decent results vs. much better opponents and i am pretty sure he will play his best at home in Kobe. CzechPunter, Stevecw and South_African_Punter 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 10, 2018 Share Posted November 10, 2018 What a shame. Ono was leading 5-3 in the first set and then collapsed completly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted November 10, 2018 Author Share Posted November 10, 2018 Kevin Anderson to beat Dominic Thiem at 1.91 with BetVictor The stats back this bet up for all kinds of reasons, but it's more about my gut feeling in the end. These final events often come to form and freshness, which are things that Thiem simply wasn't showing from the US Open onwards. Anderson, on the other hand, really came alive in the final months, so I'd make him a 1.70 fav here. South_African_Punter, TugaPunter and eros 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted November 10, 2018 Share Posted November 10, 2018 Ch Champaign Qualif. Gui Gomes vs. Aron Hiltzik => Gui Gomes @ 5.0 Betfair stake: 2/10 Gomes tall, huge serve, good power in his shots. Hiltzik of course solid enough to be the favorite but he is too inconsistent, has some bad losses or even sets lost to average players. Odds are looking good enough to try. Small stake! eros, TheGreekk, kindablue and 3 others 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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