Tennis Tips - October 22 - October 28

[1daRice]

4 hours ago, opole said:

Challenger Canberra-2

Thomas Bosancic vs. Tom Evans

=> Thomas Bosancic @2.63 Sbobet stake: 2/10

I actually think Bosancic is the bigger talent and has more experience at this point. Both guys are pretty unexperienced and young prospects but Bosancic was actually a pretty decent junior player who beat several Top 10 juniors as Baez (#1), Park (#3) and McHugh (#8). He was ranked as high as #48 in the junior rankings and is now starting to turn professional playing only four junior tournaments in 2018. Evans also solid junior but not as good as Bosancic in my opinion. Looks like a much closer matchup than bookmakers suggest. Small stake though as i think Bosancic still very inconsistent. I do not like to be involved with a high stake in such a matchup to be honest.

Thank you for the tip. Already got x5 my money back cus he won second set. I got him on x10 in live, hope he will pull thru. But anyways thx for the tip again, I wouldn’t have won on live if you didn’t post this. BIG UPs

[1daRice]

@opole dude, if I ever meet you in real life, imma give you sooo much love. Wish I got it when it was 15x money. But my money was locked in another bet at that time. But I had a veeeeery good night, thx to your advice. 

[Grass Cash]

Guys my Tips might be a little bit sloppy format because I’ve restricted my computer access for using this site too much. I’m on my phone and I’ve cashed plus units every day that I’ve posted recently. PL stats 11-11, +13.72 units, roi 62.4%

official play : Kei nishikori -5 games to beat kukushkin @1.9 With William Hill

[Grass Cash]

He has covered or at least pushed the five game handicapped in the first two sets against mikhail in the last five matches and I believe that Mikhail will be very tired coming into this and Kai should be fresh as far as I know good luck guys. Kei Has been in the best form of all season at this tournament in Vienna playing spectacular tennis

[opole]

 

8 hours ago, opole said:

Challenger Canberra-2

Thomas Bosancic vs. Tom Evans

=> Thomas Bosancic @2.63 Sbobet stake: 2/10

I actually think Bosancic is the bigger talent and has more experience at this point. Both guys are pretty unexperienced and young prospects but Bosancic was actually a pretty decent junior player who beat several Top 10 juniors as Baez (#1), Park (#3) and McHugh (#8). He was ranked as high as #48 in the junior rankings and is now starting to turn professional playing only four junior tournaments in 2018. Evans also solid junior but not as good as Bosancic in my opinion. Looks like a much closer matchup than bookmakers suggest. Small stake though as i think Bosancic still very inconsistent. I do not like to be involved with a high stake in such a matchup to be honest.

Bosancic won 16 64 63. First set looked really bad, i think he won three points in the first four games(!) but he came back strong in the second and third.

Edited October 27, 2018 by opole

[opole]

Challenger Eckental Qualifying

Leopold Zima vs. David Poljak

=> Leopold Zima @ 6.65 10bet 3/10

I wrote some words about Zima a couple of days ago. He is a decent prospect and has some serious talent, of course he is young and he didn't play much on the pro circuit so far but Poljak isn't an unbeatable opponent in my opinion. Zima was playing a solid match vs. top prospect Rodionov in Eckental last year and i expect a better performance this year as he developed well. Odds are too high.

[Grass Cash]

Odds look way too high. When does this match start ? @opole

[opole]

Just now, money44 said:

Odds look way too high. When does this match start ? @opole

Right now the first match on Centre Court is going to end the first set, then another match and then Zima vs. Poljak. I think ~13:00 is realistic.

[Grass Cash]

@opole, Good luck on it the odds look really juicy. I’m not familiar with the other player but at those odds you could easily win. I don’t have money offshore to bet that. Hope you win tho ! I’m going to make a deposit soon I’m only betting at local sports books in Vegas right now

[opole]

5 minutes ago, money44 said:

@opole, Good luck on it the odds look really juicy. I’m not familiar with the other player but at those odds you could easily win. I don’t have money offshore to bet that. Hope you win tho ! I’m going to make a deposit soon I’m only betting at local sports books in Vegas right now

Thanks man. I have some bets on my radar for the Charlottesville challenger later on today but no odds so far, but i am pretty sure we have some nice value there as some players are looking like huge underdogs but will perform better than expected. will post it later.

[opole]

Challenger Charlottesville qualifying

Emil Reinberg vs. Stefan Kozlov 

=> Emil Reinberg @ 3.25 Ladbrokes stake: 4/10

Kozlov lost 11 of his last 12 matches, he is waiting for a win since June and he looked horrible recently losing the last six matches without winning a set and receiving some big blowouts vs average opponents like Lucas Gomez or Jared Hiltzik.

Reinberg is very solid and talented youngster who is playing for Georgia at College. He likes fast conditions and Charlottesville is really fast. He was a top junior ranked inside Top 50, for example defeated Denis Shapovalov there.

[opole]

Challenger Charlottesville qualifying

Alejandro Gomez vs. Aswin Lizen

=> Aswin Lizen @ 9 Ladbrokes stake: 1/10

Lizen is a solid prospect and he is playing for Virgina so this is a kind of a home tournament for him as Univ. of Virigina is located in Charlottesville. Lizen had a couple of good wins at college vs very good opponents and top college players. Gomez is a shaky player, inconsistent and indoor hard is obviously not his best surface.

[opole]

Challenger Charlottesville qualifying

Hugo Grenier vs. Henrik Wiersholm

=> Henrik Wiersholm @ 6.50 Ladbrokes stake: 0.5/10

Jan Choinski vs. Ryan Shane

=> Ryan Shane @ 2.96 Sbobet stake: 3/10

No time to write long analysis right now but i think Wiersholm has a slight chance to edge it, he looked promising at those tournaments in the last years and i think he might improved. Grenier is hard hitting guy but makes a lot of errors.

Shane is all or nothing player, hits very very very hard and plays risky tennis all the time, serves the second serve like the first serve, he is a nutcase on court but he has serious amount of talent, i rate him very very highly but he hasn't showed the head right now to establish himself on the circuit. He was one of the best college players and played vor Virginia. Maybe he will peak here, home tournament 100 miles away from his home town Falls Church.

[Grass Cash]

I posted the tip for you guys earlier I think Medvedev 7-6, 6-3

Edited October 27, 2018 by money44
Spelling error

[opole]

8 hours ago, opole said:

Challenger Eckental Qualifying

Leopold Zima vs. David Poljak

=> Leopold Zima @ 6.65 10bet 3/10

I wrote some words about Zima a couple of days ago. He is a decent prospect and has some serious talent, of course he is young and he didn't play much on the pro circuit so far but Poljak isn't an unbeatable opponent in my opinion. Zima was playing a solid match vs. top prospect Rodionov in Eckental last year and i expect a better performance this year as he developed well. Odds are too high.

Zima losing 46 46 

[1daRice]

11 minutes ago, opole said:

Zima losing 46 46 

Happens, keep up the good work. Emil looking strong. 

[bostjanc88]

Whats your prediction for tomorow match Kei Nishikori vs. Kevin Anderson?

 

 

 

[CzechPunter]

Kei Nishikori to beat Kevin Anderson at 1.65 with Unibet

Anderson can win this, of course, but it'd arguably be one of the biggest tournaments flukes in recent history. A walkover against Melzer, a semi-walkover against Coric, two tough matches that could've gone either way, that's not how you usually win tournaments. Nishikori has been playing well and should take this much more often than not.

[bostjanc88]

My predictions for tomorow are

Key Nishikori to beat Kevin Anderson at 1.53 with Bet365.

Sloane Stephens to beat Elina Svitolina at 1.80 with Bet365.

Roman Safiullin to beat Nam Hoang at 1.57 with bet 365.

 

Any comments?

Edited October 27, 2018 by bostjanc88

[CzechPunter]

@bostjanc88 You should probably post your own comments for those picks first

[Capone07]

Nishikori -1,5 vs Anderson 1,68  Pinnacle

[Grass Cash]

PL stats 11-12 +12.72 units

Marius Copil to Beats Roger Federer at odds 6.75 with William Hill

Kei nishikori -2.5 gamesTo beat Kevin Anderson At odds 1.9 with William Hill

federer opponent in the final has been under valued all tournament. Rogers opponent in the last round  played very poorly.  Next opponent has far more experience and will not play anywhere near as terrible I expect him to be playing exceptional tennis as he did in his last match. Rogers game was improved in his last match but I’m not sure if he can continue with that same form Marius Copil is playing amazing tennis right now and there is clear value on him at these odds. Copil has Become one of the premier indoor players on tour and right now he is reaching his peak form with perfect service technique, adecuate ground game, Consistency and speed. If Roger slips at all Copil will take this match he is brimming with confidence.

The crowd in Basel Switzerland has also been gasping at some of the shots that challenger today has been making they know how good he’s been playing it’s almost like some young phenom hitting shots they’ve never seen before so believe me this is real and there is a chance of upset. I am setting minimum win at 25% chance Representing enormous profit margin

Edited October 28, 2018 by money44
Additional analysis

[Grass Cash]

@four-leaf please read analysis, And explain why you’re confused I think it’s clear that Copil has been completely underrated the entire tournament I am thinking that you probably believe Roger Federer win and that would be the public general opinion

[Grass Cash]

@CzechPunter You got far superior odds than me on Nishikori. I could see why are you taking it so early I have taken the money line in a parlay at odds probably worse than 1.5

Because I bet it the American odds -230 I didn’t know what the translation was

Edited October 28, 2018 by money44

[four-leaf]

2 minutes ago, money44 said:

@four-leaf please read analysis, And explain why you’re confused I think it’s clear that Copil has been completely underrated the entire tournament I am thinking that you probably believe Roger Federer win and that would be the public general opinion

No I'm confused because you only write about Roger and Marius and nothing about Kei and Kevin because you have posted Kei -2.5 also.

[Grass Cash]

 I don’t like the Nishikori pic as much in terms of chances to win and profit but I’ve believed that Nishikori will win the tournament for several days I think he’s playing the best tennis of the year right now but his form started to decline a little bit maybe in the last match I won’t be surprised if it improves against Anderson and he is also serving quite well in this tournament. Kukushkin Played much better than I expected in the last match and I think that Nishikori can expose almost any player off the ground in certain conditions and I don’t think that Anderson is going to be able to hang with that @four-leaf

Edited October 28, 2018 by money44

[four-leaf]

1 hour ago, money44 said:

 I don’t like the Nishikori pic as much in terms of chances to win and profit but I’ve believed that Nishikori will win the tournament for several days I think he’s playing the best tennis of the year right now but his form started to decline a little bit maybe in the last match I won’t be surprised if it improves against Anderson and he is also serving quite well in this tournament. Kukushkin Played much better than I expected in the last match and I think that Nishikori can expose almost any player off the ground in certain conditions and I don’t think that Anderson is going to be able to hang with that @four-leaf

I don't think Keis form declined at all in the last match. He played superb all match long and won deservedly and will win the Vienna title fully deserved.

[four-leaf]

And that's what I get for believing so mutch in Kei, he loses in straight sets and Kevin wins the biggest title of his career and qualifies for London.

[four-leaf]

Henrik Wiersholm to beat Lloyd Glasspool at 4.50 with bet365

I think Henrik played a good enough match yesterday and he might acctually manage to qualify for maindraw in challenger Charlottesville. He's born in Kirkland but his current residence is Charlottesvillle and that's where my interest in Henrik picks up. Lloyd is nothing special and his form is right now losing matches to players ranked a little bit of here and there even a guy like american Roy Smith with no ranking he's lost a match against recently. And also Nick Chappell ranked between 900-1100 he lost against recently. There's every chance that Henrik can win this match.

[four-leaf]

2 hours ago, four-leaf said:

Henrik Wiersholm to beat Lloyd Glasspool at 4.50 with bet365

I think Henrik played a good enough match yesterday and he might acctually manage to qualify for maindraw in challenger Charlottesville. He's born in Kirkland but his current residence is Charlottesvillle and that's where my interest in Henrik picks up. Lloyd is nothing special and his form is right now losing matches to players ranked a little bit of here and there even a guy like american Roy Smith with no ranking he's lost a match against recently. And also Nick Chappell ranked between 900-1100 he lost against recently. There's every chance that Henrik can win this match.

And this sums up the day with a big minus on my account as Henrik Wiersholm lost quickly in 2.