CzechPunter Posted October 23, 2018 Author Share Posted October 23, 2018 Hi and welcome to the forum @AlicanteDream! Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 18 hours ago, opole said: As the market is very very small and odds already dropped huge i won't give a stake but i can only say that there is still some value on Leopold Zima at Germany F16. Ladbrokes has @ 3.5 and William Hill @ 2.75. If you have one of those books you should take the bet. I think Zima should be the favorite. He is a superb prospect in Germany with a very good junior career. He should outplay an average opponent like Julian Onken easily in my opinion although those young prospects do have their weak days but i think he should be the favorite here. It's a pity the market is small and most of the bookmakers have low limits for those kind of tournaments as you can find a lot of value there overall. Hopefully sb. was able to catch Zima as an underdog, he won 46 63 62 CzechPunter, yossa6133, dinero and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uriel18 Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 21 hours ago, CzechPunter said: My opinion is that you're overrating Federer's struggles. It's still Roger and it's still in Basel, his performances against Medvedev and Nishikori weren't bad at all, I just don't see it happening. Raonic's woes are much different than Federer's problems. Krajinovic is at around 8.00, that's 12.5 percent, I don't see his chances as greater than that. It looks like Federer is winning this, but its also obvious that hes not playing at 100% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uriel18 Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 5 hours ago, CzechPunter said: Sousa can be a tricky customer, but RBA is a decent favorite. I can certainly see three sets happening with some solid grinding from both. yeah.. i also think Sousa is a player that sometimes surprises Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted October 23, 2018 Author Share Posted October 23, 2018 Jurgen Melzer to beat Kevin Anderson at 4.83 with Pinnacle Plenty of risk in this one, but I would have Melzer at around 3.00 personally. The home guy is going to give it his all, Anderson showed some weaknesses against Basilashvili, I can see the upset happening. opole 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opole Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 Challenger Las Vegas Doubles A. Shamasdin/A. Siljestrom vs. R. Galloway/N. Pasha => A. Shamasdin/A. Siljestrom @ 1.99 Sbobet stake: 4/10 Maybe i am wrong here but i do rate Shamasdin and Siljestrom definitely as the better doubles team in terms of quality. They played together two years ago and beat elite doubles team Cabal/Farah in Chengdu where they reached the semifinal. Galloway and Pasha are solid but i think they are overrated due to winning Calgary last week. Don't know if it's right to prize them like that. I think Shamasdin and Siljestrom are slight favorites here. CzechPunter and Grass Cash 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 (edited) CzechPunter if Melzer does win tomorrow.. I do believe there is a chance for it, but not sure if I will take that action. But, if this is the case then I believe we will see a win from either Querrey, Gulbis, Fucsovics, or Pouille to accompany the Melzer win. Is there any preference of these 4 players winning between punters here. Verdasco played one of the sloppiest tennis matches I've seen in a while today, but he looks fit and motivated. In my opinion he played down to the level of Herbert who was not superb, but atleast average. I can see him advancing far in this tournament, but he is definitely a hard player to trust betting for me. Opole Congrats on Lima.. I just saw the scoreline for that one.. This is atleast 3 underdogs for you in a row, and I believe that you will reach #4 also with the doubles selection above. I am working now on submitting something for tomorrow. Edited October 23, 2018 by money44 name placement opole 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 PL TENNIS STATS 5-5, +10.45 units, roi 104.5%(1 unit) Marius Copil to beat Marin Cilic @ 4.5 with William Hill Marton Fucsovics to beat Fabio Fognini @ 2.5 with William Hill Sam Querrey to beat Dominic Thiem @2.75 with 5dimes Henri Laaksonen to beat Taylor Fritz @ 3.55 with 5dimes Jurgen Melzer to beat Kevin Anderson @ 4.6 with 5dimes CzechPunter, forgot to mention.. Thank you my friend.. you did save on Krajinovic. Surprised he put up so much of a fight (did not watch the match) I did go back and track all my official posts here. All picks are listed in order of how much i like them, but the unit price will always remain the same stake size, and you guys can use your own discretion. I personally believe flat stakes on all picks is the best money management for betting otherwise it gets out of control. Good luck.. these are fun tournaments to bet. I got so frustrated when I can't see the matches on streams during some of the major tournaments this year, and the tennis channel here sometimes is terrible with coverage. They are sitting in a loung talking and making jokes with each other instead of showing the matches, and the announcers comments start to bother me.. I have to mute the telivision to listen the ignorant egotistical americans. << from usa also ( : CzechPunter, TheEdge and Capone07 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 12 minutes ago, money44 said: PL TENNIS STATS 5-5, +10.45 units, roi 104.5%(1 unit) Marius Copil to beat Marin Cilic @ 4.5 with William Hill Marton Fucsovics to beat Fabio Fognini @ 2.5 with William Hill Sam Querrey to beat Dominic Thiem @2.75 with 5dimes Henri Laaksonen to beat Taylor Fritz @ 3.55 with 5dimes Jurgen Melzer to beat Kevin Anderson @ 4.6 with 5dimes CzechPunter, forgot to mention.. Thank you my friend.. you did save on Krajinovic. Surprised he put up so much of a fight (did not watch the match) I did go back and track all my official posts here. All picks are listed in order of how much i like them, but the unit price will always remain the same stake size, and you guys can use your own discretion. I personally believe flat stakes on all picks is the best money management for betting otherwise it gets out of control. Good luck.. these are fun tournaments to bet. I got so frustrated when I can't see the matches on streams during some of the major tournaments this year, and the tennis channel here sometimes is terrible with coverage. They are sitting in a loung talking and making jokes with each other instead of showing the matches, and the announcers comments start to bother me.. I have to mute the telivision to listen the ignorant egotistical americans. << from usa also ( : I didn't see it but based on the stats it wasn't so much that Krajinovic put up a fight - it was more that Federer played badly and posted similar numbers to the ones against Millman at the US Open. He was very poor from the service line but despite almost beating himself like he did against Millman he got over the line in this one. Cue a polished performance in the next round against Struff and an easy straight sets win... Even if that does happen though, taking Struff on a plus must be an option bearing in mind the way Federer has been playing and the number of sets he's dropped recently. Grass Cash and CzechPunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 If i had to guess Struff will cover the games handicap in that match.. Hard to believe Federer is not tired from going to the distance against krajinovic.. Struff has been serving and rallying much better recently. He's very fast player in the prime of his career that can hold his serve vs Fed who is just not playing at an elite level right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sm0k3rZ Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 great to see the tennis thread active The match i am intrigued by is the Kerber vs Osaka match. I saw both of their first round matches. While both lost, really do feel Osaka was worse. Kerber vs bertens in the third set was break after break so it could have gone either way. Osaka struggled big time against Sloane, and the 6-1 third set score reflects that. I dont understand how she is the fav. So i'm gonna be backing Kerber at 2.03. BOL Grass Cash and CzechPunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TennisProfit Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 Monfils - Johnson 13.00cet Monfils to win Khachanov - Novak 14.30cet Khachanov to win Total odds @1,94 Stake 6/10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 CzechPunter - As the minutes pass here.. I am becoming more and more confident that we see a win from Dennis Novak today in Austria. I want to know what your opinion or anyone else about this if they have some analysis. I really like the odds quite a bit, and Novak had a impressive showing last year in Vienna. If Khachanov is even the slightest bit tired from winning in moscow.. I think thats going to hurt his serve, and in general Khachanov's game is about his fantastic movement for a big man, and no doubt will create errors if his footwork is not 100%. I've already listed this play two days ago. I believe very much in Karen as a player, and grandslam potential also, but this maybe is not a good spot for him to win the match.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted October 24, 2018 Author Share Posted October 24, 2018 Well, he clearly has enough quality to steal a win there, but I'm not convinced that there's much value. For one, his form has been somewhat unimpressive since Wimbledon, only one good victory over De Minaur and a couple of really bad losses. He'll need some cooperation from Karen to win and I'm not sure that he's going to get it. I think the odds are spot on. Grass Cash and South_African_Punter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 ok great .. also , I feel the same way about Fucsovics.. I found a tip this morning after I submitted here. I'm not sure if we are allowed to post outside links here.. just let me know, and i won't do it again.. This tipster seems to be really good.. but the truth is that I feel Novak has just a good as chance to win, and the odds are much better.. So I'm deciding what I'll do in this moment.. So I will remove the link also no problem if you mention something... I will have to back Novak in live betting because its off on my book now.. but should be better sense of the match anyways. Because Laaksonen also playing late match in Basel probably will have massive crowd support vs Fritz. I might wait for this one if Karen looks fit live betting. h2h with Fritz is 1-1 with Laaksonen winning last match indoors 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 TheEdge 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted October 24, 2018 Author Share Posted October 24, 2018 Let's leave this without such links. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 (edited) Is there a setting where I receive a notification when someone posts on this thread? because I haven't been getting notified. I tried to adust my notifications , but maybe it won't work Edited October 24, 2018 by money44 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted October 24, 2018 Author Share Posted October 24, 2018 Try to play with the settings that appear when you click the "Follow" at the top of the thread. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 should be working now .. I wasn't following the thread.. thats much easier Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 Kei Nishikori to beat Karen Khachanov @ 1.87 with William Hill I watched Karen's match yesterday, and I don't like the way he was playing.. Nishikori can expose him on the ground, and advance past him to the next round CzechPunter and yossa6133 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 23 hours ago, Sm0k3rZ said: great to see the tennis thread active The match i am intrigued by is the Kerber vs Osaka match. I saw both of their first round matches. While both lost, really do feel Osaka was worse. Kerber vs bertens in the third set was break after break so it could have gone either way. Osaka struggled big time against Sloane, and the 6-1 third set score reflects that. I dont understand how she is the fav. So i'm gonna be backing Kerber at 2.03. BOL Good pick .. I was leaning Kerber but I didn't want to give my opinion on the match.. Kerber has let me down so many times.. I also prefer Kerber in the next round vs stephens as well.. Does anyone have thoughts on this ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sm0k3rZ Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 1 hour ago, money44 said: Good pick .. I was leaning Kerber but I didn't want to give my opinion on the match.. Kerber has let me down so many times.. I also prefer Kerber in the next round vs stephens as well.. Does anyone have thoughts on this ? Thanks. it wasn't an easy win..kerber in the second set serving for the match loses the set 7-5. Sloane and kerber really is a coin toss. guess will make a decision on it by tomorrow. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 ok let me know your decision soon as you can please .. thanks if you decide to play Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 Opinions on Monfils - Isner match, or Simon - Gulbis ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlicanteDream Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 Mikhail Kukushkin vs Andrey Rublev Kukishkin rated as the underdog here which give him 1/1 value. Considering his excellent performance against Dimitrov in the opening round won't surprise if he won and here. Good luck TheEdge and Grass Cash 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capone07 Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 (edited) Monfils vs Isner I think Gael will win this one, He won the last 3 encounters between the two. Also, he played Johnson who is a big server, not like Isner, but a big server, in 3 sets. I dont think there is much value here tbh @1,59 to bet on it. Simon vs Gulbis Simon has 2:1 Head to Head and the last time he won was last year in Vienna. Simon won Metz but after that hes form dropped. Gulbis can win against almost anyone but can also lose badly. He is in good form so I think this one can be a very close one. I think there is some value in Gulbis +3,5 @ 1,763 Edited October 25, 2018 by Capone07 Uriel18, Grass Cash and CzechPunter 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 (edited) I will probably go to sleep and wake up before the simon - gulbis match .. If monfils beats isner, as i suspect he might also .. I'm going to hammer Gulbis for a straight win most likely, I'll submit the play here if I make the bet.. Thx guys , We'll see tho .. have to think it over a bit more actually.. ttyl Edited October 25, 2018 by money44 Capone07 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted October 25, 2018 Author Share Posted October 25, 2018 Welcome and good luck @Capone07! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 Ernests Gulbis to beat Gilles Simon @ 2.65 with William Hill I don't believe that Simon will have an answer for the in form Gulbis serve and dynamic game today.. Yes I hear that he took injury timeout for back problem or something like this last match.. I didn't see it myself, but I saw couple shots in the match.. motivation was there, and fitness level looked to be adequate enough. Simon sometimes is a good indoor player, and I saw him moving very well recently but his win over Mayer in the first round doesn't tell us all that much because Mayer was not in form for that match at all.. He retired at the open, and lost his last 4 straight tournaments in the first round. So lets try Gulbis today to be aggressive on Simon's second serve and earn a break or two. Uriel18 and four-leaf 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uriel18 Posted October 25, 2018 Share Posted October 25, 2018 Roger Federer vs Jan-Lennard Struff over 22 games @ 1.854 with Pinnacle Struff is a good opponent for Federer, since he has had good performances against him previously. Right now, it looks like finally the age is taking Roger’s strength. Obviously, he is still a great player but he doesn’t beat his opponents the way he used to, so i expect some more games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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