FootballBettingPredictor

World Snooker Championship

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With the draw tomorrow the seed's will find out who they get in the first round. Some eye catching results in the qualifiers last round. Jamie Jones beating Wenbo 10-0 :eek being one. The players I feel the seeds will wanna avoid are I would say Ryan Day, Joe Perry, Stephen Maguire, Graeme Dott. The next set of players would then be Jamie Jones, Ricky Walden. The Players I think are cannon fodder are Liam Highfield, Jimmy Robertson, Xiao Guodong, Chris Wakelin and Jack Lisowski these players for me don't play well under the lights (on Tv) the rest have questions marks over players Like Milkins and Stevens could be dangerous Un Nooh is great to watch attacking snooker but the good players with a good safety game will tear him apart.

Discuss the championship is just around the corner and with the draw tomorrow I just cant wait 

Edited by FootballBettingPredictor

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Draw is made 

World Championship (21 Apr - 7 May 2018)
Rd 1 (19) England Mark Selby [1]   v   England Joe Perry [22] Head to head Sat 21 Apr 11am
Sat 21 Apr 8pm
Rd 1 (19) Hong Kong Marco Fu [11]   v   China Lü Haotian [68] Head to head Sat 21 Apr 11am
Sun 22 Apr 8pm
Rd 1 (19) England Kyren Wilson [9]   v   Wales Matthew Stevens [52] Head to head Sat 21 Apr 3:30pm
Sun 22 Apr 8pm
Rd 1 (19) England Ronnie O'Sullivan [2]   v   Scotland Stephen Maguire [18] Head to head Sat 21 Apr 3:30pm
Sun 22 Apr 11am
Rd 1 (19) England Allister Carter [15]   v   Scotland Graeme Dott [21] Head to head Sat 21 Apr 8pm
Sun 22 Apr 3:30pm
Rd 1 (19) Northern Ireland Mark Allen [16]   v   England Liam Highfield [64] Head to head Sun 22 Apr 11am
Mon 23 Apr 11am
Rd 1 (19) England Shaun Murphy [8]   v   Wales Jamie Jones [51] Head to head Sun 22 Apr 3:30pm
Mon 23 Apr 3:30pm
Rd 1 (19) England Barry Hawkins [6]   v   England Stuart Carrington [56] Head to head Mon 23 Apr 11am
Mon 23 Apr 8pm
Rd 1 (19) China Ding Junhui [3]   v   China Xiao Guodong [25] Head to head Mon 23 Apr 3:30pm
Tue 24 Apr 11am
Rd 1 (19) Belgium Luca Brecel [13]   v   England Ricky Walden [27] Head to head Mon 23 Apr 8pm
Tue 24 Apr 3:30pm
Rd 1 (19) England Stuart Bingham [12]   v   England Jack Lisowski [30] Head to head Tue 24 Apr 11am
Tue 24 Apr 8pm
Rd 1 (19) Wales Mark J Williams [7]   v   England Jimmy Robertson [34] Head to head Tue 24 Apr 3:30pm
Wed 25 Apr 11am
Rd 1 (19) Australia Neil Robertson [10]   v   England Robert Milkins [37] Head to head Tue 24 Apr 8pm
Wed 25 Apr 3:30pm
Rd 1 (19) Scotland John Higgins [5]   v   Thailand Thepchaiya Un-Nooh [58] Head to head Wed 25 Apr 11am
Wed 25 Apr 8pm
Rd 1 (19) England Judd Trump [4]   v   England Chris Wakelin [55] Head to head Wed 25 Apr 3:30pm
Thu 26 Apr 8pm
Rd 1 (19) Scotland Anthony McGill [14]   v   Wales Ryan Day [17] Head to head Wed 25 Apr 8pm
Thu 26 Apr 2pm

 

Mags vs Ronnie 1st round :eek. Higgins, Trump Williams, Bingham, Allen, Ding and Carter I say will be over the moon with the 1st round draw.

McGill, Murphy, Ronnie and Selby wont be best pleased.

as for seeds going out 1st rd McGill, Wilson, Brecel, Carter, would be the ones who could fall.

Also I think Mags as a good chance of taking Ronnie out due to the time of the second session. If he can get out the 1st session well then I fancy him in the morning session to get the job done over Ronnie. Ding is a player that struggles in morning sessions for me to but I feel by the 1st session he will have a good lead. 

All ifs buts and maybe's at the mo will post would I will be backing to win the title and an outside E/W later

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I Must say Snooker does bring out the mug punter in me :D. Hopefully in the next 6-12 months I would of developed a system of compiling odds for it but forget that for now :lol.

1st Rd Accy (with Betfred)

Bingham, Higgins, Allen, Trump, Ding and Williams all to win odds 5.14

Singles

Maguire @ 3.75

Stevens @ 3.00

Jones @ 3.50

The accy I expect to win or go close the singles I just like the prices on offer

Good luck to all

 

 

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Lu Haotian has a winning record against Marco Fu and added to that, Fu has barely picked up a cue this year due to problematic eye surgery. Lu is great value at 7/4.

K. Wilson won't have any problems dealing with Matthew Stevens. Wilson dumped Stevens out 2 years ago, and he is a much improved player since then also. At 2/5, there is some value there.

Bingham is another I fancy to win, and at 1/2, that'll do nicely to make up a treble.

 

I'm finding it more difficult each year to find banker accumulators, even in the World Snooker 1st round. Barry Hearn has a lot to answer for with the snooker punters as he has somewhat brought the field together with his million and one tournaments a season.

 

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Hi @ElPrincipito007 & @mcsilks

Good Luck with the selections 

I can't back Lyu Haotian as it's his first time here Some settle well and some crumble not sure which one he will be but hope he wins for both of you.

I don't see the player others see in K Wilson. What I will say is Matthew has got his nut down and a couple of years ago I was backing against him for fun Stevens that is. I'll stick my neck out and say this will be one of the worst games this year :lol. But that's just my opinion.

I to see Bingham as a big price so hope we are both right on that selection.

I'm sure we will disagree on a lot this week and I'll be wrong a lot :( . But I will be watching from the first ball intill the last :)  

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9 hours ago, Striker said:

Good Luck lads

Outright I like John Higgins

Having a good season and knows how to get the job done at the Crucible

Each Way @ 12-1 Betway

Have followed on that. Also on Hawkins at 27/1 with Lads as saw him tipped elsewhere. (Used price boost for that, 25/1 best generally available).

I know nothing about the sport but I ended up having a look at the spread prices in relation to fixed odds and it did flag the 12/1 as an interesting price.

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@Striker & @harry_rag

John Higgins for me looks nailed on for the Semi- Finals so If I'm correct 12/1 wont last long when he's in the semi finals. Only Selby in the top half would beat Higgins for me so if you can get Selby beat before the semi final I can easily see John in the Final.

As for Barry Hawkins I'd me amazed if he didn't at least get through to the Q Final's. But Barry is one those players who can get beat from 9-0 up with the match the best of 19. I've seen him crumble and blow leads time and time again a match in the uk open when winning I think 5-0 to Nigel Bond and lost 6-5. So don't be surprised if you see him blow a big lead.

I'm like a kid on christmas eve can't wait for tomorrow :ok

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Am I missing something here, e.g. a change in the number of matches or frames being played this year?

I was initially inclined to back >79 century breaks at 4/5 based on spreads in the high 80s but, on closer examination, it's the spreads that look questionable.

From what I can see, the number of centuries over the last 10 renewals has been:

74-86-86-58-55-71-74-60-83-62 (average 70.9)

On that basis, the number of centuries looks a rock solid sell at 86.5? Anyone point out a valid reason for such an apparently high spread this year?

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Hi @harry_rag

The format has not changed Barry Hearn on the other hand would love nothing more then to change the format to best of 7's.

1st rd matches are best of 19

2nd round and QF's are best of 25

Semi Final best of 33

with the Final best of 35

so it's not changed from last year I can't comment on the spread as it's not a market I take interest in sorry 

 

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Cheers, I've risked a sell at 86. Bottom line, I lose money if it's a record breaking year, otherwise I show at least a small profit. Think of it as an under/over line that appears to have been set too high.

Another couple of interest bets that caught my eye:

O'Sullivan to make a 147 break at 10/1 with Betfred (standout price compared to elsewhere)

O'Sullivan and Trump to both make a 147 break at 125/1 with Skybet (probably a mug bet now I've taken a closer look at the stats but, for a quid staked, who cares)!

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Day 1

10am

Mark Selby Vs Joe Perry

Sometimes Mark Selby can start slowly that's Mark Slowby How I like to name him :$. So I have a couple of bets to kick off the world championship

Joe Perry to win 1st frame @ 2.37

Joe Perry to win 1st Mini Session (win at least 3 out of the first 4 Frames) @ 4.00

All bets are with Betfred 

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Day 1

10am

Mark Selby Vs Joe Perry

Sometimes Mark Selby can start slowly that's Mark Slowby How I like to name him :$. So I have a couple of bets to kick off the world championship

Joe Perry to win 1st frame @ 2.37 WON

Joe Perry to win 1st Mini Session (win at least 3 out of the first 4 Frames) @ 4.00 WON 

All bets are with Betfred 

Happy with the start :ok

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With Selby looking like going out (long way to go still)

I can't see anyone stopping John Higgins getting to the Final

Back Higgins to win the World Championship @ 10.00 E/W (Betfred)

Second thing is Matthew Stevens is suffering with something he doesn't look 100% fit worth keeping an eye on currently leading 1-0

Edited by FootballBettingPredictor

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As I said before If Mags could do well in the 1st session I'd fancy him to finish the job in the second session But as I already have a bet on him to win here lets look at some other bets.

Mags to win 1st frame @ 2.38 Betfred  Lost

Mags to hit over a 50 break in frame 10 @ 3.20 Betfred Lost

Mark Allen will win this match no doubt in my mind BUT he plays his best snooker when behide. He's not the greastest when he's a heavy fav

so I will be looking for him to go behide before backing him.

Not the start i was looking for today :lol

 

Edited by FootballBettingPredictor

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On 19/04/2018 at 12:58 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said:

I Must say Snooker does bring out the mug punter in me :D. Hopefully in the next 6-12 months I would of developed a system of compiling odds for it but forget that for now :lol.

1st Rd Accy (with Betfred)

Bingham, Higgins, Allen, Trump, Ding and Williams all to win odds 5.14

Singles

Maguire @ 3.75 LOST

Stevens @ 3.00 LOST 

Jones @ 3.50 WON 

The accy I expect to win or go close the singles I just like the prices on offer

Good luck to all

 

 

small profit on the singles

8 hours ago, FootballBettingPredictor said:

Mark Allen is a much better player when behide I don't think he is a good front runner so I'll take a chance on a few

Liam Highfield +4.5 frames @ 1.95 LOST

Mark Allens wins but I don't think we will see his best snooker unless Liam closes the gap :ok

Liam could of won at least 1 more frame :(

On 21/04/2018 at 1:16 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said:

These pockets on table 2 look MASSIVE 

Next up on table 2 Ronnie Vs Mags

Ronnie O Sullivan Vs Stephen Maguire

Highest Break Over/Under

129 or more @ 1.91 LOST

can see this being won in the first 4 frames 

Big break a plenty on table 2 :ok

 

Frame 6 ronnie should of made the break missed the blue on 118 :(

 

up and down for me so far hopefully acca comes in 

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  • Punters Lounge Forum Tips

    • A 30-man field for the PGA Tour closing Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. Plenty on the line this week around the classical, Par 70 which features MiniVerde Bermudagrass greens. It's a stretching course at circa 7,400 yards with a couple of par-5s and players have to play approaches with longer irons rather than a plethora of wedges. No precipitation in this part of Georgia for well over a week, so expect roll on the fairways and firmer greens than we have been accustomed to recently. The course rewards a little accuracy off the tee, but of late, power is becoming more important. In-reality this is a ball-striking exercise, where patience and a game-plan is critical. Hot-heads will struggle and undoubtedly winners here have U.S. Open associations. Of course the FedEx Cup rankings complicate matters further, and I have been selective going for 3 players across the 30-man field. I'm going for Bryson DeChambeau (20/1), Webb Simpson (28/1) and Bubba Watson (50/1).       
    • Finally!!!!  score in this match was 2-1, what it surprised me is that Chapecoense won  and against a much better team. Lucky me i didnt bet against them hahaha
    • 16:50 Yarmouth - Equimou 4/1 Win Bet365
    • My pick is from ATP Metz, R1. Peter Gojowczyk is #45 and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga is #71. Gojowczyk didn’t have good results during the clay season due to some physical issues. But, he’s better now and this tournament is on hard indoor, which is his best surface. He won here last year, so he'll try to repeat it. Tsonga had a serious injury in Feb and is really far from playing the way he used to, it will be hard for him to face a more intense player. Gojowczyk to win @ 1.740 with Pinnacle.
    • I can only offer some historical perspective. Round 1 is the best of the six rounds for draws by big dogs. For away dogs of up to 5.99, the record of the dogs from 2007 to the present is 6-15-18. For home dogs of up to 5.99, the record is 1-7-13. I'm going to hazard a guess that the reason for all the dropped points by favorites is more on the oddsmakers than on the sides. Meaning, in group play, in the midst of young seasons, where the participants are there because of what they did last season (or in qualifying)...and people are just guessing who is better, who is more motivated, etc. My entire theory is based on the notion that the odds already have everything current baked into them...not that the oddsmakers are always 'right,' but that the market moves match odds similarly based on injuries, weather, h2h, etc. Anyway, the draws are very marked in this case; the better sides are the better sides, and since this is CL group play where the object is to get three points (and there's no second leg to think about), sides don't press to win 4-0 and 'put the tie away'...the matches tend to be close, so dropped points usually means draws and not losses. Except for matches involving Arsenal. Kidding! Today (as the odds currently stand) that's Brugge, Monaco, Red Star, Loko Moscow. Tomorrow: Hoffenheim, Valencia, YB Seven matches, odds around 3.80. If you played them all, you'd need two draws to show a profit. Last year there were three draws in five; the previous year five draws in eight. The year before that it was one draw in seven (with three outright wins by dogs...one of the years when it didn't work, at all). If you only take two or three draws, take the ones you least expect to happen (or take the draws in the matches where there's a public favorite). My best advice, though, is if you think a favorite's odds are too low, and you're considering taking the dog double chance at 1.80, take the draw instead at 3.80. You'll kick yourself if the dog wins it outright, but as you can see that doesn't happen that often. And there's no money long-term in taking anything at 1.80.
    • A good day yesterday with a winner at 10/1, a 2nd at 8/1, a 4th and a loser. Results to date. 9 wins, 26 places, 20 losers. £8.16 LSP, 15% ROI. 4 today, all 4 places. REDC 2.40 MECCAS GIFT 11/2. REDC 3.40 SPIRIT OF WEDZA 5/1. GALW 5.15 ALWAYSANDFOREVER 5/1. LING 5.00 HINT OF GREY 7/2.
    • Too many choices today, so here’s to a quick fire double.. Lingfield 7:00 Ledham Kempton 7:30 Petrastar Good luck  
    • Yarmouth: 2.50 Hamlul please. Thanks.
    • The weekend Championship fixtures are out with their odds and ratings. Some things may change after the midweek games depending on your line of thinking so post up whenever you fancy about which bets you'll be placing here! 
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