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L1, L2 & Scottish Predictions > Mar 6th - 11th


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I'm really liking the looks of both Accrington and Mansfield here.Both teams are in a position to gain valuable points here. Mansfield can possibly climb up to a third place as they have one game less played than both notts and wycombe and accrington might be looking to bridge the gap a little bit and just make it a 1 point difference between them and Luton.

Other than playing the singles I might do a treble combining these two with cardiff tonight.

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Kilmarnock look a solid bet to beat St Johnstone on Wednesday night. The Kilmarnock pitch is horrendous and gives them a definite advantage, it's no surprise to see their home form is so strong. If they play as well as they did against Hibs last week they should see off an inconsistent St Johnstone comfortably. Killmarnock win at 2.05 looks generous.

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premiership

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in St.Johnstone's last 4 away games in Premiership.
St.Johnstone have failed to score in their last 3 away games in Premiership.

You can find interesting 91 Football Betting Streaks for 07.03.2018 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-streaks-07-03-2018-8736

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On 3/6/2018 at 5:34 PM, allyhibs said:

Kilmarnock look a solid bet to beat St Johnstone on Wednesday night. The Kilmarnock pitch is horrendous and gives them a definite advantage, it's no surprise to see their home form is so strong. If they play as well as they did against Hibs last week they should see off an inconsistent St Johnstone comfortably. Killmarnock win at 2.05 looks generous.

Thanks, i took this prediction and i win!

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Bradford vs MK Dons

This League 1 match is a clash of the out-of-form teams. Bradford haven't won in the league since New Year's Day. Stuart McCall was replaced by experienced third tier gaffer Simon Grayson last month but he has only had two games to make an impression so the jury remains out. The Bantams remain just outside the play-off spots thanks to their early season form but results need to pick up quick if they are to contemplate promotion this season.

MK Dons are in freefall. Their last league win came on 30th December, 2017 in a run of results that has seen them drop to 22nd in the table. The Dons are now 6 points from safety and this season is fast turning into a disaster. The sacking of Robbie Nielson saw former England under-16s manager Dan Micciche appointed. Unfortunately, form has only deteriorated even further under his watch.

Personally, I think Grayson will prove to be a shrewd appointment for Bradford. He's led four teams to promotion from this division. Bradford have proved they have the quality after their form earlier in the season made them potential automatic promotion candidates. So the ingredients are there for this season to yet be saved.

Sadly, I'm not so optimistic about the hopes of MK Dons. I think Micciche was the wrong appointment and they are heading one way. I think this is a great opportunity for Grayson to start turning results around at Valley Parade. MK Dons have failed to score in 39% of their away games this season so I could see Bradford keeping a clean sheet too.

Bradford to win @ 2.10 with Ladbrokes

Bradford to win to nil @ 3.75 with Boylesports

@Papa Lazarou, @allyhibs, @iBetting, @betcatalog, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @kulikTS, @golakeh1, @Unnamed, @willie82, @dogmeister, @TheEdge, @JJG, @allthethings, @Mindfulness, @the bastardian, @teddybear3011, and @sajtion. let us know the bets you guys are placing this week. Back after an interrupted round last weekend. What do you think about my thoughts on Bradford's chances of a win with a clean sheet?

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AFC Wimbledon v Oxford United

AFC Wimbledon: Joe Pigott (9/2 f, illness), Darius Charles (24/0 d), Will Nightingale (13/0 d)(all probably in), Kwesi Appiah (10/2 f), Anthony Hartigan (11/0 m)

Oxford United: Mike Williamson (14/0 d, doubtful), Rob Hall (11/2 f), Joe Rothwell (27/4 m), Ivo Pekalski (0/0 m), Curtis Nelson (16/1 d)

 

Blackburn Rovers v Blackpool

Blackburn Rovers: Ryan Nyambe (27/0 d, probably in), Dominic Samuel (27/5 f), Ben Gladwin (5/0 m), Peter Whittingham (17/0 m)(all doubtful), Harry Chapman (12/1 f)

Blackpool: Callum Cooke (26/2 m, doubtful), Jim McAlister (0/0 m), Mark Cullen (3/0 f), Dolly Menga (5/0 f), Max Clayton (2/0 f)

 

Coventry City v Barnet

Coventry City: Tom Davies (17/0 d), Tony Andreu (5/0 m), Jodi Jones (19/5 f)

Barnet: Richard Brindley (10/0 d), Jean-Louis Akpa Akpro (18/2 f)(both doubtful), Jamie Stephens (11/0 first goalkeeper), Harry Taylor (16/0 d), Elliott Johnson (2/0 d), Dave Tarpey (2/0 f)

 

Crawley Town v Morecambe FC

Crawley Town: Thomas Verheydt (16/2 f, doubtful), Kaby Djalo (2/0 m), Billy Clifford (7/1 m)

Morecambe FC: Callum Lang (17/6 f, 2nd top scorer, probably in), Max Muller (20/0 d, doubtful), Reece Deakin (0/0 f)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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Kilmarnock v Ross County.

I don't really see any difference between this game and the defeat of St Johnstone in midweek. Kilmarnock get an obvious advantage at home because of the artificial pitch, the home win should be odds on here. Kilmarnock at 2.00 value value value

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding League 1

30% of Wigan Athletic's conceded goals occurred in the first 15 minutes in League 1.
Scnuthorpe conceded at least 1 goal in each of their last 10 matches in League 1.
Scnuthorpe have scored in 78% of their away matches in League 1.
Scnuthorpe have scored in each of their last 7 away matches in League 1.
Plymouth have won with a 1 goal margin in their last 3 away games in League 1.

You can find interesting 102 Football Betting Streaks for 10.03.2018 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-10-03-2018-8756

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Rangers vs Celtic

Finally, the Old Firm Derby has a bit more edge about it than it has done over recent years. The match has been a bit of a mismatch since the fall from grace of Rangers. However, under the guidance of Graeme Murty, the Gers actually seem to be progressing in the right direction.

Only 6 points separate the Glasgow rivals. Yes, the Hoops have a game in hand but that gap could be reduced to 3 points if Rangers win here. Considering the likes of Aberdeen, Hibernian, Kilmarnock, and Hearts are far from given opposition, it could make the final days of the SPL title race very interesting.

@allyhibs will be the man to really give us his expert opinion on this game but I think Rangers stand every chance of causing an upset here. Celtic will be fresh after their exit from the Europa League but with Brendan Rodgers being linked to so many jobs around Europe it begs the question if his head is being turned?

Scoring goals has been an issue for Celtic over recent weeks. The league leaders have failed to score in 2 of their last 3 league games. They also failed to score in the 2nd leg of their Europa League defeat to Zenit St Petersburg. On the contrary, Rangers have won their last 4 league matches and have scored 13 goals during the process.

The one major sticking point for me is that home form is clearly an issue for Rangers. They have suffered defeat at Ibrox five times this season. That said, since Murty took over, they have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 4 matches at home in the league. They also held Celtic to a 0-0 draw at Celtic Park in their last meeting. There is cause for optimism.

I just feel it's about time Rangers got one on the board against their rivals. There is a subtle feeling that the tide is beginning to turn once again. The last time Rangers recorded a victory over Celtic was back on 25th March, 2012. Can they do it tomorrow? I'm not confident enough to back an outright winner but I think Rangers will be worth an Asian Handicap and I certainly think we will see an action-packed derby game with goals at both ends.

Rangers +0.5 AH @ 1.92 with Unibet

BTTS @ 1.75 with Sportingbet

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I think Rangers could take something from the big match, and I'd be inclined toward the outright win.

Going back to 2011 in my database, home dogs of up to 3.99 in SPL win 30% and draw 23%, and of course these are matches that don't involve Celtic, because they very typically play away at 1.12 or something to dogs of 9.00 and 10.00 and 11.00. Their closest rivals are priced at 5.50 at home, not 3.75, which is where Rangers are at the moment. In my database, Celtic have only faced one home dog in the range of up to 3.99...and they lost that one, to Aberdeen.

Home dogs against Celtic this season are 2-2-11, but I'm interested in how it has gone week by week. Rangers lost at home 0-2 in week 7 as a dog of 5.68, and all home dogs were 0-0-7 through week 14. Motherwell got a 1-1 draw in a replay after week 15 as a dog of 10.00, Hibs got a 2-2 draw in week 17 as a dog of 5.46, and then Hearts won in week 19 as a dog of 9.44. Kilmarnock won in week 26 as a dog of 10.16.

Now, Rangers have lost plenty at home as big favorites, too, but Celtic seem to have lost some of their luster as the season has gone on. As I said, I think the win is marked. Going back to my numbers...league-wide, home dogs of up to 3.99 are 10-7-14, and home dogs of 4.00 to 4.99 are 19-12-50, again more wins than draws. That's a total of 29-19-64. Celtic's opponents in that group are 5-1-7. The win for me...5dimes has them at 4.08 at the moment.

Edited by allthethings
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6 hours ago, allthethings said:

I think Rangers could take something from the big match, and I'd be inclined toward the outright win.

Going back to 2011 in my database, home dogs of up to 3.99 in SPL win 30% and draw 23%, and of course these are matches that don't involve Celtic, because they very typically play away at 1.12 or something to dogs of 9.00 and 10.00 and 11.00. Their closest rivals are priced at 5.50 at home, not 3.75, which is where Rangers are at the moment. In my database, Celtic have only faced one home dog in the range of up to 3.99...and they lost that one, to Aberdeen.

Home dogs against Celtic this season are 2-2-11, but I'm interested in how it has gone week by week. Rangers lost at home 0-2 in week 7 as a dog of 5.68, and all home dogs were 0-0-7 through week 14. Motherwell got a 1-1 draw in a replay after week 15 as a dog of 10.00, Hibs got a 2-2 draw in week 17 as a dog of 5.46, and then Hearts won in week 19 as a dog of 9.44. Kilmarnock won in week 26 as a dog of 10.16.

Now, Rangers have lost plenty at home as big favorites, too, but Celtic seem to have lost some of their luster as the season has gone on. As I said, I think the win is marked. Going back to my numbers...league-wide, home dogs of up to 3.99 are 10-7-14, and home dogs of 4.00 to 4.99 are 19-12-50, again more wins than draws. That's a total of 29-19-64. Celtic's opponents in that group are 5-1-7. The win for me...5dimes has them at 4.08 at the moment.

I never expected to wake up and see all the money flow toward Rangers; they're at 3.47 now, and would not be a play for me...except I took them last night. I have to hope the market is correct, which is a fool's errand if there ever was one.

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@StevieDay1983

Sorry I'm a bit late on this. There's no doubt Rangers have improved since January but they're not at Celtics level yet. Rangers run of form at the moment is certainly impressive but it's been against teams they're expected to beat, they're one defeat coming against the best team they've played (Hibs). Celtic are having a little wobble at the moment but that's all it is, they tend to turn up for the big games and I can't see them losing here. It's certainly a difficult game to call and one where i'm not personally having a bet. If I was forced I would be betting on goals, I have a feeling it could be quite high scoring.

Liking your bets though :ok

Edited by allyhibs
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