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Darran

Non-League Predictions > September 15th

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A profit on Tuesday, but if only Grantham could have held on to their 2 goal advantage against North Ferriby then it would have been a solid evening's work. To be fair North Ferriby sounded like they deserved a point and it seems I have backed against them in the two games they have played well this season! Anyway onto Saturday and I have 5 bets for the day's action.

Hartlepool v Eastleigh (National League)

Hartlepool have won 5 of their last 6 games and of course I managed to put them up in the one game they failed to win in that spell. Even so they have lost just once so far this season and although it could be argued they have had a fairly kind fixture list on the whole, they are looking a better side than last season. I think there is just enough value in backing them here as 1 goal could well be enough. Eastleigh have only scored 7 goals all season and have now gone 4 games without scoring. They are in 19th place and you have to wonder if we may see yet another managerial change at the club should things continue on that front.There was more promise from them on Saturday when drawing 0-0 with Fylde, but again they missed some good chances and could only get 2 shots on target. I wouldn't want to go chasing the price down too much, but they should be odds on so a shade of odds against at 101/100 with Marathon is worth taking as my only bet in the division on Saturday.

Eastbourne v Slough (National League South)

I was told about the price on Eastbourne earlier in the week and my first response was that it sounds like they have the prices the wrong way round, because Slough should be 9/4 not Eastbourne. Obviously Eastbourne should have been winners for us last week, but hopefully they can make amends here and get us our money back with interest. What I am about to write is fairly similar to last week. Eastbourne are 4th having lost just once all season (to leaders Woking) and are clearly looking a very different side from the one that nearly went down last season. They are 6 places above Slough and 2 points clear of them, yet somehow Bet365 are 9/4 about them beating them at home. I mean how is that possible? Slough are certainly no mugs and have had a solid start to life at this level, but I would love to know how the bookmakers can make them favourites let alone as strong favourites as they are. They have won their last two and beat Oxford City easily last week, but this should be a much harder game. Even as I look at the prices now I am still thinking that the bookies think Slough are at home and Eastbourne are away and even then I would still make Eastbourne a value bet. It is a crazy price and like I say hopefully Eastbourne can get the 3 points this week.

St Albans v Concord Rangers (National League South)

I nearly put Concord up as a bet again last week as I thought they could bounce back from their two surprisingly heavy defeats and although they didn't win they did get a deserved point against league leaders Woking. Given St Albans have conceded 17 and scored 19 we could be on for a bit of a goalfest here. St Albans have won their last 2 games, but needed a dramatic 3 goals in the last 2 minutes to beat an East Thurrock side who had only scored 3 goals prior to the match. I know Concord haven't won in 4, but two good draws have been either side of the heavy losses and I think they are a better side than St Albans. 63/20 looks a huge price to me about an away win and Concord owe us one that's for sure.

Truro v Hampton & Richmond (National League South)

This is a risky bet, but I think there is value in backing the home side. Hampton have won 5 of their last 6 games and that is a run of form that has seen them climb to 3rd in the table. It has surprised me, but it is hard to knock them at the moment given their performances. I do though think we can take them on on Saturday. I thought it might take time for the new management team to sort Truro out, but they had an instant impact last week when they ran out comfortable winners against Gloucester. They put in a decent performance and it seems the players want to play for the new manager. Like I say it is taking a chance, but at 100/30 I think there is certainly value to be had.

Bradford Park Avenue v Altrincham (National League North)

Bradford have carried on from last season when they reached the play-offs as they currently sit in 3rd place at the moment. They have lost just twice all season and although they will be disappointed to have lost 5-3 to Chester last time out I think they can bounce back from that here. Altrincham have only won twice all season and they have lost 4 of their last 6 with their only win in that spell coming against a struggling Darlington side. They have quite a few injury issues as well which isn't helping and they were well beaten last Saturday by Curzon. I would make Bradford shorter than 6/4 (Marathon) to get back to winning ways.

Hartlepool 1pt @ 101/100 with Marathon

Eastbourne 2.5pts @ 9/4 with Bet365

Concord 2pts @ 63/20 with Marathon

Truro 1pt @ 100/30 with Marathon

Bradford Park Avenue 2pts @ 6/4 with Marathon

Edited by Darran

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Good to see the Tamplin Circus is continuing at Billericay, the club's up for sale, no it's not, he's in charge of the team, the club's not for sale I'm staying, come back Wheeler, no I'm off Maidstone, new manager dismissed after 2 hours for something he said last year!! Jeez you couldn't make it up.

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Maidstone vs Harrogate (2) asians -0.25 1.77 1pt 

Maidstone were woeful and as anyone who saw, Salford should have won by more Harrogate to continue their good run.

 

Leyton Orient vs Barnet (1) 2.17 1pt

Barnet still has a number of missings, Leyton Orient were unlucky not to have won vs Halifax, and at home, I think they can win this.

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57 minutes ago, Kenton Schweppes said:

Good to see the Tamplin Circus is continuing at Billericay, the club's up for sale, no it's not, he's in charge of the team, the club's not for sale I'm staying, come back Wheeler, no I'm off Maidstone, new manager dismissed after 2 hours for something he said last year!! Jeez you couldn't make it up.

 

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I´m on Bromley today. They have not a good Form on the paper, but it must fair to say that they have tough Fixtures last week´s with Games at Aldershot, against Barnet and Wrexham. So also they lost late last Week against Aldershot, but Bromley´s Home Form is good.

Salford with good Run and good Form, but for me the Odds are not right. I didn´t see Bromley as a Dog today.

Bromley AHC0 @ 2.20 4/10 bet365

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14 hours ago, cc135 said:

Maidstone vs Harrogate (2) asians -0.25 1.77 1pt 

Maidstone were woeful and as anyone who saw, Salford should have won by more Harrogate to continue their good run.

 

Leyton Orient vs Barnet (1) 2.17 1pt

Barnet still has a number of missings, Leyton Orient were unlucky not to have won vs Halifax, and at home, I think they can win this.

Don’t forget Maidstone have a new manager and he has already gone raiding on his former club. I thought Maidstone did alright as well last week and only lost via an og.

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Taken a five fold 

Wrexham 7/5 against Ebbsfleet, Wrexham seem to be fairly water tight defence wise and keep a lot clean sheets, always enables you a chance to in games. Ebbsfleet are decent away from home but extremely in and out in general.

Leyton Orient evs, Barnet have picked up of late but at home Orient all the way.

Bradford PA 13/10 and Eastbourne 9/5 because Darran says so that's good enough for me.

Wealdstone 13/10 against Chelmsford both teams seem very evenly matched but Wealdstone have the better form in the last two games.

Pays 71/1.

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1 hour ago, Darran said:

Awful today and god knows what Eastbourne were playing at given they were up against ten men for most of the game. A day to forget.

Park Avenue too. The Wrexham and the Leyton Orient results were as good as it got for me.

The Conference National is looking increasingly like it could be a 3 horsed race, even this early, Wrexham and Leyton Orient making statements today with big important wins. Harrogate keep getting the results though be interesting to see if they can keep the pace.

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I’m still hopeful Barnet can be contenders. They have a lot of injuries at the moment and it was probably the wrong time for them to go to orient. Having said that I’m sort of thinking that it might be a two season job for Still. Wrexham’s key thing is they are scoring goals now which was their downfall last season. I’d be surprised if Harrogate stayed there but then everyone said that about Macclesfield last season. Fylde look dangerous but they need to win more away from home.

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