Timmy1515 Posted May 8, 2018 Author Share Posted May 8, 2018 Selection #96 Single Guizhou Hengfeng Zhicheng F.C vs Shanghai East Asia Super League / 12th May 2018 @ 08:30 Match winner • Shanghai East Asia Odds: 1.50 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 8, 2018 Author Share Posted May 8, 2018 21 hours ago, FootballBettingPredictor said: Single #89 Vegalta Sendai vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima J-League Division 1 / 12th May 2018 @ 08:00 Match winner • Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds: 2.15 Stake: 10 7 hours ago, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #90 Single Djurgårdens IF vs Dalkurd FF Allsvenskan / 13th May 2018 @ 14:00 Match winner • Djurgårdens IF Odds: 1.60 Stake: 10 I've been busy today working on something that I believe will improve my ratings the selections above were selected before this change and no longer are value bets. But as I have already placed a bet on these selections and posted on here they will remain. Results have been o.k and I'm happy with how's it been going for the past 2 years but I don't like to stand still. This new rating system will remain for at least 6 months and records will be kept. I'm hoping this will improve results and make picking selections easier. Any chance I make you will be informed really looking forward to the coming months ahead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 8, 2018 Author Share Posted May 8, 2018 Selection #97 Single Ulsan Hyundai Horang-i vs Gyeongnam FC K League Classic / 13th May 2018 @ 08:00 Double chance • Gyeongnam FC or draw Odds: 1.75 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 8, 2018 Author Share Posted May 8, 2018 Selection #98 Single Sangju Sangmu Phoenix vs Incheon United K League Classic / 13th May 2018 @ 06:00 Match winner • Sangju Sangmu Phoenix Odds: 2.10 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 8, 2018 Author Share Posted May 8, 2018 Selection #99 Single Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Série A / 13th May 2018 @ 20:00 Match winner • Vasco da Gama Odds: 1.85 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 9, 2018 Author Share Posted May 9, 2018 Selection #100 Single Shelbourne vs Finn Harps LOI 1st Division / 11th May 2018 @ 19:45 Double chance • Finn Harps or draw Odds: 1.72 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 9, 2018 Author Share Posted May 9, 2018 Selection #101 Single Galway United vs UCD LOI 1st Division / 11th May 2018 @ 19:45 Double chance • UCD or draw Odds: 1.67 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 10, 2018 Author Share Posted May 10, 2018 (edited) On 08/05/2018 at 11:54 AM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #92 Single Chicago Fire vs Montreal Impact Major League Soccer / 10th May 2018 @ 01:30 Double chance • Montreal Impact or draw (1-0) LOST -10.00PTS Odds: 2.25 Stake: 10 Profit/Loss of the day -10.00PTSOverall Profit/Loss +172.80PTS Month Profit/Loss:- -37.30pts Overall Selections 88 Won 55 Lost 33 Strike rate :- 62.50% AVG ODDS 1.90 R.O.I +19.64% On 07/05/2018 at 5:58 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: MLS NOW ADDED I can now compile odds in USA in the MLS the midweek odds have been compiled as you can see above. O.k above is the ratings before I added a little something to my ratings and here they are after with results below so even with another loss which was a 89th min goal (I'm due a couple of late goals now) I'm pleased with the ratings. I believe selection process will needs looking at as I'm missing out on far to many winners. So at the moment I back/Lay selections with a at least a 10% or more swing unless they have more of a 50% chance of winning. Results are good (form isn't) so I am worried a little bit by changing to much but I will look into all the data I have recorded and look to see if a change in the selection process would be beneficial in the long run. For my bank balance and betting funds this run hasn't been fun but if you are follower of this thread it does make it more interesting this roller coaster of a ride I for selfish reasons wish it was abit more boring and the winners just keep coming. Edited May 10, 2018 by FootballBettingPredictor a few spelling mistakes it was early when I posted it lol Dockie8368 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 10, 2018 Author Share Posted May 10, 2018 So in my last post I commented that I would look into the selection process and see if I could improve it. So before I would look at a 10% swing I'll post and example below. So above you can see 5 teams either more then 10% or below 10% they are Vancouver Whitecaps, Minnesota, FC Dallas, New York Red Bulls and Portland Timbers. so the bets would be Back Vancouver Whitecaps, Minnesota, New York Red Bulls and Portland Timbers and Lay FC Dallas. Now that way has worked fine and maybe the best way for me to place bets but I believe some value maybe getting missed so Now I've added something extra which will hopefully find more winners and better selections. p.s Green = Value, Red = no Value So now you can see added columns you will see my odds but this time you will see them in green, grey or red. So now when I look I can see 5 teams odds are green. That tells me they have a good chance of winning so Columbus Crew have a good chance of winning but odds are not good enough to back. FC Dallas on the other hand are no longer a lay so now in order for me to be considered for a selection both need to be green. So my odds need to be green as well as the difference in odds. Doesn't matter if 1% value or 20% if both are green it's considered a selection. I already have a lot of selections for the weekend I will go through all of them to see if any of them would make the cut using this new method. The bets are placed so this weekend them selections stand but moving forward selections will be made with this new method. I can compare which selection process is more successful as I go along but I believe the new changes I've made this week will help and improve selections and I feel it will push me forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 10, 2018 Author Share Posted May 10, 2018 So I've looked through selections made and 8/13 selection would of been selected using the new method Selections that are still a bet :- Shanghai SIPG, Brann, Molde, UC Dublin, Finn Harps, Vasco, Djurgarden & AIK Stockholm Teams that didn't make the cut Shonan D/C, Hiroshima, Sangju Sangmu, Gyeongnam D/C & Tromsø will be interesting to see how these selections go of course I hope they all win With 130PTS on the line I think I will make 3 more selections in MLS and then leave it for this weekend fingers crossed for a good weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 10, 2018 Author Share Posted May 10, 2018 Selection #102 Single Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer / 13th May 2018 @ 21:00 Match winner • Portland Timbers Odds: 1.91 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 10, 2018 Author Share Posted May 10, 2018 Selection #103 Single Real Salt Lake vs DC United Major League Soccer / 13th May 2018 @ 02:00 Match winner • Real Salt Lake Odds: 1.75 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 10, 2018 Author Share Posted May 10, 2018 Selection #104 Single Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes Major League Soccer / 12th May 2018 @ 19:00 Match winner • Minnesota United Odds: 2.00 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 10, 2018 Author Share Posted May 10, 2018 Selection #105 Single Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer / 12th May 2018 @ 03:30 Match winner • Vancouver Whitecaps Odds: 2.15 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 10, 2018 Author Share Posted May 10, 2018 so that's it for this weekend 17 selections 170pts on the line lets see how I do. I do normally look all weekend for odds movement but due to a little change in selection and team ratings and a 170PT risk I will leave it for this weekend. harry_rag, freddie01 and LEE-GRAYS 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 Good luck, will keep an eye on how it goes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 11, 2018 Author Share Posted May 11, 2018 On 09/05/2018 at 3:14 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #100 Single Shelbourne vs Finn Harps (0-0) WON +7.20PTS LOI 1st Division / 11th May 2018 @ 19:45 Double chance • Finn Harps or draw Odds: 1.72 Stake: 10 On 09/05/2018 at 3:19 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #101 Single Galway United vs UCD (2-0) LOST -10.00PTS LOI 1st Division / 11th May 2018 @ 19:45 Double chance • UCD or draw Odds: 1.67 Stake: 10 Profit/Loss of the day -2.80PTSOverall Profit/Loss +170.00PTS Month Profit/Loss:- -40.10pts Overall Selections 90 Won 56 Lost 34 Strike rate :- 62.22% AVG ODDS 1.90 R.O.I +18.89% 1/2 in Ireland I think I've been here before what I've learned from tonight is Galway are ranked to low fingers crossed one day I will get Ireland Div1 right. Massive weekend for me looking for to it lets just hope the profits come rolling in as losing is apart of gambling but isn't much fun . Looking back I started April off with a minus monthly profit so fingers crossed May will prove just as profitable . See you all tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 11, 2018 Author Share Posted May 11, 2018 I've just finished J-League 2 and that has thrown up 2 more selections so I know I said I wouldn't make anymore selections but here are 2 more I didn't expert to finish that league so quickly :- Selection #106 Single Tokushima Vortis vs Kyoto Sanga FC J-League Division 2 / 12th May 2018 @ 08:00 Match winner • Tokushima Vortis Odds: 1.72 Stake: 10 & selction #107 Single Avispa Fukuoka vs Ehime FC J-League Division 2 / 12th May 2018 @ 06:00 Match winner • Avispa Fukuoka Odds: 1.60 Stake: 10 That's all folks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 On 10/05/2018 at 1:48 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #105 Single Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo (2-2) LOST 10.00PTS Major League Soccer / 12th May 2018 @ 03:30 Match winner • Vancouver Whitecaps Odds: 2.15 Stake: 10 On 10/05/2018 at 1:46 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #104 Single Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes (1-3) LOST 10.00PTS Major League Soccer / 12th May 2018 @ 19:00 Match winner • Minnesota United Odds: 2.00 Stake: 10 22 hours ago, FootballBettingPredictor said: #106 Single Tokushima Vortis vs Kyoto Sanga FC (1-0) WON +7.20PTS J-League Division 2 / 12th May 2018 @ 08:00 Match winner • Tokushima Vortis Odds: 1.72 Stake: 10 & selction #107 Single Avispa Fukuoka vs Ehime FC (2-0) WON + 6.00PTS J-League Division 2 / 12th May 2018 @ 06:00 Match winner • Avispa Fukuoka Odds: 1.60 Stake: 10 That's all folks On 07/05/2018 at 6:08 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Single #89 Vegalta Sendai vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (1-3) WON 11.50PTS J-League Division 1 / 12th May 2018 @ 08:00 Match winner • Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds: 2.15 Stake: 10 On 07/05/2018 at 6:07 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Single #88 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Shonan Bellmare (4-2) LOST -10.00PTS J-League Division 1 / 12th May 2018 @ 06:00 Double chance • Shonan Bellmare or draw Odds: 1.83 Stake: 10 On 08/05/2018 at 12:02 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #93 Single Start vs Brann (0-1) WON 10.50PTS Eliteserien / 12th May 2018 @ 17:00 Match winner • Brann Odds: 2.05 Stake: 10 On 08/05/2018 at 3:34 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #96 Single Guizhou Hengfeng Zhicheng F.C vs Shanghai East Asia Super League / 12th May 2018 @ 08:30 Match winner • Shanghai East Asia (1-1) LOST -10.00PTS Odds: 1.50 Stake: 10 Profit/Loss of the day -4.90PTSOverall Profit/Loss +165.10PTS Month Profit/Loss:- -45.00pts Overall Selections 98 Won 60 Lost 38 Strike rate :- 61.22% AVG ODDS 1.90 R.O.I +16.85% Another small loss and now this is a record breaking run of losing days . I've been working hard on this today so not seen to many games to know if today's results were bad luck or poor selections. I'm working on a market predictor which will predict what way the odds are going to move so this will help me (i hope ) to get better prices and to know what teams to back right away and which to leave and let them drift. I will show you all for Wednesday's games in Norway and talk you through it. So like I've said many times I'm happy with this atm but now adding more to it all the bits and bobs are coming together. So hopefully I will have a market predictor, A football results predictor and a selection predictor If successful it could be very powerful. After the last ball is kick in Norway that's around 9pm tomorrow I will post the my market predictor odds for Wednesday's match in that league. Then as soon as Bet 365 release there odds on that market I will get a screenshot and post it side by side with the market predictor odds. From there I will try to predict which odds will go up and which will go down. I am that confident in this that I reckon I will correctly get 75%-80% right maybe even more. Only time will tell if this will work and actions will speak louder then word but if it does it will give me a little edge but lets wait and see. Right Irish league is getting dropped lack of coverage plus I have J-league 2 now so no real need for the Irish league as I was performing poor in it. I will continue to push with this I'm working hard on it and as I'm boring I'm excited by the journey ahead will it work long term ? who knows but I will give it my best shot to make it work and it will take more then a few poor results to stop me with this. I hope this is coming across as interesting for you all as it is for me Like I've said this is not a thread to follow with your money and back my selections Its more to show you what can be done and how bloody hard it can be and how much hard work goes into it. Let's Go LEE-GRAYS, Dockie8368 and freddie01 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 13, 2018 Author Share Posted May 13, 2018 Selection #108 Single Jiangsu Sainty vs Dalian Yifang FC Super League / 13th May 2018 @ 12:35 Match winner • Jiangsu Sainty Odds: 1.61 Stake: 10 I know I said I would have anymore selections to add this weekend but so far today has gone well and the odds for this one are far to big. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 13, 2018 Author Share Posted May 13, 2018 here is an early stage of what I was saying yesterday trying to predict odds movement from opening price to closing price. So we have the date home, away and country that's simple enough. Punters Odds this is how the punters rank the teams so odds are compiled on that bases rather then how I rate the team. Closing odds is the odds from when the match kicks off, Predicted movement is how I believe the odds will move is up arrow up down arrow down. Then the opening price the numbers on the far left are just the difference from the opening odds to the punter odds. You will see closing odds are red or green. That shows if the odd movement predictor was correct or not. As I don't back draws it's the home and away odds I'm interested. So out of the 32 odds for home or away 22 odds moved in the correct way. I was hoping it would be fully automated by now but it's not how successfull will it be ? I have no idea but I hope it helps me to get better prices in the long run. To have a better idea when to bet straight away or hold fire for a better price. This differs from my odds compiled I'm hoping one will help the other also I'm looking for good chance of winning value bets instead of just value bets I'm hoping all this will lead to more consistent long term profit. I will update my record after the last 2 matches I'm 5 win 2 losses on the day but need one of the last two to win to make a profit on today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 13, 2018 Author Share Posted May 13, 2018 On 08/05/2018 at 7:53 AM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #90 Single Djurgårdens IF vs Dalkurd FF Allsvenskan / 13th May 2018 @ 14:00 Match winner • Djurgårdens IF (1-0) WON +6.00PTS Odds: 1.60 Stake: 10 On 08/05/2018 at 12:05 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Single #94 Molde vs Bodø/Glimt Eliteserien / 13th May 2018 @ 17:00 Match winner • Molde (1-2) LOST -10.00PTS Odds: 1.70 Stake: 10 On 08/05/2018 at 12:07 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #95 Single Tromsø vs Lillestrøm Eliteserien / 13th May 2018 @ 17:00 Match winner • Tromsø (1-2) LOST -10.00PTS Odds: 2.15 Stake: 10 On 08/05/2018 at 3:56 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #97 Single Ulsan Hyundai Horang-i vs Gyeongnam FC K League Classic / 13th May 2018 @ 08:00 Double chance • Gyeongnam FC or draw (1-1) WON 7.50PTS Odds: 1.75 Stake: 10 On 08/05/2018 at 3:56 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #98 Single Sangju Sangmu Phoenix vs Incheon United K League Classic / 13th May 2018 @ 06:00 Match winner • Sangju Sangmu Phoenix (3-2) WON +11.00PTS Odds: 2.10 Stake: 10 On 08/05/2018 at 8:26 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #99 Single Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Série A / 13th May 2018 @ 20:00 Match winner • Vasco da Gama (2-3) LOST -10.00PTS Odds: 1.85 Stake: 10 On 10/05/2018 at 1:44 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #102 Single Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer / 13th May 2018 @ 21:00 Match winner • Portland Timbers (1-0) WON + 9.10 Odds: 1.91 Stake: 10 On 10/05/2018 at 1:45 PM, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #103 Single Real Salt Lake vs DC United Major League Soccer / 13th May 2018 @ 02:00 Match winner • Real Salt Lake (3-2) WON +7.50 Odds: 1.75 Stake: 10 13 hours ago, FootballBettingPredictor said: Selection #108 Single Jiangsu Sainty vs Dalian Yifang FC Super League / 13th May 2018 @ 12:35 Match winner • Jiangsu Sainty (1-0) WON +6.10 Odds: 1.61 Stake: 10 I know I said I would have anymore selections to add this weekend but so far today has gone well and the odds for this one are far to big. Profit/Loss of the day +17.20PTSOverall Profit/Loss +182.30PTS Month Profit/Loss:- -27.80pts Overall Selections 107 Won 66 Lost 41 Strike rate :- 61.68% AVG ODDS 1.90 R.O.I +17.04% 6/9 selections won at least its profit to break the losing run. With all the new improvements lets hope I can turn May into a profitable month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 14, 2018 Author Share Posted May 14, 2018 Selection #109 Single Vålerenga vs Stabæk Eliteserien / 16th May 2018 @ 17:00 Match winner • Vålerenga Odds: 1.75 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 14, 2018 Author Share Posted May 14, 2018 (edited) Selection #110 Single Molde vs Strømsgodset Eliteserien / 16th May 2018 @ 17:00 Match winner • Molde Odds: 1.83 Stake: 10 Edited May 14, 2018 by FootballBettingPredictor odds were incorrect I typed 1.91 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 14, 2018 Author Share Posted May 14, 2018 Selections #111 Single Oita Trinita vs Yamaguchi FC J-League Division 2 / 20th May 2018 @ 06:00 Match winner • Oita Trinita Odds: 2.20 Stake: 10 Selection #112 Single Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata J-League Division 2 / 20th May 2018 @ 06:00 Match winner • Albirex Niigata Odds: 2.10 Stake: 10 Selection #113 Single Omiya Ardija vs FC Gifu J-League Division 2 / 19th May 2018 @ 08:00 Match winner • Omiya Ardija Odds: 2.00 Stake: 10 taken the prices now as I believe all will be shorter by kick off Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 14, 2018 Author Share Posted May 14, 2018 Selection #114 Single Sagan Tosu vs F.C. Tokyo J-League Division 1 / 20th May 2018 @ 07:00 Match winner • F.C. Tokyo Odds: 2.10 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 14, 2018 Author Share Posted May 14, 2018 Selection #115 Single Vancouver Whitecaps vs SJ Earthquakes Major League Soccer / 17th May 2018 @ 03:30 Match winner • Vancouver Whitecaps Odds: 1.70 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 14, 2018 Author Share Posted May 14, 2018 Selection #116 Single FC Seoul vs Jeonbuk Motors K League Classic / 20th May 2018 @ 08:00 Match winner • Jeonbuk Motors Odds: 2.25 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 14, 2018 Author Share Posted May 14, 2018 Selections #117 Single Ceará vs América Mineiro Série A / 15th May 2018 @ 00:00 Double chance • América Mineiro or draw Odds: 1.70 Stake: 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy1515 Posted May 14, 2018 Author Share Posted May 14, 2018 Selection #118 Single BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan / 14th May 2018 @ 18:00 Match winner • BK Häcken Odds: 1.66 Stake: 10 so that 2 selections for tonight and one at midnight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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