CzechPunter Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted April 28, 2018 Author Share Posted April 28, 2018 Kristyna Pliskova to beat Karolina Pliskova at 5.00 with Marathonbet Crazy odds, pure value. Karolina is going to play the finals in Stuttgart tomorrow, so what are the odds of her just letting this one go? Surely more than 20 percent, right? four-leaf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted April 29, 2018 Author Share Posted April 29, 2018 Dusan Lajovic to beat John Millman at 1.78 with Marathonbet Lajovic wasn't that bad last week and needs to start winning again, so why not here in Istanbul, where he had a decent run last year? Millman could also be dead tired after the long and tiring week in Budapest with so many paused matches. yogg, Brian Bertelli and four-leaf 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Bertelli Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 12 hours ago, CzechPunter said: Dusan Lajovic to beat John Millman at 1.78 with Marathonbet Lajovic wasn't that bad last week and needs to start winning again, so why not here in Istanbul, where he had a decent run last year? Millman could also be dead tired after the long and tiring week in Budapest with so many paused matches. i am agree with you, Fabio fognini to beat marco checchinato at 1.44 in bet365 could be another pick for a good parlay Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted April 29, 2018 Author Share Posted April 29, 2018 Hi and welcome to the forum @Brian Bertelli! Yep, I reckon that Cecchinato should be gassed after winning in Budapest - if Fognini is up for it, he's going to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pvaas Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 but what about value plays? foggini is huge juice...lajovic is okay......pliskova got bought down hard....and now my stupid book has locked the ML. debating taking for 2-0 sets? any thoughts on plus money plays? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sm0k3rZ Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 @CzechPunter the odds of kristyna are already down to 2.11 on marathon! that was a great catch. Think backing her now at almost equal is not worth it in my eyes. Damn missed it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted April 30, 2018 Author Share Posted April 30, 2018 Hi and welcome to the forum @pvaas! It makes no sense to back Kristyna at the current odds imo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted April 30, 2018 Author Share Posted April 30, 2018 The better Pliskova has withdrawn . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 @CzechPunter what do you think about Tomic today? Will he win? I'm thinking about adding him to a parlay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted April 30, 2018 Author Share Posted April 30, 2018 Tomic on clay? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, CzechPunter said: Tomic on clay? Just kidding, I'm on Troicki to win in straight sets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
four-leaf Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 Troicki is playing as bad as a semi professional player against a rusty Tomic. Wow how good! What a bet I placed, just to forget and move on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MABS Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 Troicki,is playing bad, but still vs. Tomic... I like Bachinger and Sousa live, its. 3,7 on double... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MABS Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 Also, Errani has struggled quite a lot recently, think opposing her with a good odds could be an interesting play? Any opinions? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liquidglass Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 Errani wins this game hands down. She is an awkward player to go against, trust me.!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yogg Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 Dan Evans has just lost to Lucas Miedler (atp 331) in a Glasgow challenger match. silly boy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted April 30, 2018 Author Share Posted April 30, 2018 Diae El Jardi (+9) to beat Katerina Zavatska at 1.58 with Marathonbet Right, so, this seems a tad interesting to me. For some reason, I found myself watching the Rabat doubles yesterday, El Jardi was playing with someone against Peterson/Sorribes Tormo. They lost, but I did like this girl Diae, athletic build, decent power in shots, clearly enjoying playing in home conditions. She did incredibly poorly in the Fed Cup and I don't expect her to do any wonders against Zavatska, but this bet needs three games for a push and four for a win and I think Diae could get that based on her doubles performance. I have to admit that yesterday was the first time I saw/heard about Diae El Jardi, but I don't think she's as bad as the odds suggest. I don't really believe that any of the big odds are worth chancing, but this bet I quite like. yogg 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pvaas Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 what are peoples thoughts on these plays? BASHILASIVI VS CHARDY Over 22 Games - Both players are extremely erratic and the majority of their matches feature numerous momentum swings. This is enhanced further on clay as points are longer. - Both players enjoy playing on clay where their topspin heavy games can thrive. They both prefer a high bouncing ball and scramble & slide well on the surface - Basilashvili has found some form after a dreadful start to the season, he's reached three consecutive quarter-finals on the clay, two at ATP World Tour level - Chardy plays a very aggressive gamestyle and he will go through 'hot & cold' periods during the match. Serving out sets/the match won't be easy, leaving more room for the Over to cash - Don't trust either of these players to win convincingly with their poor record of closing out matches. Over 22 Games MASUR VS STRUFF Masur +4.5 Games - These two met at this event last year with Struff prevailing 6-3/6-4. Masur's development has increased significantly in the 12 months since. - Masur defeated Rublev & Krajinovic on the clay last year and his form has been slowly returning after missing the early stages of 2018 with an injury - He comes in after beating Vatutin & Gombos in qualifying, both wins coming in a deciding third set so he will be match tight & surface warm - Struff is just 7-11 in 2018 and fell apart against Cecchinato in Budapest last week. His gamestyle is erratic and he can't be trusted to play consistently for a whole match - Masur will be highly motivated having come through qualies, take him to cover the game spread against a mentally weak opponent. liquidglass, MABS, CzechPunter and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 1, 2018 Author Share Posted May 1, 2018 Nice write-ups, I think that both certainly have a chance! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larkin22 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Yes, thank you for the write ups both seem sound pvass. One thing I do like as a general comment is how something like playing two 3 setters can be negative or positive depending on your bet. If you predict them to win they are "match tight" and "surface warm" but no doubt if you pick them to lose they would be "tired" and "mentally fatigued" after two 3 setters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 1, 2018 Author Share Posted May 1, 2018 A member from 2012 making his/her first post in 2018? Welcome @CSanders22 ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larkin22 Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 2 hours ago, CzechPunter said: A member from 2012 making his/her first post in 2018? Welcome @CSanders22 ! Long time lurker, going to try and post a bit more and get involved in some comps. Your posts on here Czech are greatly appreciated, thank you. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yogg Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 (edited) Jaziri v Ilhan Jaziri gave Dimitrov a big fright last week and is different class to Ilhan. So under 19.5 [email protected] with unibet is a gift me thinks. WON Edited May 4, 2018 by yogg Result ElPrincipito007 and CzechPunter 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinningTipster Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 2 PICKS FOR WTA ANNING TOMORROW: 1/2amount: ZHENG -5.5 GAMES HANDICAP TO DEFEAT XIAODI YOU @ 1.66 betfair sportsbook 1/2amount: ZHENG TO DEFEAT XIAODI YOU 2-0 SETS @ 1.36 betfair sportsbook Zheng in good form recently and has very good results on clay unlike most Chinese players. Expect it to be an easy win for her. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 1, 2018 Author Share Posted May 1, 2018 Taro Daniel (+1.5 sets) to beat Aljaz Bedene at 1.98 with Unibet Denisa Allertova (+1.5 sets) to beat Samantha Stosur at 1.62 with Unibet Kirsten Flipkens to beat Alja Tomljanovic at 1.85 with Marathonbet Going to keep things short today. Bedene was pretty crappy last week, too many struggles and Daniel is a quality player. Flipkens has a 4-0 record against Tomljanovic, who needed three sets against Soler-Espinosa in the previous round. Finally, I don't trust Stosur not to choke at least one set away under pressure against a solid home player. yogg 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xxx1984xxx Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Double Gille/Vliegen - Karlovic/Zimonjic Gille/Vliegen a very good Challenger Double. 14 win 7 lost Zimonic lost his last 10!!! Matches Karlovic does not play very often and also unsuccessfully ans he ist out in Single and they play together for the first time. That can not be done, because the space is too slow 1,8 great odd CzechPunter and yogg 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yogg Posted May 2, 2018 Share Posted May 2, 2018 (edited) Pedro Sousa vs Joao Sousa i don't really understand the odds on Pedro here having beaten Giles Simon on monday. he is a very fine player indeed on clay and i'll be backing him to beat Joao @3.75 with bet365. Lost Edited May 4, 2018 by yogg Result WaveRunner 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrCrossover Posted May 2, 2018 Share Posted May 2, 2018 (edited) i know this is offtopic, but have yall seen, that players (especially in men competitions) who won 1st set, usually (i woulda say 70% at least) won 3rd set if its needed...or im just tripping, and my mind playin tricks on me (big OG Scarface fan) Edited May 2, 2018 by MrCrossover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yogg Posted May 2, 2018 Share Posted May 2, 2018 (edited) well i don't believe this bet lost! Pedro served for the match at 5-3 in the second set. and had match point at 5-4 in the second set. Pedro Sousa vs Joao Sousa i don't really understand the odds on Pedro here having beaten Giles Simon on monday. he is a very fine player indeed on clay and i'll be backing him to beat Joao @3.75 with bet365. Edited May 2, 2018 by yogg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.JPG.8c5a15b710f7a4188ce438df64354c1e.JPG)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.