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Darran

Non-League Predictions > April 28th

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There will be more Saturday bets to follow, but these are a couple worth taking now.

Tranmere v Hartlepool

I was kicking myself for not opposing Tranmere on Tuesday night as I did wonder if they might rest players, but they went even further than I thought they would as it wasn't even a b team that played and they made 11 changes. They did give a fair account of themselves though and only lost 2-1 to Solihull. The Solihull priced collapsed once the team news came through and although it isn't confirmed they will rest so many again, you would have to think it won't be the full first team playing here as it would be a needless risk ahead of the play-offs.BetVictor's 17/4 certainly won't be around if come 2pm on Saturday Tranmere's team is like how it was on Saturday.

Workington v Ashton

Being a home Saturday game you would imagine Workington will have more players available than the midweek games so there might be some fresh legs playing here, but Ashton need to win this to finish 3rd and give themselves a home semi-final in the play-offs so they will want to make sure of the 3 points. Betfred's 5/4 looks worth taking on the back of that.

Hartlepool 1pt @ 17/4 with BetVictor

Ashton 3pts @ 5/4 with Betfred

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Halesowen v Stalybridge

Don't really need to say much but Witton have just beaten Stalybridge 5-0 and I suspect it could have been more. Halesowen still odds against and 3/1 with Betfred on the -1.

Halesowen 3pts  21/20 with 888

Halesowen -1 1pt @ 3/1 with Betfred

Edited by Darran

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9 minutes ago, Darran said:

Halesowen v Stalybridge

Don't really need to say much but Ashton have just beaten Stalybridge 5-0 and I suspect it could have been more. Halesowen still odds against and 3/1 with Betfred on the -1.

Halesowen 3pts  21/20 with 888

Halesowen -1 1pt @ 3/1 with Betfred

Witton not Ashton 

 

 

Edited by lee.bee

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So it has been a very profitable week so far and fingers crossed tomorrow is as well as we look to end the season on a high. These four are added to the 3 above.

Torquay v Ebbsfleet

Since I first put this up without the reasoning the price has gone, but even a shade of odds against is still a hell of a bet. Ebbsfleet need to win to make sure they finish in the top 7, whereas Torquay are down and even managed to lose to a ten man Guiseley on Tuesday night. The key thing for me though is that the Torquay players won't even be playing for contracts because their retained list has already been decided and all the meetings with the players are taking place after the game. That means all the decisions have been made and so there is no motivation at all for the players to try very hard. Ebbsfleet in fantastic form as well and they are a very confident selection.

Spennymoor v Southport

Spennymoor have given me an amazing run for my money after putting them up at 100/1, but it looks like their heavy backlog of fixtures has caught up with them and they haven't won in 7 games now. They could only draw against bottom side North Ferriby on Thursday night and the players by all accounts looked out on their feet. Regular readers will remember Southport made us plenty of money a few weeks ago when they were in cracking form, things then took a serious turn for the worse and they lost 7 games on the bounce! They did though win on Tuesday against Darlington and that gives me more confidence in putting them up for this game. At the very least 6/1 is way over priced.

Harrogate v Curzon

Harrogate couldn't quite catch Salford for the title and their attention will now turn to the play-offs. They can only finish 2nd now and it wouldn't surprise me if they rested a few players ahead of the semi-final. They have lost their last two games as well conceding 3 each time. This is a bit more of a speculative play, but Curzon aren't in bad nick at the moment and at 11/2 they look over priced.

Whitehawk v Wealdstone

I have to put up Whitehawk again especially as Wealdstone have been playing catch up with their fixtures after their FA Trophy run. They have played 8 games already this month and I am sure Whitehawk will want to try and leave the division with a victory. They should be favourites for this so happy at play at 2/1.

Ebbsfleet 4pts @ Evs with William Hill

Southport 1pt @ 6/1 with Betfred

Curzon 1pt @ 11/2 with Bet365/Betfred

Whitehawk 1pt @ 2/1 with Bet365

Edited by Darran

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Goin to keep a look out for team news for some conference north games .  Harrogate ; Brackley ; Stockport all have the chance to rest some players . Also will wait to see Tranmere Rovers squad to see if it is the same as tuesday night.  I  am surprised about the price of Ebbsfleet at Torquay. Torquay lost to worst team in the division on Tuesday against ten men Guiseley. Ebbsfleet need to win to make sure they are in the play offs 

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20 hours ago, lee.bee said:

Goin to keep a look out for team news for some conference north games .  Harrogate ; Brackley ; Stockport all have the chance to rest some players . .....................................

The same also goes for Kidderminster and Chorley who have to start their play-off campaign earlier than Harrogate and Brackley, as the 2nd and 3rd placed sides wait until the 4th to 7th placed sides have sorted themselves out.

With the play-offs starting only next Wednesday, the teams most likely to rest players today are Kidderminster, Stockport and Chorley. The best value opponents of those three clubs today are Alfreton at 9/2 away at Chorley. 

Totally agree about Southport at Spennymoor - had already backed them at 6/1 before reading this thread. Have also put York, Alfreton, Bradford PA, Southport and Darlington in a canadian and also an accumulator by way of opposing the paper favourites whose odds do not reflect for them the unwanted/pointless nature of today's games (apart from Spennymoor who are simply shot to bits and will not make the play-offs).

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Shame I didn’t let the Hartlepool bet ride but a bit surprised they managed to beat a pretty much full strength Tranmere. Ashton winner came late thankfully and Halesowen won 2-0 to cover than handicap bet as well. Annoying that Ebbsfleet gave away a penalty just after going a goal up but still a profitable end to season.

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23 hours ago, Darran said:

Shame I didn’t let the Hartlepool bet ride but a bit surprised they managed to beat a pretty much full strength Tranmere. Ashton winner came late thankfully and Halesowen won 2-0 to cover than handicap bet as well. Annoying that Ebbsfleet gave away a penalty just after going a goal up but still a profitable end to season.

Cheers @Darran, I've been distilling your selections into asian handicap plays this season and it's proved profitable. Also, the mighty Shots managed that top 7 finish which was a nice bonus :ok

Hopefully see you on these boards next season.

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