harry_rag Posted July 13, 2018 Author Share Posted July 13, 2018 Leeds v Wakefield: Moon at 2/1 Lads (B2) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted July 19, 2018 Author Share Posted July 19, 2018 Wigan v St Helens: Marshall at 13/10 with Lads (A2) and Lomax at 5/2 with Skybet (A1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted July 20, 2018 Author Share Posted July 20, 2018 0 from 3 since the last update. 75 winners from 274 bets (27.37%), -17.15 points with an ROI of -6.26%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted July 20, 2018 Author Share Posted July 20, 2018 Castleford v Huddersfield: Laulu-Togagae at 7/4 with Fred (C1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted July 26, 2018 Author Share Posted July 26, 2018 St Helens v Warrington: Lomax at 3.25 (B1) and Morgan at 2.88 (C2) both with 888 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted July 26, 2018 Author Share Posted July 26, 2018 Same game but for the visitors, Livett at 18/5 with Lads (C3) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted July 27, 2018 Author Share Posted July 27, 2018 1 from 4 since the last update (Lomax). 76 winners from 278 bets (27.34%), -17.9 points with an ROI of -6.44%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted July 27, 2018 Author Share Posted July 27, 2018 Hull v Hull KR: Faraimo 2 or more tries at 7/2 PP or Lads (B1), Oakes anytime 21/10 Lads (A3) and Quinlan anytime 5/2 Lads (B3) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted July 31, 2018 Author Share Posted July 31, 2018 No winners from those 3 bets. 76 winners from 281 bets (27.05%), -20.9 points with an ROI of -7.44%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 14, 2018 Author Share Posted August 14, 2018 I'm formally ending this thread now, mainly because of how time consuming it is and how much time I can reasonably spare at the moment. This remains the approach I take to identifying potential goalscorer bets but I'll no longer be tracking how the potential selections perform if backed blindly. I'd rather spend the time sorting the wheat from the chaff! Obviously, on the evidence of this thread, it doesn't look that good, with the approx 21 point loss roughly split 20 points on League, 3 points on Soccer and a 2 point profit on Union. Last year's thread returned a 77 point profit from 519 bets with all 3 sports returning a profit of over 20 points. So, overall, still 56.5 points to the good with all 3 sports in profit (albeit only just in the case of League). Conclusion? It's definitely a valid approach to identifying a shortlist of potential bets for further consideration but the jury's out on whether blindly backing the selections would show a profit in the long term. I suspect there's a small amount of bad luck in this year's negative return but a bigger chunk of good fortune in last year's profit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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