Testing, Testing, Testing......

[skylark2009]

Results 17/02/2018

 

 

Edited February 17, 2018 by skylark2009

[skylark2009]

Testing complete - Since today's selections all lost and produced a negative profit, then I'll end this thread.

Totals to date.

106 bets
winners - 37
losers - 61
non runners - 8
SR - 37.75%
P/L to staking strategy (dutching) - -6.48pts
P/L to 1pt level stakes - -10.23pts

Horses drifting out  from early odds - 37
Won - 11
Lost - 26
SR - 29.72%

Horses shortening in from early odds - 57
Won - 25
Lost - 32
SR - 43.85%

Horses same price - 4
Won - 1
Lost - 3
SR - 25%

Selection method -

Proform ratings used to generate selections.

Power rating rank = 1
LTO speed rating rank = 1
1st or 2nd last time out.

No amendments if non runners (no new qualifiers).

Sidenote - Using this to generate selections since 10/11/2017. 604 selections have produced an LSP of +38.75pts.

Staking - Dutching used .

Each selection is awarded 1pt, coupled with another selection and the sum (2pts mostly) is dutched for equal profits.
 
The shortest odds are coupled with the longest odds and then dutched to generate the first two stakes for equal profits.

The next shortest odds are coupled with the next longest odds and then dutched to generate the next two stakes for equal profits.

Third shortest with the third longest for equal profits etc, and carry on through the list for remaining selections.

Odd number of selections then dutch the two longest odds with the shortest odds (if the odds used can produce an equal positive profit) to use the odd selection up, else use a 1pt stake for the odd selection.

Coupled odds like 1/2 and 2/1, 2/5 and 5/2, 1/3 and 3/1 etc won't produce any stakes (the percentages would add up to 100% and to dutch, the percentages need to add up to less than 100%). So add 0.01 to the longest odds, ie 1/2 and 2/1 become 1/2 and 2.01/1 etc and then dutch (both selections would be required to win for a profit or a no loss if only one won).

Edited February 17, 2018 by skylark2009