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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - October 29 - November 4

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Adrian Mannarino to beat Ugo Humbert at 1.73 with BetVictor

Ugo Humbert has made giant leaps of progress in this season, but he is yet to really achieve success on the main level and I think that it's worth opposing him until that happens, especially when the other guy is an experienced player that hasn't been too poor lately either. Personally, I'd have Mannarino at the 1.50 mark here all things considered.

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Karen Khachanov (-1.5 sets) to beat Filip Krajinovic at 1.90 with bet365

Karen met Filip once this season and he won in straight sets and when they met in 2016 on indoor hardcourt in Jönköping, Sweden Karen won in straight sets also. He's the better player right now and probably should be regarded as better for a long time and it's very likely he wins in straight sets again as I see it unlikely that Filip can reproduce the same effort from last season in Paris when he reached the final. Back then he didn't have to face a hard opponent like Karen in the first round as he faced an out of form Yuichi Sugita then so now I think Filip will go out in first round in straight sets. Karen is very mutch in form as he showed that by taking the title in Kremlin cup about one week ago so this should be more or less a match Filip will struggle big time to get something out of.

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Challenger Canberra-2 Doubles

N. Kuhn/Y. Mertens vs. A. Harris/A. Vukic

=> A. Harris/A. Vukic @ 3.3 10bet stake: 4/10

Absolutely unreal odds on Harris and Vukic. I would give even odds here, this is a completly open matchup where i can not see a favorite at all. Harris and Vukich having some extra motivation as they both playing in Australia, can't see them going out easily here. As i said: 50/50 matchup. Can't ignore the odds. High confidence bet !!

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ATP Paris

Sportsbook Heritage

Feliciano Lopez 2.55

Haase 2.55

Basilashvili 1.54

Gojowczyk 1.69

Good surface for veteran players Lopez has experience in this tournament and his advanced to at least the second round in the last five years including a round of 16 he’s also went through the qualifying and should be comfortable enough on the surface.

Haase With round of 16 Appearance last year has also went through qualifying and beating tough competition could be prepared for german and sometimes likes this slow indoor surfaces

Not much needs to be said about basilashvili he’s had an incredible close to the season I saw him a little bit in the last tournament and he was serving great and his condition also look very good as well I think you should be able to take out Millman

Peter  comes into this match playing at what I would say average form I believe he has also came through qualifying and he did come through qualifying beating to solid opponents also made the second round of this tournament last year his opponent  today has been recovering from injury often on for a while and we’ve seen ups and downs in his form but I just don’t believe that he is passionate about advancing because he needs more rest for next season 

Edited by money44
Typo

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@four-leaf @CzechPunter @opole 

@everybody else

if zverev and schwartzman both win. They will clash in the third round. Diego holds 1-0 record h2h. I might choose him to win again. Odds will be at least 3.0, possibly much higher. You guys have opinions on this. Actually I think odds will be around 5.0 my best guess.

I also see possible upset over tsitsipas(Who is not serving very well in basel)Peter gojowczyk If he wins the first round match.

Edited by money44
Cleaned

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@money44 I don't think you'll be able to get 5.00, but there's little point in talking about this until we actually get there.

@TugaPunter Hi and welcome to the forum! Your picks are a little bit bare though, please try posting some reasoning and, importantly, the odds you're playing for, otherwise it's a bit pointless :ok.

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@CzechPunter

there may be little point, But it’s good to be prepared for the future of the tournament and possibly a very profitable investment down the road. Because if we don’t discuss these type of things now they may never actually get discussed and we might be able to find something when we put our heads together early

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I am through Paris draw and i didn't find a single bet i would take so i will pass in the first round. There are some close matchups i don't like to be involved as everything can happen and prizes are too short.

Best bet might be Feli Lopez to beat De Minaur as Lopez looked clutch in the qualifying vs. both Struff and Ebden serving very, very well. He should like the conditions as money44 said and he has already played two matches there. Maybe i will go with Lopez here later on, probably inplay trying to get some higher odds ~2.6-2.7.

Very solid work by bookmakers so far for the beginning of the week...

Challenger Guayaquil 

Emilio Gomez vs. Thomaz Bellucci

=> Emilio Gomez @ 3.45 5dimes stake: 3/10

Gomez is underrated, good player despite never being ranked inside Top 200 but he has the game to be a threat for almost everyone on the challenger circuit. This is his home tournament as he is from Guayaquil. Gomez and Bellucci met twice and both matches were razor close Davis Cup ties: In 2016 Bellucci beat Gomez 76 67 62 75 on indoor hard in Brazil, 2017 Belluci beat Gomez 62 64 67 46 64 on clay in Ecuador. Bellucci is a bit out of form recently, losing to guys like Serdarusic, Hernandez-Fernandez and Grigelis. I don't think Gomez is far away from that level, i even think he might be better than those three names. Odds are juicy, i think there is some value.

Edited by opole

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Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5 sets) to beat John Millman at 2.50 with bet365

I think Niko played some good tennis last week and he deserves to be a bigger favourite in this match so 2.50 on him to win this in straight sets is good enough for a bet. I rate this bet higher than Karen Khachanov to beat Filip Krajinovic in 2.

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 That makes sense. also I’m watching  Dzumhur match. Peter does not look good he’s making too many errors and I don’t think there’s a chance for an upside in the next round anymore if he wins. His serving and fitness also look questionable

Although for some reason I don’t think that tsitsipas Wants to play djokovic again. This is only based on silly superstition though. He could tank for next gen finals title

Edited by money44

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6 hours ago, money44 said:

ATP Paris

Sportsbook Heritage

Feliciano Lopez 2.55

Haase 2.55

Basilashvili 1.54

Gojowczyk 1.69

Good surface for veteran players Lopez has experience in this tournament and his advanced to at least the second round in the last five years including a round of 16 he’s also went through the qualifying and should be comfortable enough on the surface.

Haase With round of 16 Appearance last year has also went through qualifying and beating tough competition could be prepared for german and sometimes likes this slow indoor surfaces

Not much needs to be said about basilashvili he’s had an incredible close to the season I saw him a little bit in the last tournament and he was serving great and his condition also look very good as well I think you should be able to take out Millman

Peter  comes into this match playing at what I would say average form I believe he has also came through qualifying and he did come through qualifying beating to solid opponents also made the second round of this tournament last year his opponent  today has been recovering from injury often on for a while and we’ve seen ups and downs in his form but I just don’t believe that he is passionate about advancing because he needs more rest for next season 

I can say I belive Feli Lopez can beat Alex De Minaur, I think Alex will tank his match ahead of Milan next week. Feliciano has looked good in Paris qualies and he rarely loses in first round in Paris so upset for me there.

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@CzechPunter @opole @four-leaf

Well I can say that I’m not having a good day but the reason that I listed the mumbai tournament first was because I felt more confident with those pics there’s a chance I could break out even.

 I’ve also done some more thinking about the possible Diego and Alexander and I’ve come to the conclusion that I do not trust the current form of Schwartzman. He just does not have impressive results and I think it is much more likely that we can see Philip kohl Schreiber continue playing well and knock off Cilic who is not been playing very good for sometime now. The problem is I did watch the match versus Haase. I don’t think he was playing very well either.  But Philip look like he was in cruise control the entire match and he was very fit so even losing the first set he seem to completely dominate after that and then he serve three straight aces is to close out the match before match point I’ve not sure what happened to final point. I forgot. And I’ve increased the possibility of Diego losing in the first round.

and Four leaf I am not liking my chances anymore on Feliciano López to win because sometimes I put pics together in a certain combination and if they start going wrong everything goes bad. But good luck if you think he’s going to win

Pouille I think live dog tomorrow

Edited by money44

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I Think zverev will win London or Paris. He has a clean route to the final in Paris also if he starts playing well. Only injured Nadal can give him trouble if he doesn’t tank. But Rafael doesn’t have a good result in this tournament

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Don't be that hard on yourselves, guys, losses and wins come and go, nothing to be done about streaks. Also, my suggestion is that if you're unsure about a match, just skip it, there's always tomorrow and next week, month, year. Kohli could be a good shout, might have a think about that at some point, but Cilic isn't solid at the moment. Somehow, I just like to keep things fairly low-key right now, the end of the season tends to be crazy, and it's been working alright so far.

Tereza Martincova to beat Barbora Stefkova at 1.64 with Unibet

I'm not sure what the odds are all about here, perhaps everyone is looking into their previous meeting too much. In any case, Stefkova has been outright terrible recently, also some mental resilience issues by the looks of her most recent matches, while Martincova is on a good winning streak. Wouldn't have her above 1.40 myself.

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