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StevieDay1983

Bundesliga I & II Predictions > Sep 28th - Oct 1st

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Hertha BSC v Bayern München

Hertha BSC: Jarstein (5/0 first goalkeeper), Gersbeck (0/0 g), Torunarigha (3/0 d), Friede (0/0 m), Darida (0/0 m), Grujić (4/0 m)

Bayern München: Rafinha (1/0 d), Coman (1/0 m), Goretzka (4/1 m), Tolisso (2/1 m)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Bundesliga

Hertha has over 2.5 goals in their last 4 games in Bundesliga.
Bayern Munich has under 2.5 goals in their last 4 games in Bundesliga.
Hertha won their last 4 home games in Bundesliga.
Hertha scored in last 12 games in Bundesliga.
Hertha scored in last 4 home games in Bundesliga.

You can find interesting 61 Football Betting Streaks for 28.09.2018 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-28-09-2018-11445

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Schalke vs Mainz

The focus of my Bundesliga preview this week is in the form of two clubs that I've rarely covered previously. Schalke will welcome Mainz to the Veltins-Arena for this 2:30pm kick-off on Saturday afternoon. It's no secret that the home side are struggling and head coach Domenico Tedesco is running out of time to turn things around.

Schalke were runners-up last season in Bundesliga. A few key departures such as Thilo Kehrer, Leon Goretzka, and Max Meyer had many suspecting the Gelsenkirchen side might not reach the same heights as last season this time around. Nobody suspected it would be this bad with the club sitting at the foot of the table with 0 points from their first 5 league games.

Additions such as Sebastian Rudy, Suat Serdar, and Omar Mascarell have failed to do the business so far. Still, it's early days and three of the five opening defeats have only been by a single goal when Schalke could have come away with the points on another day. Luck isn't on their side and this is emphasised by the fact they have hit the woodwork the most times out of any team in the Bundesliga. Surely, a win is just around the corner?

Mainz have started reasonably well. Sandro Schwarz saw his team finish mid-table last season but they've started a lot better this time around. Just one defeat in their opening five league games has seen them rise to 7th in the table. However, they are yet to record a win on the road so far. In fact, they have won just once on their travels in the league since 16th February, 2018.

This game has a feeling of profligacy in front of goal. Schalke have only scored 2 goals this season and just one of those has come in open play. Mainz possess the joint best defensive record in the Bundesliga conceding just 3 goals in their 5 game so far. Unfortunately, they do lack up top having just scored 4 goals in 5 matches in the league.

I really feel the first win is coming for Schalke. They're a better team than their league position suggests. Scoring goals is a problem for both teams but I think the home team can sneak a victory here. It will be a tight win so backing goals under 2.5 seems sensible.

Schalke to Win @ 1.70 with Betfair

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.87 with BetVictor

@Magic0024, @malabgd, @sajtion, @betcatalog, @DrO, @Neubs, @Xcout, @Banter1, @Bayern, @DonPaulo, @fhuefdsa, @Franger83, @Uriel18, and @JKos, what bets are you guys looking at this weekend?

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Mine is SC Paderborn vs Erzgebirge Aue (over 2.5 @ 1.800 with Pinnacle)

The motivation of Paderborn team is high and the current level of playing is very entertaining. They have a really effective offense while having a really insecure defense. This means goals. Paderborn isn't strong enough to really control the game. While Aue will have to face the fact that against Paderborn they cannot play their own game, especially if SC plays at home. They have to play offensive as well.

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Bundesliga

Schalke 04 has under 2.5 goals in their last 3 home games in Bundesliga.
Hoffenheim allowed opponents to score over 1.5 goals in last 3 games in Bundesliga.
Nuremberg scored in last 7 home games in Bundesliga.
Fortuna Dusseldorf allowed opponents to score over 1.5 goals in last 6 away games in Bundesliga.
Mainz 05 allowed opponents to score over 1.5 goals in last 5 away games in Bundesliga.

You can find interesting 100 Football Betting Streaks for 29.09.2018 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-29-09-2018-11454

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Stuttgart-Bremen

Stuttgart are in crisis... And i write it in my Mid-Week Preview - Korkut isn´t the right coach for Stuttgart. Stuttgart have strong team - i think normaly on the same Level - like Bremen. But Korkut made some mistakes. Played with wrong tactic - some different substitution or rotation from Players.
And now they showed in Midweek Game again a poor Performance, specially in Offensive.
So now at Home i think they want to show a reaction, but now they must played against a in Form Team of Werder Bremen.
Bremen with 2 Away Wins in 2 Games and in Offensive with many Options - so Rashica, who scored the late winner against the Game in Frankfurt isn´t in the Squad for 2nd Time. So you see Bremen have some Big Rotation Options and for me at the Moment they are with the wrong Odds. I see a game with many Chances on both Sides, because Bremen also showed some mistakes in Defensive. So for me Bremen will win this and we will see some Goals here.
Both Teams with no important or new missings.

Bremen AHC0 @ 1.94 4/10 bet365
Over 2.5 @ 1.91 4/10 Unibet


Hoffenheim - Leipzig

Both with a Win in Midweek Games and next Seasons Leipzig Coach - now Hoffenheim Coach - Naggelsmann said it clear. He see some tired Leipzig Players in last Minutes of last Games. Thats nothing Special, because Leipzig made the most Games of all Bundesliga Teams in this Season, because of playing Euro League Q.
So with this young Squad this isn´t perfect.
So both playing very intensive Football and Hoffenheim in Mid-Week game played good, but not so intensive - because they know that this Game against Leipzig will be tough and so i see here Hoffenheim in Advantage for the Fitness Momentum.
On Hoffenheim Side - Demirbay and Nordveit are back in squad after little Injurys - so Hoffenheim has one Option more in Offensive and Defensive.
For me Hoffenheim will win this.

Hoffenheim @ 2.10 3/10 interwetten

Wolfsburg - Gladbach

Don´t know why Wolfsburg are such a Odd Favorite. They showed last 2 Games some bad Performances and i think they will now slowly falling down in the Table. Said it for Stuttgart Coach and i say it here. Labbadia isn´t the right one for Wolfsburg - but i don´t know who can be the right one for Wolfsburg. For me this is a Squad with Players and not a Team.
Gladbach with 2 strong Home Games and now they are in a good Mood. Only thing what is terrible here is that bad Away Bilance from Gladbach. They are total different most of Time, when they must play Away.
But think now they are good enough for taking here all 3 Points.
Both with no important missings and i think the offensive will made here the different. And thats why i see Gladbach here in Front. There offensive is much better and Striker Plea is in good Form.

Gladbach AHC0 @ 2.14 4/10 bet365
Plea to score Anytime @ 3.00 1/10 bet365


Nuernberg-Duesseldorf

Nuernberg with heavy lose of 0:7 against Dortmund. It was such a Day where everything going wrong and now for me it´s interesting to see the reaction of the Team. Nuernberg played at Home 2 good Home Games and now they played against a Team of Duesseldorf who really impressed me this Season. Think they are now in a good Mood and later in Season they will fall in Table. But at the Moment they are a good Choice here.
Also i think they can be now maybe some troubles in Nuernberg Team, because after that heavy Defeat against Dortmund - Defender Margreitter took some bad Words against 2-3 Players from Nuernberg Offensive, because Nuernberg was totaly in defensive and back with 0:4, 0:5 and that Players not make any Defensive Work, but waiting for Counters.
Duesseldorf took all 3 Points from Nuernberg in last 2 Games - and i see them also not to lose again.

Duesseldorf AHC+0.5 @ 1.80 4/10 bet365

I also played Schalke with the Win and in Combo in Bundesliga 3 the Wins of Kaiserslautern and Karlsruhe....

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On 29.9.2018 at 12:33 AM, Neubs said:

Stuttgart-Bremen

Stuttgart are in crisis... And i write it in my Mid-Week Preview - Korkut isn´t the right coach for Stuttgart. Stuttgart have strong team - i think normaly on the same Level - like Bremen. But Korkut made some mistakes. Played with wrong tactic - some different substitution or rotation from Players.
And now they showed in Midweek Game again a poor Performance, specially in Offensive.
So now at Home i think they want to show a reaction, but now they must played against a in Form Team of Werder Bremen.
Bremen with 2 Away Wins in 2 Games and in Offensive with many Options - so Rashica, who scored the late winner against the Game in Frankfurt isn´t in the Squad for 2nd Time. So you see Bremen have some Big Rotation Options and for me at the Moment they are with the wrong Odds. I see a game with many Chances on both Sides, because Bremen also showed some mistakes in Defensive. So for me Bremen will win this and we will see some Goals here.
Both Teams with no important or new missings.

Bremen AHC0 @ 1.94 4/10 >bet365
Over 2.5 @ 1.91 4/10 >Unibet


Hoffenheim - Leipzig

Both with a Win in Midweek Games and next Seasons Leipzig Coach - now Hoffenheim Coach - Naggelsmann said it clear. He see some tired Leipzig Players in last Minutes of last Games. Thats nothing Special, because Leipzig made the most Games of all Bundesliga Teams in this Season, because of playing Euro League Q.
So with this young Squad this isn´t perfect.
So both playing very intensive Football and Hoffenheim in Mid-Week game played good, but not so intensive - because they know that this Game against Leipzig will be tough and so i see here Hoffenheim in Advantage for the Fitness Momentum.
On Hoffenheim Side - Demirbay and Nordveit are back in squad after little Injurys - so Hoffenheim has one Option more in Offensive and Defensive.
For me Hoffenheim will win this.

Hoffenheim @ 2.10 3/10 interwetten

Wolfsburg - Gladbach

Don´t know why Wolfsburg are such a Odd Favorite. They showed last 2 Games some bad Performances and i think they will now slowly falling down in the Table. Said it for Stuttgart Coach and i say it here. Labbadia isn´t the right one for Wolfsburg - but i don´t know who can be the right one for Wolfsburg. For me this is a Squad with Players and not a Team.
Gladbach with 2 strong Home Games and now they are in a good Mood. Only thing what is terrible here is that bad Away Bilance from Gladbach. They are total different most of Time, when they must play Away.
But think now they are good enough for taking here all 3 Points.
Both with no important missings and i think the offensive will made here the different. And thats why i see Gladbach here in Front. There offensive is much better and Striker Plea is in good Form.

Gladbach AHC0 @ 2.14 4/10 >bet365
Plea to score Anytime @ 3.00 1/10 >bet365


Nuernberg-Duesseldorf

Nuernberg with heavy lose of 0:7 against Dortmund. It was such a Day where everything going wrong and now for me it´s interesting to see the reaction of the Team. Nuernberg played at Home 2 good Home Games and now they played against a Team of Duesseldorf who really impressed me this Season. Think they are now in a good Mood and later in Season they will fall in Table. But at the Moment they are a good Choice here.
Also i think they can be now maybe some troubles in Nuernberg Team, because after that heavy Defeat against Dortmund - Defender Margreitter took some bad Words against 2-3 Players from Nuernberg Offensive, because Nuernberg was totaly in defensive and back with 0:4, 0:5 and that Players not make any Defensive Work, but waiting for Counters.
Duesseldorf took all 3 Points from Nuernberg in last 2 Games - and i see them also not to lose again.

Duesseldorf AHC+0.5 @ 1.80 4/10 >bet365

I also played Schalke with the Win and in Combo in Bundesliga 3 the Wins of Kaiserslautern and Karlsruhe....

Bremen FT 1:2

Hoffenheim FT 1:2

Gladbach FT 2:2 - Plea with 1 Goal

Duessledorf FT 0:3

Schalke FT 1:0

Karlsruhe FT 2:0 + Kaiserslautern FT 2:1

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding II Bundesliga

Union Berlin scored in last 4 games in II Bundesliga.
Ingolstadt 04 lost their last 3 games in II Bundesliga.
Union Berlin ended draw their last 4 games in II Bundesliga.
Union Berlin allowed opponents to score over 1.5 goals in last 3 away games in II Bundesliga.

You can find interesting 46 Football Betting Streaks for 01.10.2018 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-01-10-2018-11472

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Ingolstadt vs Union Berlin
2018, October 01, 20:30 hrs
Bundesliga 2

Ingolstadt is facing a crisis of results, with three consecutive defeats, the team returns to the Audi-Sportspark to face Union Berlin.

Going home should help the team, who had their first loss at home against St. Pauli by the minimum last time in their stadium. However, their recent form does not give much to be with them, but they should not be underestimated.

Union Berlin is with three draws in the same number of matches in foreign playground. The only unbeaten remaining in the Bundesliga 2, the team has seven matches without knowing the defeat.

With a seven-game unbeaten run, you can add the away win against Carl Zeiss Jenna in the German Cup 2-4.

This series has been characterized lately by the ties, with 7 in the last 13 meetings. However in the last five matches between them in the Audi-Sportpark, two victories for Union Berlin, two draws and one win for Ingolstadt.

I think it will be a close game, and in which the performance of the team will be the key to the final result, I think the need of Ingolstad may be their  undoing. So we will use the handicap in favor Union Berlin, as the draw can usually appears in this match.

Union Berlin +0.25 AH with 6 units @ 1.81 at BetVictor

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  • Punters Lounge Forum Tips

    • Nice to get back to winning ways and there was a nice drift on Mr Mercurial at Perth who returned 5/1. It still wasn't the best of rides as he jumped the last a good few lengths clear, but was only just over 2L clear at the line as he yet again idled on the run in. It was lucky that Double Whammy had done his running because if it was a fresher horse coming from behind I think he would have been beaten. Still he held on and it was a good effort as I think the 2nd has run his race. I'm sure we will see him again before the season is out. As for Double Whammy this is now the 3rd time he has been 2nd in a Hunter Chase and he has bumped into 3 decent horses. He probably deserves to find one of these now. Play The Ace was a massive drifter and he didn't stay as I thought he wouldn't. With this run behind him though over a shorter trip he might win before the season is out. Forgotten Gold was a huge disappointment and this clearly wasn't his running. I wonder if he might be retired now. Purcell's Bridge ran above himself to finish 3rd, but hard to know if it was a one off or a return to form. Mr Mercurial was really well backed having been 1/4 last night. To go off 1/16 shows that some serious punters were getting stuck in. He won easily and I suspect he will be at Cheltenham next week for the 2m race he won last season. The forecast was landed easily and for it to pay over even money on the CSF was pretty good really. The last Hunter Chase before Cheltenham next week is the Dunraven Bowl at Chepstow and this race has been all about the well backed favourites because they have won the last 5 runnings of this and I think all 5 bolted up up as well. I think there is a strong chance the favourite will win this again as well because I am really keen on Thegirlfrommilan. Last time out she was really impressive when she won by a distance in the quickest time of the day. She was 2nd in the Intermediate Final at Cheltenham last year and that was a really good effort and certainly the best Hunter Chase form in the field. She would probably prefer a bit of cut as she has been impressive on heavy ground, but it was good last time so as long as it isn't really quick it shouldn't be an issue for her. She looks a decent horse and is the one they all have to beat. The only other one I think has a serious chance is the 2nd favourite Mister Robbo. This is mainly based on his 2nd to Road To Rome at Clifton in December. I have watched that race and they went toe to toe for most of the race and the time was quick as well. He went down by less than a length and although the winner improved after that it was still a top effort in the context of this race. Next time out he was really disappointing at Howick, but he bounced back at Didmarton when winning by 15L. I was there that day and visually it looked quite impressive, but the 2nd has done nothing for the form since and the favourite ended up getting injured, so I think he had very little to beat that day. The time wasn't all that quick either. He's been off since then, but he looks the main danger to the favourite based on that Road To Rome form. Pink Eyed Pedro was 8th in this in 2017 and then a well beaten 4th last year. He really ought to have been up to winning a handicap off a mark of 93 last year, but he could only manage a couple of 3rd and a 2nd. For me the favourite is capable of running up to a mark higher than that and Mister Robbo could well be as well. He won a point easy on his first run this year a couple of weeks ago and as much as I can see him improving on last year's 4th I just think at the very least Thegirlfrommilan is the better horse. Fateh was a 3L 2nd to a horse who carried 11lbs less last time at Llanfrynach, but the winning time of that race was 2 seconds slower than Thegirlfrommilan's winning time and she won by a distance! He was in with a chance when unseating at Cocklebarrow on his first run since May 2017 and then won a match before that 2nd. I respect connections, but he looks to have a bit to find. Accordini is of a bit of interest. He was 5th in the Ffos Las mud, but the run wasn't without promise on his first run of the season in December. He then won at Howick in a quickish time for a maiden and then unseated when odds on last time. I think he could potentially be quite useful and James King takes the mount, but it is hard to see him being good enough at the moment to be winning this. High Hatton has the form to be competitive in this, but he has also been disappointing on many occasions including when 2nd on his only start of the season at 1/2 at Larkhill last month. He did bleed that day though so at least there was an excuse. On his best form he could hit the frame, but I think it is hard to trust him. Moreece looked fairly progressive in 2017, but missed 2018 and he hasn't done a great deal in 3 runs this year. Might be able to find his form, but even that 2017 form wouldn't be good enough to win this. For me Thegirlfrommilan is a confident selection and if they get a bit of rain then even better. I do want some coverage on Mister Robbo though because a repeat of that Clifton form would mean he is by far the main danger. Thegirlfrommilan 3.5pts @ 11/8 with Bet365, William Hill, BetVictor Mister Robbo 1pt @ 11/4 with Bet365 and most others
    • Apr 25 The leader has retired 66 Not Out He's going for 3 records - more later  
    • The City Cobbler 7.50 Bangor 40/1 - Bet365 - EW
    • 335 S: Beat The Bank 3/1 615 B: Northern Beau 11/8 520 C: Jatiluwih 1/1 730 C: Thegirlfrommilan 6/4 Lucky 15
    • sorry its a late one   2100 chelmsford  1pt win navarro princess
    • 3 out of 4 just for a change 116pts  returned
    • Went to 14/1 at 5.18pm and 12/1 a minute before you posted which we allow. Good winner though 
    • 2000 Chelmsford Bacacarat 7/4 SkyBet ty  
    • I noticed @four-leaf  Lose one pick that is not insured by some other bet in combination or losing two picks in a row, and the whole empire can come crashing down if you bet aggressively.  Its not like regular gambling at a casino.. You lose two bets in a row , and you win the next 3 bets after that just as easily... For me, when I start losing I will force the issue on the impossible, and then i'm a dummy in a crash course.. Well, I am trying to maintain control and get my bankroll to optimum level so I can buy into high stakes poker games which I usually do well.. All my money is constantly lost on these crazy tennis bets lol. 
    • Seeing Red 16.35 Sandown (E.way 50/1 PP) Sea the stars is a top middle distance sire and his charges should always be noted. Unfortunately he has sired four runners in this field. A low draw has been beneficial in the Group race over the same distance so I am taking a chance on Seeing Red (Drawn 2). Bought for £200k in October 2017 he made a promising debut against more experienced rivals in a Kempton maiden. He is being overlooked as he is not trained by a fashionable stable. Though I believe Amanda Perrett is very capable.
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