BillyHills Posted September 10, 2018 Share Posted September 10, 2018 Saturday's big handicap this week is at Doncaster 1:50 Doncaster William Hill Portland Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5½f Previous Winners Trends 9/10 Aged 4 or 5 9/10 Drawn higher than 7 8/10 Carried 9st or more 8/10 Rated between 95-101 8/10 Ran within 30 days 15/21 Placed in first 6 last time (10 in first 3) 17/21 Ran at least 4 times this season Favs/Jt Favs have a 23% S/R since 1998 (6 wins) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Rated Orvar 407 Blue de Vega 404 Holneswood 400 These 3 are clear Of rest ....difficult to know how to tackle ....holneswood is improving and drawn in centre with de sousa on board ....so has to run well ....but top two are drawn far rail next to each other so can act as pacemakers for each other and have the advantage of guide rail ......big prices too ....was gonna go ew top 2 only but lots of money for holmeswood so need to include Orvar 10pts win 14/1 wh Blue de Vega 10pts win 20/1 wh Holmeswood. 10pts win 5/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 13, 2018 Author Share Posted September 13, 2018 Final Decs skylark2009 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 13, 2018 Author Share Posted September 13, 2018 Trends 9/10 Aged 4 or 5 We lose Lancelot Du Lac, Savalas, Marnie James, Encrypted, Abel Handy, Duke Of Firenze, Roundhay Park, Dougan, Wentworth Falls.9/10 Drawn higher than 7We lose Tis Marvellous, Golden Appollo, Muscika, The Daley Express, Powerallied.8/10 Rated between 95-101 We lose Blue De Vega, Open Wide, Udontdodou, Holmeswood, Dakota Gold, El Hombre 17/21 Ran at least 4 times this season Both qualify Selections: 1pt EW A Momentofmadness 22/1 WHills 1pt EW Orvar 14/1 Laddies richard-westwood, WiggoBets, Fellcrawler and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 1.50 – William Hill Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y 15/16 – Carried 8-12 or more (14 to 21) 14/16 – Won over 6f before (3,9) 13/16 – Had run 5 or more times that season 13/16 – Came from a double-figure stall (1,5,11) 12/16 – Winner rated between 95 and 101 (2,10,12,13) 11/16 – Won 4 or more times in their career 11/16 – Run at Doncaster previously (8) No.6 is a non runner, which leaves us with Amomentofmadness 2 Pts ew @ 25\1 (6 places 1/5) WHill Orvar 2 Pts ew @ 18\1 (6 places 1\5 ) Paddy Power Fellcrawler, BillyHills, skylark2009 and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 Last 21 winners - Trends used - Qualifiers - 5pts each, total then dutched EW (SkyBet, 4 places @ 1/4 odds) #1. Open Wide 2.75pts EW @ 14/1 #2. Orvar 2.25pts EW @ 18/1 0 placed = -10pts 1 placed (2,3 or 4) = +2.38pts 2 placed (2,3 or 4) = +14.75pts 1 winner = +49pts (approx) 1 winner/1place = +51pts (approx) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 Great call guys....fab price BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 Well done BH and xtc I know that we often pick more than one horse …. I nearly always pick two when I do the thread …… but even so this thread does seem to produce a lot of big priced winners ! BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old codger Posted September 16, 2018 Share Posted September 16, 2018 Excellent run on this trends thread. Great work. BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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