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** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **
** Cheltenham Tipster Competition Result : 1st Old codger, 2nd sirspread, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert **

BTTS Trial


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COLORADO   75.50%   1.57    0-0

DALLAS    73.50%      1.61      3-1

ORLANDO    71%     1.36  !!      2-1

Singapore - GEYLANG   71%     1.66     0-1

 

Mon - ELFSBORG   77.50%     1.57

Japan - KUMAMOTO    70%     1.73

Iceland - FYLKIR     68%     1.57

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Mon - ELFSBORG 77.50% 1.57 0-0 15 shots on target between them !

Japan - KUMAMOTO 70% 1.73 2-3

Iceland - FYLKIR 68% 1.57


1- Fixed stake win on the top rated match rated over 70%+ - -21.10pts

2- a rolling double on the top match provided both are rated 70% + over 2 days. = -0.50pts

3- Fixed stake double on the top 2 rated that day = +33.32pts

4- Fixed stake Treble on the top 3 rated that day = -4.84pts



Tue - China - MEIZHOU 71% 1.57 [only Betway offer odds]   1-2

2- China - TIANJIN 69% 1.57     2-1

3- 3 DE FEBRERO 65.50% 1.66     1-1

Edited by jtw1
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After Tuesdays match's

1- Fixed stake win on the top rated match rated over 70%+         -15.40pts

2- a rolling double on the top match provided both are rated 70% + over 2 days. = -0.50pts      15.70 after 1st part

3- Fixed stake double on the top 2 rated that day = +47.97pts

4- Fixed stake Treble on the top 3 rated that day =  + 26.08pts

 

Wed - Singapore - BRUNEI DPMM     69.50%    1.44     1-1

2- Paraguay -   GUARANI   66%   1.61

3- Sth Korea -    SUWON    65.50%    1.72      5-2

Late k-o in Paraguay

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After Thursdays results -

1- Fixed stake win on the top rated match rated over 70%+ -11.26pts

2- a rolling double on the top match provided both are rated 70% + over 2 days = +11.48pts

3- Fixed stake double on the top 2 rated that day = +48.12pts

4- Fixed stake Treble on the top 3 rated that day = + 43.50pts



Wed - Singapore - BRUNEI DPMM 69.50% 1.44 1-1

2- Paraguay - GUARANI 66% 1.61 0-1

3- Sth Korea - SUWON 65.50% 1.72 5-2



Thursday - Iceland - SELFOSS 73.5% btts - 1.40 1-3

2- MLS - MINNESOTA 65% 1.44 2-1

3- Iceland - THOR 60% 1.36 4-1



Fri - Iceland - THROTTUR 79% 1.50

2- Brazil - VASCO 77% 1.90

3- Paraguay - LIBERTAD 55% 1.90

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Fri - Iceland - THROTTUR 79% 1.50     3-0

2- Brazil - VASCO 77% 1.90     1-1

3- Paraguay - LIBERTAD 55% 1.90     2-3

 

1- Fixed stake win on the top rated match rated over 70%+ -21.26pts

2- a rolling double on the top match provided both are rated 70% + over 2 days = +1.48pts

3- Fixed stake double on the top 2 rated that day = +38.12pts

4- Fixed stake Treble on the top 3 rated that day = + 33.50pts

 

Sat

ATLANTA    79%    1.57

Singapore - BRUNEI  DPMM    77%     1.25 !!!!!!!

China -TIANJIN   75%     1.75

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1- Fixed stake win on the top rated match rated over 70%+ -15.56pts

2- a rolling double on the top match provided both are rated 70% + over 2 days = +1.48pts....15.70 to go onto Sundays selection

3- Fixed stake double on the top 2 rated that day = +47.75pts

4- Fixed stake Treble on the top 3 rated that day = + 57.84pts



Sat

ATLANTA 79% 1.57 3-1

Singapore - BRUNEI DPMM 77% 1.25 1-2

China -TIANJIN 75% 1.75 1-2


Sun -
Norway - ULL/KISA 80.50 1.36

2- China - ZHEJIHANG 77% 1.57

3- China - NEI MONGOL 74% 1.44

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Norway - ULL/KISA 80.50 1.36     1-1

2- China - ZHEJIHANG 77% 1.57      1-0

3- China - NEI MONGOL 74% 1.44        0-4

 

 

Mon- MINNESOTA   66%   1.36

2- Paraguay - SP LUQUENO   66%

3- Chile - EVERTON   63.50%    1.72

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Mon- MINNESOTA 66% 1.36 5-1

2- Paraguay - SP LUQUENO 66% 2-2

3- Chile - EVERTON 63.50% 1.72 0-1


Will update after tomorrows results ..

Tuesday - Brazil - GOIAS 75.50% 2.00

2- Paraguay - DEP CAPIATA 72.50% 1.72

3- Brazil - LONDRINA 66% 2.00

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1- Fixed stake win on the top rated match rated over 70%+ -11.96pts

2- a rolling double on the top match provided both are rated 70% + over 2 days = +12.83pts

3- Fixed stake double on the top 2 rated that day = +51.14pts

4- Fixed stake Treble on the top 3 rated that day = + 37.84pts

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Weds - Japan - KUMAMOTO 77% 1.53 2-2

2- Bolivia - NACIONAL PETOSI 65% 1.50 0-0

3- Japan - CHIBA 64.50% 1.57 2-1



thurs - Ice - FRAM 75.50% 1.40 2-2

2- Bolivia - ORIENTE PETROLERO 70% 1.83 2-0

3- MLS - DC UNITED 69% 1.50 0-1



Fri - ORLANDO 69.50% 1.40

LOS ANGELES FC 63% 1.33

Finland - HIFK 59.50% 1.90

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After a few weeks looking blindly at the top 3 rated games on Thestatsdontlie website i have decided to tweak things to try and improved the [1] STRIKE RATE and [2] PROFITS .

A lot of the 'summer 'leagues , eg Iceland , MLS , have a relatively high amount of games ending BTTS Yes and of course the odds reflect that ...i mean to say 1.33 for the LA derby on Thursday and ORLANDO 1.40 !!!!.....at least the LA result came in ..!!!!!

But even in a treble those odds are just too low for my liking so i'm now going to concentrate the top 3 games where the BTTS YES odds are OVER 1.60 AND the game is rated to have over a 60% chance of ending BTTS according to Thestatsdontlie predictions

I shall keep track of the top rated match with a virtual 10pt straight win on btts
Also a 10pt virtual double /treble as before .

1- Sweden - IK FREJ 74% btts odds - 1.61
2- China - NEI MONGOL 70.50% - 1.66 [1-0 at H-T]
3- Ecuador - DEP CUENCA 69.50% - 1.66 1-2

Edited by jtw1
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1- Sweden - IK FREJ 74% btts odds - 1.61 3-1
2- China - NEI MONGOL 70.50% - 1.66 [1-0 at H-T] 2-1
3- Ecuador - DEP CUENCA 69.50% - 1.66 1-2

10pt single on top rated - 1/1 profit = 6.10pts

10pt double on top 2 rated - 1/1 profit = 16.73pts

10pt treble - 1/1 profit = 34.37pts

Sunday - Chile - A ITALIANO 67.50% btts yes - 1.67 4-1
2- Venezuela - LA GUAIRA 66% , 1.83
3- Japan - OMIYA 65.50% 1.83 2-1

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  Chile - A ITALIANO 67.50% btts yes - 1.67 4-1
2- Venezuela - LA GUAIRA 66% , 1.83     2-3
3- Japan - OMIYA 65.50% 1.83 2-1

10pt single on top rated - 2/2   profit = 12.80pts

10pt double on top 2 rated - 2/2   profit = 37.31pts

10pt treble - 2/2 profit = 80.30pts

 

Mon - Sweden - TRELLEBORGS    73%       1.70      1-3

Paraguay  - SOL DE AMERICA   67%       1.72

 

Edited by jtw1
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Sweden - TRELLEBORGS 73% 1.70 1-3

Paraguay - SOL DE AMERICA 67% 1.72 2-2

10pt single on top rated - 3/3 , profit = 19.80pts

10pt double on top 2 rated - 3/3 , profit = 56.55pts

10pt treble - 2/2 , profit = 80.30pts


Wed - U de DEPORTES 71.50% 1.67

Brazil - ATLETICO GO 70% 1.83

Singapore - HOUGANG 66.50% 1.67

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Tuesday - Peru - AYACUCHO 67% 1.66 2-0

Sweden - HALMSTAD 63.50% 1.66 2-1

Paraguay - 3 de FEBRERO 62% 1.83 0-2

10pt single on top rated - 3/4 , profit = 9.80pts

10pt double on top 2 rated - 3/4, profit = 46.55pts

10pt treble - 2/3 , profit = 70.30pts


Wed - U de DEPORTES 71.50% 1.67 2-1

Brazil - ATLETICO GO 70% 1.83 2-0

Singapore - HOUGANG 66.50% 1.67 1-2


10pt single on top rated - 4/5 , profit = 16.50pts

10pt double on top 2 rated - 3/5, profit = 36.55pts

10pt treble - 2/4 , profit = 60.30pts

 

Thursday - China - BEIJING 68.50% 1.61

China - TIANJIN 61%

Odds from bet365

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 China - BEIJING 68.50% 1.61     6-3

China - TIANJIN 61%        0-3

10pt single on top rated - 5/6   , profit = 22.60pts

10pt double on top 2 rated - 3/6, profit = 26.55pts

10pt treble - 2/4 , profit = 60.30pts

 

Friday - Paraguay -  INDEPENDIENTE   66.50%     1.83

Bolivia - ORIENTE PETROLERO   64.50%     1.61

Brazil - LONDRINA     62%      1.90

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  • 1 month later...

Sorry Grex ... it was Sheff Wed v Stoke

SHEFF WED v STOKE 88% - 1.72 2-2
LUTON v BRISTOL ROVERS 78% - 1.75 1-0
FLEETWOOD v ACCRINGTON 74% - 1.80 1-1

2/3 last weekend ..so 10pt loss

Sat
----

ASTON VILLA v SHEFF WED 82% - 1.83
OXFORD v WALSALL 81.50% - 1.66
MORTON V DUNFERMLINE 80% - 1.72

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