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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - October 22 - October 28

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1 hour ago, Uriel18 said:

Roger Federer vs Jan-Lennard Struff over 22 games @ 1.854 with Pinnacle

Struff is a good opponent for Federer, since he has had good performances against him previously. Right now, it looks like finally the age is taking Roger’s strength. Obviously, he is still a great player but he doesn’t beat his opponents the way he used to, so i expect some more games.

And just because you bet over 22 games he beats Jan-Lennard in 2 in less than 23 games but you got the void at least.

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Thanasi Kokkinakis (-3.5) to beat Darian King at 1.75 with Pinnacle

Kokkinakis looked really well against Harris in the previous match and has a much higher quality ceiling than King, so I quite like the 3.5 games line. It wouldn't be a massive shock to see King steal a set, but I can't see him stealing a set through more than a break, while Kokkinakis is capable of more breaks and easier sets.

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58 minutes ago, four-leaf said:

And just because you bet over 22 games he beats Jan-Lennard in 2 in less than 23 games but you got the void at least.

yeah man!! what was that!! hahaha to bad for me

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PL TENNIS STATS 8-9, +12.32 units, ROI 72.5%

Sportsbook: 5dimes (new format i might use sometimes)

Fernando Verdasco  to beat Gael Monfils @ 2.7

Stefanos Tsitsipas to beat Daniil Medvedev @ 1.69

Marius Copil to beat Taylor Fritz @ 1.8 

Kei Nishikori to beat Dominic Thiem @ 1.9

Marton Fucsovics to beat MIkhail Kukushkin @ 1.9

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ATP Vienna QF Tsitsipas Medvedev

If we look at head to head, in two matches, both played this year, Medvedev won both of them. but never in straight sets
Even though Tsitsipas won Stockholm, which Medvedev didnt play, Medvedev won Tokyo against much tougher opponents beating Nishikori in the final, Shapovalov and Raonic in SF and QF.
I was leaning towards Medvedev to win this match @ 2.24 but decided
to go over 21,5 games @ 1,507 Pinnacle, high stake

 

Edited by Capone07

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the WTA card looks like a complete coin toss. However that represents some value for a medium stake bet.

Osaka vs bertens

I have gone against Osaka in both her matches. she has patches where she plays well, but when she has won a set, her opponent has helped her by spraying unforced errors. kerber was serving for the match against osaka and lost her head to lose the second set 7-5. Bertens was 3-0 down against stephens and lost the first set only on TB. Won the second and had chances to break in third but couldnt convert. KiKi i feel is playing the better tennis and has the game to trouble Osaka. So i shall be backing the dutch at 2 odd.

 

Kerber vs Stephens

Can someone confirm that stephens coach is not with her in this tourney? while a case could be made for both, i think kerber has a knack of putting alot of balls back in play. While Stephens will like to keep the rally short and go for her winners. Now i'm hoping stephens has an off day so Kerber can capitalize. Kerber has made me win money in both her matches, so i will continue to back her.

 

Both results could be completely different but this is my read on what i have seen so far. BOL

 

 

Edited by Sm0k3rZ

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I've taken Bertens myself in a parlay. I'm thinking she will beat Osaka also.. Naomi is getting used as a punching bag at the tour finals by the resident sluggers of the Wonder woman tennis association. Naomi can lose again, because she is not playing her best tennis right now.. Bertens seems to be playing well enough according to the score lines, and can throw fire bombs. 

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@CzechPunter .- Verdasco is far and away my favorite pick for today. I have seen a couple of his matches, and I mentioned before here that he looks motivated and very fit. Closing the match out yesterday with Edmund..Verdasco was oozing confidence, and he already has the blueprint in mind on how to defeat Monfils. I think Gaels can be a bit tired. Spaniard is serving in this tournament better than I've ever seen, and I'm guessing next match will be his best of the tournament. Also, I have suspicion that Isner was not fit for the last match when Monfils walked over him in straight sets. The odds on Fernando to win are also great, and I'm rating this match to win @ minimum 50% chances. :ok

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Also I am testing out Avatars on my profile. I'm very sorry if it bothers or confuses anyone.. I am superstitious and compulsive person. I like to use these pictures because I'm a fan of artwork and such.   So I might be changing them frequently until I find one that i feel comfortable with, and then I'm going to stick with it for awhile when I do.. I like the one that I have now, but i'm not 100% sold on it .. It irritates me a little bit .. The avatar can represent a persons personality somewhat. So we'll see how that goes. 

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Lets get this party started.. I am very interested for the first match start in Vienna. I think Mikhail is playing well, better than i seen him in a while.. But you still have to deal the Marton's serve, and is playing equally as good. I did not watch the Fognini match, but I know Marton is receiving some support from the home crowd in Austria.. I believe big serving and consistency will edge him out in front, and cause disruption in the confidence of his opponent. 

:drums

 

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6 minutes ago, 1daRice said:

What do you guys think of Tsitsipas S. - Medvedev D. ?
Cus in my mind Medvedev could win this, and theres a fine value in it.

:welcome to PL @1daRice  :ok 

Please don't post links in your posts, it will mean the system automatically bans you unless we mark you as approved. 

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37 minutes ago, Sir Puntalot said:

:welcome to PL @1daRice  :ok 

Please don't post links in your posts, it will mean the system automatically bans you unless we mark you as approved. 

Thx pal, I will remember that.
 

 

7 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:

Yeah, maybe he can, but Tsitsipas is in an excellent form at the moment. I suppose the less tired player is going to win, but I don't know which one is that.

Yea, same I think ill go with a small bet on Medvedev.

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1 hour ago, 1daRice said:

What do you guys think of Tsitsipas S. - Medvedev D. ?
Cus in my mind Medvedev could win this, and theres a fine value in it.

 

19 hours ago, Capone07 said:

ATP Vienna QF Tsitsipas Medvedev

If we look at head to head, in two matches, both played this year, Medvedev won both of them. but never in straight sets
Even though Tsitsipas won Stockholm, which Medvedev didnt play, Medvedev won Tokyo against much tougher opponents beating Nishikori in the final, Shapovalov and Raonic in SF and QF.
I was leaning towards Medvedev to win this match @ 2.24 but decided
to go over 21,5 games @ 1,507 Pinnacle, high stake

 

Welcome @1daRice :) 

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1 minute ago, Capone07 said:

 

Welcome @1daRice :) 

First of all, thx for the welcome.
And second, thx for your share of advice. I was looking for something with a good value, I got the over 22,5 games on another cupon, included Copil, and Stephens. So im just waiting for the match to begin. I just find the value of Medvedev very interesting, and considering to place a small bet. So I needed some thoughts on the match :hope

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On 23.10.2018 at 11:45 PM, opole said:

Challenger Las Vegas Doubles

A. Shamasdin/A. Siljestrom vs. R. Galloway/N. Pasha 

=> A. Shamasdin/A. Siljestrom @ 1.99 Sbobet stake: 4/10

Maybe i am wrong here but i do rate Shamasdin and Siljestrom definitely as the better doubles team in terms of quality. They played together two years ago and beat elite doubles team Cabal/Farah in Chengdu where they reached the semifinal. Galloway and Pasha are solid but i think they are overrated due to winning Calgary last week. Don't know if it's right to prize them like that. I think Shamasdin and Siljestrom are slight favorites here.

Shamasdin/Siljestrom losing 67(4) 67(4)....50/50 match with Galloway/Pasha looking more sharp and crisp at the crucial points, odds were correct, my fault.

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Challenger Canberra-2

Thomas Bosancic vs. Tom Evans

=> Thomas Bosancic @2.63 Sbobet stake: 2/10

I actually think Bosancic is the bigger talent and has more experience at this point. Both guys are pretty unexperienced and young prospects but Bosancic was actually a pretty decent junior player who beat several Top 10 juniors as Baez (#1), Park (#3) and McHugh (#8). He was ranked as high as #48 in the junior rankings and is now starting to turn professional playing only four junior tournaments in 2018. Evans also solid junior but not as good as Bosancic in my opinion. Looks like a much closer matchup than bookmakers suggest. Small stake though as i think Bosancic still very inconsistent. I do not like to be involved with a high stake in such a matchup to be honest.

Edited by opole

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