CzechPunter Posted July 14, 2018 Share Posted July 14, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted July 22, 2018 Author Share Posted July 22, 2018 Guillermo Garcia-Lopez to beat Roberto Carballes Baena at 1.69 with Pinnacle GGL is not only the better player of the two, but I also think the conditions are going to suit him more. The clay in Gstaad tends to be fine for bigger hitters and he's the bigger hitter in this match-up, with RCB being more of a typical grinder that would enjoy something slower and muddier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 I think I prefer a bet with some higher odds Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_African_Punter Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 What's the bet, then? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 1 minute ago, South_African_Punter said: What's the bet, then? I haven't checked for any other bets yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_African_Punter Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 Just now, four-leaf said: I haven't checked for any other bets yet. Ah ok, Thought you had left out the pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Vera Zvonareva to beat Kaia Kanepi at 2.62 with bet365 Vera might have lost badly last week to Ons Jabeur but I belive she'll be good enough to keep this match tight and maybe even win it. The match is at home for Vera in Moscow but the surface clay might not be her best but it's also hard to say that it's Kaias best surface. They met 8 years ago in US open quarters and Vera won in 2 back then but both where better at that time, Vera was a top 10 player and Kaia almost top 30. I think Vera can fight her way back to top 100 at least and that's done by winning matches like this. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Elias Ymer to beat Taro Daniel at 2.10 with bet365 This is worst possible matchup for Taro. Elias has the game to grind Taro down. Elias isn't bad at all, he's fighting to get into top 100 which is close right now and he can make it in the coming 3 weeks. He might not pass the second round unless he gets RC Baena but if he gets GG-Lopez I think he will lose but RC Baena he can beat. But first he has to beat Taro. It might not be as tough as it looks like to beat Taro. For jackpot: Elias -1.5 sets at 3.25 with bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted July 23, 2018 Author Share Posted July 23, 2018 Ramkumar Ramanathan (+4) to beat Taylor Fritz at 1.86 with Pinnacle Well, alright, Ramanathan had a great week in Newport, so the bookies and everyone are now expecting him to just give up and fold against Fritz. That may happen, of course, but I think that the assumption isn't really a lock and that we could easily see Ramanathan fight just as well as he did in Newport. His serve was working well there and Fritz is still fairly one-dimensional and poor on return, so the +4 handicap looks rather generous to me. I see the risks, but I'm willing to accept them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinningTipster Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 1 pick for ATP Atlanta TIAFOE OVER COPIL @ 1.45 pinnacle Copil with his big serve and inconsistent baseline strokes has his best results on fast indoors and grass, while Tiafoe is at his best on US hard courts. yogg 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted July 24, 2018 Author Share Posted July 24, 2018 Shuai Zhang to beat Margarita Gasparyan at 1.50 with Paddy Power I don't believe that Gasparyan is ready to face WTA-level opponents just yet. The road back is going to be long and Zhang really isn't the easiest test in home conditions. She didn't have too many problems against Lisicki today and Gasparyan should be a step down, not a step up. ElPrincipito007, Teodore, MABS and 2 others 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinningTipster Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 1 pick for ATP Challenger Binghamton FRATANGELO OVER GRIGELIS @ 1.5 pinnacle / betfair sportsbook (and others) Fratangelo is a very good player on US hard courts, much more consistent than Grigelis (who prefers faster surfaces). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Tallon Griekspoor to beat Martin Cuevas at 2.00 with bet365 Tallon looks like a player on the rise. Martin is not the most dangerous player to face and it never looks like he can win a match on the challenger tour until he beats some lower ranked player or like in the case of yesterday when he managed to beat Pedro Cachin who just recently won a futures tournament. I don't belive for a second Tallon will lose this match as I see him as a mutch better player. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted July 25, 2018 Author Share Posted July 25, 2018 Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.22 with Marathonbet Pretty drastic odds given that Basilashvili has already won three matches against decent opposition in this tournament. Cuevas has always been the better clay court player of the two and everything, but his form has been VERY shaky in recent times and I just don't believe that he can be trusted as a big favorite against players that can actually play, which Basilashvili can. In terms of value, there's only one play to make here and I prefer the outright win over the handicap lines (if Basilashvili loses, chances are that it's going to be by a big margin, he's often that kind of a guy). Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 4.97 with Pinnacle Odds odds odds. Dutra Silva has many of these odd losses against worse players and Safranek will have the home conditions on his side here, so 5.00? four-leaf, trix, South_African_Punter and 5 others 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_African_Punter Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 (edited) Hyeon Chung to beat Taylor Fritz at 1.95 I'm well aware that this is Chung's first match back from injury and thus there is a large degree of risk involved in this bet. However, besides going out to Haase in the first round of the Madrid Masters (when he was clearly injured), he has won a few matches in other tournaments he has played, making the quarter-finals of the Miami and Indian Wells Masters. Fritz has done well this year, but mainly on the Challenger circuit. Edited July 25, 2018 by South_African_Punter four-leaf, Rypcio, CzechPunter and 1 other 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 @CzechPunter I think both your bets tomorrow looks worth taking and making a parlay of so... Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 5.00 Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.25 Double total odds at 16.25 with bet365 trix, MABS and yogg 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Feliciano Lopez to beat Matteo Berrettini at 2.00 with bet365 @CzechPunter I think I can take some of your writing from GG-Lopez match here. Feli has won Gstaad before because he is not only a player who can hit big shots, but also the conditions suits him. Like you said the clay in Gstaad tends to be fine for bigger hitters and he's the bigger hitter in this match-up, with Matteo being more of a typical grinder that would enjoy something slower and muddier. Feli has the experience to still win matches where he can dictate the match with his serve and big shots and I think that could be exactly what we're going to see on Friday. yogg and CzechPunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gg-77 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 That tie-break comeback from Basil. Wow. I think he'll finish this in 2 after that. I don't think Pablo can recover mentally. MABS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted July 26, 2018 Author Share Posted July 26, 2018 Well, you never know with Basil on the other side. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted July 26, 2018 Author Share Posted July 26, 2018 I didn't watch the match myself, but I've heard something about Lopez being injured. He did win the match in the end, so it can't be too serious, but take care. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted July 26, 2018 Author Share Posted July 26, 2018 Noah Rubin to beat Nick Kyrgios at 4.90 with Unibet I already had this in mind yesterday, but I didn't exactly want to lose three bets in a row on big odds. That isn't happening now, so I'm going to take a small liberty and throw this into the mix as well. Similar reasoning as with Safranek/Basil. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrO Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 On 25.7.2018. at 2:44 PM, CzechPunter said: Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.22 with Marathonbet Pretty drastic odds given that Basilashvili has already won three matches against decent opposition in this tournament. Cuevas has always been the better clay court player of the two and everything, but his form has been VERY shaky in recent times and I just don't believe that he can be trusted as a big favorite against players that can actually play, which Basilashvili can. In terms of value, there's only one play to make here and I prefer the outright win over the handicap lines (if Basilashvili loses, chances are that it's going to be by a big margin, he's often that kind of a guy). Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 4.97 with Pinnacle Odds odds odds. Dutra Silva has many of these odd losses against worse players and Safranek will have the home conditions on his side here, so 5.00? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted July 27, 2018 Author Share Posted July 27, 2018 Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Carreno-Busta at 3.75 with Unibet Leonardo Mayer to beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman at 2.40 with Pinnacle I like these two underdogs in Hamburg today, both should have a decent chance of winning given their forms and the conditions. I do like PCB and DSS as players, but they are grinders more than anything and the Hamburg conditions aren't exactly great for grinding, as evidenced by many of the recent results. On top of that, Schwartzman also looked injured in his previous match (which is why I'm taking Mayer with a one-set bookie). BoroBG, MABS, Rypcio and 3 others 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 21 hours ago, CzechPunter said: I didn't watch the match myself, but I've heard something about Lopez being injured. He did win the match in the end, so it can't be too serious, but take care. Feliciano also looks pretty bad at the start of the match. Maybe best to leave him alone. MABS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 Ryan Harrison to beat Hyeon Chung at 2.75 with bet365 Good effort by Hyeon last match against Taylor Fritz but it's been a long time since he played before Atlanta so I think he will struggle here. They've met once before in 2015 on hardcourt and Ryan won 6-7 6-1 6-1. Ryan is also defending his Atlanta runner up so points so there's every chance that he wins this. Never wrong to trust an american in america since they're usually quite dangerous in the states. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 Lloyd George Harris/Alafia Ayeni under 19.5 games at 1.83 with bet365 LGH is ranked over 1000 spots better than this 18 year old wildcard american. LGH made light work of his last opponent by winning 6-3 6-3 and should easily win this one to. The total seems a little bit too high for this match. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liquidglass Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 24 minutes ago, four-leaf said: Lloyd George Harris/Alafia Ayeni under 19.5 games at 1.83 with bet365 LGH is ranked over 1000 spots better than this 18 year old wildcard american. LGH made light work of his last opponent by winning 6-3 6-3 and should easily win this one to. The total seems a little bit too high for this match. You talk about LGH like he has is a wealth of experience advantage over Ayeni. 1000 spots between them means absolutely nothing especially at this early stage of their careers where their individual talents is an unknown quantity. LGH has not been on any sort of dangerous form lately to even suggest that he could beat anyone under 19.5games. Ayeni looks to be the player on the rise and will only be too focused for this game after winning a set of sijsling. I strongly feel that Ayeni holds similar pedigree to Mmoh and should come out swinging in this match. Over 19.5 games with a strong possibility of Ayeni winning a set. four-leaf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teodore Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 11 hours ago, CzechPunter said: Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Carreno-Busta at 3.75 with Unibet Leonardo Mayer to beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman at 2.40 with Pinnacle I like these two underdogs in Hamburg today, both should have a decent chance of winning given their forms and the conditions. I do like PCB and DSS as players, but they are grinders more than anything and the Hamburg conditions aren't exactly great for grinding, as evidenced by many of the recent results. On top of that, Schwartzman also looked injured in his previous match (which is why I'm taking Mayer with a one-set bookie). Wow. What a job!!!!!! South_African_Punter and MABS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_African_Punter Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 @CzechPunter is on fire this week! Pity I only had the confidence to be on the Mayer-Schwartzmann pick! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted July 28, 2018 Author Share Posted July 28, 2018 Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Nicolas Jarry at 2.20 with Unibet Looks like 50/50 to me. The previous picks on Basil obviously had more value, but I don't see how he's the underdog in this one. WaveRunner, Rypcio, DrO and 2 others 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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