Valiant Thor Posted March 28, 2018 Share Posted March 28, 2018 Newc 5.45 Strange race this All favoured horses drawn in worst rated draw First 3 horses in favoured draw unfavoured Not a betting race with Magistral as a possible ew bet the only real choice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 (edited) Newc 6.15 4 horses whose draw averages above normal 1pt each 0 horses whose draw win around the average mark 1/2 pt each Total 4 or 3/1 Kilbaha Lady 20/1 not fancied Hitman 8/1 possible ew Adventureman 3/1 fair price contender Lukoutoldmekezebak 4/1 fair price possible bet dutch Adventureman 3/1 & Lukoutoldmekezebak 4/1 win bet Or Hitman 8/1 ew If you watched the race , That is why they're apprentices Low grade races as Ive said many times before are not a betting proposition for me but apprentices and low grade races are the absolute pits Edited March 28, 2018 by Valiant Thor forgot Kilbaha lady Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 7.15 3 horses whose draw averages above normal 1pt each 1 horse whose draw win around the average mark 1/2 pt each Total 3.5 or 5/2 With the fav badly drawn drawn -20% from average A dutch bet on Mutabaahy 5/1 & Marietta Robusti 13/2 looks the play Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 7.45 Not much form to go on in this race 5 horses whose draw averages above normal 1pt each 0 horse whose draw win around the average mark 1/2 pt each Total 5 or 4/1 With only Sketching 5/1 fancied from the 5 drawn favourably then that would be the choice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 8.15 4 horses whose draw averages above normal 1pt each 0 horse whose draw win around the average mark 1/2 pt each Total 4 or 3/1 Lord Caprio underpriced (imo) @ 13/8 This makes Elixsoft 7/2 or Paperazzi 6/1 possible contenders Id tend to lean towards Elixsoft but not really a betting opportunity with a shorty fav in an above ave draw as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 8.45 4 horses whose draw averages above normal 1pt each 1 horse whose draw win around the average mark 1/2 pt each Total 4.5 or 7/2 Monte Cinq 16/1,Fly True 66/1 & Presidential 16/1 not fancied Leaves Suwaan 4/1 fav & Gloriux 5/1 2nd fav contenders Win dutch Suwaan 4/1 fav & Gloriux 5/1 2nd fav Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted March 28, 2018 Author Share Posted March 28, 2018 *NOTE* Newcastle AW is a relatively new track so not looking at a very large data set for draw biases & distance Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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