BillyHills Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 Classic weekend at Newmarket with the 2000 Guineas on Saturday followed by the 1000 Guineas on Sunday. Also we have the very competitive Palace House Stakes (2.20 Sat). 3.35 Newmarket1m (Row) Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo) Previous Winners Trends 9/10 Rated 109 or higher (other winner made debut) 8/10 Making seasonal reappearance 7/10 Drawn 6 or under 19/21 First 3 last time out 18/21 First 6 in betting 14/21 Never ran over a mile previously gbettle 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted April 30, 2018 Author Share Posted April 30, 2018 3.35 Newmarket (Sunday) 1m (Row) Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo) Previous Winners Trends 8/12 Won at Group level before 7/10 Rated 106 or higher 7/10 Drawn 8 or lower 16/21 Finished 1st or 2nd last time out 20/21 Not had more than 1 run this season 16/21 Had not won beyond 7f gbettle 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted April 30, 2018 Author Share Posted April 30, 2018 2.20 Newmarket (Saturday) Longholes Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f Previous Winners Trends 9/10 Aged 6 and under 8/10 Making seasonal debut 8/10 Rated 107 or above 16/21 Placed last time out (11 won) 13/21 First 4 in betting 17/21 Won at this trip before 18/21 Drawn 12 or under Prices bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbles180 Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 Already got my 2 for the weekend 2000 Guineas ELARQAM 7/1 1000 Guineas wILD iLLUSION 7/1 gbettle 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 2000 guineas Saxon warrior. 423 Roaring lion. 421 Masar. 411 Gustav klimpt 411 Saxon warrior looked a perfect guineas type when last seen ....hasn' had the attention of Gustav klimpt but looks the stronger guineas contender to me .....roaring lion disappointed recently but I think everyone and his dog can see he ran no sort of race ....maybe he just wasn' fit or wasnt ready who knows but shouldn't be written off .....if he runs his huge price is very interesting especially as home reports suggest he has found his sparkle ....one to watch Saxon warrior 10 pts win 11/2 sportb Roaring lion if confirmed Mfardeen 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 1000 guineas Wild illusion ...385 Laurens. 382 These two are a bit clear of the rest.....conditions should suit perfectly ...improving types ...8/1 And 10/1 looks very good value...roll the dice Wild illusion 10pts win 8/1 corals Laurens 10pts win 10/1 pp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Did anyone see the Mick Channon interview yesterday When asked about Dans Dream he said Quote If she runs she wins Rather a brave statement, but by the way he's got his horses atm ,never 1 to disregard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted May 1, 2018 Author Share Posted May 1, 2018 53 minutes ago, Valiant Thor said: Did anyone see the Mick Channon interview yesterday When asked about Dans Dream he said Rather a brave statement, but by the way he's got his horses atm ,never 1 to disregard Yeah he was very bullish and never afraid to take the big boys on. Have to say it looks there for the taking Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Palace house stakes Havana grey 367 Byltang rock 357 Encore dor 357 Alpha delphini 355 Open and classy race.....Havana grey looked to be improving in leaps and bounds in the flying childers only going down narrowly giving the winner 3lb ...the pair 4.5 lengths clear of rest.....if in the same frame of mind will be hard to peg back Havana grey 10pts win 4/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EviL ZippY Posted May 2, 2018 Share Posted May 2, 2018 "At the moment it looks like Seamus Heffernan might ride Gustav Klimt and that Donnacha O’Brien will ride Saxon Warrior in the #2000Guineas..." ^ make a difference to anyone’s picks for Saturday ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 On 30/04/2018 at 9:22 PM, richard-westwood said: 2000 guineas Saxon warrior. 423 Roaring lion. 421 Masar. 411 Gustav klimpt 411 Saxon warrior looked a perfect guineas type when last seen ....hasn' had the attention of Gustav klimpt but looks the stronger guineas contender to me .....roaring lion disappointed recently but I think everyone and his dog can see he ran no sort of race ....maybe he just wasn' fit or wasnt ready who knows but shouldn't be written off .....if he runs his huge price is very interesting especially as home reports suggest he has found his sparkle ....one to watch Saxon warrior 10 pts win 11/2 sportb Roaring lion if confirmed 10pts win roaring lion 16/1 bet365 nrnb Plus 3pt ew doubles with both 1000 and 2000 guineas top 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted May 3, 2018 Author Share Posted May 3, 2018 2000 Guineas Final Decs Trends Selection9/10 Rated 109 or higher (other made debut) We lose Headway, Murillo, Nebo, Raid, Rajasinge, Tip Two Win8/10 Making seasonal reappearance We lose Cardsharp, James Garfield, Expert Eye, Gustav Klimt, Masar, Roaring Lion14/21 Never ran over a mile previously We lose Saxon Warrior Selection 1pt Elarqam 11/2 Paddy Power WiggoBets 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted May 3, 2018 Author Share Posted May 3, 2018 Palace House Stakes Trends9/10 Aged 6 and under We lose Alpha Delphini, Mirza8/10 Making seasonal debut We lose Encore D'Or, Jumira Bridge, Mabs Cross8/10 Rated 107 or above We lose Judicial, Ornate Selection 1pt Havana Grey 5/2 Coral gbettle 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arsenalfh Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted May 4, 2018 Author Share Posted May 4, 2018 1000 Guineas Trends7/10 Rated 106 or higher We lose Altyn Orda, Billesdon Brook, Dans Dream, I Can Fly. Liquid Amber Sarrochi, Sizzling, Vitamin, Worship7/10 Drawn 8 or lower16/21 Finished 1st or 2nd last time out We lose Happily, Madeline16/21 Had not won beyond 7f We lose Wild Illusion, Soliloquay, Laurens Left with: 1pt EW Anna Nerium 14/1 Bet365 WiggoBets 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 Palace House Stakes Done trends based on - age, class of race won before (Listed or Group),won over 5f before short list of 3 - Encore D'Or, Mabs Cross, Havana Grey Encore D'or is much better on the AW and I'm not keen on 3yo in the early season against older horses so I'll go with the filly ...... Mab's Cross win at 5/1 Paddypower Xtc12 and BillyHills 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted May 4, 2018 Author Share Posted May 4, 2018 My Ratings 2000 Guineas Palace House Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 My top Rated for the Palace House Stakes My top Rated for the 2000 Guineas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alastair Posted May 5, 2018 Share Posted May 5, 2018 The 2000 Guineas looks wide open and punters might best be advised spreading their stakes across more than one selection; not a race for each way betting. The Palace House is more clearcut; Havana Grey has a much higher rating than 3 year olds that usually run in this race and at round about 9/4 is a bet to beat what looks like a motley crew of hasbeens and glorified handicappers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted May 5, 2018 Share Posted May 5, 2018 Havana Grey does look the best horse in the race by some way but there are some doubts about him - has he trained on from 2 or 3 - will he need a run on seasonal debut - will he be fully wound up given that his main target will be the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot in a months time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 5, 2018 Share Posted May 5, 2018 3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) 16/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out (1,9,10,11) 14/16 – Had won over at least 7f before (8) 14/16 – Had won a Group race before (5,14) 14/16 – Had won between 2-5 times before 12/16 – Won last time out (3,12) 11/16 – Having their first run of the season (4,6,7) 9/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before 9/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard (2) All of the above leaves me with Saxon Warrior 5 Pts Win @ 7\2 Bet365 Alastair and BillyHills 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 5, 2018 Share Posted May 5, 2018 2.20 - Longholes Palace House Stakes (Group 3) 14/15 – Had won over 5f before 13/15 – Won 3 or more times before (4) 13/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before (3,6,7) 12/15 – Had run at Newmarket before (8,9) 11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out (5) 10/15 – Rated between 108 and 114 10/15 – Aged 5 or younger 8/15 – Won last time out 5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out Down this far and cannot separate the top two: Alpha Delphini and Encore D'or @ 7\1 Bet365 and 11\1 Bet365 respectively. Someone stated above that Encore D'or would be a better AW horse so Alpha Delphini 5 Pts Win @ 7\1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted May 6, 2018 Author Share Posted May 6, 2018 1000 Guineas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 3.35 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) 15/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out (3,5,9,10,11 ) 12/16 – Had won a Group race before (6,13,15) 12/16 – Had won between 2-3 times before (1,8) 11/16 – Won their previous race 9/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before (4,14) 9/16 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further) (7,12) Anna Nerium 5 Pts EW @ 14\1 WHill Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 On 30/04/2018 at 9:34 PM, richard-westwood said: 1000 guineas Wild illusion ...385 Laurens. 382 These two are a bit clear of the rest.....conditions should suit perfectly ...improving types ...8/1 And 10/1 looks very good value...roll the dice Wild illusion 10pts win 8/1 corals Laurens 10pts win 10/1 pp 2nd bummer but the ew double with Saxon consolation prize...almost landed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.jpg.32384c3055cbc1254b0eb6212fda1359.jpg)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.