BillyHills Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 This weekend features the Ayr Gold Cup and I thought it would be interesting to look at the consolation race as well seeing as its run on the same day over the same conditions. Sat 3.50 Ayr Gold Cup 6f (Abandoned last year) Trends: 9/10 Aged 4-6 years 9/10 Ran within 35 days 7/10 rated 99/105 7/10 Drawn double figures (the other 3 drawn in stall 8) 19/20 Had ran at least 4 times this season 12/20 Placed in first 4 last time 14/20 Won at 6f Sat 2.40 Ayr Silver Cup 6f *98 has been the highest rated horse to run in the Silver Cup. Trends: 8/10 Aged 6 or lower 8/10 carried 9st or more 8/10 Ran within 35 days 6/10 Rated 90 or higher 16/20 Had ran at least 5 times this season 16/20 Had won over 6f 11/20 Finished in first 4 last time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 18, 2018 Author Share Posted September 18, 2018 Early betting with bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 20, 2018 Author Share Posted September 20, 2018 Gold Cup 9/10 Aged 4-6 years We lose Perfect Pasture, Kimberella, G Force, Naadirr, Staxton, 9/10 Ran within 35 days We lose George Bowen, Major Jumbo, Goring, 7/10 rated 99/105 We Upstaging, Tanasoq, Brian The Snail, Get Knotted, Tommy Taylor, Aces.7/10 Drawn double figures (the other 3 drawn in stall 8) We lose Flying Pursuit, Golden Apollo12/20 Placed in first 4 last time We lose Muntadab, Summerghand, Teruntrum Star, Ice Age14/20 Won at 6f We lose Justanotherbottle, Son Of Rest, Final 3 : Baron Bolt, Growl, Gunmetal Both Gunmetal and Growl have form in the Great St Wilfrid Handicap which has produced 6 win/placed horses of this race recently, more than any other race. Selections: 1pt Gunmetal 14/1 Paddy Power 1pt Growl 9/1 Bet365 black rabbit 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 20, 2018 Author Share Posted September 20, 2018 Silver Cup Trends:8/10 Aged 6 or lower We lose Shared Equity, Foolaad, Maarek, Confessional, Classic Pursuit, Oeil De Tigre.8/10 Ran within 35 days We lose Bengali Boys, Gabrial The Saint6/10 Rated 90 or higher We lose Private Matter, Wahoo, Presidential, Quick look, Powerallied, Hyperfocus, 16/20 Had ran at least 5 times this season We lose Snazzy Jazzy, El Hombre16/20 Had won over 6f We lose Cold Stare, Hayadh11/20 Finished in first 4 last time We lose Green Power, Al Qahwa, Louie De Palma, Holemeswood, Kimi Five, Selections: 1pt Rapid Applause 12/1 Hills 1pt Dakota Gold 9/1 Hills black rabbit 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 20, 2018 Share Posted September 20, 2018 Silver cup. Dakota gold 377 Al quhwa 372 Snazzy jazzy 371 Holmeswood 367 Confessional 367 This is much tougher than confessional has faced and holmeswood could run well but is looking a touch exposed ...Dakota gold has a high rating and should run well but further on soft ground ??...strongest horse overall looks al quhwa who ran a cracker in a high class race race recently ...snazzy jazzy has been running well in defeat and has old form suggesting he could run well on soft Dakota gold 10pts win 9/1 wh Al quhwa 10pts win 11/1 Will Snazzy jazzy 10ptsxwin 18/1 willh Jimmy2shoes and skylark2009 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 20, 2018 Share Posted September 20, 2018 (edited) Gold cup Growl 422 Son of rest 417 Baron bolt 415 Tricky race .....all 3xhandle soft ground so let's roll the dice Son of rest 10pts win 11/2 wh Baron bolt 5pts ew 33/1 pp Growl 10ptsxwin 9/1 b365 Edited September 20, 2018 by richard-westwood black rabbit and skylark2009 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 No strong thoughts on the gold cup but have small e/w bets on Brian the snall e/w 40/1 & G-force 25/1 on the other hand in the silver cup im very Sweet on Bengali boys have had a decent e/w bet on Fahey horse who throws an apprentice on to to take a few lbs off also had a few quid e/w on Snazzy jazzy 18/1 who was a decent 2yo not been great this term yet but dropplng down the weights and plenty of cut in the ground will suit can eaisly see this one outrun its current form have also had a wee rfc on these 2.. Really like the Ayr and esp this meeting should really get my ass over there next year aint been over for a long time. Good Luck All richard-westwood, skylark2009, Jimmy2shoes and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 22, 2018 Author Share Posted September 22, 2018 1 hour ago, Tedthewolf said: Really like the Ayr and esp this meeting should really get my ass over there next year aint been over for a long time. I've never been to Ayr Ted, or any of the Scottish tracks. Must do a tour one year, always fancied Perth myself. Jimmy2shoes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 (edited) On 20/09/2018 at 9:39 PM, richard-westwood said: Silver cup. Dakota gold 377 Al quhwa 372 Snazzy jazzy 371 Holmeswood 367 Confessional 367 This is much tougher than confessional has faced and holmeswood could run well but is looking a touch exposed ...Dakota gold has a high rating and should run well but further on soft ground ??...strongest horse overall looks al quhwa who ran a cracker in a high class race race recently ...snazzy jazzy has been running well in defeat and has old form suggesting he could run well on soft Dakota gold 10pts win 9/1 wh Al quhwa 10pts win 11/1 Will Snazzy jazzy 10ptsxwin 18/1 willh Snazzy jazzy wins easily ....190pts returned ....el quhwa 2nd Edited September 22, 2018 by richard-westwood Jimmy2shoes, Tvn123, vikki37 and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy2shoes Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 Send on the Jazzy Tedthewolf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 On 20/09/2018 at 10:43 PM, richard-westwood said: Gold cup Growl 422 Son of rest 417 Baron bolt 415 Tricky race .....all 3xhandle soft ground so let's roll the dice Son of rest 10pts win 11/2 wh Baron bolt 5pts ew 33/1 pp Growl 10ptsxwin 9/1 b365 Dead heat son of rest ....and baron bolt .....carnage at the bookies ...boom Tvn123, Jimmy2shoes, Tedthewolf and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy2shoes Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 6 hours ago, Tedthewolf said: No strong thoughts on the gold cup but have small e/w bets on Brian the snall e/w 40/1 & G-force 25/1 on the other hand in the silver cup im very Sweet on Bengali boys have had a decent e/w bet on Fahey horse who throws an apprentice on to to take a few lbs off also had a few quid e/w on Snazzy jazzy 18/1 who was a decent 2yo not been great this term yet but dropplng down the weights and plenty of cut in the ground will suit can eaisly see this one outrun its current form have also had a wee rfc on these 2.. Really like the Ayr and esp this meeting should really get my ass over there next year aint been over for a long time. Good Luck All Would have been a lot warmer last year Ted than this year, weather here is always a gamble in it's self I'm not far from the track but much prefer the jumps cards Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy2shoes Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 1 hour ago, richard-westwood said: Dead heat son of rest ....and baron bolt .....carnage at the bookies ...boom First Class research Richard I always applaud your approach richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 22, 2018 Author Share Posted September 22, 2018 Another good day for the Saturday handicap thread, well done Rich and Ted richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old codger Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Another excellent set of results for your spreadsheet Richard. Well done. It has been a great run for the big handicap thread thanks to both you and Billy. To cap a great day I was actually as a bonus paid out in full for Baron Bolt rather than the usual dead heat split. richard-westwood and BillyHills 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Yeah it's so much easier now ....literally took me 20 25 mins to do an entire 25 horse race .....really helps when I'm stuck at work or don't have much time so I'm looking forward to tackling all the big races now ....onwards and upwards Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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